East Carolina at UConn - 2017 Matchup Preview
East Carolina logo East Carolina Pirates at UConn HuskiesUConn logo
Sunday, September 24th 2017 (12:00 PM EDT)
Connecticut -5 (63.5) (0)  Open: 0.0
East Carolina 41 - UConn: 38  (American Athletic)

 
Pirates (3 - 9) (3 - 9 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 25 - 45 (24 - 56 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
ECU is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: -0  (SP+ ECU -5)
Projected Score: ECU: 27 - CONN: 35 (62)
CONN Win prob: 63% | Cover: 48%
ECU Travel: 497 miles
Huskies (3 - 9) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 24 - 38 (25 - 39 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
East Carolina's 2017 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 East Carolina vs James Madison+2.5
Sat 9/9 East Carolina at West Virginia+24.568.5L 20 - 56ON
Sat 9/16 East Carolina vs Virginia Tech+27.060.5L 17 - 64ON
Sun 9/24 East Carolina at UConn+5.063.5W 41 - 38OY
Sat 9/30 East Carolina vs South Florida+22.573.0L 31 - 61ON
Sat 10/7 East Carolina vs Temple+3.559.0L 10 - 34UN
Sat 10/14 East Carolina at UCF+35.070.0L 21 - 63ON
Sat 10/21 East Carolina vs BYU+5.555.0W 33 - 17UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/4 East Carolina at Houston+23.562.5L 27 - 52ON
Sat 11/11 East Carolina vs Tulane+6.564.0L 24 - 31UN
Sat 11/18 East Carolina vs Cincinnati+4.567.5W 48 - 20OY
Sat 11/25 East Carolina at Memphis+29.581.0L 13 - 70ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for East Carolina's Schedule
UConn's 2017 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/31 UConn vs Holy Cross-22.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/16 UConn at Virginia+11.051.0L 18 - 38ON
Sun 9/24 UConn vs East Carolina-5.063.5L 38 - 41ON
Sat 9/30 UConn at SMU+16.575.0L 28 - 49ON
Fri 10/6 UConn vs Memphis+16.076.0L 31 - 70ON
Sat 10/14 UConn at Temple+10.557.5W 28 - 24UY
Sat 10/21 UConn vs Tulsa+4.077.0W 20 - 14UY
Sat 10/28 UConn vs Missouri+13.575.5L 12 - 52UN
Sat 11/4 UConn vs South Florida+24.064.5L 20 - 37UY
Sat 11/11 UConn at UCF+38.064.0L 24 - 49OY
Sat 11/18 UConn vs Boston College+21.051.0L 16 - 39ON
Sat 11/25 UConn at Cincinnati+6.059.0L 21 - 22UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for UConn's Schedule
Important Stats (2017)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ECU.1241%24.936%2.3910843%3183.12.4352%4551%52%4.358.81.80.8
CONN.1140%23.637%2.5414641%2692.69.2948%37.945%50%4.3648.81.60.9
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ECU#49 (.22)43% (62)44% (71)3.07 (57)14743% (54)2533.79 (83)#64 (.16)40% (40)37% (11)43% (86)3.85 (76)612.21.6
CONN#67 (.19)42% (82)43% (82)3.07 (58)18440% (84)1874.09 (51)#25 (.1)39% (37)42% (63)37% (23)3.36 (26)50.41.21.1



Overall Stats 2017
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ECU Offense1224.924.441.1%3.121.8234261083183.340%58%36%43%17%.12
CONN Defense1237.93948.2%4.360.9 - - - - - 44%54%45%50%13%.29
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ECU Defense124555.851.9%4.30.8 - - - - - 55%44%51%52%10%.43
CONN Offense1223.624.739.7%2.691.6214151462693.649%49%37%41%17%.11

Additional Stats 2017
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
East Carolina1231:0823.341%59%6.758.81.80.83.30.9027.4
UConn1229:3021.340%41%5.348.81.60.95.51.9129
Run Game Stats (2017)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ECU Offense1240%36%33107.73.310-.12.3963%8%0.79
CONN Defense1244%45% - - - - .153.1664%9%1.01
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ECU Defense1255%51% - - - - .273.3475%6%1.04
CONN Offense1249%37%40.51463.617-.012.5463%12%0.96

Pass Game Stats (2017)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ECU Offense1258%43%25.645.1317.97.112.42616.281.734%37%.339%1.8
CONN Defense1254%50% - - - - - - 6.411.531%38%.544%2
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ECU Defense1244%52% - - - - - - 7.661.925%46%.74%2
CONN Offense1249%41%21.335.1269.27.712.61811.231.833%35%.35%2

East Carolina's Power Ratings
East Carolina's Power Rating: NR
East Carolina's Offense Rating: NR
East Carolina's Defense Rating: NR
2017 Talent Rating:  #74
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
East Carolina's 2017 Expected Record: -
East Carolina's 2017 Overall SP+ Rating: -14.0  #110
East Carolina's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.2  #77
East Carolina's Defense SP+ Rating: 41.8  #125

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
East Carolina:    UConn: -7.1

SP+ Ratings Matchup
East Carolina: -14.0   UConn: -19.2




UConn's Power Ratings
UConn's Power Rating: -7.1 NR
UConn's Offense Rating: NR
UConn's Defense Rating: NR
2017 Talent Rating:  #81
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
UConn's 2017 Expected Record: -
UConn's 2017 Overall SP+ Rating: -19.2  #119
UConn's Offense SP+ Rating: 22.4  #104
UConn's Defense SP+ Rating: 40.7  #122

Average Talent
Average FBS Independents Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


East Carolina Scoring
Offense: 24.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 24.4
Defense: 45 PPG
Defense on Road: 55.8

East Carolina's 2017 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 3 - 9 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 4
Record on Road: 1 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 9 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 4 - 0
Projected Score
UConn 35
East Carolina 27

Total Points: 62

Based on Last 4 Games
UConn 32
East Carolina 23

Total Points: 55

Based on Entire Season
UConn 37
East Carolina 31

Total Points: 68
UConn Scoring
Offense: 23.6 PPG
Offense at Home: 24.7
Defense: 37.9 PPG
Defense at Home: 39

UConn's 2017 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record at home: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 0 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 0 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
201911/23UConn24East Carolina31East Carolina -15.5UConn64.0Under
201811/17East Carolina55UConn21East Carolina -17East Carolina71.5Over
201709/24UConn38East Carolina41Connecticut -5East Carolina63.5Over
201610/29East Carolina41UConn3East Carolina -7.5East Carolina54.0Under
201510/30UConn31East Carolina13East Carolina -7UConn51.0Under
201410/23East Carolina31UConn21East Carolina -24UConn0
TeamWinsCoversO/U
UConn132 Overs
East Carolina533 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams4 - 24 - 22 - 22 - 0
Road Teams2 - 42 - 40 - 22 - 2

(#) ECU at (#) CONN
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatECUCONN
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #110 #119
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #74 #81
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
East Carolina on Offense
CategoryCat
ECU OffCONN Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #77 #122
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
East Carolina Run Game
CategoryCat
ECU OffCONN Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
East Carolina Pass Game
CategoryCat
ECU OffCONN Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
UConn on Offense
CategoryCatCONN OffECU Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #104 #125
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
UConn Run Game
CategoryCat
CONN OffECU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
UConn Pass Game
CategoryCatCONN OffECU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
CONN 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'17 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

ECU 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'17 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Rentschler Field
Conditions:
Temp: 83°
Rematch from Week 4
UConn -5.0 (63.5)
East Carolina won at UConn this year (41-38)

No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
ECU's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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ECU's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
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CONN's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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CONN's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD