Michigan State at Ohio State - 2017 Matchup Preview
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Michigan State Spartans at Ohio State Buckeyes

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Saturday, November 11th 2017 (12:00 PM EST)
Ohio State -17.5 (56.5) (0)  Open: 0.0
Ohio State 48 - Michigan State: 3  (Big Ten)

 
Spartans (10 - 3) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 25 - 30 (22 - 33 on Road)
'17 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
MSU is playing their 8th straight game
Our Line: -11  (SP+ OSU -17)

Projected Score: MSU: 16 - OSU: 35 (51)
OSU Win prob: 89% | Cover: 51%
MSU Travel: 203 miles
Buckeyes (12 - 2) (7 - 7 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 33 - 9 (42 - 7 @ Home)
'17 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Michigan State's 2017 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Michigan State vs Bowling Green-17.056.0W 35 - 10UY
Sat 9/9 Michigan State vs Western Michigan-7.051.5W 28 - 14UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/23 Michigan State vs Notre Dame+3.554.0L 18 - 38ON
Sat 9/30 Michigan State vs Iowa-3.544.5W 17 - 10UY
Sat 10/7 Michigan State at Michigan+12.540.0W 14 - 10UY
Sat 10/14 Michigan State at Minnesota-4.040.5W 30 - 27ON
Sat 10/21 Michigan State vs Indiana-6.547.5W 17 - 9UY
Sat 10/28 Michigan State at Northwestern-2.041.5L 31 - 39ON
Sat 11/4 Michigan State vs Penn State+10.046.0W 27 - 24OY
Sat 11/11 Michigan State at Ohio State+17.556.5L 3 - 48UN
Sat 11/18 Michigan State vs Maryland-14.044.5W 17 - 7UN
Sat 11/25 Michigan State at Rutgers-14.042.5W 40 - 7OY
Thu 12/28 Michigan State vs Washington State-2.547.5W 42 - 17OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Michigan State's Schedule
Ohio State's 2017 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/31 Ohio State at Indiana-21.056.5W 49 - 21OY
Sat 9/9 Ohio State vs Oklahoma-7.564.5L 16 - 31UN
Sat 9/16 Ohio State vs Army-31.555.0W 38 - 7UN
Sat 9/23 Ohio State vs UNLV-40.067.5W 54 - 21ON
Sat 9/30 Ohio State at Rutgers-28.554.5W 56 - 0OY
Sat 10/7 Ohio State vs Maryland-30.061.0W 62 - 14OY
Sat 10/14 Ohio State at Nebraska-24.058.0W 56 - 14OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/28 Ohio State vs Penn State-7.057.5W 39 - 38ON
Sat 11/4 Ohio State at Iowa-21.055.0L 24 - 55ON
Sat 11/11 Ohio State vs Michigan State-17.556.5W 48 - 3UY
Sat 11/18 Ohio State vs Illinois-41.054.5W 52 - 14ON
Sat 11/25 Ohio State at Michigan-12.549.0W 31 - 20ON
Sat 12/2 Ohio State vs Wisconsin-3.551.5W 27 - 21UY
Fri 12/29 Ohio State vs USC-9.565.5W 24 - 7UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Ohio State's Schedule
Important Stats (2016)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MSU.1642%24.642%2.7817339%2223.07.1543%29.941%44%3.7660.31.51.1
OSU.248%33.453%3.3324539%2144.04-.0137%9.335%36%2.4850.60.92.1
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MSU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
OSU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2016
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MSU Offense1224.621.642.1%3.071.5213951732224.453%45%42%39%16%.16
OSU Defense139.37.436.7%2.482.1 - - - - - 50%48%35%36%20%-.01
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MSU Defense1229.932.843.1%3.761.1 - - - - - 55%43%41%44%13%.15
OSU Offense1333.441.647.5%4.040.9244592452145.555%44%53%39%14%.2

Additional Stats 2016
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Michigan State1231:4020.539%48%6.460.31.51.14.70.9228
Ohio State1333:1124.147%62%6.350.60.92.16.82.2731.4
Run Game Stats (2017)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MSU Offense1253%42%39.3172.74.414.032.7876%10%0.83
OSU Defense1350%35% - - - - -.062.2754%12%0.91
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MSU Defense1255%41% - - - - .082.572%8%1
OSU Offense1355%53%44.8245.25.533.243.3390%8%0.92

Pass Game Stats (2017)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MSU Offense1245%39%17.630.8222.37.212.61911.311.736%32%.266%1.7
OSU Defense1348%36% - - - - - - 21.061.635%31%.228%1.8
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MSU Defense1243%44% - - - - - - 8.261.632%37%.325%1.7
OSU Offense1344%39%19.631.5213.96.810.9267.191.431%35%.326%1.6

Michigan State's Power Ratings
Michigan State's Power Rating: NR
Michigan State's Offense Rating: NR
Michigan State's Defense Rating: NR
2017 Talent Rating:  #30
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Michigan State's 2017 Expected Record: -
Michigan State's 2017 Overall SP+ Rating: 13.8  #23
Michigan State's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.7  #72
Michigan State's Defense SP+ Rating: 15.1  #11

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Michigan State:    Ohio State: 17.95

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Michigan State: 13.8   Ohio State: 30.9




Ohio State's Power Ratings
Ohio State's Power Rating: 17.95 NR
Ohio State's Offense Rating: NR
Ohio State's Defense Rating: NR
2017 Talent Rating:  #2
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Ohio State's 2017 Expected Record: -
Ohio State's 2017 Overall SP+ Rating: 30.9  #2
Ohio State's Offense SP+ Rating: 42.9  #3
Ohio State's Defense SP+ Rating: 12.8  #7

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Michigan State Scoring
Offense: 24.6 PPG
Offense on Road: 21.6
Defense: 29.9 PPG
Defense on Road: 32.8

Michigan State's 2017 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record on Road: 3 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Ohio State 35
Michigan State 16


Projected Total Points: 51
Ohio State Scoring
Offense: 33.4 PPG
Offense at Home: 41.6
Defense: 9.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 7.4

Ohio State's 2017 Record
Record: 12 - 2
Record vs Spread: 7 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 9 - 5
Record at home: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 5 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 5 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202409/28Michigan State7Ohio State38Ohio State -23.5Ohio State48.5Under
202311/11Ohio State38Michigan State3Ohio State -30.5Ohio State48.5Under
202210/08Michigan State20Ohio State49Ohio State -27Ohio State64.5Over
202111/20Ohio State56Michigan State7Ohio State -19.5Ohio State70.5Under
202012/05Michigan State12Ohio State52Ohio State -22.5Ohio State59.0Over
201910/05Ohio State34Michigan State10Ohio State -19Ohio State51.0Under
201811/10Michigan State6Ohio State26Ohio State -3Ohio State50.0Under
201711/11Ohio State48Michigan State3Ohio State -17.5Ohio State56.5Under
201611/19Michigan State16Ohio State17Ohio State -23.5Michigan State50.0Under
201511/21Ohio State14Michigan State17Ohio State -13Michigan State53.5Under
201411/08Michigan State37Ohio State49Michigan State -2Ohio State0
201312/07Michigan State34Ohio State24Ohio State -6.5Michigan State0
201209/29Michigan State16Ohio State17
201110/01Ohio State7Michigan State10
200810/18Michigan State7Ohio State45
200710/20Ohio State24Michigan State17
200610/14Michigan State7Ohio State38
200510/15Ohio State35Michigan State24
200411/06Michigan State19Ohio State32
200311/08Ohio State33Michigan State23
200011/03Ohio State27Michigan State13
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Ohio State1892 Overs
Michigan State338 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams9 - 126 - 64 - 22 - 4
Road Teams12 - 96 - 64 - 22 - 4

(#) MSU at (#) OSU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatMSUOSU
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #23 #2
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #30 #2
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Michigan State on Offense
CategoryCat
MSU OffOSU Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #72 #7
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Michigan State Run Game
CategoryCat
MSU OffOSU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Michigan State Pass Game
CategoryCat
MSU OffOSU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Ohio State on Offense
CategoryCatOSU OffMSU Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #3 #11
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Ohio State Run Game
CategoryCat
OSU OffMSU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Ohio State Pass Game
CategoryCatOSU OffMSU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
OSU 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'17 Profile: Down to CFB Elites

MSU 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'17 Profile: Down to Top 25 Contenders

Weather Forecast
Playing in Ohio Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 11
Ohio State -17.5 (56.5)
Ohio State won vs Michigan State this year (48-3)

Previous Matchups
Ohio State beat Michigan State in 2024 (38-7)
Ohio State beat Michigan State in 2023 (38-3)

  
MSU's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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MSU's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

OSU's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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OSU's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD