TCU at Texas - 2018 Matchup Preview
TCU logo TCU Horned Frogs at Texas Longhorns(#8)Texas logo
Saturday, September 22nd 2018 (4:30 PM EDT)
TCU -3 (50.0)
Texas 31 - TCU: 16  (Big 12)

 
Horned Frogs (7 - 6) (5 - 8 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 24 - 23 (22 - 25 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Light Rain Predicted
TEX 3rd straight Home Game
TEX is playing their 4th straight game
TCU is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: -4.5  (SP+ TEX -4)

Projected Score: TCU: 26 - TEX: 25 (51)
TCU Win prob: 56% | Cover: 47%
TCU Travel: 169 miles
Longhorns (10 - 4) (6 - 7 - 1)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 31 - 26 (31 - 20 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
TCU's 2018 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/1 TCU vs Southern-49.057.5W 55 - 7ON
Fri 9/7 TCU at SMU-23.559.5W 42 - 12UY
Sat 9/15 TCU vs Ohio State+13.058.5L 28 - 40OY
Sat 9/22 TCU at Texas-3.050.0L 16 - 31UN
Sat 9/29 TCU vs Iowa State-11.044.5W 17 - 14UN
BYE WEEK
Thu 10/11 TCU vs Texas Tech-7.557.5L 14 - 17UN
Sat 10/20 TCU vs Oklahoma+8.561.0L 27 - 52ON
Sat 10/27 TCU at Kansas-13.046.5L 26 - 27ON
Sat 11/3 TCU vs Kansas State-10.044.5W 14 - 13UN
Sat 11/10 TCU at West Virginia+13.055.5L 10 - 47ON
Sat 11/17 TCU at Baylor+1.050.5W 16 - 9UY
Sat 11/24 TCU vs Oklahoma State+6.052.5W 31 - 24OY
Wed 12/26 TCU vs California+1.538.5W 10 - 7UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for TCU's Schedule
Texas's 2018 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/1 Texas vs Maryland-12.554.0L 29 - 34ON
Sat 9/8 Texas vs Tulsa-22.560.5W 28 - 21UN
Sat 9/15 Texas vs USC-4.047.0W 37 - 14OY
Sat 9/22 Texas vs TCU+3.050.0W 31 - 16UY
Sat 9/29 Texas at Kansas State-8.548.5W 19 - 14UN
Sat 10/6 Texas vs Oklahoma+7.059.0W 48 - 45OY
Sat 10/13 Texas vs Baylor-14.058.5W 23 - 17UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/27 Texas at Oklahoma State-2.560.5L 35 - 38ON
Sat 11/3 Texas vs West Virginia+1.058.0L 41 - 42OY
Sat 11/10 Texas at Texas Tech-2.062.5W 41 - 34OY
Sat 11/17 Texas vs Iowa State-2.549.5W 24 - 10UY
Fri 11/23 Texas at Kansas-14.550.5W 24 - 17UN
Sat 12/1 Texas vs Oklahoma+9.579.5L 27 - 39UN
Tue 1/1 Texas vs Georgia+12.059.0W 28 - 21UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Texas's Schedule
Important Stats (2018)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TCU.0642%23.543%2.7615738%2112.68.139%23.140%36%3.3939.121.6
TEX.2246%31.144%2.9815247%2584.13.1745%25.946%42%3.7860.90.71.4
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TCU#18 (.3)47% (20)45% (53)2.95 (85)10649% (9)2934.46 (20)#82 (.19)42% (67)46% (102)36% (18)3.82 (72)49.71.61.1
TEX#39 (.24)46% (27)49% (16)2.95 (84)15244% (43)2414.03 (54)#3 (-.01)38% (22)42% (61)34% (7)2.57 (3)44.31.41.8



Overall Stats 2018
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TCU Offense1323.52241.6%2.682193681572114.152%47%43%38%18%.06
TEX Defense1425.92044.7%3.781.4 - - - - - 46%52%46%42%18%.17
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TCU Defense1323.125.238.5%3.391.6 - - - - - 49%49%40%36%16%.1
TEX Offense1431.130.746%4.130.7234111522583.851%47%44%47%13%.22

Additional Stats 2018
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
TCU1330:2418.836%35%4.339.121.662.4230.1
Texas1432:0323.146%87%7.160.90.71.47.12.4128.7
Run Game Stats (2018)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TCU Offense1352%43%38.1156.84.114.012.7667%11%0.87
TEX Defense1446%46% - - - - .062.7464%12%0.8
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TCU Defense1349%40% - - - - .072.6966%10%0.99
TEX Offense1451%44%40.6152.43.824.112.9872%9%0.88

Pass Game Stats (2018)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TCU Offense1347%38%18.331.5210.86.711.51815.151.533%27%.087%1.8
TEX Defense1452%42% - - - - - - 12.31.731%35%.376%1.9
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TCU Defense1349%36% - - - - - - 12.171.636%31%.296%1.9
TEX Offense1447%47%22.133.9258.47.611.7286.351.531%36%.395%1.8

TCU's Power Ratings
TCU's Power Rating: NR
TCU's Offense Rating: NR
TCU's Defense Rating: NR
2018 Talent Rating:  #31
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
TCU's 2018 Expected Record: -
TCU's 2018 Overall SP+ Rating: 6.9  #43
TCU's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.7  #91
TCU's Defense SP+ Rating: 16.9  #16

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
TCU:    Texas: 8.15

SP+ Ratings Matchup
TCU: 6.9   Texas: 11.3




Texas's Power Ratings
Texas's Power Rating: 8.15 NR
Texas's Offense Rating: NR
Texas's Defense Rating: NR
2018 Talent Rating:  #9
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Texas's 2018 Expected Record: -
Texas's 2018 Overall SP+ Rating: 11.3  #31
Texas's Offense SP+ Rating: 35.3  #27
Texas's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.4  #44

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


TCU Scoring
Offense: 23.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 22
Defense: 23.1 PPG
Defense on Road: 25.2

TCU's 2018 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 5 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record on Road: 2 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 1 - 6 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
TCU 26
Texas 25


Total Points: 51

Based on Last 4 Games
TCU 29
Texas 23

Total Points: 52

Based on Entire Season
Texas 28
TCU 23

Total Points: 51
Texas Scoring
Offense: 31.1 PPG
Offense at Home: 30.7
Defense: 25.9 PPG
Defense at Home: 20

Texas's 2018 Record
Record: 10 - 4
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 1
Over/Under Record: 6 - 8
Record at home: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 2 - 1
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 1
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 1


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202311/11TCU26Texas29Texas -13.0TCU56.0Under
202211/12Texas10TCU17Texas -7.5TCU65.0Under
202110/02TCU27Texas32Texas -3.5Texas65.5Under
202010/03Texas31TCU33Texas -10.5TCU61.5Over
201910/26TCU37Texas27TCU -1.5TCU57.0Over
201809/22Texas31TCU16TCU -3Texas50.0Under
201711/04TCU24Texas7TCU -7.5TCU45.0Under
201611/25Texas9TCU31Texas -3TCU60.5Under
201510/03TCU50Texas7TCU -18.5TCU73.0Under
201411/27Texas10TCU48TCU -7.5TCU0
201310/26TCU7Texas30TCU -3.5Texas0
201211/22Texas13TCU20
200709/08Texas34TCU13
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Texas532 Overs
TCU887 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams5 - 85 - 63 - 42 - 2
Road Teams8 - 56 - 52 - 24 - 3

(#) TCU at (#) TEX
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatTCUTEX
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #43 #31
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #31 #9
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
TCU on Offense
CategoryCat
TCU OffTEX Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #91 #44
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
TCU Run Game
CategoryCat
TCU OffTEX Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
TCU Pass Game
CategoryCat
TCU OffTEX Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Texas on Offense
CategoryCatTEX OffTCU Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #27 #16
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Texas Run Game
CategoryCat
TEX OffTCU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Texas Pass Game
CategoryCatTEX OffTCU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
TEX 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'18 Profile: Down to Average P4

TCU 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'18 Profile: Down to Below Avg P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Darrell K Royal-Texas Memorial Stadium
Conditions: Light Rain
Temp: 75° - Wind: 10 mph
Rematch from Week 4
TCU 3.0 (50.0)
Texas won vs TCU this year (31-16)

Previous Matchups
Texas beat TCU in 2023 (29-26)
TCU beat Texas in 2022 (17-10)

  
TCU's OC ()
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TCU's DC ()
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TEX's OC ()
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Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
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TEX's DC ()
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