Louisiana at Texas State - 2018 Matchup Preview

Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns at Texas State Bobcats

Saturday, October 6th 2018 (7:00 PM EDT)
Louisiana -3 (57.5)
Louisiana 42 - Texas State: 27 (Sun Belt)

Ragin' Cajuns (7 - 7) (9 - 5 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 32 - 34 (21 - 36 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

ULL 2nd straight Road Game
TXST coming off BYE
ULL is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: -2.5 (SP+ ULL -9.5)
Projected Score: ULL: 24 - TXST: 34 (58)
ULL Win prob: 56% | Cover: 47%
ULL Travel: 353 miles

Bobcats (3 - 9) (6 - 5 - 1)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 20 - 28 (20 - 28 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
ULL Players
TXST Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Louisiana's 2018 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/1	Louisiana vs Grambling	-14.0	61.0	W 49 - 17	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/15	Louisiana at Mississippi State	+34.0	62.5	L 10 - 56	O	N
Sat 9/22	Louisiana vs Coastal Carolina	-3.0	61.5	L 28 - 30	U	N
Sat 9/29	Louisiana at Alabama	+49.0	70.0	L 14 - 56	U	Y
Sat 10/6	Louisiana at Texas State	-3.0	57.5	W 42 - 27	O	Y
Sat 10/13	Louisiana vs New Mexico State	-7.5	66.5	W 66 - 38	O	Y
Sat 10/20	Louisiana at App State	+25.0	65.0	L 17 - 27	U	Y
Sat 10/27	Louisiana vs Arkansas State	+3.0	69.0	W 47 - 43	O	Y
Sat 11/3	Louisiana at Troy	+7.5	64.5	L 16 - 26	U	N
Sat 11/10	Louisiana vs Georgia State	-13.5	70.0	W 36 - 22	U	Y
Sat 11/17	Louisiana vs South Alabama	-19.0	66.0	W 48 - 38	O	N
Sat 11/24	Louisiana at UL Monroe	+1.5	71.0	W 31 - 28	U	Y
Sat 12/1	Louisiana at App State	+17.5	54.0	L 19 - 30	U	Y
Sat 12/15	Louisiana vs Tulane	+3.5	60.5	L 24 - 41	O	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Louisiana's Schedule

Texas State's 2018 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/1	Texas State at Rutgers	+16.5	48.0	L 7 - 35	U	N
Sat 9/8	Texas State vs Texas Southern	-34.0	52.5	W 36 - 20	O	N
Sat 9/15	Texas State at South Alabama	+10.0	49.0	L 31 - 41	O	Y
Sat 9/22	Texas State at UTSA	+7.0	49.0	L 21 - 25	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/6	Texas State vs Louisiana	+3.0	57.5	L 27 - 42	O	N
Thu 10/11	Texas State vs Georgia Southern	+17.0	52.0	L 13 - 15	U	Y
Sat 10/20	Texas State at UL Monroe	+10.5	60.0	L 14 - 20	U	Y
Sat 10/27	Texas State vs New Mexico State	-1.0	56.0	W 27 - 20	U	Y
Sat 11/3	Texas State at Georgia State	+7.0	53.0	W 40 - 30	O	Y
Sat 11/10	Texas State vs App State	+18.5	47.0	L 7 - 38	U	N
Sat 11/17	Texas State at Troy	+23.0	47.5	L 7 - 12	U	Y
Sat 11/24	Texas State vs Arkansas State	+13.0	48.5	L 7 - 33	U	N

Important Stats (2018)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
ULL	.26	44%	31.9	44%	3.17	219	42%	206	3.99	.29	47%	34.2	47%	44%	4.2	44	1.2	1.1
TXST	.07	39%	19.8	40%	2.42	147	37%	182	2.62	.09	37%	27.6	36%	34%	3.3	49.2	1.9	1.3

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
ULL	#16 (.3)	45% (47)		42% (91)	3.24 (35)	159	47% (17)	242	4.27 (32)	#97 (.22)	48% (126)		53% (133)	44% (105)	4.43 (121)	44.5	0.6	1.4
TXST	#25 (.25)	48% (17)		49% (14)	3.41 (11)	194	48% (10)	245	3.89 (72)	#50 (.14)	39% (31)		38% (21)	39% (54)	3.47 (33)	56.5	1.6	1.2

Overall Stats 2018

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
ULL Offense	14	31.9	21.3	44.4%	3.99	1.2	20	424	219	206	5.5	57%	41%	44%	42%	16%	.26
TXST Defense	12	27.6	28	36.9%	3.3	1.3	-	-	-	-	-	53%	45%	36%	34%	15%	.09

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
ULL Defense	14	34.2	35.7	46.7%	4.2	1.1	-	-	-	-	-	60%	38%	47%	44%	12%	.29
TXST Offense	12	19.8	19.5	39.3%	2.62	1.9	17	330	147	182	4	54%	45%	40%	37%	19%	.07

Additional Stats 2018

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Louisiana	14	28:33	19.7	47%	42%	4.9	44	1.2	1.1	4.5	1.9	0	30.9
Texas State	12	27:46	17.3	32%	50%	6	49.2	1.9	1.3	4.8	1.3	1	30.2

Run Game Stats (2018)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
ULL Offense	14	57%	44%	39.5	218.7	5.5	31	.22	3.17	71%	11%	1.17
TXST Defense	12	53%	36%	-	-	-	-	.05	2.99	58%	9%	0.98

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
ULL Defense	14	60%	47%	-	-	-	-	.23	3.22	78%	7%	1.02
TXST Offense	12	54%	40%	37.3	147.2	4	15	-.01	2.42	57%	12%	0.97

Pass Game Stats (2018)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
ULL Offense	14	41%	42%	15.7	24.9	205.6	8.3	13.1	27	14	.35	1.8	30%	37%	.46	5%	2
TXST Defense	12	45%	34%	-	-	-	-	-	-	6	.15	1.7	36%	31%	.24	6%	1.7

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
ULL Defense	14	38%	44%	-	-	-	-	-	-	8	.4	1.7	30%	35%	.37	5%	1.8
TXST Offense	12	45%	37%	16.1	27.5	182.3	6.6	11.3	15	12	.2	1.7	34%	28%	.24	7%	1.9

Louisiana's Power Ratings
Louisiana's Power Rating: NR
Louisiana's Offense Rating: NR
Louisiana's Defense Rating: NR
2018 Talent Rating: #103
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Louisiana's 2018 Expected Record: -
Louisiana's 2018 Overall SP+ Rating: -6.9 #94
Louisiana's Offense SP+ Rating: 30.5 #52
Louisiana's Defense SP+ Rating: 38.9 #116

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Louisiana: Texas State: -5.7

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Louisiana: -6.9 Texas State: -16.4

Texas State's Power Ratings
Texas State's Power Rating: -5.7 NR
Texas State's Offense Rating: NR
Texas State's Defense Rating: NR
2018 Talent Rating: #125
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Texas State's 2018 Expected Record: -
Texas State's 2018 Overall SP+ Rating: -16.4 #114
Texas State's Offense SP+ Rating: 14.9 #126
Texas State's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.0 #73

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Louisiana Scoring
Offense: 31.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 21.3
Defense: 34.2 PPG
Defense on Road: 35.7

Louisiana's 2018 Record
Record: 7 - 7
Record vs Spread: 9 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 7
Record on Road: 2 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 5 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0

Projected Score
Texas State 34
Louisiana 24

Total Points: 58

Based on Last 4 Games
Texas State 40
Louisiana 20

Total Points: 61

Based on Entire Season
Louisiana 27
Texas State 27

Total Points: 54

Texas State Scoring
Offense: 19.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 19.5
Defense: 27.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 28

Texas State's 2018 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 6 - 5 - 1
Over/Under Record: 4 - 8
Record at home: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 4 - 1
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	11/08	Louisiana	42	Texas State	39	Texas State -3.5	Louisiana	62.5	Over
2024	10/29	Texas State	17	Louisiana	23	Texas State -4	Louisiana	60.5	Under
2023	10/07	Louisiana	34	Texas State	30	Louisiana -1	Louisiana	67.5	Under
2022	11/26	Texas State	13	Louisiana	41	Louisiana -5	Louisiana	44.0	Over
2021	10/30	Louisiana	45	Texas State	0	Louisiana -21	Louisiana	58.0	Under
2020	10/31	Texas State	34	Louisiana	44	Louisiana -17.0	Texas State	0
2019	11/02	Louisiana	31	Texas State	3	Louisiana -23	Louisiana	55.0	Under
2018	10/06	Texas State	27	Louisiana	42	Louisiana -3	Louisiana	57.5	Over
2017	10/12	Louisiana	24	Texas State	7	Louisiana -14	Louisiana	55.5	Under
2016	10/22	Texas State	3	Louisiana	27	Louisiana -11.5	Louisiana	65.0	Under
2015	10/10	Louisiana	49	Texas State	27	Louisiana -4	Louisiana	68.0	Over
2014	10/14	Texas State	10	Louisiana	34	Texas State -3	Louisiana	61.5	Under
2013	10/05	Louisiana	48	Texas State	24	Louisiana -10	Louisiana	0

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Texas State	0	1	4 Overs
Louisiana	13	12	7 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	7 - 6	8 - 5	6 - 2	2 - 3
Road Teams	6 - 7	5 - 8	3 - 2	2 - 6

(#) ULL at (#) TXST

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	ULL	TXST
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#94	#114
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#103	#125
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Louisiana Injury Report

Texas State Injury Report

Louisiana on Offense


CategoryCat	ULL Off	TXST Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#52	#73
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Louisiana Run Game


CategoryCat	ULL Off	TXST Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Louisiana Pass Game


CategoryCat	ULL Off	TXST Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Texas State on Offense


CategoryCat	TXST Off	ULL Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#126	#116
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Texas State Run Game


CategoryCat	TXST Off	ULL Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Texas State Pass Game


CategoryCat	TXST Off	ULL Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
TXST 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'18 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

ULL 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'18 Profile: Down to Average G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Wacker Field at Bobcat Stadium
Conditions: Fair
Temp: 83° - Wind: 12 mph

Rematch from Week 6
Louisiana 3.0 (57.5)
Louisiana won at Texas State this year (42-27)

Previous Matchups
Louisiana beat Texas State last year (23-17)
Louisiana beat Texas State in 2023 (34-30)
Louisiana beat Texas State in 2022 (41-13)

ULL's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Louisiana's Full Roster

ULL's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

TXST's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Texas State's Full Roster

TXST's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD