Mississippi State at Massachusetts - 2016 Matchup Preview

Mississippi State Bulldogs at Massachusetts Minutemen

Saturday, September 24th 2016 (3:30 PM EDT)
Mississippi State -25 (49.5) (0) Open: 0.0
Mississippi State 47 - Massachusetts: 35

Bulldogs (6 - 7) (4 - 9 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 30 - 30 (26 - 31 on Road)
'16 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

MSST 2nd straight Road Game
UMASS 3rd straight Home Game
UMASS is playing their 4th straight game
MSST is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: -8 (SP+ MSST -20.5)
Projected Score: MSST: 33 - UMASS: 21 (54)
MSST Win prob: 95% | Cover: 49%
MSST Travel: 1125 miles, 1 hrs behind

Minutemen (2 - 10) (7 - 5 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 11 - 39 (13 - 35 @ Home)
'16 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
MSST Players
UMASS Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Mississippi State's 2016 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/3	Mississippi State vs South Alabama	-34.0	52.0	L 20 - 21	U	N
Sat 9/10	Mississippi State vs South Carolina	-9.5	50.5	W 27 - 14	U	Y
Sat 9/17	Mississippi State at LSU	+13.0	47.0	L 20 - 23	U	Y
Sat 9/24	Mississippi State at Massachusetts	-25.0	49.5	W 47 - 35	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/8	Mississippi State vs Auburn	-1.5	55.0	L 14 - 38	U	N
Fri 10/14	Mississippi State at BYU	+4.0	55.5	L 21 - 28	U	N
Sat 10/22	Mississippi State at Kentucky	-1.5	54.5	L 38 - 40	O	N
Sat 10/29	Mississippi State vs Samford	-21.5
Sat 11/5	Mississippi State vs Texas A&M	+13.0	61.0	W 35 - 28	O	Y
Sat 11/12	Mississippi State at Alabama	+28.5	52.5	L 3 - 51	O	N
Sat 11/19	Mississippi State vs Arkansas	-1.0	57.5	L 42 - 58	O	N
Sat 11/26	Mississippi State at Ole Miss	+8.0	67.5	W 55 - 20	O	Y
Mon 12/26	Mississippi State vs Miami (OH)	-11.5	58.0	W 17 - 16	U	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Mississippi State's Schedule

Massachusetts's 2016 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/3	Massachusetts at Florida	+37.0	51.5	L 7 - 24	U	Y
Sat 9/10	Massachusetts vs Boston College	+16.5	37.5	L 7 - 26	U	N
Sat 9/17	Massachusetts vs Florida International	+1.0	48.0	W 21 - 13	U	Y
Sat 9/24	Massachusetts vs Mississippi State	+25.0	49.5	L 35 - 47	O	Y
Sat 10/1	Massachusetts vs Tulane	+2.5	41.5	L 24 - 31	O	N
Fri 10/7	Massachusetts at Old Dominion	+7.0	55.0	L 16 - 36	U	N
Sat 10/15	Massachusetts vs Louisiana Tech	+16.0	64.0	L 28 - 56	O	N
Sat 10/22	Massachusetts at South Carolina	+21.0	46.0	L 28 - 34	O	Y
Sat 10/29	Massachusetts vs Wagner	-21.0
Sat 11/5	Massachusetts at Troy	+23.0	56.5	L 31 - 52	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/19	Massachusetts at BYU	+30.0	54.0	L 9 - 51	O	N
Sat 11/26	Massachusetts at Hawai'i	+10.5	57.0	L 40 - 46	O	Y

Important Stats (2015)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
MSST	.24	48%	30.4	47%	3.08	144	47%	316	4.11	.12	44%	30.2	44%	42%	2.92	38.9	1.4	1.1
UMASS	.09	40%	11.1	44%	2.86	142	36%	258	3.28	.18	46%	38.6	43%	48%	3.87	63.9	1.6	1.5

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
MSST		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
UMASS		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2015

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
MSST Offense	13	30.4	25.8	47.8%	4.11	1.4	23	460	144	316	4.4	41%	58%	47%	47%	1%	.24
UMASS Defense	12	38.6	34.7	46.2%	3.87	1.5	-	-	-	-	-	53%	45%	43%	48%	2%	.18

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
MSST Defense	13	30.2	31	44.3%	2.92	1.1	-	-	-	-	-	51%	47%	44%	42%	3%	.12
UMASS Offense	12	11.1	12.8	39.8%	3.28	1.6	21	400	142	258	4.4	41%	57%	44%	36%	2%	.09

Additional Stats 2015

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Mississippi State	13	26:16	23.2	43%	50%	4.1	38.9	1.4	1.1	0	0	3	29.3
Massachusetts	12	26:59	21.3	34%	38%	7.4	63.9	1.6	1.5	0	0	1	28.4

Run Game Stats (2016)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
MSST Offense	13	41%	47%	32.8	144.1	4.4	21	.13	3.08	83%	0%	0.94
UMASS Defense	12	53%	43%	-	-	-	-	.06	3.03	65%	0%	0.88

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
MSST Defense	13	51%	44%	-	-	-	-	.08	2.72	70%	0%	0.92
UMASS Offense	12	41%	44%	32.7	142.3	4.4	15	.15	2.86	72%	0%	0.99

Pass Game Stats (2016)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
MSST Offense	13	58%	47%	25.5	38.5	316.4	8.2	12.4	33	5	.34	1.5	31%	36%	.37	1%	1.9
UMASS Defense	12	45%	48%	-	-	-	-	-	-	13	.34	1.5	30%	38%	.4	2%	1.7

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
MSST Defense	13	47%	42%	-	-	-	-	-	-	13	.18	1.5	33%	32%	.25	3%	1.7
UMASS Offense	12	57%	36%	23.4	41.3	257.5	6.2	11	18	13	.08	1.5	35%	30%	.18	2%	1.7

Mississippi State's Power Ratings
Mississippi State's Power Rating: NR
Mississippi State's Offense Rating: NR
Mississippi State's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating: #28
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Mississippi State's 2016 Expected Record: -
Mississippi State's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: 5.4 #56
Mississippi State's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.5 #37
Mississippi State's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.8 #60

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Mississippi State: Massachusetts: -5.15

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Mississippi State: 5.4 Massachusetts: -15.3

Massachusetts's Power Ratings
Massachusetts's Power Rating: -5.15 NR
Massachusetts's Offense Rating: NR
Massachusetts's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating: #108
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Massachusetts's 2016 Expected Record: -
Massachusetts's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: -15.3 #117
Massachusetts's Offense SP+ Rating: 23.7 #101
Massachusetts's Defense SP+ Rating: 36.7 #108

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Mississippi State Scoring
Offense: 30.4 PPG
Offense on Road: 25.8
Defense: 30.2 PPG
Defense on Road: 31

Mississippi State's 2016 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 4 - 9 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record on Road: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 1 - 7 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 0 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
Mississippi State 33
Massachusetts 21

Projected Total Points: 54

Massachusetts Scoring
Offense: 11.1 PPG
Offense at Home: 12.8
Defense: 38.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 34.7

Massachusetts's 2016 Record
Record: 2 - 10
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 5
Record at home: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 6 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	11/02	Mississippi State	45	Massachusetts	20	Mississippi State -19.5	Mississippi State	59.5	Over
2017	11/04	Mississippi State	34	Massachusetts	23	Mississippi State -34	Massachusetts	57.0	Push
2016	09/24	Massachusetts	35	Mississippi State	47	Mississippi State -25	Massachusetts	49.5	Over

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Massachusetts	0	2	2 Overs
Mississippi State	3	1	0 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	2 - 1	2 - 1	1 - 1	1 - 0
Road Teams	1 - 2	1 - 2	0 - 1	1 - 1

(#) MSST at (#) UMASS

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	MSST	UMASS
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#56	#117
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#28	#108
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Mississippi State Injury Report

Massachusetts Injury Report

Mississippi State on Offense


CategoryCat	MSST Off	UMASS Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#37	#108
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Mississippi State Run Game


CategoryCat	MSST Off	UMASS Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Mississippi State Pass Game


CategoryCat	MSST Off	UMASS Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Massachusetts on Offense


CategoryCat	UMASS Off	MSST Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#101	#60
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Massachusetts Run Game


CategoryCat	UMASS Off	MSST Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Massachusetts Pass Game


CategoryCat	UMASS Off	MSST Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
UMASS 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

MSST 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Below Avg P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Gillette Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 4
Mississippi State 25.0 (49.5)
Mississippi State won at Massachusetts this year (47-35)

Previous Matchups
Mississippi State beat Massachusetts in 2024 (45-20)

MSST's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Mississippi State's Full Roster

MSST's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

UMASS's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Massachusetts's Full Roster

UMASS's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD