Ball State at Georgia State - 2016 Matchup Preview

Ball State Cardinals at Georgia State Panthers

Friday, September 2nd 2016 (7:00 PM EDT)
Ball State -5.5 (56.0) (0) Open: 0.0
Ball State 31 - Georgia State: 21

Cardinals (4 - 8) (8 - 4 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 16 - 30 (10 - 36 on Road)
'16 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Our Line: -0 (SP+ BALL -5)
Projected Score: BALL: 24 - GAST: 27 (51)
BALL Win prob: 67% | Cover: 51%
BALL Travel: 450 miles

Panthers (3 - 9) (7 - 5 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 20 - 38 (22 - 30 @ Home)
'16 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
BALL Players
GAST Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Ball State's 2016 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Fri 9/2	Ball State at Georgia State	-5.5	56.0	W 31 - 21	U	Y
Sat 9/10	Ball State at Indiana	+17.5	63.5	L 20 - 30	U	Y
Sat 9/17	Ball State vs Eastern Kentucky	-13.0
Sat 9/24	Ball State at Florida Atlantic	-3.0	53.5	W 31 - 27	O	Y
Sat 10/1	Ball State vs Northern Illinois	-1.0	57.5	L 24 - 31	U	N
Sat 10/8	Ball State at Central Michigan	+13.5	56.0	L 21 - 24	U	Y
Sat 10/15	Ball State at Buffalo	-9.0	52.5	W 31 - 21	U	Y
Sat 10/22	Ball State vs Akron	-2.0	62.5	L 25 - 35	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Tue 11/1	Ball State vs Western Michigan	+16.0	64.5	L 20 - 52	O	N
Tue 11/8	Ball State vs Eastern Michigan	-3.5	59.5	L 41 - 48	O	N
Wed 11/16	Ball State at Toledo	+19.0	68.5	L 19 - 37	U	Y
Tue 11/22	Ball State at Miami (OH)	+6.0	55.0	L 20 - 21	U	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Ball State's Schedule

Georgia State's 2016 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Fri 9/2	Georgia State vs Ball State	+5.5	56.0	L 21 - 31	U	N
Sat 9/10	Georgia State at Air Force	+22.5	52.5	L 14 - 48	O	N
Sat 9/17	Georgia State at Wisconsin	+30.0	51.5	L 17 - 23	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/1	Georgia State at App State	+21.0	52.0	L 3 - 17	U	Y
Sat 10/8	Georgia State vs Texas State	-8.5	58.0	W 41 - 21	O	Y
Sat 10/15	Georgia State at Troy	+16.5	54.0	L 21 - 31	U	Y
Sat 10/22	Georgia State vs UT Martin	-12.5
Sat 10/29	Georgia State at South Alabama	+3.5	47.5	L 10 - 13	U	Y
Thu 11/3	Georgia State vs Arkansas State	+2.0	48.0	L 16 - 31	U	N
Sat 11/12	Georgia State vs UL Monroe	-12.5	51.5	L 23 - 37	O	N
Sat 11/19	Georgia State vs Georgia Southern	+3.5	47.5	W 30 - 24	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 12/3	Georgia State at Idaho	+7.0	53.5	L 12 - 37	U	N

Important Stats (2015)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
BALL	.07	41%	15.8	42%	2.84	153	38%	218	3.2	.31	48%	29.8	44%	51%	4.04	35.4	1.3	1.3
GAST	.2	42%	19.8	37%	2.33	97	45%	336	3.78	.13	45%	37.8	43%	44%	3.11	65.5	1.8	1.7

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
BALL		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
GAST		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2015

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
BALL Offense	12	15.8	9.7	40.9%	3.2	1.3	21	372	153	218	4.2	46%	52%	42%	38%	1%	.07
GAST Defense	13	37.8	30.3	44.8%	3.11	1.7	-	-	-	-	-	53%	45%	43%	44%	2%	.13

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
BALL Defense	12	29.8	35.7	48.2%	4.04	1.3	-	-	-	-	-	52%	46%	44%	51%	1%	.31
GAST Offense	13	19.8	21.5	42.4%	3.78	1.8	20	433	97	336	3.1	40%	58%	37%	45%	2%	.2

Additional Stats 2015

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Ball State	12	28:37	20.8	38%	52%	3.7	35.4	1.3	1.3	0	0	1	30.2
Georgia State	13	29:01	20.1	44%	11%	7.1	65.5	1.8	1.7	0	0	2	25.8

Run Game Stats (2016)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
BALL Offense	12	46%	42%	36.4	153.3	4.2	15	.03	2.84	71%	0%	0.84
GAST Defense	13	53%	43%	-	-	-	-	.1	2.93	71%	0%	0.88

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
BALL Defense	12	52%	44%	-	-	-	-	.12	2.93	73%	0%	0.96
GAST Offense	13	40%	37%	31.3	96.9	3.1	15	-.12	2.33	60%	0%	0.75

Pass Game Stats (2016)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
BALL Offense	12	52%	38%	21.9	38.3	218.3	5.7	10	17	9	.12	1.4	33%	32%	.15	1%	1.4
GAST Defense	13	45%	44%	-	-	-	-	-	-	15	.18	1.4	29%	30%	.12	2%	1.6

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
BALL Defense	12	46%	51%	-	-	-	-	-	-	7	.53	1.6	29%	43%	.52	1%	1.7
GAST Offense	13	58%	45%	23.7	38.2	335.9	8.8	14.2	28	12	.42	1.8	32%	41%	.44	2%	1.8

Ball State's Power Ratings
Ball State's Power Rating: NR
Ball State's Offense Rating: NR
Ball State's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating: #109
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Ball State's 2016 Expected Record: -
Ball State's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: -7.0 #96
Ball State's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.2 #73
Ball State's Defense SP+ Rating: 35.1 #100

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Ball State: Georgia State: -3.55

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Ball State: -7.0 Georgia State: -12.1

Georgia State's Power Ratings
Georgia State's Power Rating: -3.55 NR
Georgia State's Offense Rating: NR
Georgia State's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating: #122
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Georgia State's 2016 Expected Record: -
Georgia State's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: -12.1 #108
Georgia State's Offense SP+ Rating: 17.3 #122
Georgia State's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.7 #49

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Ball State Scoring
Offense: 15.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 9.7
Defense: 29.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 35.7

Ball State's 2016 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 8 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 3 - 9
Record on Road: 3 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 7 - 0 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 3 - 0 - 0

Projected Score
Georgia State 27
Ball State 24

Projected Total Points: 51

Georgia State Scoring
Offense: 19.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 21.5
Defense: 37.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 30.3

Georgia State's 2016 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 8
Record at home: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2021	12/25	Ball State	20	Georgia State	51	Georgia State -6	Georgia State	52.5	Over
2016	09/02	Georgia State	21	Ball State	31	Ball State -5.5	Ball State	56.0	Under
2015	10/17	Ball State	19	Georgia State	31	Ball State -16.5	Georgia State	63.0	Under

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Georgia State	2	2	1 Overs
Ball State	1	1	2 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	0 - 3	0 - 3	0 - 1	0 - 2
Road Teams	3 - 0	3 - 0	2 - 0	1 - 0

(#) BALL at (#) GAST

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	BALL	GAST
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#96	#108
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#109	#122
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Ball State Injury Report

Georgia State Injury Report

Ball State on Offense


CategoryCat	BALL Off	GAST Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#73	#49
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Ball State Run Game


CategoryCat	BALL Off	GAST Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Ball State Pass Game


CategoryCat	BALL Off	GAST Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Georgia State on Offense


CategoryCat	GAST Off	BALL Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#122	#100
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Georgia State Run Game


CategoryCat	GAST Off	BALL Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Georgia State Pass Game


CategoryCat	GAST Off	BALL Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
GAST 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

BALL 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Average G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Georgia Dome
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 1
Ball State 5.5 (56.0)
Ball State won at Georgia State this year (31-21)

No Matchups Past 4 Years

BALL's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Ball State's Full Roster

BALL's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

GAST's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Georgia State's Full Roster

GAST's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD