LSU at Florida - 2018 Matchup Preview

Saturday, October 6th 2018 (3:30 PM EDT)
LSU -1 (44.0)
Florida 27 - LSU: 19 (SEC)

Tigers (10 - 3) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 32 - 22 (34 - 35 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

FLA is playing their 6th straight game
LSU is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: -2 (SP+ LSU -1)
Projected Score: LSU: 25 - FLA: 28 (53)
LSU Win prob: 48% | Cover: 46%
LSU Travel: 531 miles, 1 hrs behind

Gators (10 - 3) (9 - 4 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 35 - 20 (37 - 20 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
LSU Players
FLA Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

LSU's 2018 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sun 9/2	LSU vs Miami	+3.0	47.5	W 33 - 17	O	Y
Sat 9/8	LSU vs SE Louisiana	-42.0	57.5	W 31 - 0	U	N
Sat 9/15	LSU at Auburn	+10.0	45.5	W 22 - 21	U	Y
Sat 9/22	LSU vs Louisiana Tech	-19.5	51.0	W 38 - 21	O	N
Sat 9/29	LSU vs Ole Miss	-10.5	61.0	W 45 - 16	U	Y
Sat 10/6	LSU at Florida	-1.0	44.0	L 19 - 27	O	N
Sat 10/13	LSU vs Georgia	+6.5	50.0	W 36 - 16	O	Y
Sat 10/20	LSU vs Mississippi State	-6.0	45.5	W 19 - 3	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/3	LSU vs Alabama	+14.0	51.5	L 0 - 29	U	N
Sat 11/10	LSU at Arkansas	-12.5	49.5	W 24 - 17	U	N
Sat 11/17	LSU vs Rice	-41.5	52.0	W 42 - 10	U	N
Sat 11/24	LSU at Texas A&M	+3.0	46.5	L 72 - 74	O	Y
Tue 1/1	LSU vs UCF	-7.5	57.5	W 40 - 32	O	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for LSU's Schedule

Florida's 2018 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/1	Florida vs Charleston Southern	-43.0
Sat 9/8	Florida vs Kentucky	-13.5	52.5	L 16 - 27	U	N
Sat 9/15	Florida vs Colorado State	-21.5	60.0	W 48 - 10	U	Y
Sat 9/22	Florida at Tennessee	-3.5	46.0	W 47 - 21	O	Y
Sat 9/29	Florida at Mississippi State	+6.5	49.5	W 13 - 6	U	Y
Sat 10/6	Florida vs LSU	+1.0	44.0	W 27 - 19	O	Y
Sat 10/13	Florida at Vanderbilt	-9.5	51.0	W 37 - 27	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/27	Florida vs Georgia	+7.0	53.0	L 17 - 36	U	N
Sat 11/3	Florida vs Missouri	-6.0	59.5	L 17 - 38	U	N
Sat 11/10	Florida vs South Carolina	-7.0	55.0	W 35 - 31	O	N
Sat 11/17	Florida vs Idaho	-43.0	59.0	W 63 - 10	O	Y
Sat 11/24	Florida at Florida State	-8.5	52.0	W 41 - 14	O	Y
Sat 12/29	Florida vs Michigan	+4.0	51.0	W 41 - 15	O	Y

Important Stats (2018)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
LSU	.15	43%	32.4	42%	2.9	174	40%	228	3.72	.07	39%	21.8	44%	33%	2.93	61	1	1.9
FLA	.24	48%	35	50%	3.39	212	43%	214	4.46	.1	38%	20	39%	35%	2.94	60.6	1.1	2

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
LSU	#30 (.25)	45% (38)		42% (89)	2.92 (90)	108	47% (24)	291	3.99 (60)	#92 (.21)	41% (60)		41% (54)	41% (73)	3.44 (30)	45.7	1.2	1
FLA	#72 (.18)	43% (64)		45% (54)	3.04 (66)	164	41% (82)	226	4.17 (46)	#53 (.14)	44% (95)		49% (118)	39% (44)	3.12 (14)	54	1.4	1.9

Overall Stats 2018

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
LSU Offense	13	32.4	34.3	42.9%	3.72	1	23	402	174	228	4	54%	43%	42%	40%	16%	.15
FLA Defense	13	20	20.1	38.2%	2.94	2	-	-	-	-	-	51%	46%	39%	35%	19%	.1

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
LSU Defense	13	21.8	34.8	39.2%	2.93	1.9	-	-	-	-	-	45%	53%	44%	33%	19%	.07
FLA Offense	13	35	37	48.1%	4.46	1.1	22	426	212	214	5.3	54%	44%	50%	43%	13%	.24

Additional Stats 2018

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
LSU	13	31:49	22.7	40%	75%	6.4	61	1	1.9	6.2	2.5	1	30.6
Florida	13	29:48	21.9	41%	58%	7.3	60.6	1.1	2	6.8	2.8	6	30.8

Run Game Stats (2018)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
LSU Offense	13	54%	42%	43.3	173.7	4	29	.1	2.9	72%	10%	0.92
FLA Defense	13	51%	39%	-	-	-	-	.11	2.85	62%	12%	0.97

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
LSU Defense	13	45%	44%	-	-	-	-	.08	3.02	68%	10%	0.85
FLA Offense	13	54%	50%	40.2	212.3	5.3	23	.24	3.39	71%	8%	0.99

Pass Game Stats (2018)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
LSU Offense	13	43%	40%	17.2	29.8	228.4	7.7	13.3	17	5	.24	1.6	34%	35%	.23	6%	1.4
FLA Defense	13	46%	35%	-	-	-	-	-	-	14	.12	1.6	34%	30%	.3	7%	1.9

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
LSU Defense	13	53%	33%	-	-	-	-	-	-	17	.07	1.6	36%	30%	.22	9%	1.8
FLA Offense	13	44%	43%	16.7	28	213.5	7.6	12.8	28	6	.29	1.6	27%	36%	.46	5%	1.8

LSU's Power Ratings
LSU's Power Rating: NR
LSU's Offense Rating: NR
LSU's Defense Rating: NR
2018 Talent Rating: #6
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
LSU's 2018 Expected Record: -
LSU's 2018 Overall SP+ Rating: 24.2 #5
LSU's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.8 #30
LSU's Defense SP+ Rating: 13.4 #5

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
LSU: Florida: 14

SP+ Ratings Matchup
LSU: 24.2 Florida: 23.0

Florida's Power Ratings
Florida's Power Rating: 14 NR
Florida's Offense Rating: NR
Florida's Defense Rating: NR
2018 Talent Rating: #13
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Florida's 2018 Expected Record: -
Florida's 2018 Overall SP+ Rating: 23.0 #9
Florida's Offense SP+ Rating: 38.6 #15
Florida's Defense SP+ Rating: 17.4 #17

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

LSU Scoring
Offense: 32.4 PPG
Offense on Road: 34.3
Defense: 21.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 34.8

LSU's 2018 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record on Road: 3 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 0 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
Florida 28
LSU 25

Total Points: 53

Based on Last 4 Games
Florida 25
LSU 23

Total Points: 47

Based on Entire Season
Florida 32
LSU 27

Total Points: 59

Florida Scoring
Offense: 35 PPG
Offense at Home: 37
Defense: 20 PPG
Defense at Home: 20.1

Florida's 2018 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 9 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record at home: 5 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	09/13	LSU	20	Florida	10	LSU -5.5	LSU	47.5	Under
2024	11/16	Florida	27	LSU	16	LSU -3	Florida	57.0	Under
2023	11/11	LSU	52	Florida	35	LSU -14	LSU	68.5	Over
2022	10/15	Florida	35	LSU	45	Florida -2	LSU	51.5	Over
2021	10/16	LSU	49	Florida	42	Florida -12.5	LSU	61.0	Over
2020	12/12	Florida	34	LSU	37	Florida -23	LSU	65.5	Over
2019	10/12	LSU	42	Florida	28	LSU -14	Push	55.5	Over
2018	10/06	Florida	27	LSU	19	LSU -1	Florida	44.0	Over
2017	10/07	Florida	16	LSU	17	LSU -1.5	Florida	44.0	Under
2016	11/19	LSU	10	Florida	16	LSU -10.5	Florida	38.0	Under
2015	10/17	LSU	35	Florida	28	LSU -6.5	LSU	43.5	Over
2014	10/11	Florida	27	LSU	30	LSU -1	LSU	0
2013	10/12	LSU	17	Florida	6	LSU -5	LSU	0
2012	10/06	Florida	14	LSU	6
2011	10/08	LSU	41	Florida	11
2010	10/09	Florida	29	LSU	33
2009	10/10	LSU	3	Florida	13
2008	10/11	Florida	51	LSU	21
2007	10/06	LSU	28	Florida	24
2006	10/07	Florida	23	LSU	10
2005	10/15	LSU	21	Florida	17
2004	10/09	Florida	21	LSU	24
2003	10/11	LSU	7	Florida	19
2002	10/12	Florida	7	LSU	36
2001	10/06	LSU	15	Florida	44
2000	10/06	Florida	41	LSU	9

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Florida	10	4	7 Overs
LSU	16	8	4 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	15 - 11	8 - 4	4 - 3	4 - 1
Road Teams	11 - 15	4 - 8	1 - 4	3 - 4

(#) LSU at (#) FLA

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	LSU	FLA
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#5	#9
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#6	#13
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

LSU Injury Report

Florida Injury Report

LSU on Offense


CategoryCat	LSU Off	FLA Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#30	#17
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

LSU Run Game


CategoryCat	LSU Off	FLA Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

LSU Pass Game


CategoryCat	LSU Off	FLA Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Florida on Offense


CategoryCat	FLA Off	LSU Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#15	#5
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Florida Run Game


CategoryCat	FLA Off	LSU Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Florida Pass Game


CategoryCat	FLA Off	LSU Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
FLA 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'18 Profile: Down to Title Contenders

LSU 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'18 Profile: Down to CFB Elites

Weather Forecast
Playing in Ben Hill Griffin Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 89° - Wind: 7 mph

Rematch from Week 6
LSU 1.0 (44.0)
Florida won vs LSU this year (27-19)

Previous Matchups
Florida beat LSU last year (27-16)
LSU beat Florida in 2023 (52-35)
LSU beat Florida in 2022 (45-35)

LSU's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View LSU's Full Roster

LSU's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

FLA's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Florida's Full Roster

FLA's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD