Samford at Mississippi State - 2016 Matchup Preview
Samford logo   Samford Bulldogs at Mississippi State Bulldogs  Mississippi State logo
Saturday, October 29th 2016 (3:30 PM EDT)
Mississippi State -21.5 (0)  Open: 0.0
Mississippi State 56 - Samford: 41

 
Bulldogs (0 - 1) (1 - 0 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 4 - 45 (4 - 45 on Road)
'16 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
MSST is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: -5  (SP+ MSST -5)
MSST Win prob: 95% | Cover: 49%
Bulldogs (6 - 7) (4 - 9 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 30 - 30 (34 - 28 @ Home)
'16 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Samford's 2016 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/29 Samford at Mississippi State+21.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Samford's Schedule
Mississippi State's 2016 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/3 Mississippi State vs South Alabama-34.052.0L 20 - 21UN
Sat 9/10 Mississippi State vs South Carolina-9.550.5W 27 - 14UY
Sat 9/17 Mississippi State at LSU+13.047.0L 20 - 23UY
Sat 9/24 Mississippi State at Massachusetts-25.049.5W 47 - 35ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/8 Mississippi State vs Auburn-1.555.0L 14 - 38UN
Fri 10/14 Mississippi State at BYU+4.055.5L 21 - 28UN
Sat 10/22 Mississippi State at Kentucky-1.554.5L 38 - 40ON
Sat 10/29 Mississippi State vs Samford-21.5
Sat 11/5 Mississippi State vs Texas A&M+13.061.0W 35 - 28OY
Sat 11/12 Mississippi State at Alabama+28.552.5L 3 - 51ON
Sat 11/19 Mississippi State vs Arkansas-1.057.5L 42 - 58ON
Sat 11/26 Mississippi State at Ole Miss+8.067.5W 55 - 20OY
Mon 12/26 Mississippi State vs Miami (OH)-11.558.0W 17 - 16UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Mississippi State's Schedule
Important Stats (2015)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
SAM0%3.50%000%000%450%0%0000
MSST.2448%30.447%3.0814447%3164.11.1244%30.244%42%2.9238.91.41.1
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
SAM0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
MSST0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2015
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
SAM Offense13.53.50%00000000%0%0%0%0%
MSST Defense1330.227.944.3%2.921.1 - - - - - 51%47%44%42%3%.12
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
SAM Defense145450%00 - - - - - 0%0%0%0%0%
MSST Offense1330.433.947.8%4.111.4234601443164.441%58%47%47%1%.24

Additional Stats 2015
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Samford10:000NAN%0%0000000100
Mississippi State1326:1623.243%50%4.138.91.41.100329.3
Run Game Stats (2016)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
SAM Offense10%0%000000%0%0
MSST Defense1351%44% - - - - .082.7270%0%0.92
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
SAM Defense10%0% - - - - 00%0%0
MSST Offense1341%47%32.8144.14.421.133.0883%0%0.94

Pass Game Stats (2016)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
SAM Offense10%0%000000000%0%0%0
MSST Defense1347%42% - - - - - - 13.181.533%32%.253%1.7
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
SAM Defense10%0% - - - - - - 000%0%0%0
MSST Offense1358%47%25.538.5316.48.212.4335.341.531%36%.371%1.9

Samford's Power Ratings
Samford's Power Rating: NR
Samford's Offense Rating: NR
Samford's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating:  #147
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Samford's 2016 Expected Record: -
Samford's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Samford's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Samford's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Southern Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Samford:    Mississippi State: 5.2

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Samford:    Mississippi State: 5.4




Mississippi State's Power Ratings
Mississippi State's Power Rating: 5.2 NR
Mississippi State's Offense Rating: NR
Mississippi State's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating:  #28
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Mississippi State's 2016 Expected Record: -
Mississippi State's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: 5.4  #56
Mississippi State's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.5  #37
Mississippi State's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.8  #60

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Samford Scoring
Offense: 3.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 3.5
Defense: 45 PPG
Defense on Road: 45

Samford's 2016 Record
Record: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 1
Record on Road: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 0 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Mississippi State 39
Samford 16

Projected Total Points: 55
Mississippi State Scoring
Offense: 30.4 PPG
Offense at Home: 33.9
Defense: 30.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 27.9

Mississippi State's 2016 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 4 - 9 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record at home: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 1 - 7 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 4 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
201610/29Mississippi State56Samford41Mississippi State -21.5Samford0
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Mississippi State100 Overs
Samford010 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams1 - 00 - 10 - 10 - 0
Road Teams0 - 11 - 00 - 01 - 0

(#) SAM at (#) MSST
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatSAMMSST
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+NR #56
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #147 #28
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Samford on Offense
CategoryCat
SAM OffMSST Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NR #60
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Samford Run Game
CategoryCat
SAM OffMSST Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Samford Pass Game
CategoryCat
SAM OffMSST Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Mississippi State on Offense
CategoryCatMSST OffSAM Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #37NR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Mississippi State Run Game
CategoryCat
MSST OffSAM Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Mississippi State Pass Game
CategoryCatMSST OffSAM Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
MSST 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Below Avg P4

SAM 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'16 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Davis Wade Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 9
Mississippi State -21.5 (0)
Mississippi State won vs Samford this year (56-41)

No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
SAM's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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SAM's DC ()
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SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

MSST's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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MSST's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD