Texas A&M at Mississippi State - 2016 Matchup Preview
Texas A&M logo   Texas A&M Aggies at Mississippi State Bulldogs  Mississippi State logo
Saturday, November 5th 2016 (12:00 PM EDT)
Texas A&M -13 (61.0) (0)  Open: 0.0
Mississippi State 35 - Texas A&M: 28  (SEC)

 
Aggies (8 - 5) (5 - 8 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 34 - 21 (38 - 30 on Road)
'16 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
MSST 2nd straight Home Game
MSST is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: -1  (SP+ TA&M -6.5)
Projected Score: TA&M: 33 - MSST: 29 (62)
TA&M Win prob: 80% | Cover: 46%
TA&M Travel: 484 miles
Bulldogs (6 - 7) (4 - 9 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 30 - 30 (34 - 28 @ Home)
'16 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Texas A&M's 2016 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/3 Texas A&M vs UCLA-1.055.0W 31 - 24UY
Sat 9/10 Texas A&M vs Prairie View A&M-49.5
Sat 9/17 Texas A&M at Auburn+4.055.5W 29 - 16UY
Sat 9/24 Texas A&M vs Arkansas-3.052.0W 45 - 24OY
Sat 10/1 Texas A&M at South Carolina-14.050.5W 24 - 13UN
Sat 10/8 Texas A&M vs Tennessee-6.560.5W 45 - 38OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/22 Texas A&M at Alabama+16.559.0L 14 - 33UN
Sat 10/29 Texas A&M vs New Mexico State-43.571.0W 52 - 10UN
Sat 11/5 Texas A&M at Mississippi State-13.061.0L 28 - 35ON
Sat 11/12 Texas A&M vs Ole Miss-11.062.0L 28 - 29UN
Sat 11/19 Texas A&M vs UTSA-28.056.0W 23 - 10UN
Thu 11/24 Texas A&M vs LSU+4.048.5L 39 - 54ON
Wed 12/28 Texas A&M vs Kansas State-2.556.0L 28 - 33ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Texas A&M's Schedule
Mississippi State's 2016 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/3 Mississippi State vs South Alabama-34.052.0L 20 - 21UN
Sat 9/10 Mississippi State vs South Carolina-9.550.5W 27 - 14UY
Sat 9/17 Mississippi State at LSU+13.047.0L 20 - 23UY
Sat 9/24 Mississippi State at Massachusetts-25.049.5W 47 - 35ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/8 Mississippi State vs Auburn-1.555.0L 14 - 38UN
Fri 10/14 Mississippi State at BYU+4.055.5L 21 - 28UN
Sat 10/22 Mississippi State at Kentucky-1.554.5L 38 - 40ON
Sat 10/29 Mississippi State vs Samford-21.5
Sat 11/5 Mississippi State vs Texas A&M+13.061.0W 35 - 28OY
Sat 11/12 Mississippi State at Alabama+28.552.5L 3 - 51ON
Sat 11/19 Mississippi State vs Arkansas-1.057.5L 42 - 58ON
Sat 11/26 Mississippi State at Ole Miss+8.067.5W 55 - 20OY
Mon 12/26 Mississippi State vs Miami (OH)-11.558.0W 17 - 16UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Mississippi State's Schedule
Important Stats (2015)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TA&M.1244%33.847%3.2516939%2563.02.0840%2143%34%2.554.81.81.4
MSST.2448%30.447%3.0814447%3164.11.1244%30.244%42%2.9238.91.41.1
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TA&M0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
MSST0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2015
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TA&M Offense1333.83844.1%3.021.8234251692564.445%53%47%39%2%.12
MSST Defense1330.227.944.3%2.921.1 - - - - - 51%47%44%42%3%.12
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TA&M Defense132130.240.3%2.51.4 - - - - - 57%41%43%34%2%.08
MSST Offense1330.433.947.8%4.111.4234601443164.441%58%47%47%1%.24

Additional Stats 2015
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Texas A&M1328:1222.542%30%6.454.81.81.400430.7
Mississippi State1326:1623.243%50%4.138.91.41.100329.3
Run Game Stats (2016)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TA&M Offense1345%47%38.8169.14.413.143.2562%0%0.92
MSST Defense1351%44% - - - - .082.7270%0%0.92
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TA&M Defense1357%43% - - - - .132.9160%0%0.96
MSST Offense1341%47%32.8144.14.421.133.0883%0%0.94

Pass Game Stats (2016)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TA&M Offense1353%39%2137.1255.66.912.22515.111.531%34%.262%1.7
MSST Defense1347%42% - - - - - - 13.181.533%32%.253%1.7
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TA&M Defense1341%34% - - - - - - 11.071.634%27%.162%1.8
MSST Offense1358%47%25.538.5316.48.212.4335.341.531%36%.371%1.9

Texas A&M's Power Ratings
Texas A&M's Power Rating: NR
Texas A&M's Offense Rating: NR
Texas A&M's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating:  #13
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Texas A&M's 2016 Expected Record: -
Texas A&M's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: 12.0  #27
Texas A&M's Offense SP+ Rating: 37.2  #26
Texas A&M's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.1  #47

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Texas A&M:    Mississippi State: 5.2

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Texas A&M: 12.0   Mississippi State: 5.4




Mississippi State's Power Ratings
Mississippi State's Power Rating: 5.2 NR
Mississippi State's Offense Rating: NR
Mississippi State's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating:  #28
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Mississippi State's 2016 Expected Record: -
Mississippi State's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: 5.4  #56
Mississippi State's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.5  #37
Mississippi State's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.8  #60

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Texas A&M Scoring
Offense: 33.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 38
Defense: 21 PPG
Defense on Road: 30.2

Texas A&M's 2016 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 5 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record on Road: 2 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 6 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 0 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Texas A&M 33
Mississippi State 29

Projected Total Points: 62
Mississippi State Scoring
Offense: 30.4 PPG
Offense at Home: 33.9
Defense: 30.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 27.9

Mississippi State's 2016 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 4 - 9 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record at home: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202510/04Texas A&M31Mississippi State9Texas A&M -17.5Texas A&M57.5Under
202410/19Mississippi State24Texas A&M34Texas A&M -21Mississippi State55.5Over
202311/11Texas A&M51Mississippi State10Texas A&M -16.5Texas A&M40.5Over
202210/01Mississippi State42Texas A&M24Mississippi State -4Mississippi State45.0Over
202110/02Texas A&M22Mississippi State26Texas A&M -7Mississippi State45.5Over
202010/17Mississippi State14Texas A&M28Texas A&M -4.5Texas A&M56.0Under
201910/26Texas A&M49Mississippi State30Texas A&M -10.5Texas A&M50.0Over
201810/27Mississippi State28Texas A&M13Mississippi State -1.5Mississippi State42.5Under
201710/28Texas A&M14Mississippi State35Mississippi State -3.5Mississippi State55.5Under
201611/05Mississippi State35Texas A&M28Texas A&M -13Mississippi State61.0Over
201510/03Texas A&M30Mississippi State17Texas A&M -6Texas A&M62.5Under
201410/04Mississippi State48Texas A&M31Texas A&M -1Mississippi State0
201311/09Texas A&M51Mississippi State41Texas A&M -19Mississippi State0
201211/03Mississippi State13Texas A&M38
200012/30Mississippi State43Texas A&M41
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Mississippi State786 Overs
Texas A&M855 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams10 - 59 - 46 - 23 - 2
Road Teams5 - 104 - 92 - 32 - 6

(#) TA&M at (#) MSST
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatTA&MMSST
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #27 #56
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #13 #28
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Texas A&M on Offense
CategoryCat
TA&M OffMSST Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #26 #60
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Texas A&M Run Game
CategoryCat
TA&M OffMSST Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Texas A&M Pass Game
CategoryCat
TA&M OffMSST Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Mississippi State on Offense
CategoryCatMSST OffTA&M Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #37 #47
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Mississippi State Run Game
CategoryCat
MSST OffTA&M Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Mississippi State Pass Game
CategoryCatMSST OffTA&M Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
MSST 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Below Avg P4

TA&M 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Average P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Davis Wade Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 10
Texas A&M 13.0 (61.0)
Mississippi State won vs Texas A&M this year (35-28)

Previous Matchups
Texas A&M beat Mississippi State last year (31-9)
Texas A&M beat Mississippi State in 2024 (34-24)
Texas A&M beat Mississippi State in 2023 (51-10)

  
TA&M's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Texas A&M's Full Roster

TA&M's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

MSST's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Mississippi State's Full Roster

MSST's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD