Mississippi State at BYU - 2016 Matchup Preview
Mississippi State logo Mississippi State Bulldogs at BYU Cougars(#18)BYU logo
Friday, October 14th 2016 (10:15 PM EDT)
BYU -4 (55.5) (0)  Open: 0.0
BYU 28 - Mississippi State: 21

 
Bulldogs (6 - 7) (4 - 9 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 30 - 32 (31 - 33 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
BYU is playing their 7th straight game
Our Line: -4  (SP+ BYU -3)
Projected Score: MSST: 28 - BYU: 32 (60)
BYU Win prob: 62% | Cover: 49%
MSST Travel: 1344 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Cougars (9 - 4) (10 - 3 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 30 - 20 (36 - 20 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Mississippi State's 2016 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/3 Mississippi State vs South Alabama-34.052.0L 20 - 21UN
Sat 9/10 Mississippi State vs South Carolina-9.550.5W 27 - 14UY
Sat 9/17 Mississippi State at LSU+13.047.0L 20 - 23UY
Sat 9/24 Mississippi State at Massachusetts-25.049.5W 47 - 35ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/8 Mississippi State vs Auburn-1.555.0L 14 - 38UN
Fri 10/14 Mississippi State at BYU+4.055.5L 21 - 28UN
Sat 10/22 Mississippi State at Kentucky-1.554.5L 38 - 40ON
Sat 10/29 Mississippi State vs Samford-21.5
Sat 11/5 Mississippi State vs Texas A&M+13.061.0W 35 - 28OY
Sat 11/12 Mississippi State at Alabama+28.552.5L 3 - 51ON
Sat 11/19 Mississippi State vs Arkansas-1.057.5L 42 - 58ON
Sat 11/26 Mississippi State at Ole Miss+8.067.5W 55 - 20OY
Mon 12/26 Mississippi State vs Miami (OH)-11.558.0W 17 - 16UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Mississippi State's Schedule
BYU's 2016 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/3 BYU vs Arizona+2.563.5W 18 - 16UY
Sat 9/10 BYU at Utah+4.543.0L 19 - 20UY
Sat 9/17 BYU vs UCLA+4.050.5L 14 - 17UY
Sat 9/24 BYU vs West Virginia+3.553.0L 32 - 35OY
Fri 9/30 BYU vs Toledo-4.551.0W 55 - 53ON
Sat 10/8 BYU at Michigan State+5.048.5W 31 - 14UY
Fri 10/14 BYU vs Mississippi State-4.055.5W 28 - 21UY
Thu 10/20 BYU at Boise State+9.558.0L 27 - 28UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/5 BYU at Cincinnati-10.054.0W 20 - 3UY
Sat 11/12 BYU vs Southern Utah-31.0
Sat 11/19 BYU vs Massachusetts-30.054.0W 51 - 9OY
Sat 11/26 BYU vs Utah State-17.051.5W 28 - 10UY
Wed 12/21 BYU vs Wyoming-7.556.0W 24 - 21UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for BYU's Schedule
Important Stats (2016)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MSST.2245%30.447%3.3623141%2103.13.2343%31.842%43%3.6647.51.21.7
BYU.1545%29.546%3.2920141%1983.52.0940%19.537%43%3.0360.21.52.4
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MSST#78 (.17)39% (109)40% (105)2.9 (93)13938% (104)2393.75 (86)#130 (.32)50% (133)47% (108)55% (134)4.32 (113)60.31.50.9
BYU#51 (.22)45% (44)47% (30)3.23 (37)14843% (59)2163.73 (88)#41 (.13)41% (65)46% (99)37% (28)3.79 (68)371.42.1



Overall Stats 2016
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MSST Offense1330.430.745.2%3.131.2224402312105.655%44%47%41%16%.22
BYU Defense1319.519.540.3%3.032.4 - - - - - 49%50%37%43%19%.09
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MSST Defense1331.832.843.2%3.661.7 - - - - - 47%51%42%43%15%.23
BYU Offense1329.535.545%3.521.5233992011984.853%46%46%41%14%.15

Additional Stats 2016
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Mississippi State1328:5122.141%50%5.247.51.21.76.21.9329.6
BYU1332:392348%63%6.460.21.52.45.72.2332.3
Run Game Stats (2016)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MSST Offense1355%47%40.9230.55.624.263.3675%9%1.11
BYU Defense1349%37% - - - - -.032.7170%12%0.84
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MSST Defense1347%42% - - - - .122.9764%10%0.95
BYU Offense1353%46%41.8201.24.828.213.2969%8%0.99

Pass Game Stats (2016)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MSST Offense1344%41%17.731.6209.76.611.92410.181.529%34%.327%1.9
BYU Defense1350%43% - - - - - - 21.21.633%33%.427%2.1
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MSST Defense1351%43% - - - - - - 14.351.833%37%.45%1.9
BYU Offense1346%41%18.831.7197.96.310.51512.11.428%37%.36%1.5

Mississippi State's Power Ratings
Mississippi State's Power Rating: NR
Mississippi State's Offense Rating: NR
Mississippi State's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating:  #28
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Mississippi State's 2016 Expected Record: -
Mississippi State's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: 5.4  #56
Mississippi State's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.5  #37
Mississippi State's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.8  #60

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Mississippi State:    BYU: 6.5

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Mississippi State: 5.4   BYU: 8.0




BYU's Power Ratings
BYU's Power Rating: 6.5 NR
BYU's Offense Rating: NR
BYU's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating:  #61
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
BYU's 2016 Expected Record: -
BYU's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: 8.0  #46
BYU's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.6  #63
BYU's Defense SP+ Rating: 23.1  #33

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


Mississippi State Scoring
Offense: 30.4 PPG
Offense on Road: 30.7
Defense: 31.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 32.8

Mississippi State's 2016 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 4 - 9 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record on Road: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
BYU 32
Mississippi State 28

Total Points: 60

Based on Last 4 Games
Mississippi State 31
BYU 31

Total Points: 62

Based on Entire Season
BYU 33
Mississippi State 25

Total Points: 58
BYU Scoring
Offense: 29.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 35.5
Defense: 19.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 19.5

BYU's 2016 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 10 - 3 - 0
Over/Under Record: 3 - 10
Record at home: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
201710/14Mississippi State35BYU10Mississippi State -23Mississippi State50.5Under
201610/14BYU28Mississippi State21BYU -4BYU55.5Under
200112/01Mississippi State38BYU41
200009/13BYU28Mississippi State44
TeamWinsCoversO/U
BYU210 Overs
Mississippi State212 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams2 - 22 - 02 - 00 - 0
Road Teams2 - 20 - 20 - 00 - 2

(#) MSST at (#) BYU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatMSSTBYU
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #56 #46
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #28 #61
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Mississippi State on Offense
CategoryCat
MSST OffBYU Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #37 #33
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Mississippi State Run Game
CategoryCat
MSST OffBYU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Mississippi State Pass Game
CategoryCat
MSST OffBYU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
BYU on Offense
CategoryCatBYU OffMSST Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #63 #60
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
BYU Run Game
CategoryCat
BYU OffMSST Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
BYU Pass Game
CategoryCatBYU OffMSST Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
BYU 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Below Avg P4

MSST 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Below Avg P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in LaVell Edwards Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 73° - Wind: 11 mph
Rematch from Week 7
BYU -4.0 (55.5)
BYU won vs Mississippi State this year (28-21)

No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
MSST's OC ()
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MSST's DC ()
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BYU's OC ()
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Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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BYU's DC ()
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