Ole Miss at Mississippi State - 2015 Matchup Preview

(#6)Ole Miss Rebels at Mississippi State Bulldogs

Saturday, November 28th 2015 (7:15 PM EST)
Ole Miss -2 (65.5) (0) Open: 0.0
Ole Miss 38 - Mississippi State: 27 (SEC)

Rebels (10 - 3) (8 - 4 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 41 - 23 (28 - 32 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

MSST is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: -2.5 (SP+ -0)
Projected Score: MISS: 29 - MSST: 28 (57)
MISS Win prob: 55% | Cover: 50%
MISS Travel: 76 miles

Bulldogs (9 - 4) (9 - 4 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 34 - 23 (35 - 22 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
MISS Players
MSST Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Ole Miss's 2015 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/5	Ole Miss vs UT Martin	-23.5
Sat 9/12	Ole Miss vs Fresno State	-23.0	56.0	W 73 - 21	O	Y
Sat 9/19	Ole Miss at Alabama	+8.5	52.0	W 43 - 37	O	Y
Sat 9/26	Ole Miss vs Vanderbilt	-28.0	53.5	W 27 - 16	U	N
Sat 10/3	Ole Miss at Florida	-6.5	50.5	L 10 - 38	U	N
Sat 10/10	Ole Miss vs New Mexico State	-43.0	70.0	W 52 - 3	U	Y
Sat 10/17	Ole Miss at Memphis	-10.5	72.0	L 24 - 37	U	N
Sat 10/24	Ole Miss vs Texas A&M	-6.0	65.5	W 23 - 3	U	Y
Sat 10/31	Ole Miss at Auburn	-6.0	57.5	W 27 - 19	U	Y
Sat 11/7	Ole Miss vs Arkansas	-11.0	55.0	L 52 - 53	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/21	Ole Miss vs LSU	-4.5	58.5	W 38 - 17	U	Y
Sat 11/28	Ole Miss at Mississippi State	-2.0	65.5	W 38 - 27	U	Y
Fri 1/1	Ole Miss vs Oklahoma State	-7.0

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Ole Miss's Schedule

Mississippi State's 2015 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/5	Mississippi State at Southern Miss	-13.0	62.0	W 34 - 16	U	Y
Sat 9/12	Mississippi State vs LSU	+3.0	52.5	L 19 - 21	U	Y
Sat 9/19	Mississippi State vs Northwestern State	-42.0
Sat 9/26	Mississippi State at Auburn	+3.5	58.5	W 17 - 9	U	Y
Sat 10/3	Mississippi State at Texas A&M	+6.0	62.5	L 17 - 30	U	N
Sat 10/10	Mississippi State vs Troy	-31.5	59.0	W 45 - 17	O	N
Sat 10/17	Mississippi State vs Louisiana Tech	-15.5	60.0	W 45 - 20	O	Y
Sat 10/24	Mississippi State vs Kentucky	-11.5	59.0	W 42 - 16	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Thu 11/5	Mississippi State at Missouri	-7.5	41.0	W 31 - 13	O	Y
Sat 11/14	Mississippi State vs Alabama	+7.0	51.5	L 6 - 31	U	N
Sat 11/21	Mississippi State at Arkansas	+3.0	59.0	W 51 - 50	O	Y
Sat 11/28	Mississippi State vs Ole Miss	+2.0	65.5	L 27 - 38	U	N
Wed 12/30	Mississippi State vs NC State	-7.0

Important Stats (2015)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
MISS	.27	50%	40.8	47%	2.82	183	51%	335	4.19	.07	39%	22.6	37%	38%	2.8	54	1.8	1.8
MSST	.24	48%	34.4	47%	3.08	144	47%	316	4.11	.12	44%	23.2	44%	42%	2.92	38.9	1.4	1.1

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
MISS	#4 (.34)	47% (19)		44% (76)	3.02 (72)	164	51% (3)	317	4 (58)	#6 (.04)	35% (3)		35% (6)	36% (13)	2.98 (8)	68.5	0.9	1.6
MSST	#78 (.17)	39% (109)		40% (105)	2.9 (93)	139	38% (104)	239	3.75 (86)	#130 (.32)	50% (133)		47% (108)	55% (134)	4.32 (113)	60.3	1.5	0.9

Overall Stats 2015

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
MISS Offense	13	40.8	28.4	50.2%	4.19	1.8	26	518	183	335	5.1	44%	54%	47%	51%	2%	.27
MSST Defense	13	23.2	22.3	44.3%	2.92	1.1	-	-	-	-	-	51%	47%	44%	42%	3%	.12

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
MISS Defense	13	22.6	31.6	39.2%	2.8	1.8	-	-	-	-	-	43%	54%	37%	38%	2%	.07
MSST Offense	13	34.4	35.1	47.8%	4.11	1.4	23	460	144	316	4.4	41%	58%	47%	47%	1%	.24

Additional Stats 2015

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Ole Miss	13	26:31	26.2	41%	47%	6.1	54	1.8	1.8	0	0	4	32
Mississippi State	13	26:16	23.2	43%	50%	4.1	38.9	1.4	1.1	0	0	3	29.3

Run Game Stats (2015)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
MISS Offense	13	44%	47%	35.6	183.1	5.1	29	.11	2.82	51%	0%	0.92
MSST Defense	13	51%	44%	-	-	-	-	.08	2.72	70%	0%	0.92

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
MISS Defense	13	43%	37%	-	-	-	-	-.05	2.62	59%	0%	0.77
MSST Offense	13	41%	47%	32.8	144.1	4.4	21	.13	3.08	83%	0%	0.94

Pass Game Stats (2015)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
MISS Offense	13	54%	51%	24.5	37.6	334.7	8.9	13.7	35	14	.43	1.5	27%	42%	.45	2%	1.6
MSST Defense	13	47%	42%	-	-	-	-	-	-	13	.18	1.5	33%	32%	.25	3%	1.7

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
MISS Defense	13	54%	38%	-	-	-	-	-	-	15	.19	1.6	37%	31%	.17	2%	1.6
MSST Offense	13	58%	47%	25.5	38.5	316.4	8.2	12.4	33	5	.34	1.5	31%	36%	.37	1%	1.9

Ole Miss's Power Ratings
Ole Miss's Power Rating: NR
Ole Miss's Offense Rating: NR
Ole Miss's Defense Rating: NR
2015 Talent Rating: #19
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Ole Miss's 2015 Expected Record: -
Ole Miss's 2015 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Ole Miss's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Ole Miss's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Ole Miss: Mississippi State: 2.5

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Ole Miss: Mississippi State:

Mississippi State's Power Ratings
Mississippi State's Power Rating: 2.5 NR
Mississippi State's Offense Rating: NR
Mississippi State's Defense Rating: NR
2015 Talent Rating: #28
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Mississippi State's 2015 Expected Record: -
Mississippi State's 2015 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Mississippi State's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Mississippi State's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Ole Miss Scoring
Offense: 40.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 28.4
Defense: 22.6 PPG
Defense on Road: 31.6

Ole Miss's 2015 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 8 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 3 - 10
Record on Road: 3 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 7 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
Ole Miss 29
Mississippi State 28

Total Points: 57

Based on Last 4 Games
Ole Miss 28
Mississippi State 25

Total Points: 53

Based on Entire Season
Mississippi State 31
Ole Miss 29

Total Points: 60

Mississippi State Scoring
Offense: 34.4 PPG
Offense at Home: 35.1
Defense: 23.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 22.3

Mississippi State's 2015 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 9 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 9
Record at home: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	11/28	Mississippi State	19	Ole Miss	38	Ole Miss -7.5	Ole Miss	62.5	Under
2024	11/29	Ole Miss	26	Mississippi State	14	Ole Miss -26.5	Mississippi State	63.5	Under
2023	11/23	Mississippi State	7	Ole Miss	17	Ole Miss -11	Mississippi State	56.0	Under
2022	11/24	Ole Miss	22	Mississippi State	24	Ole Miss -2.5	Mississippi State	63.0	Under
2021	11/25	Mississippi State	21	Ole Miss	31	Mississippi State -2.5	Ole Miss	65.0	Under
2020	11/28	Ole Miss	31	Mississippi State	24	Ole Miss -10	Mississippi State	70.0	Under
2019	11/28	Mississippi State	21	Ole Miss	20	Mississippi State -1	Push	59.0	Under
2018	11/22	Ole Miss	3	Mississippi State	35	Mississippi State -12.5	Mississippi State	61.0	Under
2017	11/23	Mississippi State	28	Ole Miss	31	Mississippi State -14	Ole Miss	64.5	Under
2016	11/26	Ole Miss	20	Mississippi State	55	Ole Miss -8	Mississippi State	67.5	Over
2015	11/28	Mississippi State	27	Ole Miss	38	Ole Miss -2	Ole Miss	65.5	Under
2014	11/29	Ole Miss	31	Mississippi State	17	Mississippi State -2.5	Ole Miss	51.5	Under
2013	11/28	Mississippi State	17	Ole Miss	10	Ole Miss -3	Mississippi State	0
2012	11/24	Ole Miss	41	Mississippi State	24
2011	11/26	Mississippi State	31	Ole Miss	3
2010	11/27	Ole Miss	23	Mississippi State	31
2009	11/28	Mississippi State	41	Ole Miss	27
2008	11/28	Ole Miss	45	Mississippi State	0
2007	11/23	Mississippi State	17	Ole Miss	14
2006	11/25	Ole Miss	20	Mississippi State	17
2005	11/26	Mississippi State	35	Ole Miss	14
2004	11/27	Ole Miss	20	Mississippi State	3
2003	11/27	Mississippi State	0	Ole Miss	31
2001	11/22	Mississippi State	36	Ole Miss	28
2000	11/22	Ole Miss	45	Mississippi State	30

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Mississippi State	11	7	1 Overs
Ole Miss	14	5	11 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	15 - 10	3 - 9	0 - 6	3 - 3
Road Teams	10 - 15	9 - 3	3 - 3	6 - 0

(#) MISS at (#) MSST

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	MISS	MSST
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	NR	NR
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#19	#28
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Ole Miss Injury Report

Mississippi State Injury Report

Ole Miss on Offense


CategoryCat	MISS Off	MSST Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	NR	NR
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Ole Miss Run Game


CategoryCat	MISS Off	MSST Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Ole Miss Pass Game


CategoryCat	MISS Off	MSST Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Mississippi State on Offense


CategoryCat	MSST Off	MISS Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	NR	NR
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Mississippi State Run Game


CategoryCat	MSST Off	MISS Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Mississippi State Pass Game


CategoryCat	MSST Off	MISS Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
MSST 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'15 Profile: Remains Poor G5

MISS 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'15 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Davis Wade Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 67°

Rematch from Week 13
Ole Miss 2.0 (65.5)
Ole Miss won at Mississippi State this year (38-27)

Previous Matchups
Ole Miss beat Mississippi State last year (26-14)
Ole Miss beat Mississippi State in 2023 (17-7)
Mississippi State beat Ole Miss in 2022 (24-22)

MISS's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Ole Miss's Full Roster

MISS's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

MSST's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Mississippi State's Full Roster

MSST's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD