Ole Miss at LSU - 2018 Matchup Preview

Saturday, September 29th 2018 (9:00 PM EDT)
LSU -10.5 (61.0)
LSU 45 - Ole Miss: 16 (SEC)

Rebels (5 - 7) (3 - 9 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 34 - 36 (27 - 38 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

LSU 2nd straight Home Game
LSU is playing their 5th straight game
MISS is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: -9.5 (SP+ LSU -14)
Projected Score: MISS: 21 - LSU: 30 (51)
LSU Win prob: 76% | Cover: 44%
MISS Travel: 289 miles

Tigers (10 - 3) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 32 - 22 (30 - 14 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
MISS Players
LSU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Ole Miss's 2018 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/1	Ole Miss vs Texas Tech	-2.5	71.5	W 47 - 27	O	Y
Sat 9/8	Ole Miss vs Southern Illinois	-28.0	65.5	W 76 - 41	O	Y
Sat 9/15	Ole Miss vs Alabama	+22.5	71.5	L 7 - 62	U	N
Sat 9/22	Ole Miss vs Kent State	-28.5	75.0	W 38 - 17	U	N
Sat 9/29	Ole Miss at LSU	+10.5	61.0	L 16 - 45	U	N
Sat 10/6	Ole Miss vs UL Monroe	-23.5	76.0	W 70 - 21	O	Y
Sat 10/13	Ole Miss at Arkansas	-6.5	66.5	W 37 - 33	O	N
Sat 10/20	Ole Miss vs Auburn	+5.0	64.0	L 16 - 31	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/3	Ole Miss vs South Carolina	-2.0	70.0	L 44 - 48	O	N
Sat 11/10	Ole Miss at Texas A&M	+13.0	68.0	L 24 - 38	U	N
Sat 11/17	Ole Miss at Vanderbilt	+3.0	72.5	L 29 - 36	U	N
Thu 11/22	Ole Miss vs Mississippi State	+12.5	61.0	L 3 - 35	U	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Ole Miss's Schedule

LSU's 2018 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sun 9/2	LSU vs Miami	+3.0	47.5	W 33 - 17	O	Y
Sat 9/8	LSU vs SE Louisiana	-42.0	57.5	W 31 - 0	U	N
Sat 9/15	LSU at Auburn	+10.0	45.5	W 22 - 21	U	Y
Sat 9/22	LSU vs Louisiana Tech	-19.5	51.0	W 38 - 21	O	N
Sat 9/29	LSU vs Ole Miss	-10.5	61.0	W 45 - 16	U	Y
Sat 10/6	LSU at Florida	-1.0	44.0	L 19 - 27	O	N
Sat 10/13	LSU vs Georgia	+6.5	50.0	W 36 - 16	O	Y
Sat 10/20	LSU vs Mississippi State	-6.0	45.5	W 19 - 3	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/3	LSU vs Alabama	+14.0	51.5	L 0 - 29	U	N
Sat 11/10	LSU at Arkansas	-12.5	49.5	W 24 - 17	U	N
Sat 11/17	LSU vs Rice	-41.5	52.0	W 42 - 10	U	N
Sat 11/24	LSU at Texas A&M	+3.0	46.5	L 72 - 74	O	Y
Tue 1/1	LSU vs UCF	-7.5	57.5	W 40 - 32	O	Y

Important Stats (2018)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
MISS	.31	51%	33.9	51%	3.14	164	48%	346	3.84	.21	48%	36.2	50%	43%	3.71	66.9	1.2	1.3
LSU	.15	43%	32.4	42%	2.9	174	40%	228	3.72	.07	39%	21.8	44%	33%	2.93	61	1	1.9

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
MISS	#4 (.34)	47% (19)		44% (76)	3.02 (72)	164	51% (3)	317	4 (58)	#6 (.04)	35% (3)		35% (6)	36% (13)	2.98 (8)	68.5	0.9	1.6
LSU	#30 (.25)	45% (38)		42% (89)	2.92 (90)	108	47% (24)	291	3.99 (60)	#92 (.21)	41% (60)		41% (54)	41% (73)	3.44 (30)	45.7	1.2	1

Overall Stats 2018

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
MISS Offense	12	33.9	26.5	50.7%	3.84	1.2	24	511	164	346	4.7	42%	55%	51%	48%	17%	.31
LSU Defense	13	21.8	13.6	39.2%	2.93	1.9	-	-	-	-	-	45%	53%	44%	33%	19%	.07

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
MISS Defense	12	36.2	38	47.8%	3.71	1.3	-	-	-	-	-	53%	45%	50%	43%	17%	.21
LSU Offense	13	32.4	30.1	42.9%	3.72	1	23	402	174	228	4	54%	43%	42%	40%	16%	.15

Additional Stats 2018

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Ole Miss	12	26:20	24	35%	53%	7.3	66.9	1.2	1.3	7.2	1.9	2	25.9
LSU	13	31:49	22.7	40%	75%	6.4	61	1	1.9	6.2	2.5	1	30.6

Run Game Stats (2018)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
MISS Offense	12	42%	51%	34.8	164.3	4.7	24	.2	3.14	73%	9%	0.97
LSU Defense	13	45%	44%	-	-	-	-	.08	3.02	68%	10%	0.85

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
MISS Defense	12	53%	50%	-	-	-	-	.19	3.22	75%	11%	0.94
LSU Offense	13	54%	42%	43.3	173.7	4	29	.1	2.9	72%	10%	0.92

Pass Game Stats (2018)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
MISS Offense	12	55%	48%	23.5	36.7	346.4	9.5	14.7	21	9	.42	1.6	29%	40%	.4	8%	1.7
LSU Defense	13	53%	33%	-	-	-	-	-	-	17	.07	1.6	36%	30%	.22	9%	1.8

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
MISS Defense	12	45%	43%	-	-	-	-	-	-	7	.26	1.6	30%	33%	.3	6%	1.8
LSU Offense	13	43%	40%	17.2	29.8	228.4	7.7	13.3	17	5	.24	1.6	34%	35%	.23	6%	1.4

Ole Miss's Power Ratings
Ole Miss's Power Rating: NR
Ole Miss's Offense Rating: NR
Ole Miss's Defense Rating: NR
2018 Talent Rating: #22
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Ole Miss's 2018 Expected Record: -
Ole Miss's 2018 Overall SP+ Rating: 9.8 #33
Ole Miss's Offense SP+ Rating: 42.1 #6
Ole Miss's Defense SP+ Rating: 31.2 #90

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Ole Miss: LSU: 14.6

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Ole Miss: 9.8 LSU: 24.2

LSU's Power Ratings
LSU's Power Rating: 14.6 NR
LSU's Offense Rating: NR
LSU's Defense Rating: NR
2018 Talent Rating: #6
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
LSU's 2018 Expected Record: -
LSU's 2018 Overall SP+ Rating: 24.2 #5
LSU's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.8 #30
LSU's Defense SP+ Rating: 13.4 #5

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Ole Miss Scoring
Offense: 33.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 26.5
Defense: 36.2 PPG
Defense on Road: 38

Ole Miss's 2018 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 3 - 9 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record on Road: 2 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 6 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 0 - 3 - 0

Projected Score
LSU 30
Ole Miss 21

Total Points: 51

Based on Last 4 Games
LSU 26
Ole Miss 18

Total Points: 44

Based on Entire Season
LSU 34
Ole Miss 24

Total Points: 58

LSU Scoring
Offense: 32.4 PPG
Offense at Home: 30.1
Defense: 21.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 13.6

LSU's 2018 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record at home: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	09/27	Ole Miss	24	LSU	19	Ole Miss -2.5	Ole Miss	57.5	Under
2024	10/12	LSU	29	Ole Miss	26	Ole Miss -3.5	LSU	64.5	Under
2023	09/30	Ole Miss	55	LSU	49	LSU -3	Ole Miss	67.0	Over
2022	10/22	LSU	45	Ole Miss	20	Ole Miss -0.0	LSU	64.0	Over
2021	10/23	Ole Miss	31	LSU	17	Ole Miss -9.0	Ole Miss	76.5	Under
2020	12/19	LSU	53	Ole Miss	48	Ole Miss -0.0	LSU	74.5	Over
2019	11/16	Ole Miss	37	LSU	58	LSU -21	NA	66.0	Over
2018	09/29	LSU	45	Ole Miss	16	LSU -10.5	LSU	61.0	Push
2017	10/21	Ole Miss	24	LSU	40	LSU -6.5	LSU	59.0	Over
2016	10/22	LSU	38	Ole Miss	21	LSU -4.5	LSU	59.0	Push
2015	11/21	Ole Miss	38	LSU	17	Ole Miss -4.5	Ole Miss	58.5	Under
2014	10/25	LSU	10	Ole Miss	7	Ole Miss -3	LSU	0
2013	10/19	Ole Miss	27	LSU	24	LSU -8	Ole Miss	0
2012	11/17	LSU	41	Ole Miss	35
2011	11/19	Ole Miss	3	LSU	52
2010	11/20	LSU	43	Ole Miss	36
2009	11/21	Ole Miss	25	LSU	23
2008	11/22	LSU	13	Ole Miss	31
2007	11/17	Ole Miss	24	LSU	41
2006	11/18	LSU	23	Ole Miss	20
2005	11/19	Ole Miss	7	LSU	40
2004	11/20	LSU	27	Ole Miss	24
2003	11/22	Ole Miss	14	LSU	17
2001	10/27	LSU	24	Ole Miss	35
2000	11/10	Ole Miss	9	LSU	20

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
LSU	17	7	5 Overs
Ole Miss	8	5	4 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	16 - 9	11 - 1	7 - 0	4 - 1
Road Teams	9 - 16	1 - 11	1 - 4	0 - 7

(#) MISS at (#) LSU

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	MISS	LSU
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#33	#5
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#22	#6
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Ole Miss Injury Report

LSU Injury Report

Ole Miss on Offense


CategoryCat	MISS Off	LSU Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#6	#5
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Ole Miss Run Game


CategoryCat	MISS Off	LSU Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Ole Miss Pass Game


CategoryCat	MISS Off	LSU Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

LSU on Offense


CategoryCat	LSU Off	MISS Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#30	#90
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

LSU Run Game


CategoryCat	LSU Off	MISS Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

LSU Pass Game


CategoryCat	LSU Off	MISS Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
LSU 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'18 Profile: Down to CFB Elites

MISS 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'18 Profile: Down to Average P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Tiger Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 75°

Rematch from Week 5
LSU -10.5 (61.0)
LSU won vs Ole Miss this year (45-16)

Previous Matchups
LSU beat Ole Miss last year (29-26)
Ole Miss beat LSU in 2023 (55-49)
LSU beat Ole Miss in 2022 (45-20)

MISS's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Ole Miss's Full Roster

MISS's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

LSU's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View LSU's Full Roster

LSU's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD