TCU at Baylor - 2016 Matchup Preview
TCU logo   TCU Horned Frogs at Baylor Bears  Baylor logo
Saturday, November 5th 2016 (3:30 PM EDT)
Baylor -9 (65.0) (0)  Open: 0.0
TCU 62 - Baylor: 22  (Big 12)

 
Horned Frogs (6 - 7) (3 - 10 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 31 - 25 (26 - 26 on Road)
'16 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Our Line: -2.5  (SP+ BAY -0)
Projected Score: TCU: 29 - BAY: 28 (57)
BAY Win prob: 74% | Cover: 48%
TCU Travel: 81 miles
Bears (7 - 6) (5 - 8 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 31 - 33 (30 - 28 @ Home)
'16 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
TCU's 2016 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/3 TCU vs South Dakota State-39.5
Sat 9/10 TCU vs Arkansas-6.057.5L 38 - 41ON
Sat 9/17 TCU vs Iowa State-23.560.5W 41 - 20ON
Fri 9/23 TCU at SMU-24.068.0W 33 - 3UY
Sat 10/1 TCU vs Oklahoma+3.565.5L 46 - 52ON
Sat 10/8 TCU at Kansas-29.561.0W 24 - 23UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/22 TCU at West Virginia+5.065.0L 10 - 34UN
Sat 10/29 TCU vs Texas Tech-8.587.0L 24 - 27UN
Sat 11/5 TCU at Baylor+9.065.0W 62 - 22OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/19 TCU vs Oklahoma State-4.568.5L 6 - 31UN
Fri 11/25 TCU at Texas+3.060.5W 31 - 9UY
Sat 12/3 TCU vs Kansas State-4.550.0L 6 - 30UN
Fri 12/30 TCU vs Georgia-1.549.0L 23 - 31ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for TCU's Schedule
Baylor's 2016 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 9/2 Baylor vs Northwestern State-48.5
Sat 9/10 Baylor vs SMU-28.572.0W 40 - 13UN
Fri 9/16 Baylor at Rice-27.566.0W 38 - 10UY
Sat 9/24 Baylor vs Oklahoma State-10.073.5W 35 - 24UY
Sat 10/1 Baylor at Iowa State-17.062.0W 45 - 42ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/15 Baylor vs Kansas-35.065.0W 49 - 7UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/29 Baylor at Texas-3.575.5L 34 - 35UN
Sat 11/5 Baylor vs TCU-9.065.0L 22 - 62ON
Sat 11/12 Baylor at Oklahoma+15.578.0L 24 - 45UN
Sat 11/19 Baylor vs Kansas State+2.058.5L 21 - 42ON
Fri 11/25 Baylor vs Texas Tech-2.583.0L 35 - 54ON
Sat 12/3 Baylor at West Virginia+14.569.0L 21 - 24UY
Tue 12/27 Baylor vs Boise State+10.071.0W 31 - 12UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Baylor's Schedule
Important Stats (2015)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TCU.2649%30.748%3.1621547%3473.88.0938%25.341%32%3.4370.91.51.5
BAY.3651%31.153%3.4732747%2904.53.1542%32.643%40%3.5780.222
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TCU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
BAY0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2015
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TCU Offense1330.725.548.5%3.881.528563215347548%51%48%47%2%.26
BAY Defense1332.627.942.3%3.572 - - - - - 54%45%43%40%2%.15
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TCU Defense1325.326.237.8%3.431.5 - - - - - 52%46%41%32%2%.09
BAY Offense1331.129.651%4.53229616327290662%38%53%47%2%.36

Additional Stats 2015
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
TCU1331:2127.543%47%7.270.91.51.500330.3
Baylor1327:5129.447%70%9.180.22200030.2
Run Game Stats (2016)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TCU Offense1348%48%43.2215.4526.123.1665%0%0.87
BAY Defense1354%43% - - - - .032.7875%0%0.9
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TCU Defense1352%41% - - - - .12.8170%0%0.95
BAY Offense1362%53%54.9326.7641.293.4780%0%1.01

Pass Game Stats (2016)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TCU Offense1351%47%25.139.8347.58.713.93915.41.729%38%.392%1.8
BAY Defense1345%40% - - - - - - 14.31.834%34%.322%1.9
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TCU Defense1346%32% - - - - - - 7.11.833%27%.192%2.1
BAY Offense1338%47%17.629.9289.59.716.44413.481.926%32%.412%2.3

TCU's Power Ratings
TCU's Power Rating: NR
TCU's Offense Rating: NR
TCU's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating:  #30
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
TCU's 2016 Expected Record: -
TCU's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: 11.0  #34
TCU's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.5  #37
TCU's Defense SP+ Rating: 23.4  #36

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
TCU:    Baylor: 8.15

SP+ Ratings Matchup
TCU: 11.0   Baylor: 11.3




Baylor's Power Ratings
Baylor's Power Rating: 8.15 NR
Baylor's Offense Rating: NR
Baylor's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating:  #40
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Baylor's 2016 Expected Record: -
Baylor's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: 11.3  #32
Baylor's Offense SP+ Rating: 37.0  #27
Baylor's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.2  #40

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


TCU Scoring
Offense: 30.7 PPG
Offense on Road: 25.5
Defense: 25.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 26.2

TCU's 2016 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 3 - 10 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record on Road: 4 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
TCU 29
Baylor 28

Projected Total Points: 57
Baylor Scoring
Offense: 31.1 PPG
Offense at Home: 29.6
Defense: 32.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 27.9

Baylor's 2016 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 5 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 9
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 6 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202510/18TCU42Baylor36TCU -3.5TCU66.5Over
202411/02Baylor37TCU34Baylor -2.5Baylor64.0Over
202311/18TCU42Baylor17TCU -13.0TCU62.0Under
202211/19Baylor28TCU29TCU -2Baylor58.0Under
202111/06TCU30Baylor28Baylor -7.5TCU57.0Over
202010/31Baylor23TCU33TCU -3.0TCU0
201911/09TCU23Baylor29Baylor -3.0Baylor48.5Over
201811/17Baylor9TCU16Baylor -1TCU50.5Under
201711/24TCU45Baylor22TCU -25.5Baylor53.0Over
201611/05Baylor22TCU62Baylor -9TCU65.0Over
201511/27TCU28Baylor21Baylor -2TCU75.0Under
201410/11Baylor61TCU58Baylor -11TCU0
201311/30TCU38Baylor41Baylor -14TCU0
201210/13Baylor21TCU49
201109/02Baylor50TCU48
201009/18TCU45Baylor10
200709/01TCU27Baylor0
200609/03Baylor7TCU17
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Baylor546 Overs
TCU1394 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams10 - 87 - 63 - 44 - 2
Road Teams8 - 106 - 72 - 44 - 3

(#) TCU at (#) BAY
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatTCUBAY
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #34 #32
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #30 #40
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
TCU on Offense
CategoryCat
TCU OffBAY Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #37 #40
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
TCU Run Game
CategoryCat
TCU OffBAY Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
TCU Pass Game
CategoryCat
TCU OffBAY Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Baylor on Offense
CategoryCatBAY OffTCU Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #27 #36
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Baylor Run Game
CategoryCat
BAY OffTCU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Baylor Pass Game
CategoryCatBAY OffTCU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
BAY 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Average P4

TCU 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Average P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in McLane Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 10
Baylor -9.0 (65.0)
TCU won at Baylor this year (62-22)

Previous Matchups
TCU beat Baylor last year (42-36)
Baylor beat TCU in 2024 (37-34)
TCU beat Baylor in 2023 (42-17)

  
TCU's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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TCU's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

BAY's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Baylor's Full Roster

BAY's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD