Louisiana at Mississippi State - 2018 Matchup Preview

Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns at Mississippi State Bulldogs

Saturday, September 15th 2018 (7:30 PM EDT)
Mississippi State -34 (62.5)
Mississippi State 56 - Louisiana: 10

Ragin' Cajuns (7 - 7) (9 - 5 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 32 - 34 (21 - 36 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Temp: 91.4° (47.8% Hum)
ULL coming off BYE
Our Line: -17.5 (SP+ MSST -30)
Projected Score: ULL: 19 - MSST: 40 (59)
MSST Win prob: 100% | Cover: 48%
ULL Travel: 294 miles

Bulldogs (8 - 5) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 29 - 13 (39 - 9 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
ULL Players
MSST Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Louisiana's 2018 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/1	Louisiana vs Grambling	-14.0	61.0	W 49 - 17	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/15	Louisiana at Mississippi State	+34.0	62.5	L 10 - 56	O	N
Sat 9/22	Louisiana vs Coastal Carolina	-3.0	61.5	L 28 - 30	U	N
Sat 9/29	Louisiana at Alabama	+49.0	70.0	L 14 - 56	U	Y
Sat 10/6	Louisiana at Texas State	-3.0	57.5	W 42 - 27	O	Y
Sat 10/13	Louisiana vs New Mexico State	-7.5	66.5	W 66 - 38	O	Y
Sat 10/20	Louisiana at App State	+25.0	65.0	L 17 - 27	U	Y
Sat 10/27	Louisiana vs Arkansas State	+3.0	69.0	W 47 - 43	O	Y
Sat 11/3	Louisiana at Troy	+7.5	64.5	L 16 - 26	U	N
Sat 11/10	Louisiana vs Georgia State	-13.5	70.0	W 36 - 22	U	Y
Sat 11/17	Louisiana vs South Alabama	-19.0	66.0	W 48 - 38	O	N
Sat 11/24	Louisiana at UL Monroe	+1.5	71.0	W 31 - 28	U	Y
Sat 12/1	Louisiana at App State	+17.5	54.0	L 19 - 30	U	Y
Sat 12/15	Louisiana vs Tulane	+3.5	60.5	L 24 - 41	O	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Louisiana's Schedule

Mississippi State's 2018 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/1	Mississippi State vs Stephen F. Austin	-47.5	53.0	W 63 - 6	O	Y
Sat 9/8	Mississippi State at Kansas State	-6.5	51.5	W 31 - 10	U	Y
Sat 9/15	Mississippi State vs Louisiana	-34.0	62.5	W 56 - 10	O	Y
Sat 9/22	Mississippi State at Kentucky	-9.5	56.0	L 7 - 28	U	N
Sat 9/29	Mississippi State vs Florida	-6.5	49.5	L 6 - 13	U	N
Sat 10/6	Mississippi State vs Auburn	+3.0	45.0	W 23 - 9	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/20	Mississippi State at LSU	+6.0	45.5	L 3 - 19	U	N
Sat 10/27	Mississippi State vs Texas A&M	-1.5	42.5	W 28 - 13	U	Y
Sat 11/3	Mississippi State vs Louisiana Tech	-23.0	49.0	W 45 - 3	U	Y
Sat 11/10	Mississippi State at Alabama	+21.5	50.0	L 0 - 24	U	N
Sat 11/17	Mississippi State vs Arkansas	-22.5	49.0	W 52 - 6	O	Y
Thu 11/22	Mississippi State at Ole Miss	-12.5	61.0	W 35 - 3	U	Y
Tue 1/1	Mississippi State vs Iowa	-7.0	40.0	L 22 - 27	O	N

Important Stats (2018)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
ULL	.26	44%	31.9	44%	3.17	219	42%	206	3.99	.29	47%	34.2	47%	44%	4.2	44	1.2	1.1
MSST	.21	46%	28.5	54%	3.51	224	33%	174	4.35	-.03	37%	13.2	38%	32%	2.27	52.8	1	1.5

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
ULL	#16 (.3)	45% (47)		42% (91)	3.24 (35)	159	47% (17)	242	4.27 (32)	#97 (.22)	48% (126)		53% (133)	44% (105)	4.43 (121)	44.5	0.6	1.4
MSST	#78 (.17)	39% (109)		40% (105)	2.9 (93)	139	38% (104)	239	3.75 (86)	#130 (.32)	50% (133)		47% (108)	55% (134)	4.32 (113)	60.3	1.5	0.9

Overall Stats 2018

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
ULL Offense	14	31.9	21.3	44.4%	3.99	1.2	20	424	219	206	5.5	57%	41%	44%	42%	16%	.26
MSST Defense	13	13.2	8.6	36.9%	2.27	1.5	-	-	-	-	-	45%	52%	38%	32%	20%	-.03

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
ULL Defense	14	34.2	35.7	46.7%	4.2	1.1	-	-	-	-	-	60%	38%	47%	44%	12%	.29
MSST Offense	13	28.5	39	46.1%	4.35	1	18	398	224	174	5.7	56%	42%	54%	33%	14%	.21

Additional Stats 2018

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Louisiana	14	28:33	19.7	47%	42%	4.9	44	1.2	1.1	4.5	1.9	0	30.9
Mississippi State	13	28:40	17.9	41%	38%	5.6	52.8	1	1.5	7.4	2.7	0	27.8

Run Game Stats (2018)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
ULL Offense	14	57%	44%	39.5	218.7	5.5	31	.22	3.17	71%	11%	1.17
MSST Defense	13	45%	38%	-	-	-	-	-.08	2.5	78%	13%	0.8

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
ULL Defense	14	60%	47%	-	-	-	-	.23	3.22	78%	7%	1.02
MSST Offense	13	56%	54%	39.5	223.5	5.7	26	.29	3.51	69%	8%	0.96

Pass Game Stats (2018)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
ULL Offense	14	41%	42%	15.7	24.9	205.6	8.3	13.1	27	14	.35	1.8	30%	37%	.46	5%	2
MSST Defense	13	52%	32%	-	-	-	-	-	-	13	.02	1.5	36%	27%	.06	7%	1.6

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
ULL Defense	14	38%	44%	-	-	-	-	-	-	8	.4	1.7	30%	35%	.37	5%	1.8
MSST Offense	13	42%	33%	12.7	24.8	174.2	7	13.7	22	10	.12	1.8	30%	34%	.28	6%	1.8

Louisiana's Power Ratings
Louisiana's Power Rating: NR
Louisiana's Offense Rating: NR
Louisiana's Defense Rating: NR
2018 Talent Rating: #103
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Louisiana's 2018 Expected Record: -
Louisiana's 2018 Overall SP+ Rating: -6.9 #94
Louisiana's Offense SP+ Rating: 30.5 #52
Louisiana's Defense SP+ Rating: 38.9 #116

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Louisiana: Mississippi State: 14.1

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Louisiana: -6.9 Mississippi State: 23.2

Mississippi State's Power Ratings
Mississippi State's Power Rating: 14.1 NR
Mississippi State's Offense Rating: NR
Mississippi State's Defense Rating: NR
2018 Talent Rating: #23
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Mississippi State's 2018 Expected Record: -
Mississippi State's 2018 Overall SP+ Rating: 23.2 #8
Mississippi State's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.6 #32
Mississippi State's Defense SP+ Rating: 10.5 #1

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Louisiana Scoring
Offense: 31.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 21.3
Defense: 34.2 PPG
Defense on Road: 35.7

Louisiana's 2018 Record
Record: 7 - 7
Record vs Spread: 9 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 7
Record on Road: 2 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 5 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
Mississippi State 40
Louisiana 19

Total Points: 59

Based on Last 4 Games
Mississippi State 46
Louisiana 20

Total Points: 66

Based on Entire Season
Mississippi State 34
Louisiana 19

Total Points: 53

Mississippi State Scoring
Offense: 28.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 39
Defense: 13.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 8.6

Mississippi State's 2018 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 9
Record at home: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 6 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 7 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 5 - 1 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2019	08/31	Louisiana	28	Mississippi State	38	Mississippi State -19	Louisiana	61.5	Over
2018	09/15	Mississippi State	56	Louisiana	10	Mississippi State -34	Mississippi State	62.5	Over

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Mississippi State	2	1	2 Overs
Louisiana	0	1	0 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	1 - 1	2 - 0	1 - 0	1 - 0
Road Teams	1 - 1	0 - 2	0 - 1	0 - 1

(#) ULL at (#) MSST

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	ULL	MSST
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#94	#8
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#103	#23
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Louisiana Injury Report

Mississippi State Injury Report

Louisiana on Offense


CategoryCat	ULL Off	MSST Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#52	#1
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Louisiana Run Game


CategoryCat	ULL Off	MSST Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Louisiana Pass Game


CategoryCat	ULL Off	MSST Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Mississippi State on Offense


CategoryCat	MSST Off	ULL Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#32	#116
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Mississippi State Run Game


CategoryCat	MSST Off	ULL Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Mississippi State Pass Game


CategoryCat	MSST Off	ULL Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
MSST 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'18 Profile: Down to Title Contenders

ULL 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'18 Profile: Down to Average G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Davis Wade Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 91° - Wind: 5 mph

Rematch from Week 3
Mississippi State -34.0 (62.5)
Mississippi State won vs Louisiana this year (56-10)

No Matchups Past 4 Years

ULL's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Louisiana's Full Roster

ULL's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

MSST's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Mississippi State's Full Roster

MSST's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD