East Carolina at UCF - 2017 Matchup Preview
East Carolina logo East Carolina Pirates at UCF KnightsUCF logo
Saturday, October 14th 2017 (7:00 PM EDT)
UCF -35 (70.0) (0)  Open: 0.0
UCF 63 - East Carolina: 21  (American Athletic)

 
Pirates (3 - 9) (3 - 9 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 25 - 45 (24 - 56 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Wind: 13.9 MPH
UCF is playing their 4th straight game
ECU is playing their 7th straight game
Our Line: -16.5  (SP+ UCF -28)
Projected Score: ECU: 25 - UCF: 47 (72)
UCF Win prob: 99% | Cover: 47%
ECU Travel: 532 miles
Knights (13 - 0) (8 - 4 - 1)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 48 - 25 (57 - 29 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
East Carolina's 2017 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 East Carolina vs James Madison+2.5
Sat 9/9 East Carolina at West Virginia+24.568.5L 20 - 56ON
Sat 9/16 East Carolina vs Virginia Tech+27.060.5L 17 - 64ON
Sun 9/24 East Carolina at UConn+5.063.5W 41 - 38OY
Sat 9/30 East Carolina vs South Florida+22.573.0L 31 - 61ON
Sat 10/7 East Carolina vs Temple+3.559.0L 10 - 34UN
Sat 10/14 East Carolina at UCF+35.070.0L 21 - 63ON
Sat 10/21 East Carolina vs BYU+5.555.0W 33 - 17UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/4 East Carolina at Houston+23.562.5L 27 - 52ON
Sat 11/11 East Carolina vs Tulane+6.564.0L 24 - 31UN
Sat 11/18 East Carolina vs Cincinnati+4.567.5W 48 - 20OY
Sat 11/25 East Carolina at Memphis+29.581.0L 13 - 70ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for East Carolina's Schedule
UCF's 2017 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/31 UCF vs Florida International-17.056.5W 61 - 17OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/23 UCF at Maryland+4.561.5W 38 - 10UY
Sat 9/30 UCF vs Memphis-5.568.5W 40 - 13UY
Sat 10/7 UCF at Cincinnati-15.052.5W 51 - 23OY
Sat 10/14 UCF vs East Carolina-35.070.0W 63 - 21OY
Sat 10/21 UCF at Navy-9.565.5W 31 - 21UY
Sat 10/28 UCF vs Austin Peay-43.5
Sat 11/4 UCF at SMU-14.075.0W 31 - 24UN
Sat 11/11 UCF vs UConn-38.064.0W 49 - 24ON
Sat 11/18 UCF at Temple-13.059.5W 45 - 19OY
Fri 11/24 UCF vs South Florida-10.064.5W 49 - 42ON
Sat 12/2 UCF vs Memphis-7.082.0W 62 - 55ON
Mon 1/1 UCF vs Auburn+9.567.0W 34 - 27UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for UCF's Schedule
Important Stats (2017)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ECU.1241%24.936%2.3910843%3183.12.4352%4551%52%4.358.81.80.8
UCF.3549%48.245%2.7819952%3324.09.1238%25.338%37%368.31.22.5
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ECU#49 (.22)43% (62)44% (71)3.07 (57)14743% (54)2533.79 (83)#64 (.16)40% (40)37% (11)43% (86)3.85 (76)612.21.6
UCF#58 (.21)46% (28)52% (8)3.62 (2)24838% (103)2003.75 (86)#63 (.16)40% (45)37% (12)42% (84)4.37 (118)54.41.60.9



Overall Stats 2017
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ECU Offense1224.924.441.1%3.121.8234261083183.340%58%36%43%17%.12
UCF Defense1325.329.338%32.5 - - - - - 48%51%38%37%17%.12
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ECU Defense124555.851.9%4.30.8 - - - - - 55%44%51%52%10%.43
UCF Offense1348.256.749.3%4.091.2255301993325.250%49%45%52%14%.35

Additional Stats 2017
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
East Carolina1231:0823.341%59%6.758.81.80.83.30.9027.4
UCF1328:0425.245%50%8.468.31.22.562.1635.1
Run Game Stats (2017)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ECU Offense1240%36%33107.73.310-.12.3963%8%0.79
UCF Defense1348%38% - - - - .052.7261%10%1.04
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ECU Defense1255%51% - - - - .273.3475%6%1.04
UCF Offense1350%45%38.5198.75.239.182.7854%9%1.2

Pass Game Stats (2017)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ECU Offense1258%43%25.645.1317.97.112.42616.281.734%37%.339%1.8
UCF Defense1351%37% - - - - - - 20.211.935%32%.367%2.2
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ECU Defense1244%52% - - - - - - 7.661.925%46%.74%2
UCF Offense1349%52%22.132.6331.810.215389.541.728%41%.535%2.1

East Carolina's Power Ratings
East Carolina's Power Rating: NR
East Carolina's Offense Rating: NR
East Carolina's Defense Rating: NR
2017 Talent Rating:  #74
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
East Carolina's 2017 Expected Record: -
East Carolina's 2017 Overall SP+ Rating: -14.0  #110
East Carolina's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.2  #77
East Carolina's Defense SP+ Rating: 41.8  #125

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
East Carolina:    UCF: 9.55

SP+ Ratings Matchup
East Carolina: -14.0   UCF: 14.1




UCF's Power Ratings
UCF's Power Rating: 9.55 NR
UCF's Offense Rating: NR
UCF's Defense Rating: NR
2017 Talent Rating:  #54
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
UCF's 2017 Expected Record: -
UCF's 2017 Overall SP+ Rating: 14.1  #22
UCF's Offense SP+ Rating: 40.5  #6
UCF's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.9  #63

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


East Carolina Scoring
Offense: 24.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 24.4
Defense: 45 PPG
Defense on Road: 55.8

East Carolina's 2017 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 3 - 9 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 4
Record on Road: 1 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 9 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 4 - 0
Projected Score
UCF 47
East Carolina 25

Total Points: 72

Based on Last 4 Games
UCF 42
East Carolina 24

Total Points: 66

Based on Entire Season
UCF 52
East Carolina 26

Total Points: 78
UCF Scoring
Offense: 48.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 56.7
Defense: 25.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 29.3

UCF's 2017 Record
Record: 13 - 0
Record vs Spread: 8 - 4 - 1
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record at home: 7 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 4 - 1
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 1


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202210/22East Carolina34UCF13UCF -5.5East Carolina63.0Under
202110/09UCF20East Carolina16UCF -10East Carolina65.0Under
202009/26East Carolina28UCF51UCF -28East Carolina78.0Over
201910/19UCF41East Carolina28UCF -34.5East Carolina65.5Over
201810/20East Carolina10UCF37UCF -21.5UCF65.5Under
201710/14UCF63East Carolina21UCF -35UCF70.0Over
201610/01East Carolina29UCF47East Carolina -5.5UCF61.0Over
201511/19UCF7East Carolina44East Carolina -17East Carolina51.5Under
201412/04East Carolina30UCF32East Carolina -6.5UCF0
201210/04UCF40East Carolina20
201111/19East Carolina38UCF31
201010/30UCF49East Carolina35
200909/26East Carolina19UCF14
200811/02UCF10East Carolina13
200710/06East Carolina52UCF38
200611/04UCF10East Carolina23
200510/29East Carolina20UCF30
TeamWinsCoversO/U
UCF1044 Overs
East Carolina754 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams9 - 83 - 61 - 42 - 2
Road Teams8 - 96 - 32 - 24 - 1

(#) ECU at (#) UCF
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatECUUCF
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #110 #22
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #74 #54
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
East Carolina on Offense
CategoryCat
ECU OffUCF Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #77 #63
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
East Carolina Run Game
CategoryCat
ECU OffUCF Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
East Carolina Pass Game
CategoryCat
ECU OffUCF Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
UCF on Offense
CategoryCatUCF OffECU Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #6 #125
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
UCF Run Game
CategoryCat
UCF OffECU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
UCF Pass Game
CategoryCatUCF OffECU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
UCF 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'17 Profile: Down to Top 25 Contenders

ECU 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'17 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Bright House Networks Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 81° - Wind: 14 mph
Rematch from Week 7
UCF -35.0 (70.0)
UCF won vs East Carolina this year (63-21)

Previous Matchups
East Carolina beat UCF in 2022 (34-13)

  
ECU's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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ECU's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

UCF's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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UCF's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD