Baylor at Iowa State - 2016 Matchup Preview

Baylor Bears at Iowa State Cyclones

Saturday, October 1st 2016 (12:00 PM EDT)
Baylor -17 (62.0) (0) Open: 0.0
Baylor 45 - Iowa State: 42 (Big 12)

Bears (7 - 6) (5 - 8 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 31 - 33 (33 - 39 on Road)
'16 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

ISU 2nd straight Home Game
ISU is playing their 5th straight game
BAY is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: -3 (SP+ BAY -10.5)
Projected Score: BAY: 26 - ISU: 33 (59)
BAY Win prob: 90% | Cover: 52%
BAY Travel: 748 miles

Cyclones (3 - 9) (7 - 5 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 27 - 20 (32 - 19 @ Home)
'16 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
BAY Players
ISU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Baylor's 2016 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Fri 9/2	Baylor vs Northwestern State	-48.5
Sat 9/10	Baylor vs SMU	-28.5	72.0	W 40 - 13	U	N
Fri 9/16	Baylor at Rice	-27.5	66.0	W 38 - 10	U	Y
Sat 9/24	Baylor vs Oklahoma State	-10.0	73.5	W 35 - 24	U	Y
Sat 10/1	Baylor at Iowa State	-17.0	62.0	W 45 - 42	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/15	Baylor vs Kansas	-35.0	65.0	W 49 - 7	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/29	Baylor at Texas	-3.5	75.5	L 34 - 35	U	N
Sat 11/5	Baylor vs TCU	-9.0	65.0	L 22 - 62	O	N
Sat 11/12	Baylor at Oklahoma	+15.5	78.0	L 24 - 45	U	N
Sat 11/19	Baylor vs Kansas State	+2.0	58.5	L 21 - 42	O	N
Fri 11/25	Baylor vs Texas Tech	-2.5	83.0	L 35 - 54	O	N
Sat 12/3	Baylor at West Virginia	+14.5	69.0	L 21 - 24	U	Y
Tue 12/27	Baylor vs Boise State	+10.0	71.0	W 31 - 12	U	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Baylor's Schedule

Iowa State's 2016 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/3	Iowa State vs Northern Iowa	-11.0
Sat 9/10	Iowa State at Iowa	+18.0	49.0	L 3 - 42	U	N
Sat 9/17	Iowa State at TCU	+23.5	60.5	L 20 - 41	O	Y
Sat 9/24	Iowa State vs San José State	-6.0	52.0	W 44 - 10	O	Y
Sat 10/1	Iowa State vs Baylor	+17.0	62.0	L 42 - 45	O	Y
Sat 10/8	Iowa State at Oklahoma State	+16.5	68.5	L 31 - 38	O	Y
Sat 10/15	Iowa State at Texas	+13.5	69.0	L 6 - 27	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/29	Iowa State vs Kansas State	+6.0	50.5	L 26 - 31	O	Y
Thu 11/3	Iowa State vs Oklahoma	+19.5	71.0	L 24 - 34	U	Y
Sat 11/12	Iowa State at Kansas	-11.5	54.5	W 31 - 24	O	N
Sat 11/19	Iowa State vs Texas Tech	+3.0	74.5	W 66 - 10	O	Y
Sat 11/26	Iowa State vs West Virginia	+9.0	60.5	L 19 - 49	O	N

Important Stats (2015)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
BAY	.36	51%	31.1	53%	3.47	327	47%	290	4.53	.15	42%	32.6	43%	40%	3.57	80.2	2	2
ISU	.12	43%	27.4	47%	3.1	182	38%	226	3.32	.21	47%	20.2	46%	46%	3.52	40.8	2	1.1

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
BAY		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
ISU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2015

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
BAY Offense	13	31.1	33.2	51%	4.53	2	29	616	327	290	6	62%	38%	53%	47%	2%	.36
ISU Defense	12	20.2	18.8	47.1%	3.52	1.1	-	-	-	-	-	50%	48%	46%	46%	1%	.21

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
BAY Defense	13	32.6	39.2	42.3%	3.57	2	-	-	-	-	-	54%	45%	43%	40%	2%	.15
ISU Offense	12	27.4	32.3	43.3%	3.32	2	21	408	182	226	4.4	50%	48%	47%	38%	2%	.12

Additional Stats 2015

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Baylor	13	27:51	29.4	47%	70%	9.1	80.2	2	2	0	0	0	30.2
Iowa State	12	31:32	21.4	40%	45%	4.9	40.8	2	1.1	0	0	1	29.1

Run Game Stats (2016)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
BAY Offense	13	62%	53%	54.9	326.7	6	41	.29	3.47	80%	0%	1.01
ISU Defense	12	50%	46%	-	-	-	-	.08	2.87	62%	0%	0.82

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
BAY Defense	13	54%	43%	-	-	-	-	.03	2.78	75%	0%	0.9
ISU Offense	12	50%	47%	41.5	182	4.4	18	.09	3.1	62%	0%	0.87

Pass Game Stats (2016)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
BAY Offense	13	38%	47%	17.6	29.9	289.5	9.7	16.4	44	13	.48	1.9	26%	32%	.41	2%	2.3
ISU Defense	12	48%	46%	-	-	-	-	-	-	5	.35	1.5	31%	34%	.37	1%	1.9

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
BAY Defense	13	45%	40%	-	-	-	-	-	-	14	.3	1.8	34%	34%	.32	2%	1.9
ISU Offense	12	48%	38%	19.8	34.3	226.3	6.6	11.5	18	12	.16	1.6	30%	28%	.28	2%	2.2

Baylor's Power Ratings
Baylor's Power Rating: NR
Baylor's Offense Rating: NR
Baylor's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating: #40
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Baylor's 2016 Expected Record: -
Baylor's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: 11.3 #32
Baylor's Offense SP+ Rating: 37.0 #27
Baylor's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.2 #40

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Baylor: Iowa State: 2.85

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Baylor: 11.3 Iowa State: 0.7

Iowa State's Power Ratings
Iowa State's Power Rating: 2.85 NR
Iowa State's Offense Rating: NR
Iowa State's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating: #56
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Iowa State's 2016 Expected Record: -
Iowa State's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: 0.7 #65
Iowa State's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.0 #81
Iowa State's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.5 #67

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Baylor Scoring
Offense: 31.1 PPG
Offense on Road: 33.2
Defense: 32.6 PPG
Defense on Road: 39.2

Baylor's 2016 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 5 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 9
Record on Road: 2 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 6 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
Iowa State 33
Baylor 26

Projected Total Points: 59

Iowa State Scoring
Offense: 27.4 PPG
Offense at Home: 32.3
Defense: 20.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 18.8

Iowa State's 2016 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 4
Record at home: 2 - 5
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 6 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 4 - 1 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	10/05	Iowa State	43	Baylor	21	Iowa State -13	Iowa State	45.0	Over
2023	10/28	Baylor	18	Iowa State	30	Iowa State -3	Iowa State	47.0	Over
2022	09/24	Iowa State	24	Baylor	31	Iowa State -2.5	Baylor	45.0	Over
2021	09/25	Baylor	31	Iowa State	29	Iowa State -7	Baylor	46.0	Over
2020	11/07	Iowa State	38	Baylor	31	Iowa State -14	Baylor	46.5	Over
2019	09/28	Baylor	23	Iowa State	21	Iowa State -2.5	Baylor	55.5	Under
2018	11/10	Iowa State	28	Baylor	14	Iowa State -17	Baylor	51.0	Under
2017	11/18	Baylor	13	Iowa State	23	Iowa State -7.5	Iowa State	50.0	Under
2016	10/01	Iowa State	42	Baylor	45	Baylor -17	Iowa State	62.0	Over
2015	10/24	Baylor	45	Iowa State	27	Baylor -37	Iowa State	74.5	Under
2014	09/27	Iowa State	28	Baylor	49	Baylor -22	Iowa State	0
2013	10/19	Baylor	71	Iowa State	7	Baylor -33	Baylor	0
2012	10/27	Iowa State	35	Baylor	21
2011	10/08	Baylor	49	Iowa State	26
2009	10/17	Iowa State	24	Baylor	10
2008	10/11	Baylor	38	Iowa State	10
2005	10/08	Iowa State	13	Baylor	23
2004	10/23	Baylor	25	Iowa State	26
2001	09/29	Iowa State	41	Baylor	0
2000	09/29	Baylor	17	Iowa State	31

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Iowa State	10	6	6 Overs
Baylor	10	6	4 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	12 - 8	6 - 6	2 - 4	4 - 2
Road Teams	8 - 12	6 - 6	2 - 4	4 - 2

(#) BAY at (#) ISU

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	BAY	ISU
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#32	#65
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#40	#56
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Baylor Injury Report

Iowa State Injury Report

Baylor on Offense


CategoryCat	BAY Off	ISU Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#27	#67
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Baylor Run Game


CategoryCat	BAY Off	ISU Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Baylor Pass Game


CategoryCat	BAY Off	ISU Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Iowa State on Offense


CategoryCat	ISU Off	BAY Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#81	#40
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Iowa State Run Game


CategoryCat	ISU Off	BAY Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Iowa State Pass Game


CategoryCat	ISU Off	BAY Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
ISU 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Top G5

BAY 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Average P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Jack Trice Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 5
Baylor 17.0 (62.0)
Baylor won at Iowa State this year (45-42)

Previous Matchups
Iowa State beat Baylor in 2024 (43-21)
Iowa State beat Baylor in 2023 (30-18)

BAY's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Baylor's Full Roster

BAY's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

ISU's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Iowa State's Full Roster

ISU's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD