Western Kentucky at Illinois - 2017 Matchup Preview

Western Kentucky Hilltoppers at Illinois Fighting Illini(#11)

Saturday, September 9th 2017 (8:00 PM EDT)
Western Kentucky -6.5 (52.0) (0) Open: 0.0
Illinois 20 - Western Kentucky: 7

Hilltoppers (6 - 7) (3 - 10 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 26 - 27 (19 - 28 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

ILL 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: -1.5 (SP+ WKU -2.5)
Projected Score: WKU: 33 - ILL: 17 (50)
WKU Win prob: 68% | Cover: 48%
WKU Travel: 236 miles

Fighting Illini (2 - 10) (4 - 7 - 1)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 15 - 32 (15 - 26 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
WKU Players
ILL Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Western Kentucky's 2017 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Western Kentucky vs Eastern Kentucky	-39.0
Sat 9/9	Western Kentucky at Illinois	-6.5	52.0	L 7 - 20	U	N
Sat 9/16	Western Kentucky vs Louisiana Tech	-4.5	62.0	L 22 - 23	U	N
Sat 9/23	Western Kentucky vs Ball State	-12.5	50.5	W 33 - 21	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/7	Western Kentucky at UTEP	-16.5	53.5	W 15 - 14	U	N
Sat 10/14	Western Kentucky vs Charlotte	-17.5	47.5	W 45 - 14	O	Y
Fri 10/20	Western Kentucky at Old Dominion	-6.5	50.0	W 35 - 31	O	N
Sat 10/28	Western Kentucky vs Florida Atlantic	+6.5	67.5	L 28 - 42	O	N
Sat 11/4	Western Kentucky at Vanderbilt	+13.0	54.5	L 17 - 31	U	N
Sat 11/11	Western Kentucky at Marshall	+10.5	53.0	L 23 - 30	U	Y
Fri 11/17	Western Kentucky vs Middle Tennessee	+1.0	56.0	W 41 - 38	O	Y
Fri 11/24	Western Kentucky at Florida International	-3.0	56.5	L 17 - 41	O	N
Sat 12/16	Western Kentucky vs Georgia State	+5.0	54.5	L 17 - 27	U	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Western Kentucky's Schedule

Illinois's 2017 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Illinois vs Ball State	-5.0	55.5	W 24 - 21	U	N
Sat 9/9	Illinois vs Western Kentucky	+6.5	52.0	W 20 - 7	U	Y
Fri 9/15	Illinois at South Florida	+16.5	55.5	L 23 - 47	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Fri 9/29	Illinois vs Nebraska	+6.5	47.5	L 6 - 28	U	N
Sat 10/7	Illinois at Iowa	+16.0	42.5	L 16 - 45	O	N
Sat 10/14	Illinois vs Rutgers	-1.0	47.0	L 24 - 35	O	N
Sat 10/21	Illinois at Minnesota	+14.5	48.5	L 17 - 24	U	Y
Sat 10/28	Illinois vs Wisconsin	+28.5	51.0	L 10 - 24	U	Y
Sat 11/4	Illinois at Purdue	+14.0	50.0	L 10 - 29	U	N
Sat 11/11	Illinois vs Indiana	+10.0	51.5	L 14 - 24	U	Y
Sat 11/18	Illinois at Ohio State	+41.0	54.5	L 14 - 52	O	Y
Sat 11/25	Illinois vs Northwestern	+16.5	46.0	L 7 - 42	O	N

Important Stats (2017)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
WKU	.16	46%	25.5	44%	2.39	61	46%	335	3.15	.17	43%	26.8	41%	44%	3.33	48.7	1.8	1.2
ILL	.01	38%	15.4	40%	2.57	106	33%	175	2.55	.18	46%	31.5	48%	42%	3.68	64	2.2	1.4

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
WKU	#66 (.19)	42% (83)		38% (117)	2.78 (108)	110	45% (33)	265	3.83 (78)	#95 (.21)	45% (102)		48% (113)	40% (60)	3.66 (54)	41.3	1.7	1.5
ILL	#31 (.25)	45% (45)		45% (51)	3.14 (49)	140	44% (44)	198	4.23 (39)	#76 (.18)	46% (115)		50% (127)	43% (90)	3.48 (37)	39	0.9	1.5

Overall Stats 2017

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
WKU Offense	13	25.5	19	45.8%	3.15	1.8	23	396	61	335	2	36%	64%	44%	46%	17%	.16
ILL Defense	12	31.5	25.9	46.3%	3.68	1.4	-	-	-	-	-	59%	40%	48%	42%	14%	.18

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
WKU Defense	13	26.8	27.8	43.5%	3.33	1.2	-	-	-	-	-	54%	44%	41%	44%	16%	.17
ILL Offense	12	15.4	15	37.6%	2.55	2.2	15	280	106	175	3.3	48%	50%	40%	33%	24%	.01

Additional Stats 2017

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Western Kentucky	13	29:22	22.6	44%	41%	5.7	48.7	1.8	1.2	5.3	0.9	1	31.4
Illinois	12	28:14	14.5	34%	40%	7.1	64	2.2	1.4	4.5	1.7	1	31.3

Run Game Stats (2017)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
WKU Offense	13	36%	44%	30.1	60.8	2	15	-.04	2.39	65%	13%	0.75
ILL Defense	12	59%	48%	-	-	-	-	.14	3.21	82%	9%	0.86

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
WKU Defense	13	54%	41%	-	-	-	-	.09	2.7	71%	10%	1.04
ILL Offense	12	48%	40%	32.2	105.6	3.3	11	.04	2.57	69%	15%	0.88

Pass Game Stats (2017)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
WKU Offense	13	64%	46%	29.3	44.4	335	7.6	11.4	27	10	.28	1.4	31%	37%	.46	5%	2
ILL Defense	12	40%	42%	-	-	-	-	-	-	9	.26	1.6	28%	35%	.33	5%	1.7

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
WKU Defense	13	44%	44%	-	-	-	-	-	-	10	.27	1.4	33%	38%	.44	6%	1.8
ILL Offense	12	50%	33%	14	28.3	174.8	6.2	12.5	8	19	-	1.5	36%	30%	.09	10%	1.4

Western Kentucky's Power Ratings
Western Kentucky's Power Rating: NR
Western Kentucky's Offense Rating: NR
Western Kentucky's Defense Rating: NR
2017 Talent Rating: #107
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Western Kentucky's 2017 Expected Record: -
Western Kentucky's 2017 Overall SP+ Rating: -4.9 #88
Western Kentucky's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.5 #87
Western Kentucky's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.0 #83

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Western Kentucky: Illinois: -1.2

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Western Kentucky: -4.9 Illinois: -7.4

Illinois's Power Ratings
Illinois's Power Rating: -1.2 NR
Illinois's Offense Rating: NR
Illinois's Defense Rating: NR
2017 Talent Rating: #64
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Illinois's 2017 Expected Record: -
Illinois's 2017 Overall SP+ Rating: -7.4 #96
Illinois's Offense SP+ Rating: 21.6 #107
Illinois's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.9 #81

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Western Kentucky Scoring
Offense: 25.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 19
Defense: 26.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 27.8

Western Kentucky's 2017 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 3 - 10 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record on Road: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 5 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 1 - 7 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 0 - 4 - 0

Projected Score
Western Kentucky 33
Illinois 17

Total Points: 50

Based on Last 4 Games
Western Kentucky 40
Illinois 13

Total Points: 54

Based on Entire Season
Western Kentucky 26
Illinois 21

Total Points: 47

Illinois Scoring
Offense: 15.4 PPG
Offense at Home: 15
Defense: 31.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 25.9

Illinois's 2017 Record
Record: 2 - 10
Record vs Spread: 4 - 7 - 1
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record at home: 2 - 5
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 1
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 5 - 1
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 1

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2017	09/09	Illinois	20	Western Kentucky	7	Western Kentucky -6.5	Illinois	52.0	Under
2014	09/06	Illinois	42	Western Kentucky	34	Illinois -1.5	Illinois	0

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Illinois	2	2	0 Overs
Western Kentucky	0	0	1 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	2 - 0	2 - 0	1 - 0	1 - 0
Road Teams	0 - 2	0 - 2	0 - 1	0 - 1

(#) WKU at (#) ILL

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	WKU	ILL
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#88	#96
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#107	#64
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Western Kentucky Injury Report

Illinois Injury Report

Western Kentucky on Offense


CategoryCat	WKU Off	ILL Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#87	#81
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Western Kentucky Run Game


CategoryCat	WKU Off	ILL Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Western Kentucky Pass Game


CategoryCat	WKU Off	ILL Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Illinois on Offense


CategoryCat	ILL Off	WKU Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#107	#83
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Illinois Run Game


CategoryCat	ILL Off	WKU Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Illinois Pass Game


CategoryCat	ILL Off	WKU Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
ILL 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'17 Profile: Down to Average G5

WKU 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'17 Profile: Down to Average G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Memorial Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 70° - Wind: 7 mph

Rematch from Week 2
Western Kentucky 6.5 (52.0)
Illinois won vs Western Kentucky this year (20-7)

No Matchups Past 4 Years

WKU's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Western Kentucky's Full Roster

WKU's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

ILL's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Illinois's Full Roster

ILL's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD