Arkansas at Colorado State - 2018 Matchup Preview

Arkansas Razorbacks at Colorado State Rams

Saturday, September 8th 2018 (7:30 PM EDT)
Arkansas -14 (70.5)
Colorado State 34 - Arkansas: 27

Razorbacks (2 - 10) (5 - 6 - 1)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 22 - 35 (9 - 40 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

CSU 3rd straight Home Game
Our Line: -5 (SP+ ARK -15)
Projected Score: ARK: 28 - CSU: 33 (61)
ARK Win prob: 86% | Cover: 55%
ARK Travel: 668 miles, 1 hrs ahead

Rams (3 - 9) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 23 - 37 (25 - 31 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
ARK Players
CSU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Arkansas's 2018 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/1	Arkansas vs Eastern Illinois	-35.0	58.5	W 55 - 20	O	N
Sat 9/8	Arkansas at Colorado State	-14.0	70.5	L 27 - 34	U	N
Sat 9/15	Arkansas vs North Texas	-5.5	64.5	L 17 - 44	U	N
Sat 9/22	Arkansas at Auburn	+30.0	57.5	L 3 - 34	U	N
Sat 9/29	Arkansas vs Texas A&M	+20.0	56.5	L 17 - 24	U	Y
Sat 10/6	Arkansas vs Alabama	+35.0	58.5	L 31 - 65	O	Y
Sat 10/13	Arkansas vs Ole Miss	+6.5	66.5	L 33 - 37	O	Y
Sat 10/20	Arkansas vs Tulsa	-7.5	52.0	W 23 - 0	U	Y
Sat 10/27	Arkansas vs Vanderbilt	+1.0	51.5	L 31 - 45	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/10	Arkansas vs LSU	+12.5	49.5	L 17 - 24	U	Y
Sat 11/17	Arkansas at Mississippi State	+22.5	49.0	L 6 - 52	O	N
Fri 11/23	Arkansas at Missouri	+24.0	59.0	L 0 - 38	U	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Arkansas's Schedule

Colorado State's 2018 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/25	Colorado State vs Hawai'i	-17.0	58.0	L 34 - 43	O	N
Fri 8/31	Colorado State vs Colorado	+7.0	65.5	L 13 - 45	U	N
Sat 9/8	Colorado State vs Arkansas	+14.0	70.5	W 34 - 27	U	Y
Sat 9/15	Colorado State at Florida	+21.5	60.0	L 10 - 48	U	N
Sat 9/22	Colorado State vs Illinois State	-4.0	58.5	L 19 - 35	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/6	Colorado State at San José State	-3.0	59.0	W 42 - 30	O	Y
Sat 10/13	Colorado State vs New Mexico	+1.5	63.0	W 20 - 18	U	Y
Fri 10/19	Colorado State at Boise State	+24.0	63.5	L 28 - 56	O	N
Fri 10/26	Colorado State vs Wyoming	+3.0	47.5	L 21 - 34	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/10	Colorado State at Nevada	+14.0	61.5	L 10 - 49	U	N
Sat 11/17	Colorado State vs Utah State	+30.5	66.5	L 24 - 29	U	Y
Thu 11/22	Colorado State at Air Force	+14.5	64.0	L 19 - 27	U	Y

Important Stats (2018)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
ARK	.12	40%	21.7	42%	2.86	143	34%	192	3.05	.24	48%	34.8	48%	46%	3.61	50.5	2.2	1.3
CSU	.15	42%	22.8	36%	2.56	106	45%	305	3.23	.26	50%	36.8	50%	46%	4.13	68.6	1.8	0.9

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
ARK	#27 (.25)	48% (13)		52% (5)	3.23 (38)	168	44% (41)	248	3.95 (64)	#45 (.13)	42% (66)		39% (32)	44% (100)	3.31 (22)	56.3	1.7	1
CSU	#90 (.16)	42% (76)		43% (80)	2.88 (96)	162	41% (81)	192	3.56 (98)	#61 (.16)	42% (78)		42% (59)	43% (94)	4 (88)	47.3	1.2	1.5

Overall Stats 2018

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
ARK Offense	12	21.7	9	39.7%	3.05	2.2	18	335	143	192	3.9	48%	49%	42%	34%	22%	.12
CSU Defense	12	36.8	31	49.9%	4.13	0.9	-	-	-	-	-	57%	41%	50%	46%	15%	.26

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
ARK Defense	12	34.8	39.5	47.6%	3.61	1.3	-	-	-	-	-	53%	45%	48%	46%	16%	.24
CSU Offense	12	22.8	25.3	41.6%	3.23	1.8	23	411	106	305	3.2	40%	58%	36%	45%	17%	.15

Additional Stats 2018

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Arkansas	12	29:43	18.3	31%	36%	5.7	50.5	2.2	1.3	5.7	2.2	0	26.4
Colorado State	12	30:30	22.8	43%	53%	7.8	68.6	1.8	0.9	5.1	1.3	1	27.2

Run Game Stats (2018)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
ARK Offense	12	48%	42%	36.7	143.3	3.9	11	.1	2.86	75%	13%	0.92
CSU Defense	12	57%	50%	-	-	-	-	.2	3.41	75%	9%	0.93

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
ARK Defense	12	53%	48%	-	-	-	-	.18	3.24	72%	11%	0.92
CSU Offense	12	40%	36%	32.7	105.6	3.2	8	-	2.56	69%	9%	0.92

Pass Game Stats (2018)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
ARK Offense	12	49%	34%	16.8	30.8	191.8	6.2	11.4	17	18	.16	1.6	36%	33%	.32	9%	1.7
CSU Defense	12	41%	46%	-	-	-	-	-	-	7	.38	1.7	28%	35%	.41	6%	2

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
ARK Defense	12	45%	46%	-	-	-	-	-	-	5	.33	1.5	27%	37%	.44	6%	1.8
CSU Offense	12	58%	45%	25.3	41.8	304.9	7.3	12.1	26	16	.27	1.5	34%	31%	.16	9%	1.7

Arkansas's Power Ratings
Arkansas's Power Rating: NR
Arkansas's Offense Rating: NR
Arkansas's Defense Rating: NR
2018 Talent Rating: #27
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Arkansas's 2018 Expected Record: -
Arkansas's 2018 Overall SP+ Rating: 4.5 #53
Arkansas's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.7 #61
Arkansas's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.7 #49

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Arkansas: Colorado State: -2.65

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Arkansas: 4.5 Colorado State: -10.3

Colorado State's Power Ratings
Colorado State's Power Rating: -2.65 NR
Colorado State's Offense Rating: NR
Colorado State's Defense Rating: NR
2018 Talent Rating: #75
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Colorado State's 2018 Expected Record: -
Colorado State's 2018 Overall SP+ Rating: -10.3 #102
Colorado State's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.6 #80
Colorado State's Defense SP+ Rating: 36.7 #110

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Arkansas Scoring
Offense: 21.7 PPG
Offense on Road: 9
Defense: 34.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 39.5

Arkansas's 2018 Record
Record: 2 - 10
Record vs Spread: 5 - 6 - 1
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record on Road: 0 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 1
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
Colorado State 33
Arkansas 28

Total Points: 61

Based on Last 4 Games
Colorado State 36
Arkansas 30

Total Points: 66

Based on Entire Season
Colorado State 31
Arkansas 25

Total Points: 56

Colorado State Scoring
Offense: 22.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 25.3
Defense: 36.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 31

Colorado State's 2018 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 8
Record at home: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2019	09/14	Arkansas	55	Colorado State	34	Arkansas -9	Arkansas	63.5	Over
2018	09/08	Colorado State	34	Arkansas	27	Arkansas -14	Colorado State	70.5	Under

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Colorado State	1	1	1 Overs
Arkansas	1	1	1 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	2 - 0	2 - 0	1 - 0	1 - 0
Road Teams	0 - 2	0 - 2	0 - 1	0 - 1

(#) ARK at (#) CSU

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	ARK	CSU
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#53	#102
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#27	#75
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Arkansas Injury Report

Colorado State Injury Report

Arkansas on Offense


CategoryCat	ARK Off	CSU Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#61	#110
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Arkansas Run Game


CategoryCat	ARK Off	CSU Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Arkansas Pass Game


CategoryCat	ARK Off	CSU Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Colorado State on Offense


CategoryCat	CSU Off	ARK Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#80	#49
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Colorado State Run Game


CategoryCat	CSU Off	ARK Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Colorado State Pass Game


CategoryCat	CSU Off	ARK Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
CSU 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'18 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

ARK 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'18 Profile: Down to Below Avg P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Canvas Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 82°

Rematch from Week 2
Arkansas 14.0 (70.5)
Colorado State won vs Arkansas this year (34-27)

No Matchups Past 4 Years

ARK's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Arkansas's Full Roster

ARK's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

CSU's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Colorado State's Full Roster

CSU's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD