Alabama at Arkansas - 2018 Matchup Preview
Alabama logo   Alabama Crimson Tide at Arkansas Razorbacks  Arkansas logo
Saturday, October 6th 2018 (12:00 PM EDT)
Alabama -35 (58.5)
Alabama 65 - Arkansas: 31  (SEC)

 
Crimson Tide (14 - 1) (8 - 7 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 30 - 19 (26 - 24 on Road)
'18 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
ARK is playing their 6th straight game
ALA is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: -13.5  (SP+ ALA -32)

Projected Score: ALA: 31 - ARK: 27 (58)
ALA Win prob: 99% | Cover: 47%
ALA Travel: 425 miles
Razorbacks (2 - 10) (5 - 6 - 1)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 33 - 34 (31 - 35 @ Home)
'18 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Alabama's 2018 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/1 Alabama vs Louisville-23.560.5W 51 - 14OY
Sat 9/8 Alabama vs Arkansas State-36.563.0W 57 - 7OY
Sat 9/15 Alabama at Ole Miss-22.571.5W 62 - 7UY
Sat 9/22 Alabama vs Texas A&M-24.058.5W 45 - 23ON
Sat 9/29 Alabama vs Louisiana-49.070.0W 56 - 14UN
Sat 10/6 Alabama at Arkansas-35.058.5W 65 - 31ON
Sat 10/13 Alabama vs Missouri-28.072.5W 39 - 10UY
Sat 10/20 Alabama at Tennessee-29.557.5W 58 - 21OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/3 Alabama at LSU-14.051.5W 29 - 0UY
Sat 11/10 Alabama vs Mississippi State-21.550.0W 24 - 0UY
Sat 11/17 Alabama vs The Citadel-54.562.5W 50 - 17ON
Sat 11/24 Alabama vs Auburn-26.053.0W 52 - 21OY
Sat 12/1 Alabama vs Georgia-11.062.0W 35 - 28ON
Sat 12/29 Alabama vs Oklahoma-14.581.5W 45 - 34UN
Mon 1/7 Alabama vs Clemson-5.556.5L 16 - 44ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Alabama's Schedule
Arkansas's 2018 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/1 Arkansas vs Eastern Illinois-35.058.5W 55 - 20ON
Sat 9/8 Arkansas at Colorado State-14.070.5L 27 - 34UN
Sat 9/15 Arkansas vs North Texas-5.564.5L 17 - 44UN
Sat 9/22 Arkansas at Auburn+30.057.5L 3 - 34UN
Sat 9/29 Arkansas vs Texas A&M+20.056.5L 17 - 24UY
Sat 10/6 Arkansas vs Alabama+35.058.5L 31 - 65OY
Sat 10/13 Arkansas vs Ole Miss+6.566.5L 33 - 37OY
Sat 10/20 Arkansas vs Tulsa-7.552.0W 23 - 0UY
Sat 10/27 Arkansas vs Vanderbilt+1.051.5L 31 - 45ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/10 Arkansas vs LSU+12.549.5L 17 - 24UY
Sat 11/17 Arkansas at Mississippi State+22.549.0L 6 - 52ON
Fri 11/23 Arkansas at Missouri+24.059.0L 0 - 38UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Arkansas's Schedule
Important Stats (2017)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ALA.2447%29.549%3.6125142%1934.13-.0235%19.234%34%2.1140.60.71.6
ARK.243%32.948%3.0316837%2053.87.2447%33.848%44%3.5542.11.51.4
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ALA0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
ARK0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2017
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ALA Offense1429.526.347.4%4.130.7224442511935.758%40%49%42%11%.24
ARK Defense1233.83547.1%3.551.4 - - - - - 54%44%48%44%14%.24
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ALA Defense1419.223.734.8%2.111.6 - - - - - 48%50%34%34%21%-.02
ARK Offense1232.930.543.1%3.871.5203731682054.454%45%48%37%19%.2

Additional Stats 2017
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Alabama1429:4522.241%83%540.60.71.67.12.9234.6
Arkansas1231:2419.842%50%4.842.11.51.441.6132.8
Run Game Stats (2018)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ALA Offense1458%49%43.7250.65.736.293.6180%8%1
ARK Defense1254%48% - - - - .173.2582%8%0.89
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ALA Defense1448%34% - - - - -.052.673%12%0.79
ARK Offense1254%48%38.51684.424.143.0370%12%0.88

Pass Game Stats (2018)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ALA Offense1440%42%14.623.7193.48.213.3283.191.626%35%.24%1.6
ARK Defense1244%44% - - - - - - 8.371.729%38%.46%1.9
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ALA Defense1450%34% - - - - - - 19-1.536%27%.139%1.7
ARK Offense1245%37%1628.3205.47.312.8189.271.931%34%.396%2.1

Alabama's Power Ratings
Alabama's Power Rating: NR
Alabama's Offense Rating: NR
Alabama's Defense Rating: NR
2018 Talent Rating:  #2
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Alabama's 2018 Expected Record: -
Alabama's 2018 Overall SP+ Rating: 36.3  #1
Alabama's Offense SP+ Rating: 50.9  #2
Alabama's Defense SP+ Rating: 14.2  #7

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Alabama:    Arkansas: 4.75

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Alabama: 36.3   Arkansas: 4.5




Arkansas's Power Ratings
Arkansas's Power Rating: 4.75 NR
Arkansas's Offense Rating: NR
Arkansas's Defense Rating: NR
2018 Talent Rating:  #27
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Arkansas's 2018 Expected Record: -
Arkansas's 2018 Overall SP+ Rating: 4.5  #53
Arkansas's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.7  #61
Arkansas's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.7  #49

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Alabama Scoring
Offense: 29.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 26.3
Defense: 19.2 PPG
Defense on Road: 23.7

Alabama's 2018 Record
Record: 14 - 1
Record vs Spread: 8 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 9 - 6
Record on Road: 5 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 8 - 6 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Alabama 31
Arkansas 27


Projected Total Points: 58
Arkansas Scoring
Offense: 32.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 30.5
Defense: 33.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 35

Arkansas's 2018 Record
Record: 2 - 10
Record vs Spread: 5 - 6 - 1
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record at home: 2 - 5
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 2 - 1
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202310/14Alabama24Arkansas21Alabama -19Arkansas45.0Push
202210/01Arkansas26Alabama49Alabama -17Alabama61.0Over
202111/20Alabama42Arkansas35Alabama -20.5Arkansas58.5Over
202012/12Arkansas3Alabama52Alabama -28.5Alabama69.5Under
201910/26Alabama48Arkansas7Alabama -32Alabama56.0Under
201810/06Arkansas31Alabama65Alabama -35Arkansas58.5Over
201710/14Alabama41Arkansas9Alabama -37Arkansas54.5Under
201610/08Arkansas30Alabama49Alabama -13Alabama48.5Over
201510/10Alabama27Arkansas14Alabama -16Arkansas48.0Under
201410/11Arkansas13Alabama14Alabama -9Arkansas0
201310/19Alabama52Arkansas0Alabama -28Alabama0
201209/15Arkansas0Alabama52
201109/24Alabama38Arkansas14
201009/25Arkansas20Alabama24
200909/26Alabama35Arkansas7
200809/20Arkansas14Alabama49
200709/15Alabama41Arkansas38
200609/23Arkansas24Alabama23
200509/24Alabama24Arkansas13
200409/25Arkansas27Alabama10
200309/27Alabama31Arkansas34
200209/28Arkansas12Alabama30
200109/22Alabama31Arkansas10
200009/22Arkansas28Alabama21
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Arkansas464 Overs
Alabama2054 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams14 - 104 - 72 - 42 - 3
Road Teams10 - 147 - 43 - 24 - 2

(#) ALA at (#) ARK
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatALAARK
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #1 #53
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #2 #27
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Alabama on Offense
CategoryCat
ALA OffARK Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #2 #49
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Alabama Run Game
CategoryCat
ALA OffARK Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Alabama Pass Game
CategoryCat
ALA OffARK Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Arkansas on Offense
CategoryCatARK OffALA Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #61 #7
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Arkansas Run Game
CategoryCat
ARK OffALA Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Arkansas Pass Game
CategoryCatARK OffALA Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
ARK 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'18 Profile: Down to Below Avg P4

ALA 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'18 Profile: Down to CFB Elites

Weather Forecast
Playing in Razorback Stadium Frank Broyles Field
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 6
Alabama 35.0 (58.5)
Alabama won at Arkansas this year (65-31)

Previous Matchups
Alabama beat Arkansas in 2023 (24-21)

  
ALA's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Alabama's Full Roster

ALA's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

ARK's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Arkansas's Full Roster

ARK's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD