Mississippi State at BYU - 2016 Matchup Preview

Mississippi State Bulldogs at BYU Cougars

Friday, October 14th 2016 (10:15 PM EDT)
BYU -4 (55.5) (0) Open: 0.0
BYU 28 - Mississippi State: 21

Bulldogs (6 - 7) (4 - 9 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 30 - 30 (26 - 31 on Road)
'16 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

BYU is playing their 7th straight game
Our Line: -4 (SP+ BYU -3)
Projected Score: MSST: 22 - BYU: 33 (55)
BYU Win prob: 62% | Cover: 49%
MSST Travel: 1344 miles, 1 hrs ahead

Cougars (9 - 4) (10 - 3 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 31 - 19 (41 - 14 @ Home)
'16 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
MSST Players
BYU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Mississippi State's 2016 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/3	Mississippi State vs South Alabama	-34.0	52.0	L 20 - 21	U	N
Sat 9/10	Mississippi State vs South Carolina	-9.5	50.5	W 27 - 14	U	Y
Sat 9/17	Mississippi State at LSU	+13.0	47.0	L 20 - 23	U	Y
Sat 9/24	Mississippi State at Massachusetts	-25.0	49.5	W 47 - 35	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/8	Mississippi State vs Auburn	-1.5	55.0	L 14 - 38	U	N
Fri 10/14	Mississippi State at BYU	+4.0	55.5	L 21 - 28	U	N
Sat 10/22	Mississippi State at Kentucky	-1.5	54.5	L 38 - 40	O	N
Sat 10/29	Mississippi State vs Samford	-21.5
Sat 11/5	Mississippi State vs Texas A&M	+13.0	61.0	W 35 - 28	O	Y
Sat 11/12	Mississippi State at Alabama	+28.5	52.5	L 3 - 51	O	N
Sat 11/19	Mississippi State vs Arkansas	-1.0	57.5	L 42 - 58	O	N
Sat 11/26	Mississippi State at Ole Miss	+8.0	67.5	W 55 - 20	O	Y
Mon 12/26	Mississippi State vs Miami (OH)	-11.5	58.0	W 17 - 16	U	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Mississippi State's Schedule

BYU's 2016 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/3	BYU vs Arizona	+2.5	63.5	W 18 - 16	U	Y
Sat 9/10	BYU at Utah	+4.5	43.0	L 19 - 20	U	Y
Sat 9/17	BYU vs UCLA	+4.0	50.5	L 14 - 17	U	Y
Sat 9/24	BYU vs West Virginia	+3.5	53.0	L 32 - 35	O	Y
Fri 9/30	BYU vs Toledo	-4.5	51.0	W 55 - 53	O	N
Sat 10/8	BYU at Michigan State	+5.0	48.5	W 31 - 14	U	Y
Fri 10/14	BYU vs Mississippi State	-4.0	55.5	W 28 - 21	U	Y
Thu 10/20	BYU at Boise State	+9.5	58.0	L 27 - 28	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/5	BYU at Cincinnati	-10.0	54.0	W 20 - 3	U	Y
Sat 11/12	BYU vs Southern Utah	-31.0
Sat 11/19	BYU vs Massachusetts	-30.0	54.0	W 51 - 9	O	Y
Sat 11/26	BYU vs Utah State	-17.0	51.5	W 28 - 10	U	Y
Wed 12/21	BYU vs Wyoming	-7.5	56.0	W 24 - 21	U	N

Important Stats (2015)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
MSST	.24	48%	30.4	47%	3.08	144	47%	316	4.11	.12	44%	30.2	44%	42%	2.92	38.9	1.4	1.1
BYU	.2	43%	31.4	41%	2.72	128	43%	296	4.2	.08	39%	19.1	37%	39%	3.1	57.7	1.5	1.7

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
MSST		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
BYU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2015

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
MSST Offense	13	30.4	25.8	47.8%	4.11	1.4	23	460	144	316	4.4	41%	58%	47%	47%	1%	.24
BYU Defense	13	19.1	13.7	39.2%	3.1	1.7	-	-	-	-	-	50%	48%	37%	39%	3%	.08

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
MSST Defense	13	30.2	31	44.3%	2.92	1.1	-	-	-	-	-	51%	47%	44%	42%	3%	.12
BYU Offense	13	31.4	40.5	43.4%	4.2	1.5	21	425	128	296	4	39%	59%	41%	43%	2%	.2

Additional Stats 2015

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Mississippi State	13	26:16	23.2	43%	50%	4.1	38.9	1.4	1.1	0	0	3	29.3
BYU	13	28:40	21.2	40%	52%	6.5	57.7	1.5	1.7	0	0	2	29.2

Run Game Stats (2016)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
MSST Offense	13	41%	47%	32.8	144.1	4.4	21	.13	3.08	83%	0%	0.94
BYU Defense	13	50%	37%	-	-	-	-	.03	2.46	64%	0%	1.07

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
MSST Defense	13	51%	44%	-	-	-	-	.08	2.72	70%	0%	0.92
BYU Offense	13	39%	41%	31.8	128.3	4	28	.15	2.72	70%	0%	1.15

Pass Game Stats (2016)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
MSST Offense	13	58%	47%	25.5	38.5	316.4	8.2	12.4	33	5	.34	1.5	31%	36%	.37	1%	1.9
BYU Defense	13	48%	39%	-	-	-	-	-	-	15	.13	1.5	35%	32%	.18	3%	1.7

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
MSST Defense	13	47%	42%	-	-	-	-	-	-	13	.18	1.5	33%	32%	.25	3%	1.7
BYU Offense	13	59%	43%	23.2	38.8	296.5	7.7	12.8	26	12	.24	1.5	34%	35%	.36	2%	1.9

Mississippi State's Power Ratings
Mississippi State's Power Rating: NR
Mississippi State's Offense Rating: NR
Mississippi State's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating: #28
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Mississippi State's 2016 Expected Record: -
Mississippi State's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: 5.4 #56
Mississippi State's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.5 #37
Mississippi State's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.8 #60

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Mississippi State: BYU: 6.5

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Mississippi State: 5.4 BYU: 8.0

BYU's Power Ratings
BYU's Power Rating: 6.5 NR
BYU's Offense Rating: NR
BYU's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating: #61
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
BYU's 2016 Expected Record: -
BYU's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: 8.0 #46
BYU's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.6 #63
BYU's Defense SP+ Rating: 23.1 #33

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Mississippi State Scoring
Offense: 30.4 PPG
Offense on Road: 25.8
Defense: 30.2 PPG
Defense on Road: 31

Mississippi State's 2016 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 4 - 9 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record on Road: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
BYU 33
Mississippi State 22

Projected Total Points: 55

BYU Scoring
Offense: 31.4 PPG
Offense at Home: 40.5
Defense: 19.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 13.7

BYU's 2016 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 10 - 3 - 0
Over/Under Record: 3 - 10
Record at home: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2017	10/14	Mississippi State	35	BYU	10	Mississippi State -23	Mississippi State	50.5	Under
2016	10/14	BYU	28	Mississippi State	21	BYU -4	BYU	55.5	Under
2001	12/01	Mississippi State	38	BYU	41
2000	09/13	BYU	28	Mississippi State	44

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
BYU	2	1	0 Overs
Mississippi State	2	1	2 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	2 - 2	2 - 0	2 - 0	0 - 0
Road Teams	2 - 2	0 - 2	0 - 0	0 - 2

(#) MSST at (#) BYU

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	MSST	BYU
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#56	#46
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#28	#61
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Mississippi State Injury Report

BYU Injury Report

Mississippi State on Offense


CategoryCat	MSST Off	BYU Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#37	#33
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Mississippi State Run Game


CategoryCat	MSST Off	BYU Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Mississippi State Pass Game


CategoryCat	MSST Off	BYU Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

BYU on Offense


CategoryCat	BYU Off	MSST Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#63	#60
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

BYU Run Game


CategoryCat	BYU Off	MSST Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

BYU Pass Game


CategoryCat	BYU Off	MSST Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
BYU 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Below Avg P4

MSST 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Below Avg P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in LaVell Edwards Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 7
BYU -4.0 (55.5)
BYU won vs Mississippi State this year (28-21)

No Matchups Past 4 Years

MSST's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Mississippi State's Full Roster

MSST's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

BYU's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View BYU's Full Roster

BYU's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD