Northern Arizona at Arizona State - 2016 Matchup Preview

Northern Arizona Lumberjacks at Arizona State Sun Devils

Saturday, September 3rd 2016 (11:00 PM EDT)
Arizona State -26 (0) Open: 0.0
Arizona State 44 - Northern Arizona: 13

Lumberjacks (0 - 1) (0 - 1 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 19 - 38 (19 - 38 on Road)
'16 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Our Line: -1 (SP+ ASU -3)
ASU Win prob: 95% | Cover: 58%

Sun Devils (5 - 7) (5 - 6 - 1)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 26 - 25 (25 - 21 @ Home)
'16 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
NAU Players
ASU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Northern Arizona's 2016 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/3	Northern Arizona at Arizona State	+26.0

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Northern Arizona's Schedule

Arizona State's 2016 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/3	Arizona State vs Northern Arizona	-26.0
Sat 9/10	Arizona State vs Texas Tech	-5.0	80.0	W 68 - 55	O	Y
Fri 9/16	Arizona State at UTSA	-18.5	58.0	W 32 - 28	O	N
Sat 9/24	Arizona State vs California	-6.5	85.0	W 51 - 41	O	Y
Sat 10/1	Arizona State at USC	+8.0	63.5	L 20 - 41	U	N
Sat 10/8	Arizona State vs UCLA	+4.5	58.0	W 23 - 20	U	Y
Sat 10/15	Arizona State at Colorado	+8.0	63.0	L 16 - 40	U	N
Sat 10/22	Arizona State vs Washington State	+6.5	65.0	L 32 - 37	O	Y
Sat 10/29	Arizona State at Oregon	+7.5	72.5	L 35 - 54	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Thu 11/10	Arizona State vs Utah	+5.5	56.0	L 26 - 49	O	N
Sat 11/19	Arizona State at Washington	+26.0	62.5	L 18 - 44	U	Y
Fri 11/25	Arizona State at Arizona	-6.0	65.0	L 35 - 56	O	N

Important Stats (2015)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
NAU		0%	19	0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%	38	0%	0%	0	0	0	0
ASU	.16	42%	25.8	41%	2.92	178	41%	299	3.66	.2	40%	24.5	39%	39%	3.54	39.8	1.5	1.6

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
NAU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
ASU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2015

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
NAU Offense	1	19	19	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%
ASU Defense	13	24.5	21.4	40%	3.54	1.6	-	-	-	-	-	41%	57%	39%	39%	2%	.2

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
NAU Defense	1	38	38	0%	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%
ASU Offense	13	25.8	24.7	42.2%	3.66	1.5	23	477	178	299	4.3	46%	51%	41%	41%	1%	.16

Additional Stats 2015

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Northern Arizona	1	0:00	0	NAN%	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	100
Arizona State	13	31:31	23.5	41%	56%	4.6	39.8	1.5	1.6	0	0	3	31.2

Run Game Stats (2016)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
NAU Offense	1	0%	0%	0	0	0	0		0	0%	0%	0
ASU Defense	13	41%	39%	-	-	-	-	.11	2.54	67%	0%	1.13

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
NAU Defense	1	0%	0%	-	-	-	-		0	0%	0%	0
ASU Offense	13	46%	41%	41.2	178.4	4.3	19	.09	2.92	64%	0%	1

Pass Game Stats (2016)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
NAU Offense	1	0%	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		0	0%	0%		0%	0
ASU Defense	13	57%	39%	-	-	-	-	-	-	15	.29	1.9	37%	35%	.43	2%	2.1

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
NAU Defense	1	0%	0%	-	-	-	-	-	-	0		0	0%	0%		0%	0
ASU Offense	13	51%	41%	24.6	41.1	299	7.3	12.2	30	9	.27	1.6	32%	33%	.29	1%	1.6

Northern Arizona's Power Ratings
Northern Arizona's Power Rating: NR
Northern Arizona's Offense Rating: NR
Northern Arizona's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating: #143
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Northern Arizona's 2016 Expected Record: -
Northern Arizona's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Northern Arizona's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Northern Arizona's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Big Sky Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Northern Arizona: Arizona State: 1

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Northern Arizona: Arizona State: -3.0

Arizona State's Power Ratings
Arizona State's Power Rating: 1 NR
Arizona State's Offense Rating: NR
Arizona State's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating: #25
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Arizona State's 2016 Expected Record: -
Arizona State's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: -3.0 #81
Arizona State's Offense SP+ Rating: 32.2 #47
Arizona State's Defense SP+ Rating: 37.6 #116

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Northern Arizona Scoring
Offense: 19 PPG
Offense on Road: 19
Defense: 38 PPG
Defense on Road: 38

Northern Arizona's 2016 Record
Record: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 1
Record on Road: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
Arizona State 32
Northern Arizona 21

Projected Total Points: 53

Arizona State Scoring
Offense: 25.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 24.7
Defense: 24.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 21.4

Arizona State's 2016 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 5 - 6 - 1
Over/Under Record: 7 - 5
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 0 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	08/30	Arizona State	38	Northern Arizona	19	Arizona State -29.5	Northern Arizona	52.5	Over
2022	09/01	Arizona State	40	Northern Arizona	3	Arizona State -25.5	Arizona State	52.5	Under
2016	09/03	Arizona State	44	Northern Arizona	13	Arizona State -26	Arizona State	0
2012	08/30	Arizona State	63	Northern Arizona	6
2010	09/11	Arizona State	41	Northern Arizona	20
2008	08/30	Arizona State	30	Northern Arizona	13
2006	08/31	Arizona State	35	Northern Arizona	14
2003	09/06	Arizona State	34	Northern Arizona	14

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Arizona State	8	2	1 Overs
Northern Arizona	0	1	1 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	8 - 0	2 - 1	2 - 1	0 - 0
Road Teams	0 - 8	1 - 2	0 - 0	1 - 2

(#) NAU at (#) ASU

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	NAU	ASU
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	NR	#81
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#143	#25
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Northern Arizona Injury Report

Arizona State Injury Report

Northern Arizona on Offense


CategoryCat	NAU Off	ASU Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	NR	#116
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Northern Arizona Run Game


CategoryCat	NAU Off	ASU Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Northern Arizona Pass Game


CategoryCat	NAU Off	ASU Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Arizona State on Offense


CategoryCat	ASU Off	NAU Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#47	NR
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Arizona State Run Game


CategoryCat	ASU Off	NAU Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Arizona State Pass Game


CategoryCat	ASU Off	NAU Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
ASU 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Average G5

NAU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'16 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Sun Devil Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 1
Arizona State -26.0 (0)
Arizona State won vs Northern Arizona this year (44-13)

Previous Matchups
Arizona State beat Northern Arizona last year (38-19)

NAU's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Northern Arizona's Full Roster

NAU's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

ASU's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Arizona State's Full Roster

ASU's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD