Stephen F. Austin at Mississippi State - 2018 Matchup Preview
Stephen F. Austin logo Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks at Mississippi State BulldogsMississippi State logo
Saturday, September 1st 2018 (7:30 PM EDT)
Mississippi State -47.5 (53.0)
Mississippi State 63 - Stephen F. Austin: 6

 
Lumberjacks (0 - 1) (0 - 1 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 6 - 63 (6 - 63 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Our Line: -14  (SP+ MSST -23)
MSST Win prob: 100% | Cover: 67%
Bulldogs (8 - 5) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 29 - 13 (39 - 9 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Stephen F. Austin's 2018 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/1 Stephen F. Austin at Mississippi State+47.553.0L 6 - 63ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Stephen F. Austin's Schedule
Mississippi State's 2018 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/1 Mississippi State vs Stephen F. Austin-47.553.0W 63 - 6OY
Sat 9/8 Mississippi State at Kansas State-6.551.5W 31 - 10UY
Sat 9/15 Mississippi State vs Louisiana-34.062.5W 56 - 10OY
Sat 9/22 Mississippi State at Kentucky-9.556.0L 7 - 28UN
Sat 9/29 Mississippi State vs Florida-6.549.5L 6 - 13UN
Sat 10/6 Mississippi State vs Auburn+3.045.0W 23 - 9UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/20 Mississippi State at LSU+6.045.5L 3 - 19UN
Sat 10/27 Mississippi State vs Texas A&M-1.542.5W 28 - 13UY
Sat 11/3 Mississippi State vs Louisiana Tech-23.049.0W 45 - 3UY
Sat 11/10 Mississippi State at Alabama+21.550.0L 0 - 24UN
Sat 11/17 Mississippi State vs Arkansas-22.549.0W 52 - 6OY
Thu 11/22 Mississippi State at Ole Miss-12.561.0W 35 - 3UY
Tue 1/1 Mississippi State vs Iowa-7.040.0L 22 - 27ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Mississippi State's Schedule
Important Stats (2018)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
SFA0%60%000%000%630%0%0000
MSST.2146%28.554%3.5122433%1744.35-.0337%13.238%32%2.2752.811.5
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
SFA0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
MSST#78 (.17)39% (109)40% (105)2.9 (93)13938% (104)2393.75 (86)#130 (.32)50% (133)47% (108)55% (134)4.32 (113)60.31.50.9



Overall Stats 2018
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
SFA Offense1660%00000000%0%0%0%0%
MSST Defense1313.28.636.9%2.271.5 - - - - - 45%52%38%32%20%-.03
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
SFA Defense163630%00 - - - - - 0%0%0%0%0%
MSST Offense1328.53946.1%4.351183982241745.756%42%54%33%14%.21

Additional Stats 2018
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Stephen F. Austin10:000NAN%0%0000000100
Mississippi State1328:4017.941%38%5.652.811.57.42.7027.8
Run Game Stats (2018)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
SFA Offense10%0%000000%0%0
MSST Defense1345%38% - - - - -.082.578%13%0.8
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
SFA Defense10%0% - - - - 00%0%0
MSST Offense1356%54%39.5223.55.726.293.5169%8%0.96

Pass Game Stats (2018)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
SFA Offense10%0%000000000%0%0%0
MSST Defense1352%32% - - - - - - 13.021.536%27%.067%1.6
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
SFA Defense10%0% - - - - - - 000%0%0%0
MSST Offense1342%33%12.724.8174.2713.72210.121.830%34%.286%1.8

Stephen F. Austin's Power Ratings
Stephen F. Austin's Power Rating: NR
Stephen F. Austin's Offense Rating: NR
Stephen F. Austin's Defense Rating: NR
2018 Talent Rating:  #173
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Stephen F. Austin's 2018 Expected Record: -
Stephen F. Austin's 2018 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Stephen F. Austin's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Stephen F. Austin's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Western Athletic Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Stephen F. Austin:    Mississippi State: 14.1

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Stephen F. Austin:    Mississippi State: 23.2




Mississippi State's Power Ratings
Mississippi State's Power Rating: 14.1 NR
Mississippi State's Offense Rating: NR
Mississippi State's Defense Rating: NR
2018 Talent Rating:  #23
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Mississippi State's 2018 Expected Record: -
Mississippi State's 2018 Overall SP+ Rating: 23.2  #8
Mississippi State's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.6  #32
Mississippi State's Defense SP+ Rating: 10.5  #1

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


Stephen F. Austin Scoring
Offense: 6 PPG
Offense on Road: 6
Defense: 63 PPG
Defense on Road: 63

Stephen F. Austin's 2018 Record
Record: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0
Over/Under Record: 1 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Mississippi State 47
Stephen F. Austin 15

Total Points: 62

Based on Last 4 Games
Mississippi State 46
Stephen F. Austin 20

Total Points: 66

Based on Entire Season
Mississippi State 49
Stephen F. Austin 9

Total Points: 58
Mississippi State Scoring
Offense: 28.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 39
Defense: 13.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 8.6

Mississippi State's 2018 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 9
Record at home: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 6 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 7 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 5 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
201809/01Mississippi State63Stephen F. Austin6Mississippi State -47.5Mississippi State53.0Over
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Mississippi State111 Overs
Stephen F. Austin000 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams1 - 01 - 01 - 00 - 0
Road Teams0 - 10 - 10 - 00 - 1

(#) SFA at (#) MSST
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatSFAMSST
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+NR #8
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #173 #23
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Stephen F. Austin on Offense
CategoryCat
SFA OffMSST Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NR #1
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Stephen F. Austin Run Game
CategoryCat
SFA OffMSST Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Stephen F. Austin Pass Game
CategoryCat
SFA OffMSST Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Mississippi State on Offense
CategoryCatMSST OffSFA Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #32NR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Mississippi State Run Game
CategoryCat
MSST OffSFA Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Mississippi State Pass Game
CategoryCatMSST OffSFA Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
MSST 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'18 Profile: Down to Title Contenders

SFA 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'18 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Davis Wade Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 87° - Wind: 8 mph
Rematch from Week 1
Mississippi State -47.5 (53.0)
Mississippi State won vs Stephen F. Austin this year (63-6)

No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
SFA's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
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SFA's DC ()
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MSST's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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MSST's DC ()
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Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD