Oklahoma State at Baylor - 2016 Matchup Preview

Oklahoma State Cowboys at Baylor Bears

Saturday, September 24th 2016 (7:30 PM EDT)
Baylor -10 (73.5) (0) Open: 0.0
Baylor 35 - Oklahoma State: 24 (Big 12)

Cowboys (10 - 3) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 14 - 33 (10 - 41 on Road)
'16 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

BAY is playing their 4th straight game
OKST is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: -0 (SP+ OKST -5)
Projected Score: OKST: 21 - BAY: 34 (55)
BAY Win prob: 77% | Cover: 50%
OKST Travel: 316 miles

Bears (7 - 6) (5 - 8 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 31 - 33 (30 - 28 @ Home)
'16 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
OKST Players
BAY Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Oklahoma State's 2016 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/3	Oklahoma State vs SE Louisiana	-48.5
Sat 9/10	Oklahoma State vs Central Michigan	-19.0	58.5	L 27 - 30	U	N
Sat 9/17	Oklahoma State vs Pittsburgh	-6.0	57.5	W 45 - 38	O	Y
Sat 9/24	Oklahoma State at Baylor	+10.0	73.5	L 24 - 35	U	N
Sat 10/1	Oklahoma State vs Texas	-3.0	68.0	W 49 - 31	O	Y
Sat 10/8	Oklahoma State vs Iowa State	-16.5	68.5	W 38 - 31	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/22	Oklahoma State at Kansas	-28.0	61.0	W 44 - 20	O	N
Sat 10/29	Oklahoma State vs West Virginia	+3.0	66.0	W 37 - 20	U	Y
Sat 11/5	Oklahoma State at Kansas State	+2.5	58.0	W 43 - 37	O	Y
Sat 11/12	Oklahoma State vs Texas Tech	-11.0	87.5	W 45 - 44	O	N
Sat 11/19	Oklahoma State at TCU	+4.5	68.5	W 31 - 6	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 12/3	Oklahoma State at Oklahoma	+14.0	74.0	L 20 - 38	U	N
Thu 12/29	Oklahoma State vs Colorado	+2.0	64.0	W 38 - 8	U	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Oklahoma State's Schedule

Baylor's 2016 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Fri 9/2	Baylor vs Northwestern State	-48.5
Sat 9/10	Baylor vs SMU	-28.5	72.0	W 40 - 13	U	N
Fri 9/16	Baylor at Rice	-27.5	66.0	W 38 - 10	U	Y
Sat 9/24	Baylor vs Oklahoma State	-10.0	73.5	W 35 - 24	U	Y
Sat 10/1	Baylor at Iowa State	-17.0	62.0	W 45 - 42	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/15	Baylor vs Kansas	-35.0	65.0	W 49 - 7	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/29	Baylor at Texas	-3.5	75.5	L 34 - 35	U	N
Sat 11/5	Baylor vs TCU	-9.0	65.0	L 22 - 62	O	N
Sat 11/12	Baylor at Oklahoma	+15.5	78.0	L 24 - 45	U	N
Sat 11/19	Baylor vs Kansas State	+2.0	58.5	L 21 - 42	O	N
Fri 11/25	Baylor vs Texas Tech	-2.5	83.0	L 35 - 54	O	N
Sat 12/3	Baylor at West Virginia	+14.5	69.0	L 21 - 24	U	Y
Tue 12/27	Baylor vs Boise State	+10.0	71.0	W 31 - 12	U	Y

Important Stats (2015)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
OKST	.24	45%	14.2	40%	2.44	127	47%	353	3.94	.16	43%	33.3	45%	39%	3.55	50.5	1.2	2.2
BAY	.36	51%	31.1	53%	3.47	327	47%	290	4.53	.15	42%	32.6	43%	40%	3.57	80.2	2	2

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
OKST		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
BAY		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2015

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
OKST Offense	13	14.2	10.2	44.7%	3.94	1.2	23	480	127	353	3.6	41%	57%	40%	47%	2%	.24
BAY Defense	13	32.6	27.9	42.3%	3.57	2	-	-	-	-	-	54%	45%	43%	40%	2%	.15

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
OKST Defense	13	33.3	41.4	42.9%	3.55	2.2	-	-	-	-	-	51%	47%	45%	39%	2%	.16
BAY Offense	13	31.1	29.6	51%	4.53	2	29	616	327	290	6	62%	38%	53%	47%	2%	.36

Additional Stats 2015

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Oklahoma State	13	29:29	23.5	43%	80%	5.8	50.5	1.2	2.2	0	0	4	31.9
Baylor	13	27:51	29.4	47%	70%	9.1	80.2	2	2	0	0	0	30.2

Run Game Stats (2016)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
OKST Offense	13	41%	40%	35.4	126.8	3.6	25	-.02	2.44	68%	0%	0.83
BAY Defense	13	54%	43%	-	-	-	-	.03	2.78	75%	0%	0.9

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
OKST Defense	13	51%	45%	-	-	-	-	.17	3.08	74%	0%	0.97
BAY Offense	13	62%	53%	54.9	326.7	6	41	.29	3.47	80%	0%	1.01

Pass Game Stats (2016)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
OKST Offense	13	57%	47%	25	39.8	353.2	8.9	14.1	35	10	.45	1.8	35%	40%	.53	2%	2.2
BAY Defense	13	45%	40%	-	-	-	-	-	-	14	.3	1.8	34%	34%	.32	2%	1.9

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
OKST Defense	13	47%	39%	-	-	-	-	-	-	17	.19	1.7	30%	31%	.3	2%	2
BAY Offense	13	38%	47%	17.6	29.9	289.5	9.7	16.4	44	13	.48	1.9	26%	32%	.41	2%	2.3

Oklahoma State's Power Ratings
Oklahoma State's Power Rating: NR
Oklahoma State's Offense Rating: NR
Oklahoma State's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating: #39
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Oklahoma State's 2016 Expected Record: -
Oklahoma State's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: 16.4 #13
Oklahoma State's Offense SP+ Rating: 42.4 #7
Oklahoma State's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.0 #51

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Oklahoma State: Baylor: 8.15

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Oklahoma State: 16.4 Baylor: 11.3

Baylor's Power Ratings
Baylor's Power Rating: 8.15 NR
Baylor's Offense Rating: NR
Baylor's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating: #40
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Baylor's 2016 Expected Record: -
Baylor's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: 11.3 #32
Baylor's Offense SP+ Rating: 37.0 #27
Baylor's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.2 #40

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Oklahoma State Scoring
Offense: 14.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 10.2
Defense: 33.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 41.4

Oklahoma State's 2016 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record on Road: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
Baylor 34
Oklahoma State 21

Projected Total Points: 55

Baylor Scoring
Offense: 31.1 PPG
Offense at Home: 29.6
Defense: 32.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 27.9

Baylor's 2016 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 5 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 9
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 6 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	09/27	Oklahoma State	27	Baylor	45	Baylor -21	Oklahoma State	58.5	Over
2024	10/26	Baylor	38	Oklahoma State	28	Baylor -7.0	Baylor	64.5	Over
2022	10/01	Baylor	25	Oklahoma State	36	Baylor -2.5	Oklahoma State	56.0	Over
2021	12/04	Oklahoma State	16	Baylor	21	Oklahoma State -7	Baylor	45.0	Under
2021	10/02	Oklahoma State	24	Baylor	14	Oklahoma State -3.5	Oklahoma State	47.0	Under
2020	12/12	Baylor	3	Oklahoma State	42	Oklahoma State -6	Oklahoma State	49.5	Under
2019	10/19	Oklahoma State	27	Baylor	45	Oklahoma State -5.5	Baylor	68.5	Over
2018	11/03	Baylor	35	Oklahoma State	31	Oklahoma State -6	Baylor	68.0	Under
2017	10/14	Oklahoma State	59	Baylor	16	Oklahoma State -26	Oklahoma State	68.5	Over
2016	09/24	Baylor	35	Oklahoma State	24	Baylor -10	Baylor	73.5	Under
2015	11/21	Oklahoma State	35	Baylor	45	Baylor -3	Baylor	76.5	Over
2014	11/22	Baylor	49	Oklahoma State	28	Baylor -25	Oklahoma State	0
2013	11/23	Oklahoma State	49	Baylor	17	Baylor -13	Oklahoma State	0
2012	12/01	Baylor	41	Oklahoma State	34
2011	10/29	Oklahoma State	59	Baylor	24
2010	11/06	Oklahoma State	55	Baylor	28
2009	10/24	Baylor	7	Oklahoma State	34
2008	10/18	Oklahoma State	34	Baylor	6
2007	11/17	Baylor	14	Oklahoma State	45
2006	11/11	Oklahoma State	66	Baylor	24
2005	11/19	Baylor	44	Oklahoma State	34
2004	11/13	Oklahoma State	49	Baylor	21
2003	11/22	Baylor	21	Oklahoma State	38
2001	11/17	Baylor	22	Oklahoma State	38
2000	11/17	Oklahoma State	50	Baylor	22

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Baylor	10	6	6 Overs
Oklahoma State	15	7	5 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	15 - 10	7 - 6	4 - 4	3 - 2
Road Teams	10 - 15	6 - 7	2 - 3	4 - 4

(#) OKST at (#) BAY

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	OKST	BAY
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#13	#32
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#39	#40
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Oklahoma State Injury Report

Baylor Injury Report

Oklahoma State on Offense


CategoryCat	OKST Off	BAY Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#7	#40
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Oklahoma State Run Game


CategoryCat	OKST Off	BAY Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Oklahoma State Pass Game


CategoryCat	OKST Off	BAY Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Baylor on Offense


CategoryCat	BAY Off	OKST Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#27	#51
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Baylor Run Game


CategoryCat	BAY Off	OKST Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Baylor Pass Game


CategoryCat	BAY Off	OKST Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
BAY 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Average P4

OKST 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to CFP Hopefuls

Weather Forecast
Playing in McLane Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 4
Baylor -10.0 (73.5)
Baylor won vs Oklahoma State this year (35-24)

Previous Matchups
Baylor beat Oklahoma State last year (45-27)
Baylor beat Oklahoma State in 2024 (38-28)

OKST's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Oklahoma State's Full Roster

OKST's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

BAY's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Baylor's Full Roster

BAY's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD