Alabama at LSU - 2018 Matchup Preview
Alabama logo   Alabama Crimson Tide at LSU Tigers  LSU logo
Saturday, November 3rd 2018 (8:00 PM EDT)
Alabama -14 (51.5)
Alabama 29 - LSU: 0  (SEC)

 
Crimson Tide (14 - 1) (8 - 7 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 30 - 19 (26 - 24 on Road)
'18 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
ALA coming off BYE
LSU coming off BYE
Our Line: -3.5  (SP+ ALA -12)
Projected Score: ALA: 23 - LSU: 23 (46)
ALA Win prob: 86% | Cover: 55%
ALA Travel: 288 miles
Tigers (10 - 3) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 23 - 20 (26 - 17 @ Home)
'18 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Alabama's 2018 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/1 Alabama vs Louisville-23.560.5W 51 - 14OY
Sat 9/8 Alabama vs Arkansas State-36.563.0W 57 - 7OY
Sat 9/15 Alabama at Ole Miss-22.571.5W 62 - 7UY
Sat 9/22 Alabama vs Texas A&M-24.058.5W 45 - 23ON
Sat 9/29 Alabama vs Louisiana-49.070.0W 56 - 14UN
Sat 10/6 Alabama at Arkansas-35.058.5W 65 - 31ON
Sat 10/13 Alabama vs Missouri-28.072.5W 39 - 10UY
Sat 10/20 Alabama at Tennessee-29.557.5W 58 - 21OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/3 Alabama at LSU-14.051.5W 29 - 0UY
Sat 11/10 Alabama vs Mississippi State-21.550.0W 24 - 0UY
Sat 11/17 Alabama vs The Citadel-54.562.5W 50 - 17ON
Sat 11/24 Alabama vs Auburn-26.053.0W 52 - 21OY
Sat 12/1 Alabama vs Georgia-11.062.0W 35 - 28ON
Sat 12/29 Alabama vs Oklahoma-14.581.5W 45 - 34UN
Mon 1/7 Alabama vs Clemson-5.556.5L 16 - 44ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Alabama's Schedule
LSU's 2018 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sun 9/2 LSU vs Miami+3.047.5W 33 - 17OY
Sat 9/8 LSU vs SE Louisiana-42.057.5W 31 - 0UN
Sat 9/15 LSU at Auburn+10.045.5W 22 - 21UY
Sat 9/22 LSU vs Louisiana Tech-19.551.0W 38 - 21ON
Sat 9/29 LSU vs Ole Miss-10.561.0W 45 - 16UY
Sat 10/6 LSU at Florida-1.044.0L 19 - 27ON
Sat 10/13 LSU vs Georgia+6.550.0W 36 - 16OY
Sat 10/20 LSU vs Mississippi State-6.045.5W 19 - 3UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/3 LSU vs Alabama+14.051.5L 0 - 29UN
Sat 11/10 LSU at Arkansas-12.549.5W 24 - 17UN
Sat 11/17 LSU vs Rice-41.552.0W 42 - 10UN
Sat 11/24 LSU at Texas A&M+3.046.5L 72 - 74OY
Tue 1/1 LSU vs UCF-7.557.5W 40 - 32OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for LSU's Schedule
Important Stats (2017)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ALA.2447%29.549%3.6125142%1934.13-.0235%19.234%34%2.1140.60.71.6
LSU.2347%22.848%3.3720841%2033.41.1239%19.840%35%350.60.61.4
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ALA0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
LSU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2017
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ALA Offense1429.526.347.4%4.130.7224442511935.758%40%49%42%11%.24
LSU Defense1319.816.939%31.4 - - - - - 48%50%40%35%20%.12
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ALA Defense1419.223.734.8%2.111.6 - - - - - 48%50%34%34%21%-.02
LSU Offense1322.825.746.6%3.410.6204112082034.861%37%48%41%13%.23

Additional Stats 2017
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Alabama1429:4522.241%83%540.60.71.67.12.9234.6
LSU1332:342042%40%5.850.60.61.45.93231
Run Game Stats (2018)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ALA Offense1458%49%43.7250.65.736.293.6180%8%1
LSU Defense1348%40% - - - - .133.0966%11%0.93
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ALA Defense1448%34% - - - - -.052.673%12%0.79
LSU Offense1361%48%43.3207.64.825.173.3777%9%0.81

Pass Game Stats (2018)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ALA Offense1440%42%14.623.7193.48.213.3283.191.626%35%.24%1.6
LSU Defense1350%35% - - - - - - 12.111.635%32%.329%1.8
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ALA Defense1450%34% - - - - - - 19-1.536%27%.139%1.7
LSU Offense1337%41%13.823.1203.58.814.8174.371.828%31%.34%1.8

Alabama's Power Ratings
Alabama's Power Rating: NR
Alabama's Offense Rating: NR
Alabama's Defense Rating: NR
2018 Talent Rating:  #2
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Alabama's 2018 Expected Record: -
Alabama's 2018 Overall SP+ Rating: 36.3  #1
Alabama's Offense SP+ Rating: 50.9  #2
Alabama's Defense SP+ Rating: 14.2  #7

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Alabama:    LSU: 14.6

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Alabama: 36.3   LSU: 24.2




LSU's Power Ratings
LSU's Power Rating: 14.6 NR
LSU's Offense Rating: NR
LSU's Defense Rating: NR
2018 Talent Rating:  #6
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
LSU's 2018 Expected Record: -
LSU's 2018 Overall SP+ Rating: 24.2  #5
LSU's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.8  #30
LSU's Defense SP+ Rating: 13.4  #5

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Alabama Scoring
Offense: 29.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 26.3
Defense: 19.2 PPG
Defense on Road: 23.7

Alabama's 2018 Record
Record: 14 - 1
Record vs Spread: 8 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 9 - 6
Record on Road: 5 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 8 - 6 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Alabama 23
LSU 23

Projected Total Points: 46
LSU Scoring
Offense: 22.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 25.7
Defense: 19.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 16.9

LSU's 2018 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record at home: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 1 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202511/08Alabama20LSU9Alabama -10.5Alabama49.5Under
202411/09LSU13Alabama42Alabama -2.5Alabama57.5Under
202311/04Alabama42LSU28Alabama -3Alabama61.5Over
202211/05LSU32Alabama31Alabama -13.5LSU56.5Over
202111/06Alabama20LSU14Alabama -29.5LSU66.5Under
202012/05LSU17Alabama55Alabama -29Alabama64.5Over
201911/09Alabama41LSU46Alabama -5LSU65.5Over
201811/03LSU0Alabama29Alabama -14Alabama51.5Under
201711/04Alabama24LSU10Alabama -20.5LSU45.5Under
201611/05LSU0Alabama10Alabama -7Alabama46.0Under
201511/07Alabama30LSU16Alabama -7Alabama47.0Under
201411/08LSU13Alabama20Alabama -6Alabama0
201311/09Alabama38LSU17Alabama -9.5Alabama0
201211/03LSU17Alabama21
201111/05Alabama6LSU9
201101/09LSU0Alabama21
201011/06LSU24Alabama21
200911/07Alabama24LSU15
200811/08LSU21Alabama27
200711/03Alabama34LSU41
200611/11LSU28Alabama14
200511/12Alabama13LSU16
200411/13LSU26Alabama10
200311/15Alabama3LSU27
200111/03Alabama21LSU35
200011/03LSU30Alabama28
TeamWinsCoversO/U
LSU1144 Overs
Alabama1597 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams12 - 145 - 84 - 31 - 5
Road Teams14 - 128 - 55 - 13 - 4

(#) ALA at (#) LSU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatALALSU
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #1 #5
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #2 #6
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Alabama on Offense
CategoryCat
ALA OffLSU Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #2 #5
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Alabama Run Game
CategoryCat
ALA OffLSU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Alabama Pass Game
CategoryCat
ALA OffLSU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
LSU on Offense
CategoryCatLSU OffALA Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #30 #7
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
LSU Run Game
CategoryCat
LSU OffALA Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
LSU Pass Game
CategoryCatLSU OffALA Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
LSU 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'18 Profile: Down to CFB Elites

ALA 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'18 Profile: Down to CFB Elites

Weather Forecast
Playing in Tiger Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 10
Alabama 14.0 (51.5)
Alabama won at LSU this year (29-0)

Previous Matchups
Alabama beat LSU last year (20-9)
Alabama beat LSU in 2024 (42-13)
Alabama beat LSU in 2023 (42-28)

  
ALA's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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ALA's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

LSU's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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LSU's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD