Bowling Green at Michigan State - 2017 Matchup Preview

Bowling Green Falcons at Michigan State Spartans

Saturday, September 2nd 2017 (12:00 PM EDT)
Michigan State -17 (56.0) (0) Open: 0.0
Michigan State 35 - Bowling Green: 10

Falcons (2 - 10) (3 - 9 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 25 - 38 (24 - 32 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Our Line: -14.5 (SP+ MSU -24)
Projected Score: BGSU: 23 - MSU: 29 (52)
MSU Win prob: 90% | Cover: 52%
BGSU Travel: 103 miles

Spartans (10 - 3) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 25 - 20 (23 - 16 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
BGSU Players
MSU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Bowling Green's 2017 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Bowling Green at Michigan State	+17.0	56.0	L 10 - 35	U	N
Sat 9/9	Bowling Green vs South Dakota	-4.0
Sat 9/16	Bowling Green at Northwestern	+21.0	56.5	L 7 - 49	U	N
Sat 9/23	Bowling Green at Middle Tennessee	+7.0	54.0	L 13 - 24	U	N
Sat 9/30	Bowling Green vs Akron	+3.0	57.5	L 23 - 34	U	N
Sat 10/7	Bowling Green at Miami (OH)	+16.5	50.5	W 37 - 29	O	Y
Sat 10/14	Bowling Green vs Ohio	+9.5	62.0	L 30 - 48	O	N
Sat 10/21	Bowling Green vs Northern Illinois	+14.5	56.5	L 17 - 48	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Tue 10/31	Bowling Green at Kent State	-1.0	48.0	W 44 - 16	O	Y
Tue 11/7	Bowling Green at Buffalo	+7.0	61.0	L 28 - 38	O	N
Wed 11/15	Bowling Green vs Toledo	+17.5	66.0	L 37 - 66	O	N
Tue 11/21	Bowling Green at Eastern Michigan	+14.5	62.5	L 31 - 34	O	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Bowling Green's Schedule

Michigan State's 2017 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Michigan State vs Bowling Green	-17.0	56.0	W 35 - 10	U	Y
Sat 9/9	Michigan State vs Western Michigan	-7.0	51.5	W 28 - 14	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/23	Michigan State vs Notre Dame	+3.5	54.0	L 18 - 38	O	N
Sat 9/30	Michigan State vs Iowa	-3.5	44.5	W 17 - 10	U	Y
Sat 10/7	Michigan State at Michigan	+12.5	40.0	W 14 - 10	U	Y
Sat 10/14	Michigan State at Minnesota	-4.0	40.5	W 30 - 27	O	N
Sat 10/21	Michigan State vs Indiana	-6.5	47.5	W 17 - 9	U	Y
Sat 10/28	Michigan State at Northwestern	-2.0	41.5	L 31 - 39	O	N
Sat 11/4	Michigan State vs Penn State	+10.0	46.0	W 27 - 24	O	Y
Sat 11/11	Michigan State at Ohio State	+17.5	56.5	L 3 - 48	U	N
Sat 11/18	Michigan State vs Maryland	-14.0	44.5	W 17 - 7	U	N
Sat 11/25	Michigan State at Rutgers	-14.0	42.5	W 40 - 7	O	Y
Thu 12/28	Michigan State vs Washington State	-2.5	47.5	W 42 - 17	O	Y

Important Stats (2017)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
BGSU	.11	42%	25.3	42%	2.78	152	39%	235	3.25	.29	51%	38	52%	48%	4.05	68.9	2.1	1.7
MSU	.13	43%	24.5	40%	2.77	168	44%	215	3	.07	38%	20	35%	38%	2.98	59.1	1.5	1.8

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
BGSU	#53 (.21)	43% (68)		41% (99)	3.01 (74)	134	44% (38)	207	3.84 (77)	#43 (.13)	38% (15)		39% (29)	37% (20)	3.47 (32)	41.1	0.8	1
MSU	#105 (.13)	42% (86)		45% (50)	2.76 (109)	118	38% (107)	218	3.34 (116)	#85 (.19)	42% (69)		39% (25)	45% (111)	4.06 (98)	63.3	1.6	0.9

Overall Stats 2017

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
BGSU Offense	12	25.3	24.3	41.6%	3.25	2.1	19	387	152	235	4.2	46%	52%	42%	39%	19%	.11
MSU Defense	13	20	16	37.9%	2.98	1.8	-	-	-	-	-	44%	55%	35%	38%	18%	.07

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
BGSU Defense	12	38	32.1	51.2%	4.05	1.7	-	-	-	-	-	57%	42%	52%	48%	15%	.29
MSU Offense	13	24.5	22.7	43.1%	3	1.5	22	383	168	215	4	54%	45%	40%	44%	15%	.13

Additional Stats 2017

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Bowling Green	12	27:13	19.3	36%	33%	7.4	68.9	2.1	1.7	4.5	1.3	0	31
Michigan State	13	35:18	21.6	45%	58%	6.5	59.1	1.5	1.8	5	2.2	1	30.9

Run Game Stats (2017)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
BGSU Offense	12	46%	42%	35.8	151.7	4.2	13	.08	2.78	58%	12%	1.04
MSU Defense	13	44%	35%	-	-	-	-	-.03	2.45	67%	10%	0.89

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
BGSU Defense	12	57%	52%	-	-	-	-	.25	3.47	79%	8%	0.94
MSU Offense	13	54%	40%	42	167.8	4	18	.01	2.77	66%	10%	0.86

Pass Game Stats (2017)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
BGSU Offense	12	52%	39%	18.8	34.8	235	6.8	12.5	21	12	.15	1.6	35%	36%	.27	7%	1.7
MSU Defense	13	55%	38%	-	-	-	-	-	-	14	.15	1.5	35%	29%	.22	7%	1.8

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
BGSU Defense	12	42%	48%	-	-	-	-	-	-	9	.37	1.6	28%	46%	.55	6%	1.7
MSU Offense	13	45%	44%	19	32.6	215.2	6.6	11.3	20	8	.29	1.6	30%	39%	.3	5%	1.7

Bowling Green's Power Ratings
Bowling Green's Power Rating: NR
Bowling Green's Offense Rating: NR
Bowling Green's Defense Rating: NR
2017 Talent Rating: #98
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Bowling Green's 2017 Expected Record: -
Bowling Green's 2017 Overall SP+ Rating: -10.0 #101
Bowling Green's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.5 #73
Bowling Green's Defense SP+ Rating: 38.9 #116

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Bowling Green: Michigan State: 9.4

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Bowling Green: -10.0 Michigan State: 13.8

Michigan State's Power Ratings
Michigan State's Power Rating: 9.4 NR
Michigan State's Offense Rating: NR
Michigan State's Defense Rating: NR
2017 Talent Rating: #30
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Michigan State's 2017 Expected Record: -
Michigan State's 2017 Overall SP+ Rating: 13.8 #23
Michigan State's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.7 #72
Michigan State's Defense SP+ Rating: 15.1 #11

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Bowling Green Scoring
Offense: 25.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 24.3
Defense: 38 PPG
Defense on Road: 32.1

Bowling Green's 2017 Record
Record: 2 - 10
Record vs Spread: 3 - 9 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 5
Record on Road: 2 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 8 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 0

Projected Score
Michigan State 29
Bowling Green 23

Total Points: 52

Based on Last 4 Games
Michigan State 30
Bowling Green 23

Total Points: 53

Based on Entire Season
Michigan State 29
Bowling Green 22

Total Points: 51

Michigan State Scoring
Offense: 24.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 22.7
Defense: 20 PPG
Defense at Home: 16

Michigan State's 2017 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record at home: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 1 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2017	09/02	Michigan State	35	Bowling Green	10	Michigan State -17	Michigan State	56.0	Under
2007	09/08	Michigan State	28	Bowling Green	17

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Michigan State	2	1	0 Overs
Bowling Green	0	0	1 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	2 - 0	1 - 0	1 - 0	0 - 0
Road Teams	0 - 2	0 - 1	0 - 0	0 - 1

(#) BGSU at (#) MSU

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	BGSU	MSU
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#101	#23
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#98	#30
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Bowling Green Injury Report

Michigan State Injury Report

Bowling Green on Offense


CategoryCat	BGSU Off	MSU Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#73	#11
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Bowling Green Run Game


CategoryCat	BGSU Off	MSU Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Bowling Green Pass Game


CategoryCat	BGSU Off	MSU Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Michigan State on Offense


CategoryCat	MSU Off	BGSU Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#72	#116
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Michigan State Run Game


CategoryCat	MSU Off	BGSU Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Michigan State Pass Game


CategoryCat	MSU Off	BGSU Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
MSU 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'17 Profile: Down to Top 25 Contenders

BGSU 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'17 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Spartan Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 67° - Wind: 6 mph

Rematch from Week 1
Michigan State -17.0 (56.0)
Michigan State won vs Bowling Green this year (35-10)

No Matchups Past 4 Years

BGSU's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Bowling Green's Full Roster

BGSU's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

MSU's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Michigan State's Full Roster

MSU's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD