LSU at Arkansas - 2018 Matchup Preview

Saturday, November 10th 2018 (7:30 PM EST)
LSU -12.5 (49.5)
LSU 24 - Arkansas: 17 (SEC)

Tigers (10 - 3) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 32 - 22 (34 - 35 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

ARK coming off BYE
Our Line: -7.5 (SP+ LSU -19.5)
Projected Score: LSU: 31 - ARK: 27 (58)
LSU Win prob: 81% | Cover: 53%
LSU Travel: 427 miles

Razorbacks (2 - 10) (5 - 6 - 1)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 22 - 35 (30 - 34 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
LSU Players
ARK Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

LSU's 2018 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sun 9/2	LSU vs Miami	+3.0	47.5	W 33 - 17	O	Y
Sat 9/8	LSU vs SE Louisiana	-42.0	57.5	W 31 - 0	U	N
Sat 9/15	LSU at Auburn	+10.0	45.5	W 22 - 21	U	Y
Sat 9/22	LSU vs Louisiana Tech	-19.5	51.0	W 38 - 21	O	N
Sat 9/29	LSU vs Ole Miss	-10.5	61.0	W 45 - 16	U	Y
Sat 10/6	LSU at Florida	-1.0	44.0	L 19 - 27	O	N
Sat 10/13	LSU vs Georgia	+6.5	50.0	W 36 - 16	O	Y
Sat 10/20	LSU vs Mississippi State	-6.0	45.5	W 19 - 3	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/3	LSU vs Alabama	+14.0	51.5	L 0 - 29	U	N
Sat 11/10	LSU at Arkansas	-12.5	49.5	W 24 - 17	U	N
Sat 11/17	LSU vs Rice	-41.5	52.0	W 42 - 10	U	N
Sat 11/24	LSU at Texas A&M	+3.0	46.5	L 72 - 74	O	Y
Tue 1/1	LSU vs UCF	-7.5	57.5	W 40 - 32	O	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for LSU's Schedule

Arkansas's 2018 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/1	Arkansas vs Eastern Illinois	-35.0	58.5	W 55 - 20	O	N
Sat 9/8	Arkansas at Colorado State	-14.0	70.5	L 27 - 34	U	N
Sat 9/15	Arkansas vs North Texas	-5.5	64.5	L 17 - 44	U	N
Sat 9/22	Arkansas at Auburn	+30.0	57.5	L 3 - 34	U	N
Sat 9/29	Arkansas vs Texas A&M	+20.0	56.5	L 17 - 24	U	Y
Sat 10/6	Arkansas vs Alabama	+35.0	58.5	L 31 - 65	O	Y
Sat 10/13	Arkansas vs Ole Miss	+6.5	66.5	L 33 - 37	O	Y
Sat 10/20	Arkansas vs Tulsa	-7.5	52.0	W 23 - 0	U	Y
Sat 10/27	Arkansas vs Vanderbilt	+1.0	51.5	L 31 - 45	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/10	Arkansas vs LSU	+12.5	49.5	L 17 - 24	U	Y
Sat 11/17	Arkansas at Mississippi State	+22.5	49.0	L 6 - 52	O	N
Fri 11/23	Arkansas at Missouri	+24.0	59.0	L 0 - 38	U	N

Important Stats (2018)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
LSU	.15	43%	32.4	42%	2.9	174	40%	228	3.72	.07	39%	21.8	44%	33%	2.93	61	1	1.9
ARK	.12	40%	21.7	42%	2.86	143	34%	192	3.05	.24	48%	34.8	48%	46%	3.61	50.5	2.2	1.3

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
LSU	#30 (.25)	45% (38)		42% (89)	2.92 (90)	108	47% (24)	291	3.99 (60)	#92 (.21)	41% (60)		41% (54)	41% (73)	3.44 (30)	45.7	1.2	1
ARK	#27 (.25)	48% (13)		52% (5)	3.23 (38)	168	44% (41)	248	3.95 (64)	#45 (.13)	42% (66)		39% (32)	44% (100)	3.31 (22)	56.3	1.7	1

Overall Stats 2018

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
LSU Offense	13	32.4	34.3	42.9%	3.72	1	23	402	174	228	4	54%	43%	42%	40%	16%	.15
ARK Defense	12	34.8	33.6	47.6%	3.61	1.3	-	-	-	-	-	53%	45%	48%	46%	16%	.24

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
LSU Defense	13	21.8	34.8	39.2%	2.93	1.9	-	-	-	-	-	45%	53%	44%	33%	19%	.07
ARK Offense	12	21.7	29.6	39.7%	3.05	2.2	18	335	143	192	3.9	48%	49%	42%	34%	22%	.12

Additional Stats 2018

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
LSU	13	31:49	22.7	40%	75%	6.4	61	1	1.9	6.2	2.5	1	30.6
Arkansas	12	29:43	18.3	31%	36%	5.7	50.5	2.2	1.3	5.7	2.2	0	26.4

Run Game Stats (2018)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
LSU Offense	13	54%	42%	43.3	173.7	4	29	.1	2.9	72%	10%	0.92
ARK Defense	12	53%	48%	-	-	-	-	.18	3.24	72%	11%	0.92

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
LSU Defense	13	45%	44%	-	-	-	-	.08	3.02	68%	10%	0.85
ARK Offense	12	48%	42%	36.7	143.3	3.9	11	.1	2.86	75%	13%	0.92

Pass Game Stats (2018)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
LSU Offense	13	43%	40%	17.2	29.8	228.4	7.7	13.3	17	5	.24	1.6	34%	35%	.23	6%	1.4
ARK Defense	12	45%	46%	-	-	-	-	-	-	5	.33	1.5	27%	37%	.44	6%	1.8

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
LSU Defense	13	53%	33%	-	-	-	-	-	-	17	.07	1.6	36%	30%	.22	9%	1.8
ARK Offense	12	49%	34%	16.8	30.8	191.8	6.2	11.4	17	18	.16	1.6	36%	33%	.32	9%	1.7

LSU's Power Ratings
LSU's Power Rating: NR
LSU's Offense Rating: NR
LSU's Defense Rating: NR
2018 Talent Rating: #6
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
LSU's 2018 Expected Record: -
LSU's 2018 Overall SP+ Rating: 24.2 #5
LSU's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.8 #30
LSU's Defense SP+ Rating: 13.4 #5

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
LSU: Arkansas: 4.75

SP+ Ratings Matchup
LSU: 24.2 Arkansas: 4.5

Arkansas's Power Ratings
Arkansas's Power Rating: 4.75 NR
Arkansas's Offense Rating: NR
Arkansas's Defense Rating: NR
2018 Talent Rating: #27
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Arkansas's 2018 Expected Record: -
Arkansas's 2018 Overall SP+ Rating: 4.5 #53
Arkansas's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.7 #61
Arkansas's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.7 #49

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

LSU Scoring
Offense: 32.4 PPG
Offense on Road: 34.3
Defense: 21.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 34.8

LSU's 2018 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record on Road: 3 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 0 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
LSU 31
Arkansas 27

Total Points: 58

Based on Last 4 Games
LSU 28
Arkansas 26

Total Points: 54

Based on Entire Season
LSU 34
Arkansas 27

Total Points: 61

Arkansas Scoring
Offense: 21.7 PPG
Offense at Home: 29.6
Defense: 34.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 33.6

Arkansas's 2018 Record
Record: 2 - 10
Record vs Spread: 5 - 6 - 1
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record at home: 2 - 5
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 2 - 1
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	11/15	LSU	23	Arkansas	22	LSU -4	Arkansas	58.5	Under
2024	10/19	Arkansas	10	LSU	34	LSU -3	LSU	57.0	Under
2023	09/23	LSU	34	Arkansas	31	LSU -17.5	Arkansas	55.0	Over
2022	11/12	Arkansas	10	LSU	13	LSU -5	Arkansas	59.0	Under
2021	11/13	LSU	13	Arkansas	16	Arkansas -3	NA	59.5	Under
2020	11/21	Arkansas	24	LSU	27	LSU -1.5	LSU	64.5	Under
2019	11/23	LSU	56	Arkansas	20	LSU -42	Arkansas	69.5	Over
2018	11/10	Arkansas	17	LSU	24	LSU -12.5	Arkansas	49.5	Under
2017	11/11	LSU	33	Arkansas	10	LSU -19	LSU	54.5	Under
2016	11/12	Arkansas	10	LSU	38	LSU -7	LSU	46.5	Over
2015	11/14	LSU	14	Arkansas	31	LSU -9	Arkansas	54.0	Under
2014	11/15	Arkansas	17	LSU	0	Arkansas -1.5	Arkansas	0
2013	11/29	LSU	31	Arkansas	27	LSU -24.5	Arkansas	0
2012	11/23	Arkansas	13	LSU	20
2011	11/25	LSU	41	Arkansas	17
2010	11/27	Arkansas	31	LSU	23
2009	11/28	LSU	33	Arkansas	30
2008	11/28	Arkansas	31	LSU	30
2007	11/23	LSU	48	Arkansas	50
2006	11/24	Arkansas	26	LSU	31
2005	11/25	LSU	19	Arkansas	17
2004	11/26	Arkansas	14	LSU	43
2003	11/28	LSU	55	Arkansas	24
2001	11/23	LSU	41	Arkansas	38
2000	11/23	Arkansas	14	LSU	3

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Arkansas	7	8	3 Overs
LSU	18	4	8 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	14 - 11	4 - 8	2 - 5	2 - 3
Road Teams	11 - 14	8 - 4	3 - 2	5 - 2

(#) LSU at (#) ARK

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	LSU	ARK
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#5	#53
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#6	#27
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

LSU Injury Report

Arkansas Injury Report

LSU on Offense


CategoryCat	LSU Off	ARK Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#30	#49
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

LSU Run Game


CategoryCat	LSU Off	ARK Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

LSU Pass Game


CategoryCat	LSU Off	ARK Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Arkansas on Offense


CategoryCat	ARK Off	LSU Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#61	#5
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Arkansas Run Game


CategoryCat	ARK Off	LSU Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Arkansas Pass Game


CategoryCat	ARK Off	LSU Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
ARK 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'18 Profile: Down to Below Avg P4

LSU 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'18 Profile: Down to CFB Elites

Weather Forecast
Playing in Razorback Stadium Frank Broyles Field
Conditions:
Temp: 41° - Wind: 9 mph

Rematch from Week 11
LSU 12.5 (49.5)
LSU won at Arkansas this year (24-17)

Previous Matchups
LSU beat Arkansas last year (34-10)
LSU beat Arkansas in 2023 (34-31)
LSU beat Arkansas in 2022 (13-10)

LSU's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View LSU's Full Roster

LSU's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

ARK's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Arkansas's Full Roster

ARK's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD