Georgia State at South Alabama - 2016 Matchup Preview

Georgia State Panthers at South Alabama Jaguars

Saturday, October 29th 2016 (5:00 PM EDT)
South Alabama -3.5 (47.5) (0) Open: 0.0
South Alabama 13 - Georgia State: 10 (Sun Belt)

Panthers (3 - 9) (7 - 5 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 20 - 38 (18 - 45 on Road)
'16 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

USA 2nd straight Home Game
GAST is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: -4 (SP+ USA -3)
Projected Score: GAST: 24 - USA: 34 (58)
USA Win prob: 62% | Cover: 49%
GAST Travel: 302 miles, 1 hrs ahead

Jaguars (6 - 7) (3 - 10 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 27 - 30 (28 - 29 @ Home)
'16 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
GAST Players
USA Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Georgia State's 2016 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Fri 9/2	Georgia State vs Ball State	+5.5	56.0	L 21 - 31	U	N
Sat 9/10	Georgia State at Air Force	+22.5	52.5	L 14 - 48	O	N
Sat 9/17	Georgia State at Wisconsin	+30.0	51.5	L 17 - 23	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/1	Georgia State at App State	+21.0	52.0	L 3 - 17	U	Y
Sat 10/8	Georgia State vs Texas State	-8.5	58.0	W 41 - 21	O	Y
Sat 10/15	Georgia State at Troy	+16.5	54.0	L 21 - 31	U	Y
Sat 10/22	Georgia State vs UT Martin	-12.5
Sat 10/29	Georgia State at South Alabama	+3.5	47.5	L 10 - 13	U	Y
Thu 11/3	Georgia State vs Arkansas State	+2.0	48.0	L 16 - 31	U	N
Sat 11/12	Georgia State vs UL Monroe	-12.5	51.5	L 23 - 37	O	N
Sat 11/19	Georgia State vs Georgia Southern	+3.5	47.5	W 30 - 24	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 12/3	Georgia State at Idaho	+7.0	53.5	L 12 - 37	U	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Georgia State's Schedule

South Alabama's 2016 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/3	South Alabama at Mississippi State	+34.0	52.0	W 21 - 20	U	Y
Sat 9/10	South Alabama vs Georgia Southern	+11.5	57.5	L 9 - 24	U	N
Sat 9/17	South Alabama at Louisiana	+3.5	53.0	L 23 - 28	U	N
Sat 9/24	South Alabama vs Nicholls	-16.5
Sat 10/1	South Alabama vs San Diego State	+17.5	49.0	W 42 - 24	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/15	South Alabama at Arkansas State	+6.0	54.5	L 7 - 17	U	N
Thu 10/20	South Alabama vs Troy	+9.0	49.0	L 21 - 28	U	Y
Sat 10/29	South Alabama vs Georgia State	-3.5	47.5	W 13 - 10	U	N
Sat 11/5	South Alabama at UL Monroe	-13.5	49.5	L 35 - 42	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/19	South Alabama vs Presbyterian	-31.0
Sat 11/26	South Alabama at Idaho	+2.5	53.0	L 31 - 38	O	N
Sat 12/3	South Alabama vs New Mexico State	-12.0	57.5	W 35 - 28	O	N
Fri 12/30	South Alabama vs Air Force	+14.0	54.0	L 21 - 45	O	N

Important Stats (2015)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
GAST	.2	42%	19.8	37%	2.33	97	45%	336	3.78	.13	45%	37.8	43%	44%	3.11	65.5	1.8	1.7
USA	.07	40%	26.5	42%	2.78	161	36%	200	2.89	.19	44%	30.4	43%	42%	4.23	57.8	2.1	1.7

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
GAST		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
USA		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2015

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
GAST Offense	13	19.8	18	42.4%	3.78	1.8	20	433	97	336	3.1	40%	58%	37%	45%	2%	.2
USA Defense	12	30.4	28.8	43.5%	4.23	1.7	-	-	-	-	-	57%	42%	43%	42%	2%	.19

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
GAST Defense	13	37.8	45.3	44.8%	3.11	1.7	-	-	-	-	-	53%	45%	43%	44%	2%	.13
USA Offense	12	26.5	27.8	40.2%	2.89	2.1	18	360	161	200	4	54%	45%	42%	36%	2%	.07

Additional Stats 2015

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Georgia State	13	29:01	20.1	44%	11%	7.1	65.5	1.8	1.7	0	0	2	25.8
South Alabama	12	28:25	18.1	35%	44%	6.8	57.8	2.1	1.7	0	0	1	28.4

Run Game Stats (2016)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
GAST Offense	13	40%	37%	31.3	96.9	3.1	15	-.12	2.33	60%	0%	0.75
USA Defense	12	57%	43%	-	-	-	-	.12	2.84	67%	0%	1.05

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
GAST Defense	13	53%	43%	-	-	-	-	.1	2.93	71%	0%	0.88
USA Offense	12	54%	42%	40.1	160.7	4	18	.06	2.78	75%	0%	0.87

Pass Game Stats (2016)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
GAST Offense	13	58%	45%	23.7	38.2	335.9	8.8	14.2	28	12	.42	1.8	32%	41%	.44	2%	1.8
USA Defense	12	42%	42%	-	-	-	-	-	-	10	.29	1.6	33%	32%	.38	2%	2.1

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
GAST Defense	13	45%	44%	-	-	-	-	-	-	15	.18	1.4	29%	30%	.12	2%	1.6
USA Offense	12	45%	36%	15.3	29.3	199.5	6.8	13	15	16	.11	1.7	34%	32%	.19	2%	1.7

Georgia State's Power Ratings
Georgia State's Power Rating: NR
Georgia State's Offense Rating: NR
Georgia State's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating: #122
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Georgia State's 2016 Expected Record: -
Georgia State's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: -12.1 #108
Georgia State's Offense SP+ Rating: 17.3 #122
Georgia State's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.7 #49

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Georgia State: South Alabama: -2.2

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Georgia State: -12.1 South Alabama: -9.4

South Alabama's Power Ratings
South Alabama's Power Rating: -2.2 NR
South Alabama's Offense Rating: NR
South Alabama's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating: #102
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
South Alabama's 2016 Expected Record: -
South Alabama's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: -9.4 #100
South Alabama's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.2 #90
South Alabama's Defense SP+ Rating: 33.3 #92

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Georgia State Scoring
Offense: 19.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 18
Defense: 37.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 45.3

Georgia State's 2016 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 8
Record on Road: 0 - 6
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
South Alabama 34
Georgia State 24

Projected Total Points: 58

South Alabama Scoring
Offense: 26.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 27.8
Defense: 30.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 28.8

South Alabama's 2016 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 3 - 10 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record at home: 5 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 5 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 0 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 0 - 4 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	10/23	Georgia State	31	South Alabama	38	South Alabama -5.5	South Alabama	54.5	Over
2020	11/21	South Alabama	14	Georgia State	31	Georgia State -3.5	Georgia State	58.5	Under
2019	11/23	Georgia State	28	South Alabama	15	Georgia State -9.5	Georgia State	57.0	Under
2017	10/26	Georgia State	21	South Alabama	13	Georgia State -1	Georgia State	50.5	Under
2016	10/29	South Alabama	13	Georgia State	10	South Alabama -3.5	Georgia State	47.5	Under
2015	11/21	Georgia State	24	South Alabama	10	Georgia State -1	Georgia State	60.5	Under
2014	10/18	South Alabama	30	Georgia State	27	South Alabama -17	Georgia State	0
2013	11/30	Georgia State	17	South Alabama	38	South Alabama -9	South Alabama	0

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
South Alabama	4	2	1 Overs
Georgia State	4	6	5 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	5 - 3	3 - 5	3 - 2	0 - 3
Road Teams	3 - 5	5 - 3	3 - 0	2 - 3

(#) GAST at (#) USA

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	GAST	USA
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#108	#100
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#122	#102
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Georgia State Injury Report

South Alabama Injury Report

Georgia State on Offense


CategoryCat	GAST Off	USA Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#122	#92
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Georgia State Run Game


CategoryCat	GAST Off	USA Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Georgia State Pass Game


CategoryCat	GAST Off	USA Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

South Alabama on Offense


CategoryCat	USA Off	GAST Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#90	#49
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

South Alabama Run Game


CategoryCat	USA Off	GAST Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

South Alabama Pass Game


CategoryCat	USA Off	GAST Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
USA 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Average G5

GAST 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Ladd Peebles Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 9
South Alabama -3.5 (47.5)
South Alabama won vs Georgia State this year (13-10)

Previous Matchups
South Alabama beat Georgia State last year (38-31)

GAST's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Georgia State's Full Roster

GAST's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

USA's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View South Alabama's Full Roster

USA's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD