Michigan State at Minnesota - 2017 Matchup Preview

Michigan State Spartans at Minnesota Golden Gophers

Saturday, October 14th 2017 (8:00 PM EDT)
Michigan State -4 (40.5) (0) Open: 0.0
Michigan State 30 - Minnesota: 27 (Big Ten)

Spartans (10 - 3) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 25 - 20 (24 - 26 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Rain Predicted
Wind: 19.7 MPH
MSU 2nd straight Road Game
MSU is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: -4 (SP+ MSU -13.5)
Projected Score: MSU: 20 - MINN: 23 (43)
MSU Win prob: 62% | Cover: 49%
MSU Travel: 462 miles, 1 hrs ahead

Golden Gophers (5 - 7) (4 - 7 - 1)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 22 - 23 (26 - 20 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
MSU Players
MINN Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Michigan State's 2017 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Michigan State vs Bowling Green	-17.0	56.0	W 35 - 10	U	Y
Sat 9/9	Michigan State vs Western Michigan	-7.0	51.5	W 28 - 14	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/23	Michigan State vs Notre Dame	+3.5	54.0	L 18 - 38	O	N
Sat 9/30	Michigan State vs Iowa	-3.5	44.5	W 17 - 10	U	Y
Sat 10/7	Michigan State at Michigan	+12.5	40.0	W 14 - 10	U	Y
Sat 10/14	Michigan State at Minnesota	-4.0	40.5	W 30 - 27	O	N
Sat 10/21	Michigan State vs Indiana	-6.5	47.5	W 17 - 9	U	Y
Sat 10/28	Michigan State at Northwestern	-2.0	41.5	L 31 - 39	O	N
Sat 11/4	Michigan State vs Penn State	+10.0	46.0	W 27 - 24	O	Y
Sat 11/11	Michigan State at Ohio State	+17.5	56.5	L 3 - 48	U	N
Sat 11/18	Michigan State vs Maryland	-14.0	44.5	W 17 - 7	U	N
Sat 11/25	Michigan State at Rutgers	-14.0	42.5	W 40 - 7	O	Y
Thu 12/28	Michigan State vs Washington State	-2.5	47.5	W 42 - 17	O	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Michigan State's Schedule

Minnesota's 2017 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 8/31	Minnesota vs Buffalo	-23.0	51.0	W 17 - 7	U	N
Sat 9/9	Minnesota at Oregon State	+2.5	50.5	W 48 - 14	O	Y
Sat 9/16	Minnesota vs Middle Tennessee	-13.5	49.5	W 34 - 3	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/30	Minnesota vs Maryland	-13.5	45.0	L 24 - 31	O	N
Sat 10/7	Minnesota at Purdue	+3.5	45.5	L 17 - 31	O	N
Sat 10/14	Minnesota vs Michigan State	+4.0	40.5	L 27 - 30	O	Y
Sat 10/21	Minnesota vs Illinois	-14.5	48.5	W 24 - 17	U	N
Sat 10/28	Minnesota at Iowa	+7.0	43.0	L 10 - 17	U	Y
Sat 11/4	Minnesota at Michigan	+16.0	39.5	L 10 - 33	O	N
Sat 11/11	Minnesota vs Nebraska	-1.5	47.5	W 54 - 21	O	Y
Sat 11/18	Minnesota at Northwestern	+7.0	40.5	L 0 - 39	U	N
Sat 11/25	Minnesota vs Wisconsin	+18.5	43.5	L 0 - 31	U	N

Important Stats (2017)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
MSU	.13	43%	24.5	40%	2.77	168	44%	215	3	.07	38%	20	35%	38%	2.98	59.1	1.5	1.8
MINN	.07	42%	22.1	45%	2.9	182	33%	126	2.94	.16	42%	22.8	43%	40%	3.59	28.2	1.5	1.5

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
MSU	#105 (.13)	42% (86)		45% (50)	2.76 (109)	118	38% (107)	218	3.34 (116)	#85 (.19)	42% (69)		39% (25)	45% (111)	4.06 (98)	63.3	1.6	0.9
MINN	#64 (.2)	45% (39)		44% (65)	2.7 (119)	103	46% (29)	204	4.38 (27)	#16 (.08)	39% (35)		36% (8)	42% (80)	3.32 (23)	35.6	0.8	1.5

Overall Stats 2017

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
MSU Offense	13	24.5	23.6	43.1%	3	1.5	22	383	168	215	4	54%	45%	40%	44%	15%	.13
MINN Defense	12	22.8	20	42.3%	3.59	1.5	-	-	-	-	-	53%	46%	43%	40%	18%	.16

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
MSU Defense	13	20	26.2	37.9%	2.98	1.8	-	-	-	-	-	44%	55%	35%	38%	18%	.07
MINN Offense	12	22.1	25.7	41.9%	2.94	1.5	16	308	182	126	4.2	64%	34%	45%	33%	16%	.07

Additional Stats 2017

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Michigan State	13	35:18	21.6	45%	58%	6.5	59.1	1.5	1.8	5	2.2	1	30.9
Minnesota	12	30:57	16.4	34%	77%	3.3	28.2	1.5	1.5	5.9	1.9	3	30.7

Run Game Stats (2017)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
MSU Offense	13	54%	40%	42	167.8	4	18	.01	2.77	66%	10%	0.86
MINN Defense	12	53%	43%	-	-	-	-	.12	3.02	78%	12%	0.96

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
MSU Defense	13	44%	35%	-	-	-	-	-.03	2.45	67%	10%	0.89
MINN Offense	12	64%	45%	43.8	182.3	4.2	20	.12	2.9	77%	11%	0.88

Pass Game Stats (2017)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
MSU Offense	13	45%	44%	19	32.6	215.2	6.6	11.3	20	8	.29	1.6	30%	39%	.3	5%	1.7
MINN Defense	12	46%	40%	-	-	-	-	-	-	8	.22	1.6	32%	31%	.22	6%	1.8

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
MSU Defense	13	55%	38%	-	-	-	-	-	-	14	.15	1.5	35%	29%	.22	7%	1.8
MINN Offense	12	34%	33%	9.2	19.3	126.1	6.5	13.8	9	11	-	1.7	32%	29%	.14	5%	1.7

Michigan State's Power Ratings
Michigan State's Power Rating: NR
Michigan State's Offense Rating: NR
Michigan State's Defense Rating: NR
2017 Talent Rating: #30
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Michigan State's 2017 Expected Record: -
Michigan State's 2017 Overall SP+ Rating: 13.8 #23
Michigan State's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.7 #72
Michigan State's Defense SP+ Rating: 15.1 #11

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Michigan State: Minnesota: 2.7

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Michigan State: 13.8 Minnesota: 0.4

Minnesota's Power Ratings
Minnesota's Power Rating: 2.7 NR
Minnesota's Offense Rating: NR
Minnesota's Defense Rating: NR
2017 Talent Rating: #62
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Minnesota's 2017 Expected Record: -
Minnesota's 2017 Overall SP+ Rating: 0.4 #72
Minnesota's Offense SP+ Rating: 23.9 #100
Minnesota's Defense SP+ Rating: 22.1 #30

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Michigan State Scoring
Offense: 24.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 23.6
Defense: 20 PPG
Defense on Road: 26.2

Michigan State's 2017 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record on Road: 3 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
Minnesota 23
Michigan State 20

Total Points: 43

Based on Last 4 Games
Minnesota 22
Michigan State 18

Total Points: 39

Based on Entire Season
Minnesota 24
Michigan State 23

Total Points: 47

Minnesota Scoring
Offense: 22.1 PPG
Offense at Home: 25.7
Defense: 22.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 20

Minnesota's 2017 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 4 - 7 - 1
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record at home: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 1
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	11/01	Minnesota	23	Michigan State	20	Minnesota -4.5	Michigan State	44.5	Under
2023	10/28	Minnesota	27	Michigan State	12	Minnesota -6.5	Minnesota	41.5	Under
2022	09/24	Michigan State	7	Minnesota	34	Minnesota -3	Minnesota	50.0	Under
2017	10/14	Minnesota	27	Michigan State	30	Michigan State -4	Minnesota	40.5	Over
2013	11/30	Michigan State	14	Minnesota	3	Michigan State -14	Minnesota	0
2012	11/24	Minnesota	10	Michigan State	26
2011	11/05	Michigan State	31	Minnesota	24
2010	11/06	Michigan State	31	Minnesota	8
2009	10/31	Minnesota	42	Michigan State	34
2006	11/11	Michigan State	18	Minnesota	31
2005	11/12	Minnesota	41	Michigan State	18
2004	10/16	Michigan State	51	Minnesota	17
2003	10/18	Minnesota	38	Michigan State	44
2002	10/19	Michigan State	7	Minnesota	28
2001	10/20	Minnesota	28	Michigan State	19

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Minnesota	8	4	1 Overs
Michigan State	7	1	3 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	9 - 6	2 - 3	1 - 2	1 - 1
Road Teams	6 - 9	3 - 2	1 - 1	2 - 1

(#) MSU at (#) MINN

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	MSU	MINN
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#23	#72
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#30	#62
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Michigan State Injury Report

Minnesota Injury Report

Michigan State on Offense


CategoryCat	MSU Off	MINN Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#72	#30
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Michigan State Run Game


CategoryCat	MSU Off	MINN Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Michigan State Pass Game


CategoryCat	MSU Off	MINN Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Minnesota on Offense


CategoryCat	MINN Off	MSU Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#100	#11
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Minnesota Run Game


CategoryCat	MINN Off	MSU Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Minnesota Pass Game


CategoryCat	MINN Off	MSU Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
MINN 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'17 Profile: Down to Top G5

MSU 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'17 Profile: Down to Top 25 Contenders

Weather Forecast
Playing in Huntington Bank Stadium
Conditions: Rain
Temp: 50° - Wind: 20 mph
Rain: 0.028

Rematch from Week 7
Michigan State 4.0 (40.5)
Michigan State won at Minnesota this year (30-27)

Previous Matchups
Minnesota beat Michigan State in 2023 (27-12)
Minnesota beat Michigan State in 2022 (34-7)

MSU's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Michigan State's Full Roster

MSU's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

MINN's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Minnesota's Full Roster

MINN's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD