App State at Louisiana - 2016 Matchup Preview

App State Mountaineers at Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns

Wednesday, October 12th 2016 (8:00 PM EDT)
Appalachian State -10.5 (50.0) (0) Open: 0.0
App State 24 - Louisiana: 0 (Sun Belt)

Mountaineers (10 - 3) (6 - 6 - 1)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 29 - 18 (30 - 17 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

APP coming off BYE
ULL coming off BYE
Our Line: -6.5 (SP+ APP -18)
Projected Score: APP: 29 - ULL: 25 (54)
APP Win prob: 76% | Cover: 44%
APP Travel: 727 miles, 1 hrs ahead

Ragin' Cajuns (6 - 7) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 24 - 25 (18 - 26 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
APP Players
ULL Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

App State's 2016 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 9/1	App State at Tennessee	+23.0	58.0	L 13 - 20	U	Y
Sat 9/10	App State vs Old Dominion	-21.0	54.0	W 31 - 7	U	Y
Sat 9/17	App State vs Miami	+4.0	50.5	L 10 - 45	O	N
Sat 9/24	App State at Akron	-7.0	56.0	W 45 - 38	O	N
Sat 10/1	App State vs Georgia State	-21.0	52.0	W 17 - 3	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Wed 10/12	App State at Louisiana	-10.5	50.0	W 24 - 0	U	Y
Sat 10/22	App State vs Idaho	-22.0	53.0	W 37 - 19	O	N
Thu 10/27	App State at Georgia Southern	-4.0	46.5	W 34 - 10	U	Y
Sat 11/5	App State vs Texas State	-30.0	53.0	W 35 - 10	U	N
Sat 11/12	App State at Troy	+1.5	49.0	L 24 - 28	O	N
Sat 11/19	App State vs UL Monroe	-27.5	52.0	W 42 - 17	O	N
Sat 11/26	App State at New Mexico State	-17.0	60.0	W 37 - 7	U	Y
Sat 12/17	App State vs Toledo	+2.5	60.0	W 31 - 28	U	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for App State's Schedule

Louisiana's 2016 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/3	Louisiana vs Boise State	+18.0	64.5	L 10 - 45	U	N
Sat 9/10	Louisiana vs McNeese	-4.5
Sat 9/17	Louisiana vs South Alabama	-3.5	53.0	W 28 - 23	U	Y
Sat 9/24	Louisiana at Tulane	+3.0	46.5	L 39 - 41	O	Y
Sat 10/1	Louisiana at New Mexico State	-8.0	67.5	L 31 - 37	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Wed 10/12	Louisiana vs App State	+10.5	50.0	L 0 - 24	U	N
Sat 10/22	Louisiana at Texas State	-11.5	65.0	W 27 - 3	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/5	Louisiana vs Idaho	-7.5	56.0	L 13 - 23	U	N
Thu 11/10	Louisiana at Georgia Southern	+10.5	45.0	W 33 - 26	O	Y
Sat 11/19	Louisiana at Georgia	+21.0	44.5	L 21 - 35	O	Y
Sat 11/26	Louisiana vs Arkansas State	+6.5	50.5	W 24 - 19	U	Y
Sat 12/3	Louisiana at UL Monroe	-9.5	53.0	W 30 - 3	U	Y
Sat 12/17	Louisiana vs Southern Miss	+2.0	57.0	L 21 - 28	U	N

Important Stats (2016)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
APP	.21	46%	29.2	47%	3.13	251	44%	179	3.58	.06	38%	17.8	38%	36%	2.84	57.7	1	1.6
ULL	.09	42%	23.6	45%	3.05	179	35%	178	3.06	.1	42%	25.3	37%	45%	3.16	55.5	1.3	1.4

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
APP	#57 (.21)	44% (60)		45% (58)	3.01 (75)	157	43% (62)	273	3.89 (71)	#123 (.3)	49% (127)		51% (130)	47% (119)	4.78 (132)	57	2	1.2
ULL	#16 (.3)	45% (47)		42% (91)	3.24 (35)	159	47% (17)	242	4.27 (32)	#97 (.22)	48% (126)		53% (133)	44% (105)	4.43 (121)	44.5	0.6	1.4

Overall Stats 2016

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
APP Offense	13	29.2	29.5	46.4%	3.58	1	22	430	251	179	5.6	60%	38%	47%	44%	14%	.21
ULL Defense	13	25.3	26	42.2%	3.16	1.4	-	-	-	-	-	49%	49%	37%	45%	16%	.1

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
APP Defense	13	17.8	17.2	38.2%	2.84	1.6	-	-	-	-	-	44%	54%	38%	36%	17%	.06
ULL Offense	13	23.6	17.5	42.1%	3.06	1.3	20	356	179	178	4	57%	41%	45%	35%	17%	.09

Additional Stats 2016

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
App State	13	33:35	22.2	34%	55%	6.1	57.7	1	1.6	6.1	2.5	3	30.5
Louisiana	13	29:41	19.6	37%	29%	7.2	55.5	1.3	1.4	6.2	1.9	1	28.9

Run Game Stats (2016)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
APP Offense	13	60%	47%	44.5	250.9	5.6	29	.22	3.13	71%	10%	1.1
ULL Defense	13	49%	37%	-	-	-	-	-.1	2.22	69%	11%	0.85

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
APP Defense	13	44%	38%	-	-	-	-	.1	3.05	62%	10%	0.91
ULL Offense	13	57%	45%	45.1	178.9	4	21	.08	3.05	63%	12%	0.86

Pass Game Stats (2016)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
APP Offense	13	38%	44%	15.6	25.7	179	7	11.5	16	8	.23	1.5	30%	30%	.27	4%	1.9
ULL Defense	13	49%	45%	-	-	-	-	-	-	10	.31	1.5	34%	36%	.29	5%	1.7

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
APP Defense	13	54%	36%	-	-	-	-	-	-	20	.03	1.4	35%	28%	.13	6%	1.6
ULL Offense	13	41%	35%	15.6	26.3	177.5	6.8	11.4	12	13	.11	1.6	32%	33%	.28	5%	1.6

App State's Power Ratings
App State's Power Rating: NR
App State's Offense Rating: NR
App State's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating: #119
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
App State's 2016 Expected Record: -
App State's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: 9.2 #43
App State's Offense SP+ Rating: 30.0 #61
App State's Defense SP+ Rating: 20.5 #23

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
App State: Louisiana: -1.85

SP+ Ratings Matchup
App State: 9.2 Louisiana: -8.7

Louisiana's Power Ratings
Louisiana's Power Rating: -1.85 NR
Louisiana's Offense Rating: NR
Louisiana's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating: #88
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Louisiana's 2016 Expected Record: -
Louisiana's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: -8.7 #98
Louisiana's Offense SP+ Rating: 19.8 #117
Louisiana's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.4 #75

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

App State Scoring
Offense: 29.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 29.5
Defense: 17.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 17.2

App State's 2016 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 1
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record on Road: 5 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 1 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 4 - 1
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 3 - 0 - 0

Projected Score
App State 29
Louisiana 25

Total Points: 54

Based on Last 4 Games
App State 31
Louisiana 31

Total Points: 62

Based on Entire Season
App State 27
Louisiana 19

Total Points: 46

Louisiana Scoring
Offense: 23.6 PPG
Offense at Home: 17.5
Defense: 25.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 26

Louisiana's 2016 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 9
Record at home: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	10/12	Louisiana	34	App State	24	Louisiana -10	Push	64.0	Under
2021	10/12	Louisiana	41	App State	13	Appalachian State -4.5	Louisiana	57.5	Under
2021	12/04	Louisiana	24	App State	16	Appalachian State -2.5	Louisiana	52.5	Under
2020	12/04	App State	21	Louisiana	24	Appalachian State -3	Louisiana	51.0	Under
2019	10/09	Louisiana	7	App State	17	Louisiana -2.5	App State	69.5	Under
2019	12/07	App State	45	Louisiana	38	Appalachian State -6.0	App State	57.5	Over
2018	12/01	App State	30	Louisiana	19	Appalachian State -17.5	Louisiana	54.0	Under
2018	10/20	App State	27	Louisiana	17	Appalachian State -25	Louisiana	65.0	Under
2017	12/02	App State	63	Louisiana	14	Appalachian State -14	App State	58.0	Over
2016	10/12	Louisiana	0	App State	24	Appalachian State -10.5	App State	50.0	Under
2015	11/28	App State	28	Louisiana	7	Appalachian State -22	Louisiana	59.0	Under
2014	11/22	Louisiana	16	App State	35	Louisiana -8	App State	62.5	Under

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Louisiana	4	6	2 Overs
App State	8	5	10 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	8 - 4	4 - 7	2 - 6	2 - 1
Road Teams	4 - 8	7 - 4	1 - 2	6 - 2

(#) APP at (#) ULL

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	APP	ULL
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#43	#98
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#119	#88
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

App State Injury Report

Louisiana Injury Report

App State on Offense


CategoryCat	APP Off	ULL Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#61	#75
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

App State Run Game


CategoryCat	APP Off	ULL Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

App State Pass Game


CategoryCat	APP Off	ULL Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Louisiana on Offense


CategoryCat	ULL Off	APP Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#117	#23
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Louisiana Run Game


CategoryCat	ULL Off	APP Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Louisiana Pass Game


CategoryCat	ULL Off	APP Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
ULL 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Average G5

APP 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Below Avg P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Cajun Field
Conditions:
Temp: 80°

Rematch from Week 7
App State 10.5 (50.0)
App State won at Louisiana this year (24-0)

Previous Matchups
Louisiana beat App State last year (34-24)

APP's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View App State's Full Roster

APP's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

ULL's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Louisiana's Full Roster

ULL's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD