UTSA at Colorado State - 2016 Matchup Preview
UTSA logo   UTSA Roadrunners at Colorado State Rams  Colorado State logo
Saturday, September 10th 2016 (4:00 PM EDT)
Colorado State -10 (51.5) (0)  Open: 0.0
Colorado State 23 - UTSA: 14

 
Roadrunners (6 - 7) (9 - 4 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 36 - 29 (22 - 34 on Road)
'16 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Our Line: -8.5  (SP+ CSU -12)
Projected Score: UTSA: 29 - CSU: 25 (54)
CSU Win prob: 77% | Cover: 50%
UTSA Travel: 857 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Rams (7 - 6) (9 - 4 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 19 - 31 (20 - 27 @ Home)
'16 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
UTSA's 2016 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/3 UTSA vs Alabama State-28.5
Sat 9/10 UTSA at Colorado State+10.051.5L 14 - 23UY
Fri 9/16 UTSA vs Arizona State+18.558.0L 28 - 32OY
Sat 9/24 UTSA at Old Dominion+1.549.5L 19 - 33ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/8 UTSA vs Southern Miss+14.553.0W 55 - 32OY
Sat 10/15 UTSA at Rice+1.552.5W 14 - 13UY
Sat 10/22 UTSA vs UTEP-7.045.0L 49 - 52ON
Sat 10/29 UTSA vs North Texas-4.051.0W 31 - 17UY
Sat 11/5 UTSA at Middle Tennessee+19.064.0W 45 - 25OY
Sat 11/12 UTSA at Louisiana Tech+19.063.0L 35 - 63ON
Sat 11/19 UTSA at Texas A&M+28.056.0L 10 - 23UY
Sat 11/26 UTSA vs Charlotte-7.053.0W 33 - 14UY
Sat 12/17 UTSA vs New Mexico+7.554.0L 20 - 23UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for UTSA's Schedule
Colorado State's 2016 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 9/2 Colorado State vs Colorado+10.056.0L 7 - 44UN
Sat 9/10 Colorado State vs UTSA-10.051.5W 23 - 14UN
Sat 9/17 Colorado State vs Northern Colorado-22.0
Sat 9/24 Colorado State at Minnesota+15.556.0L 24 - 31UY
Sat 10/1 Colorado State vs Wyoming-5.553.5L 17 - 38ON
Sat 10/8 Colorado State vs Utah State+6.053.5W 31 - 24OY
Sat 10/15 Colorado State at Boise State+25.559.5L 23 - 28UY
Sat 10/22 Colorado State at UNLV+1.556.5W 42 - 23OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/5 Colorado State vs Fresno State-13.058.5W 37 - 0UY
Sat 11/12 Colorado State at Air Force+6.054.0L 46 - 49OY
Sat 11/19 Colorado State vs New Mexico-5.061.5W 49 - 31OY
Sat 11/26 Colorado State at San Diego State+12.553.5W 63 - 31OY
Thu 12/22 Colorado State vs Idaho-13.065.0L 50 - 61ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Colorado State's Schedule
Important Stats (2015)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UTSA.0640%35.541%2.8916937%1933.12.1645%28.843%45%3.465.71.91.8
CSU.1747%18.546%3.1919846%2283.57.1843%30.843%39%3.3369.12.11.2
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UTSA0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
CSU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2015
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UTSA Offense1235.521.739.8%3.121.920362169193452%46%41%37%3%.06
CSU Defense1330.827.142.6%3.331.2 - - - - - 58%40%43%39%1%.18
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UTSA Defense1228.833.744.9%3.41.8 - - - - - 50%48%43%45%3%.16
CSU Offense1318.519.947.2%3.572.1234261982284.856%43%46%46%2%.17

Additional Stats 2015
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
UTSA1228:3320.340%21%765.71.91.800228.2
Colorado State1330:1623.246%59%7.569.12.11.200330.4
Run Game Stats (2016)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UTSA Offense1252%41%42.5168.8416.052.8976%0%0.89
CSU Defense1358%43% - - - - .212.8969%0%1.2
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UTSA Defense1250%43% - - - - .093.173%0%0.85
CSU Offense1356%46%41.1197.84.820.123.1975%0%0.89

Pass Game Stats (2016)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UTSA Offense1246%37%17.630193.46.5111711.091.535%27%.193%1.8
CSU Defense1340%39% - - - - - - 8.161.633%38%.391%1.8
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UTSA Defense1248%45% - - - - - - 14.251.630%36%.353%1.9
CSU Offense1343%46%17.930.2228.17.612.72415.281.530%37%.32%1.7

UTSA's Power Ratings
UTSA's Power Rating: NR
UTSA's Offense Rating: NR
UTSA's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating:  #96
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
UTSA's 2016 Expected Record: -
UTSA's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: -11.2  #105
UTSA's Offense SP+ Rating: 22.7  #104
UTSA's Defense SP+ Rating: 33.6  #95

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
UTSA:    Colorado State: 2.9

SP+ Ratings Matchup
UTSA: -11.2   Colorado State: 0.8




Colorado State's Power Ratings
Colorado State's Power Rating: 2.9 NR
Colorado State's Offense Rating: NR
Colorado State's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating:  #90
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Colorado State's 2016 Expected Record: -
Colorado State's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: 0.8  #64
Colorado State's Offense SP+ Rating: 33.5  #44
Colorado State's Defense SP+ Rating: 34.0  #98

Average Talent
Average Pac-12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


UTSA Scoring
Offense: 35.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 21.7
Defense: 28.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 33.7

UTSA's 2016 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 9 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record on Road: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 7 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
UTSA 29
Colorado State 25


Projected Total Points: 54
Colorado State Scoring
Offense: 18.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 19.9
Defense: 30.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 27.1

Colorado State's 2016 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 9 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record at home: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202509/20Colorado State16UTSA17UTSA -4.5Colorado State58.5Under
201609/10Colorado State23UTSA14Colorado State -10UTSA51.5Under
201509/26UTSA31Colorado State33Colorado State -9.5UTSA56.0Over
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Colorado State211 Overs
UTSA122 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams1 - 22 - 10 - 12 - 0
Road Teams2 - 11 - 20 - 21 - 0

(#) UTSA at (#) CSU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatUTSACSU
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #105 #64
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #96 #90
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
UTSA on Offense
CategoryCat
UTSA OffCSU Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #104 #98
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
UTSA Run Game
CategoryCat
UTSA OffCSU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
UTSA Pass Game
CategoryCat
UTSA OffCSU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Colorado State on Offense
CategoryCatCSU OffUTSA Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #44 #95
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Colorado State Run Game
CategoryCat
CSU OffUTSA Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Colorado State Pass Game
CategoryCatCSU OffUTSA Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
CSU 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Top G5

UTSA 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Lubick Field at Hughes Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 2
Colorado State -10.0 (51.5)
Colorado State won vs UTSA this year (23-14)

Previous Matchups
UTSA beat Colorado State last year (17-16)

  
UTSA's OC ()
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UTSA's DC ()
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CSU's OC ()
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Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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CSU's DC ()
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