Stony Brook at Air Force - 2018 Matchup Preview
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Stony Brook Seawolves at Air Force Falcons

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Saturday, September 1st 2018 (2:00 PM EDT)
Air Force -14.5 (57.5)
Air Force 38 - Stony Brook: 0

 
Seawolves (0 - 1) (0 - 1 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 0 - 42 (0 - 42 on Road)
'18 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Our Line: -1.5  (SP+ AFA -2)
AFA Win prob: 85% | Cover: 47%
Falcons (5 - 7) (6 - 4 - 2)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 30 - 30 (28 - 28 @ Home)
'18 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Stony Brook's 2018 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/1 Stony Brook at Air Force+14.557.5L 0 - 38UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Stony Brook's Schedule
Air Force's 2018 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/1 Air Force vs Stony Brook-14.557.5W 38 - 0UY
Sat 9/8 Air Force at Florida Atlantic+8.061.0L 26 - 33UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/22 Air Force at Utah State+10.059.5L 32 - 42OY
Sat 9/29 Air Force vs Nevada-3.564.0L 25 - 28UN
Sat 10/6 Air Force vs Navy+2.547.0W 35 - 7UY
Fri 10/12 Air Force at San Diego State+11.043.5L 17 - 21UY
Fri 10/19 Air Force at UNLV-9.555.5W 41 - 35ON
Sat 10/27 Air Force vs Boise State+10.058.0L 38 - 48OY
Sat 11/3 Air Force at Army+4.541.5L 14 - 17UY
Sat 11/10 Air Force vs New Mexico-14.055.0W 42 - 24OY
Sat 11/17 Air Force at Wyoming+3.042.5L 27 - 35ON
Thu 11/22 Air Force vs Colorado State-14.564.0W 27 - 19UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Air Force's Schedule
Important Stats (2017)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
STON0%00%000%000%420%0%0000
AFA.248%29.850%3.1130737%1104.36.2543%30.343%40%3.9938.31.70.8
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
STON0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
AFA0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2017
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
STON Offense1000%00000000%0%0%0%0%
AFA Defense1230.327.843.1%3.990.8 - - - - - 63%35%43%40%12%.25
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
STON Defense142420%00 - - - - - 0%0%0%0%0%
AFA Offense1229.827.548%4.361.7244173071104.881%18%50%37%13%.2

Additional Stats 2017
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Stony Brook10:000NAN%0%0000000100
Air Force1233:2724.249%62%438.31.70.83.20.6126.6
Run Game Stats (2018)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
STON Offense10%0%000000%0%0
AFA Defense1263%43% - - - - .233.0380%8%1.22
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
STON Defense10%0% - - - - 00%0%0
AFA Offense1281%50%63.8306.94.838.213.1179%11%0.95

Pass Game Stats (2018)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
STON Offense10%0%000000000%0%0%0
AFA Defense1235%40% - - - - - - 5.341.932%33%.335%1.9
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
STON Defense10%0% - - - - - - 000%0%0%0
AFA Offense1218%37%5.811.8110.19.319.1106.2226%36%.322%1.8

Stony Brook's Power Ratings
Stony Brook's Power Rating: NR
Stony Brook's Offense Rating: NR
Stony Brook's Defense Rating: NR
2018 Talent Rating:  #143
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Stony Brook's 2018 Expected Record: -
Stony Brook's 2018 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Stony Brook's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Stony Brook's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average CAA Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Stony Brook:    Air Force: 1.6

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Stony Brook:    Air Force: -1.8




Air Force's Power Ratings
Air Force's Power Rating: 1.6 NR
Air Force's Offense Rating: NR
Air Force's Defense Rating: NR
2018 Talent Rating:  #129
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Air Force's 2018 Expected Record: -
Air Force's 2018 Overall SP+ Rating: -1.8  #85
Air Force's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.2  #67
Air Force's Defense SP+ Rating: 31.2  #90

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Stony Brook Scoring
Offense: 0 PPG
Offense on Road: 0
Defense: 42 PPG
Defense on Road: 42

Stony Brook's 2018 Record
Record: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 1
Record on Road: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Air Force 35
Stony Brook 14

Projected Total Points: 49
Air Force Scoring
Offense: 29.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 27.5
Defense: 30.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 27.8

Air Force's 2018 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 6 - 4 - 2
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 2 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
201809/01Air Force38Stony Brook0Air Force -14.5Air Force57.5Under
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Air Force110 Overs
Stony Brook001 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams1 - 01 - 01 - 00 - 0
Road Teams0 - 10 - 10 - 00 - 1

(#) STON at (#) AFA
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatSTONAFA
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+NR #85
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #143 #129
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Stony Brook on Offense
CategoryCat
STON OffAFA Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NR #90
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Stony Brook Run Game
CategoryCat
STON OffAFA Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Stony Brook Pass Game
CategoryCat
STON OffAFA Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Air Force on Offense
CategoryCatAFA OffSTON Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #67NR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Air Force Run Game
CategoryCat
AFA OffSTON Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Air Force Pass Game
CategoryCatAFA OffSTON Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
AFA 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'18 Profile: Down to Average G5

STON 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'18 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Falcon Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 1
Air Force -14.5 (57.5)
Air Force won vs Stony Brook this year (38-0)

No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
STON's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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STON's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

AFA's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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AFA's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD