Florida at Mississippi State - 2018 Matchup Preview
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Florida Gators at Mississippi State Bulldogs

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Saturday, September 29th 2018 (6:00 PM EDT)
Mississippi State -6.5 (49.5)
Florida 13 - Mississippi State: 6  (SEC)

 
Gators (10 - 3) (9 - 4 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 22 - 24 (13 - 30 on Road)
'18 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
FLA 2nd straight Road Game
MSST is playing their 5th straight game
FLA is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: -2.5  (SP+ MSST -0)
Projected Score: FLA: 23 - MSST: 30 (53)
MSST Win prob: 68% | Cover: 48%
FLA Travel: 462 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Bulldogs (8 - 5) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 30 - 30 (34 - 28 @ Home)
'18 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Florida's 2018 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/1 Florida vs Charleston Southern-43.0
Sat 9/8 Florida vs Kentucky-13.552.5L 16 - 27UN
Sat 9/15 Florida vs Colorado State-21.560.0W 48 - 10UY
Sat 9/22 Florida at Tennessee-3.546.0W 47 - 21OY
Sat 9/29 Florida at Mississippi State+6.549.5W 13 - 6UY
Sat 10/6 Florida vs LSU+1.044.0W 27 - 19OY
Sat 10/13 Florida at Vanderbilt-9.551.0W 37 - 27OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/27 Florida vs Georgia+7.053.0L 17 - 36UN
Sat 11/3 Florida vs Missouri-6.059.5L 17 - 38UN
Sat 11/10 Florida vs South Carolina-7.055.0W 35 - 31ON
Sat 11/17 Florida vs Idaho-43.059.0W 63 - 10OY
Sat 11/24 Florida at Florida State-8.552.0W 41 - 14OY
Sat 12/29 Florida vs Michigan+4.051.0W 41 - 15OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Florida's Schedule
Mississippi State's 2018 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/1 Mississippi State vs Stephen F. Austin-47.553.0W 63 - 6OY
Sat 9/8 Mississippi State at Kansas State-6.551.5W 31 - 10UY
Sat 9/15 Mississippi State vs Louisiana-34.062.5W 56 - 10OY
Sat 9/22 Mississippi State at Kentucky-9.556.0L 7 - 28UN
Sat 9/29 Mississippi State vs Florida-6.549.5L 6 - 13UN
Sat 10/6 Mississippi State vs Auburn+3.045.0W 23 - 9UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/20 Mississippi State at LSU+6.045.5L 3 - 19UN
Sat 10/27 Mississippi State vs Texas A&M-1.542.5W 28 - 13UY
Sat 11/3 Mississippi State vs Louisiana Tech-23.049.0W 45 - 3UY
Sat 11/10 Mississippi State at Alabama+21.550.0L 0 - 24UN
Sat 11/17 Mississippi State vs Arkansas-22.549.0W 52 - 6OY
Thu 11/22 Mississippi State at Ole Miss-12.561.0W 35 - 3UY
Tue 1/1 Mississippi State vs Iowa-7.040.0L 22 - 27ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Mississippi State's Schedule
Important Stats (2017)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
FLA.1340%21.643%2.9915635%1803.85.1239%2437%39%2.8958.71.81.5
MSST.1646%30.448%3.325242%1673.65.0336%30.238%32%2.5354.61.71.6
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
FLA0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
MSST0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2017
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
FLA Offense1121.61340.5%3.851.8173361561804.350%47%43%35%20%.13
MSST Defense1330.227.936%2.531.6 - - - - - 52%46%38%32%21%.03
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
FLA Defense112430.439.2%2.891.5 - - - - - 54%43%37%39%19%.12
MSST Offense1330.433.946.2%3.651.7234192521675.261%37%48%42%14%.16

Additional Stats 2017
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Florida1131:0316.832%67%858.71.81.56.52.1329.1
Mississippi State1333:232346%52%6.254.61.71.66.52.8532.4
Run Game Stats (2018)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
FLA Offense1150%43%36.4156.44.315.112.9968%12%0.91
MSST Defense1352%38% - - - - .012.668%14%0.95
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
FLA Defense1154%37% - - - - .062.6450%11%1.07
MSST Offense1361%48%48.8251.75.230.183.387%7%0.91

Pass Game Stats (2018)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
FLA Offense1147%35%15.828.4179.56.311.41010.141.736%30%.188%1.5
MSST Defense1346%32% - - - - - - 13.091.934%29%.188%1.6
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
FLA Defense1143%39% - - - - - - 14.191.836%36%.187%1.7
MSST Offense1337%42%14.727.2166.96.211.41714.141.428%33%.277%1.7

Florida's Power Ratings
Florida's Power Rating: NR
Florida's Offense Rating: NR
Florida's Defense Rating: NR
2018 Talent Rating:  #13
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Florida's 2018 Expected Record: -
Florida's 2018 Overall SP+ Rating: 23.0  #9
Florida's Offense SP+ Rating: 38.6  #15
Florida's Defense SP+ Rating: 17.4  #17

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Florida:    Mississippi State: 14.1

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Florida: 23.0   Mississippi State: 23.2




Mississippi State's Power Ratings
Mississippi State's Power Rating: 14.1 NR
Mississippi State's Offense Rating: NR
Mississippi State's Defense Rating: NR
2018 Talent Rating:  #23
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Mississippi State's 2018 Expected Record: -
Mississippi State's 2018 Overall SP+ Rating: 23.2  #8
Mississippi State's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.6  #32
Mississippi State's Defense SP+ Rating: 10.5  #1

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Florida Scoring
Offense: 21.6 PPG
Offense on Road: 13
Defense: 24 PPG
Defense on Road: 30.4

Florida's 2018 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 9 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record on Road: 5 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 0 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Mississippi State 30
Florida 23

Projected Total Points: 53
Mississippi State Scoring
Offense: 30.4 PPG
Offense at Home: 33.9
Defense: 30.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 27.9

Mississippi State's 2018 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 9
Record at home: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 6 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 7 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 5 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202510/18Florida23Mississippi State21Florida -9.5Mississippi State50.5Under
202409/21Mississippi State28Florida45Florida -6.5Florida58.0Over
201809/29Mississippi State6Florida13Mississippi State -6.5Florida49.5Under
201010/16Florida7Mississippi State10
200910/24Mississippi State19Florida29
200510/08Florida35Mississippi State9
200410/23Mississippi State38Florida31
200109/29Florida52Mississippi State0
200009/29Mississippi State47Florida35
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Mississippi State311 Overs
Florida622 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams5 - 40 - 30 - 20 - 1
Road Teams4 - 53 - 01 - 02 - 0

(#) FLA at (#) MSST
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatFLAMSST
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #9 #8
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #13 #23
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Florida on Offense
CategoryCat
FLA OffMSST Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #15 #1
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Florida Run Game
CategoryCat
FLA OffMSST Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Florida Pass Game
CategoryCat
FLA OffMSST Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Mississippi State on Offense
CategoryCatMSST OffFLA Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #32 #17
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Mississippi State Run Game
CategoryCat
MSST OffFLA Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Mississippi State Pass Game
CategoryCatMSST OffFLA Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
MSST 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'18 Profile: Down to Title Contenders

FLA 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'18 Profile: Down to Title Contenders

Weather Forecast
Playing in Davis Wade Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 5
Mississippi State -6.5 (49.5)
Florida won at Mississippi State this year (13-6)

Previous Matchups
Florida beat Mississippi State last year (23-21)
Florida beat Mississippi State in 2024 (45-28)

  
FLA's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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FLA's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

MSST's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Mississippi State's Full Roster

MSST's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD