BYU at Boise State - 2016 Matchup Preview
BYU logo   BYU Cougars at Boise State Broncos  Boise State logo
Thursday, October 20th 2016 (10:15 PM EDT)
Boise State -9.5 (58.0) (0)  Open: 0.0
Boise State 28 - BYU: 27

 
Cougars (9 - 4) (10 - 3 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 31 - 19 (28 - 22 on Road)
'16 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
BSU 2nd straight Home Game
BSU is playing their 5th straight game
BYU is playing their 8th straight game
Our Line: -4.5  (SP+ BSU -4)
Projected Score: BYU: 26 - BSU: 28 (54)
BSU Win prob: 79% | Cover: 55%
BYU Travel: 328 miles
Broncos (10 - 3) (3 - 9 - 1)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 30 - 24 (41 - 22 @ Home)
'16 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
BYU's 2016 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/3 BYU vs Arizona+2.563.5W 18 - 16UY
Sat 9/10 BYU at Utah+4.543.0L 19 - 20UY
Sat 9/17 BYU vs UCLA+4.050.5L 14 - 17UY
Sat 9/24 BYU vs West Virginia+3.553.0L 32 - 35OY
Fri 9/30 BYU vs Toledo-4.551.0W 55 - 53ON
Sat 10/8 BYU at Michigan State+5.048.5W 31 - 14UY
Fri 10/14 BYU vs Mississippi State-4.055.5W 28 - 21UY
Thu 10/20 BYU at Boise State+9.558.0L 27 - 28UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/5 BYU at Cincinnati-10.054.0W 20 - 3UY
Sat 11/12 BYU vs Southern Utah-31.0
Sat 11/19 BYU vs Massachusetts-30.054.0W 51 - 9OY
Sat 11/26 BYU vs Utah State-17.051.5W 28 - 10UY
Wed 12/21 BYU vs Wyoming-7.556.0W 24 - 21UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for BYU's Schedule
Boise State's 2016 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/3 Boise State at Louisiana-18.064.5W 45 - 10UY
Sat 9/10 Boise State vs Washington State-12.074.5W 31 - 28UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/24 Boise State at Oregon State-14.060.0W 38 - 24ON
Sat 10/1 Boise State vs Utah State-19.560.5W 21 - 10UN
Fri 10/7 Boise State at New Mexico-16.561.5W 49 - 21OY
Sat 10/15 Boise State vs Colorado State-25.559.5W 28 - 23UN
Thu 10/20 Boise State vs BYU-9.558.0W 28 - 27UN
Sat 10/29 Boise State at Wyoming-12.562.5L 28 - 30UN
Fri 11/4 Boise State vs San José State-26.558.5W 45 - 31ON
Sat 11/12 Boise State at Hawai'i-16.562.5W 52 - 16OY
Fri 11/18 Boise State vs UNLV-26.563.0W 42 - 25ON
Fri 11/25 Boise State at Air Force-9.063.5L 20 - 27UN
Tue 12/27 Boise State vs Baylor-10.071.0L 12 - 31UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Boise State's Schedule
Important Stats (2015)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
BYU.243%31.441%2.7212843%2964.2.0839%19.137%39%3.157.71.51.7
BSU.1847%29.946%2.819145%3103.79.0734%24.132%34%2.5953.21.72.4
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
BYU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
BSU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2015
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
BYU Offense1331.427.543.4%4.21.521425128296439%59%41%43%2%.2
BSU Defense1324.122.333.8%2.592.4 - - - - - 48%51%32%34%2%.07
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
BYU Defense1319.121.839.2%3.11.7 - - - - - 50%48%37%39%3%.08
BSU Offense1329.941.346.6%3.791.7265021913104.544%53%46%45%2%.18

Additional Stats 2015
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
BYU1328:4021.240%52%6.557.71.51.700229.2
Boise State1331:5226.541%63%6.353.21.72.400232.3
Run Game Stats (2016)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
BYU Offense1339%41%31.8128.3428.152.7270%0%1.15
BSU Defense1348%32% - - - - .032.2958%0%1.19
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
BYU Defense1350%37% - - - - .032.4664%0%1.07
BSU Offense1344%46%42.5191.44.536.152.875%0%1.03

Pass Game Stats (2016)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
BYU Offense1359%43%23.238.8296.57.712.82612.241.534%35%.362%1.9
BSU Defense1351%34% - - - - - - 22.141.838%26%.252%2.2
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
BYU Defense1348%39% - - - - - - 15.131.535%32%.183%1.7
BSU Offense1353%45%25.740.5310.27.712.12412.231.531%38%.282%1.7

BYU's Power Ratings
BYU's Power Rating: NR
BYU's Offense Rating: NR
BYU's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating:  #61
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
BYU's 2016 Expected Record: -
BYU's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: 8.0  #46
BYU's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.6  #63
BYU's Defense SP+ Rating: 23.1  #33

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
BYU:    Boise State: 8.25

SP+ Ratings Matchup
BYU: 8.0   Boise State: 11.5




Boise State's Power Ratings
Boise State's Power Rating: 8.25 NR
Boise State's Offense Rating: NR
Boise State's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating:  #57
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Boise State's 2016 Expected Record: -
Boise State's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: 11.5  #29
Boise State's Offense SP+ Rating: 36.7  #28
Boise State's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.0  #42

Average Talent
Average Pac-12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


BYU Scoring
Offense: 31.4 PPG
Offense on Road: 27.5
Defense: 19.1 PPG
Defense on Road: 21.8

BYU's 2016 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 10 - 3 - 0
Over/Under Record: 3 - 10
Record on Road: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 0 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 6 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Boise State 28
BYU 26

Projected Total Points: 54
Boise State Scoring
Offense: 29.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 41.3
Defense: 24.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 22.3

Boise State's 2016 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 3 - 9 - 1
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record at home: 6 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 6 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 9 - 1
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 0 - 6 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202211/05Boise State28BYU31Boise State -9.5BYU54.5Over
202110/09BYU17Boise State26BYU -6Boise State58.0Under
202011/06Boise State17BYU51BYU -4BYU62.5Over
201910/19BYU28Boise State25Boise State -7BYU45.0Over
201811/03Boise State21BYU16Boise State -12BYU53.5Under
201710/06BYU7Boise State24Boise State -7.5Boise State46.5Under
201610/20Boise State28BYU27Boise State -9.5BYU58.0Under
201509/12BYU35Boise State24Boise State -1.5BYU56.0Over
201410/24Boise State55BYU30Boise State -6.5Boise State0
201310/25BYU37Boise State20BYU -7BYU0
201209/20Boise State7BYU6
200409/24Boise State28BYU27
200310/30BYU12Boise State50
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Boise State834 Overs
BYU574 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams8 - 54 - 62 - 42 - 2
Road Teams5 - 86 - 42 - 24 - 2

(#) BYU at (#) BSU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatBYUBSU
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #46 #29
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #61 #57
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
BYU on Offense
CategoryCat
BYU OffBSU Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #63 #42
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
BYU Run Game
CategoryCat
BYU OffBSU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
BYU Pass Game
CategoryCat
BYU OffBSU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Boise State on Offense
CategoryCatBSU OffBYU Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #28 #33
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Boise State Run Game
CategoryCat
BSU OffBYU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Boise State Pass Game
CategoryCatBSU OffBYU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
BSU 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Average P4

BYU 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Below Avg P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Albertsons Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 8
Boise State -9.5 (58.0)
Boise State won vs BYU this year (28-27)

No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
BYU's OC ()
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BYU's DC ()
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BSU's OC ()
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BSU's DC ()
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