Boise State at Oregon State - 2016 Matchup Preview
Boise State logo   Boise State Broncos at Oregon State Beavers  Oregon State logo
Saturday, September 24th 2016 (3:30 PM EDT)
Boise State -14 (60.0) (0)  Open: 0.0
Boise State 38 - Oregon State: 24

 
Broncos (10 - 3) (3 - 9 - 1)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 30 - 24 (20 - 24 on Road)
'16 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
ORST 2nd straight Home Game
BSU coming off BYE
Our Line: -5.5  (SP+ BSU -16)
Projected Score: BSU: 26 - ORST: 22 (48)
BSU Win prob: 86% | Cover: 55%
BSU Travel: 358 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Beavers (4 - 8) (8 - 3 - 1)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 18 - 29 (22 - 25 @ Home)
'16 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Boise State's 2016 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/3 Boise State at Louisiana-18.064.5W 45 - 10UY
Sat 9/10 Boise State vs Washington State-12.074.5W 31 - 28UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/24 Boise State at Oregon State-14.060.0W 38 - 24ON
Sat 10/1 Boise State vs Utah State-19.560.5W 21 - 10UN
Fri 10/7 Boise State at New Mexico-16.561.5W 49 - 21OY
Sat 10/15 Boise State vs Colorado State-25.559.5W 28 - 23UN
Thu 10/20 Boise State vs BYU-9.558.0W 28 - 27UN
Sat 10/29 Boise State at Wyoming-12.562.5L 28 - 30UN
Fri 11/4 Boise State vs San José State-26.558.5W 45 - 31ON
Sat 11/12 Boise State at Hawai'i-16.562.5W 52 - 16OY
Fri 11/18 Boise State vs UNLV-26.563.0W 42 - 25ON
Fri 11/25 Boise State at Air Force-9.063.5L 20 - 27UN
Tue 12/27 Boise State vs Baylor-10.071.0L 12 - 31UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Boise State's Schedule
Oregon State's 2016 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 9/1 Oregon State at Minnesota+7.556.0L 23 - 30UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/17 Oregon State vs Idaho State-35.0
Sat 9/24 Oregon State vs Boise State+14.060.0L 24 - 38OY
Sat 10/1 Oregon State at Colorado+16.056.0L 6 - 47UN
Sat 10/8 Oregon State vs California+10.070.0W 47 - 44OY
Sat 10/15 Oregon State vs Utah+13.043.0L 14 - 19UY
Sat 10/22 Oregon State at Washington+31.553.0L 17 - 41OY
Sat 10/29 Oregon State vs Washington State+17.555.0L 31 - 35OY
Sat 11/5 Oregon State at Stanford+16.542.5L 15 - 26UY
Sat 11/12 Oregon State at UCLA+10.048.5L 24 - 38ON
Sat 11/19 Oregon State vs Arizona-5.061.5W 42 - 17UY
Sat 11/26 Oregon State vs Oregon+3.069.0W 34 - 24UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Oregon State's Schedule
Important Stats (2015)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
BSU.1847%29.946%2.819145%3103.79.0734%24.132%34%2.5953.21.72.4
ORST.0940%17.644%2.7817734%1592.75.2751%29.453%47%4.3258.71.31
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
BSU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
ORST0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2015
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
BSU Offense1329.919.846.6%3.791.7265021913104.544%53%46%45%2%.18
ORST Defense1229.425.351.4%4.321 - - - - - 52%46%53%47%3%.27
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
BSU Defense1324.123.833.8%2.592.4 - - - - - 48%51%32%34%2%.07
ORST Offense1217.621.740.2%2.751.3183361771594.854%45%44%34%2%.09

Additional Stats 2015
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Boise State1331:5226.541%63%6.353.21.72.400232.3
Oregon State1226:1217.532%18%6.358.71.3100326.6
Run Game Stats (2016)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
BSU Offense1344%46%42.5191.44.536.152.875%0%1.03
ORST Defense1252%53% - - - - .243.2881%0%0.87
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
BSU Defense1348%32% - - - - .032.2958%0%1.19
ORST Offense1254%44%37.2177.34.816.12.7878%0%0.93

Pass Game Stats (2016)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
BSU Offense1353%45%25.740.5310.27.712.12412.231.531%38%.282%1.7
ORST Defense1246%47% - - - - - - 8.351.525%42%.453%1.6
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
BSU Defense1351%34% - - - - - - 22.141.838%26%.252%2.2
ORST Offense1245%34%13.428.6159.15.611.91011.081.635%26%.112%1.6

Boise State's Power Ratings
Boise State's Power Rating: NR
Boise State's Offense Rating: NR
Boise State's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating:  #57
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Boise State's 2016 Expected Record: -
Boise State's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: 11.5  #29
Boise State's Offense SP+ Rating: 36.7  #28
Boise State's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.0  #42

Average Talent
Average Pac-12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Boise State:    Oregon State: 0.2

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Boise State: 11.5   Oregon State: -4.6




Oregon State's Power Ratings
Oregon State's Power Rating: 0.2 NR
Oregon State's Offense Rating: NR
Oregon State's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating:  #63
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Oregon State's 2016 Expected Record: -
Oregon State's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: -4.6  #88
Oregon State's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.1  #86
Oregon State's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.0  #81

Average Talent
Average Pac-12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Boise State Scoring
Offense: 29.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 19.8
Defense: 24.1 PPG
Defense on Road: 23.8

Boise State's 2016 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 3 - 9 - 1
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record on Road: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 9 - 1
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Boise State 26
Oregon State 22

Projected Total Points: 48
Oregon State Scoring
Offense: 17.6 PPG
Offense at Home: 21.7
Defense: 29.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 25.3

Oregon State's 2016 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 8 - 3 - 1
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record at home: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 1 - 1
Record as Dog vs Spread: 7 - 2 - 1
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 4 - 0 - 1


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202411/29Boise State34Oregon State18Boise State -17.5Oregon State58.5Under
202209/03Oregon State34Boise State17Oregon State -2Oregon State55.5Under
201609/24Oregon State24Boise State38Boise State -14NA60.0Over
201312/24Oregon State38Boise State23Oregon State -4Oregon State66.5Under
201009/25Boise State37Oregon State24
200609/07Boise State42Oregon State14
200509/10Oregon State30Boise State27
200409/10Boise State53Oregon State34
200309/20Oregon State26Boise State24
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Oregon State431 Overs
Boise State503 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams8 - 12 - 12 - 10 - 0
Road Teams1 - 81 - 20 - 01 - 2

(#) BSU at (#) ORST
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatBSUORST
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #29 #88
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #57 #63
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Boise State on Offense
CategoryCat
BSU OffORST Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #28 #81
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Boise State Run Game
CategoryCat
BSU OffORST Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Boise State Pass Game
CategoryCat
BSU OffORST Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Oregon State on Offense
CategoryCatORST OffBSU Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #86 #42
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Oregon State Run Game
CategoryCat
ORST OffBSU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Oregon State Pass Game
CategoryCatORST OffBSU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
ORST 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Average G5

BSU 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Average P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Reser Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 4
Boise State 14.0 (60.0)
Boise State won at Oregon State this year (38-24)

Previous Matchups
Boise State beat Oregon State in 2024 (34-18)

  
BSU's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Boise State's Full Roster

BSU's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

ORST's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Oregon State's Full Roster

ORST's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD