UNLV at Boise State - 2016 Matchup Preview
UNLV logo   UNLV Rebels at Boise State Broncos  Boise State logo
Friday, November 18th 2016 (9:00 PM EST)
Boise State -26.5 (63.0) (0)  Open: 0.0
Boise State 42 - UNLV: 25  (Mountain West)

 
Rebels (4 - 8) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 34 - 28 (35 - 29 on Road)
'16 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
BSU is playing their 9th straight game
Our Line: -15.5  (SP+ BSU -26)
Projected Score: UNLV: 29 - BSU: 32 (61)
BSU Win prob: 97% | Cover: 51%
UNLV Travel: 517 miles, 1 hrs behind
Broncos (10 - 3) (3 - 9 - 1)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 30 - 24 (41 - 22 @ Home)
'16 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
UNLV's 2016 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 9/1 UNLV vs Jackson State-40.0
Sat 9/10 UNLV at UCLA+25.557.5L 21 - 42OY
Sat 9/17 UNLV at Central Michigan+14.055.0L 21 - 44ON
Sat 9/24 UNLV vs Idaho-13.061.5L 30 - 33ON
Sat 10/1 UNLV vs Fresno State-11.556.5W 45 - 20OY
Sat 10/8 UNLV at San Diego State+17.553.5L 7 - 26UN
Sat 10/15 UNLV at Hawai'i+10.054.0W 41 - 38OY
Sat 10/22 UNLV vs Colorado State-1.556.5L 23 - 42ON
Sat 10/29 UNLV at San José State-3.055.0L 24 - 30UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/12 UNLV vs Wyoming+9.061.0W 69 - 66OY
Fri 11/18 UNLV at Boise State+26.563.0L 25 - 42OY
Sat 11/26 UNLV vs Nevada-7.059.0L 10 - 45UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for UNLV's Schedule
Boise State's 2016 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/3 Boise State at Louisiana-18.064.5W 45 - 10UY
Sat 9/10 Boise State vs Washington State-12.074.5W 31 - 28UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/24 Boise State at Oregon State-14.060.0W 38 - 24ON
Sat 10/1 Boise State vs Utah State-19.560.5W 21 - 10UN
Fri 10/7 Boise State at New Mexico-16.561.5W 49 - 21OY
Sat 10/15 Boise State vs Colorado State-25.559.5W 28 - 23UN
Thu 10/20 Boise State vs BYU-9.558.0W 28 - 27UN
Sat 10/29 Boise State at Wyoming-12.562.5L 28 - 30UN
Fri 11/4 Boise State vs San José State-26.558.5W 45 - 31ON
Sat 11/12 Boise State at Hawai'i-16.562.5W 52 - 16OY
Fri 11/18 Boise State vs UNLV-26.563.0W 42 - 25ON
Fri 11/25 Boise State at Air Force-9.063.5L 20 - 27UN
Tue 12/27 Boise State vs Baylor-10.071.0L 12 - 31UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Boise State's Schedule
Important Stats (2015)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UNLV.1241%34.142%2.7419438%2113.43.2548%2852%43%4.0544.81.41.8
BSU.1847%29.946%2.819145%3103.79.0734%24.132%34%2.5953.21.72.4
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UNLV0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
BSU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2015
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UNLV Offense1234.134.740.9%3.431.4214051942114.753%45%42%38%2%.12
BSU Defense1324.122.333.8%2.592.4 - - - - - 48%51%32%34%2%.07
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UNLV Defense122829.347.9%4.051.8 - - - - - 50%49%52%43%2%.25
BSU Offense1329.941.346.6%3.791.7265021913104.544%53%46%45%2%.18

Additional Stats 2015
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
UNLV1231:0521.236%26%4.844.81.41.800230.9
Boise State1331:5226.541%63%6.353.21.72.400232.3
Run Game Stats (2016)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UNLV Offense1253%42%41.7193.74.720.062.7467%0%0.95
BSU Defense1348%32% - - - - .032.2958%0%1.19
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UNLV Defense1250%52% - - - - .243.1969%0%1
BSU Offense1344%46%42.5191.44.536.152.875%0%1.03

Pass Game Stats (2016)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UNLV Offense1245%38%16.330.4211.4712.92113.21.834%34%.342%2
BSU Defense1351%34% - - - - - - 22.141.838%26%.252%2.2
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UNLV Defense1249%43% - - - - - - 13.281.530%34%.392%2
BSU Offense1353%45%25.740.5310.27.712.12412.231.531%38%.282%1.7

UNLV's Power Ratings
UNLV's Power Rating: NR
UNLV's Offense Rating: NR
UNLV's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating:  #106
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
UNLV's 2016 Expected Record: -
UNLV's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: -14.3  #113
UNLV's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.7  #83
UNLV's Defense SP+ Rating: 40.4  #121

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
UNLV:    Boise State: 8.25

SP+ Ratings Matchup
UNLV: -14.3   Boise State: 11.5




Boise State's Power Ratings
Boise State's Power Rating: 8.25 NR
Boise State's Offense Rating: NR
Boise State's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating:  #57
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Boise State's 2016 Expected Record: -
Boise State's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: 11.5  #29
Boise State's Offense SP+ Rating: 36.7  #28
Boise State's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.0  #42

Average Talent
Average Pac-12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


UNLV Scoring
Offense: 34.1 PPG
Offense on Road: 34.7
Defense: 28 PPG
Defense on Road: 29.3

UNLV's 2016 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 4
Record on Road: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Boise State 32
UNLV 29

Projected Total Points: 61
Boise State Scoring
Offense: 29.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 41.3
Defense: 24.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 22.3

Boise State's 2016 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 3 - 9 - 1
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record at home: 6 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 6 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 9 - 1
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 0 - 6 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202510/18Boise State56UNLV31Boise State -12.5Boise State60.5Over
202512/05Boise State38UNLV21Boise State -6.0Boise State60.0Under
202410/25UNLV24Boise State29Boise State -4.0Boise State64.0Under
202412/06Boise State21UNLV7Boise State -3.5Boise State57.5Under
202312/02UNLV20Boise State44Boise State -2.5Boise State58.0Over
201910/05UNLV13Boise State38Boise State -24Boise State57.0Under
201611/18Boise State42UNLV25Boise State -26.5UNLV63.0Over
201510/31UNLV27Boise State55Boise State -21Boise State53.5Over
201210/20Boise State32UNLV7
201111/05UNLV21Boise State48
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Boise State1074 Overs
UNLV014 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams5 - 53 - 53 - 10 - 4
Road Teams5 - 55 - 34 - 01 - 3

(#) UNLV at (#) BSU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatUNLVBSU
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #113 #29
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #106 #57
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
UNLV on Offense
CategoryCat
UNLV OffBSU Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #83 #42
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
UNLV Run Game
CategoryCat
UNLV OffBSU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
UNLV Pass Game
CategoryCat
UNLV OffBSU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Boise State on Offense
CategoryCatBSU OffUNLV Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #28 #121
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Boise State Run Game
CategoryCat
BSU OffUNLV Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Boise State Pass Game
CategoryCatBSU OffUNLV Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
BSU 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Average P4

UNLV 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Albertsons Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 12
Boise State -26.5 (63.0)
Boise State won vs UNLV this year (42-25)

Previous Matchups
Boise State beat UNLV last year (38-21)
Boise State beat UNLV in 2024 (21-7)
Boise State beat UNLV in 2023 (44-20)

  
UNLV's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
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Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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UNLV's DC ()
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BSU's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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BSU's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD