Alabama at Mississippi State - 2015 Matchup Preview
Alabama logo   Alabama Crimson Tide at Mississippi State Bulldogs  Mississippi State logo
Saturday, November 14th 2015 (3:30 PM EST)
Alabama -7 (51.5) (0)  Open: 0.0
Alabama 31 - Mississippi State: 6  (SEC)

 
Crimson Tide (14 - 1) (8 - 7 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 30 - 19 (26 - 24 on Road)
'15 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Bulldogs (9 - 4) (9 - 4 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 30 - 30 (34 - 28 @ Home)
'15 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Alabama's 2015 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/5 Alabama vs Wisconsin-10.044.0W 35 - 17OY
Sat 9/12 Alabama vs Middle Tennessee-34.056.5W 37 - 10UN
Sat 9/19 Alabama vs Ole Miss-8.552.0L 37 - 43ON
Sat 9/26 Alabama vs UL Monroe-39.053.0W 34 - 0UN
Sat 10/3 Alabama at Georgia+1.050.5W 38 - 10UY
Sat 10/10 Alabama vs Arkansas-16.048.0W 27 - 14UN
Sat 10/17 Alabama at Texas A&M-3.054.5W 41 - 23OY
Sat 10/24 Alabama vs Tennessee-14.548.5W 19 - 14UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/7 Alabama vs LSU-7.047.0W 30 - 16UY
Sat 11/14 Alabama at Mississippi State-7.051.5W 31 - 6UY
Sat 11/21 Alabama vs Charleston Southern-38.5
Sat 11/28 Alabama at Auburn-13.047.5W 29 - 13UY
Sat 12/5 Alabama vs Florida-17.038.0W 29 - 15ON
Thu 12/31 Alabama vs Michigan State-9.5
Mon 1/11 Alabama vs Clemson-5.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Alabama's Schedule
Mississippi State's 2015 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/5 Mississippi State at Southern Miss-13.062.0W 34 - 16UY
Sat 9/12 Mississippi State vs LSU+3.052.5L 19 - 21UY
Sat 9/19 Mississippi State vs Northwestern State-42.0
Sat 9/26 Mississippi State at Auburn+3.558.5W 17 - 9UY
Sat 10/3 Mississippi State at Texas A&M+6.062.5L 17 - 30UN
Sat 10/10 Mississippi State vs Troy-31.559.0W 45 - 17ON
Sat 10/17 Mississippi State vs Louisiana Tech-15.560.0W 45 - 20OY
Sat 10/24 Mississippi State vs Kentucky-11.559.0W 42 - 16UY
BYE WEEK
Thu 11/5 Mississippi State at Missouri-7.541.0W 31 - 13OY
Sat 11/14 Mississippi State vs Alabama+7.051.5L 6 - 31UN
Sat 11/21 Mississippi State at Arkansas+3.059.0W 51 - 50OY
Sat 11/28 Mississippi State vs Ole Miss+2.065.5L 27 - 38UN
Wed 12/30 Mississippi State vs NC State-7.0

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Mississippi State's Schedule
Important Stats (2014)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ALA.3152%29.552%3.3620750%2784.2.0538%19.235%37%2.740.11.61.4
MSST.2551%30.452%3.223349%2813.94.0940%30.241%37%2.3639.51.81.8
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ALA0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
MSST0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2014
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ALA Offense1429.526.351.6%4.21.6244852072785.153%46%52%50%3%.31
MSST Defense1330.227.939.9%2.361.8 - - - - - 47%52%41%37%2%.09
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ALA Defense1419.223.737.6%2.71.4 - - - - - 44%53%35%37%2%.05
MSST Offense1330.433.951.1%3.941.8265142332815.253%46%52%49%2%.25

Additional Stats 2014
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Alabama1432:5524.351%77%4.940.11.61.400032.8
Mississippi State1330:1225.746%43%5.239.51.81.800230.2
Run Game Stats (2015)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ALA Offense1453%52%40.5206.65.135.223.3673%0%0.91
MSST Defense1347%41% - - - - .072.7564%0%0.98
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ALA Defense1444%35% - - - - -.112.2860%0%0.8
MSST Offense1353%52%44.5233.15.229.23.281%0%0.92

Pass Game Stats (2015)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ALA Offense1446%50%20.732.2277.98.613.43210.441.626%40%.523%2
MSST Defense1352%37% - - - - - - 16.121.635%29%.242%1.9
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ALA Defense1453%37% - - - - - - 11.221.737%33%.272%1.9
MSST Offense1346%49%20.132.5280.78.6143112.321.528%39%.322%1.7

Alabama's Power Ratings
Alabama's Power Rating: NR
Alabama's Offense Rating: NR
Alabama's Defense Rating: NR
2015 Talent Rating:  #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Alabama's 2015 Expected Record: -
Alabama's 2015 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Alabama's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Alabama's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Alabama:    Mississippi State: 2.5

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Alabama:    Mississippi State:




Mississippi State's Power Ratings
Mississippi State's Power Rating: 2.5 NR
Mississippi State's Offense Rating: NR
Mississippi State's Defense Rating: NR
2015 Talent Rating:  #28
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Mississippi State's 2015 Expected Record: -
Mississippi State's 2015 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Mississippi State's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Mississippi State's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Alabama Scoring
Offense: 29.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 26.3
Defense: 19.2 PPG
Defense on Road: 23.7

Alabama's 2015 Record
Record: 14 - 1
Record vs Spread: 8 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 11
Record on Road: 5 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 0 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 3 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Alabama 29
Mississippi State 27

Projected Total Points: 56
Mississippi State Scoring
Offense: 30.4 PPG
Offense at Home: 33.9
Defense: 30.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 27.9

Mississippi State's 2015 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 9 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 9
Record at home: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202309/30Mississippi State17Alabama40Alabama -16.5Alabama45.0Over
202210/22Alabama30Mississippi State6Alabama -21.5Alabama61.5Under
202110/16Mississippi State9Alabama49Alabama -17.5Alabama59.5Under
202010/31Alabama41Mississippi State0Alabama -32.0Alabama0
201911/16Mississippi State7Alabama38Alabama -19Alabama61.0Under
201811/10Alabama24Mississippi State0Alabama -21.5Alabama50.0Under
201711/11Mississippi State24Alabama31Alabama -14.5Mississippi State50.0Over
201611/12Alabama51Mississippi State3Alabama -28.5Alabama52.5Over
201511/14Mississippi State6Alabama31Alabama -7Alabama51.5Under
201411/15Alabama25Mississippi State20Alabama -6.5Mississippi State0
201311/16Mississippi State7Alabama20Alabama -24.5Mississippi State0
201210/27Alabama38Mississippi State7
201111/12Mississippi State7Alabama24
201011/13Alabama30Mississippi State10
200911/14Mississippi State3Alabama31
200811/15Alabama32Mississippi State7
200711/10Mississippi State17Alabama12
200611/04Alabama16Mississippi State24
200511/05Mississippi State0Alabama17
200411/06Alabama30Mississippi State14
200311/08Mississippi State0Alabama38
200211/09Alabama28Mississippi State14
200111/10Alabama24Mississippi State17
200011/10Mississippi State29Alabama7
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Mississippi State333 Overs
Alabama2185 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams13 - 116 - 54 - 12 - 4
Road Teams11 - 135 - 64 - 21 - 4

(#) ALA at (#) MSST
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatALAMSST
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #1 #28
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Alabama on Offense
CategoryCat
ALA OffMSST Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Alabama Run Game
CategoryCat
ALA OffMSST Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Alabama Pass Game
CategoryCat
ALA OffMSST Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Mississippi State on Offense
CategoryCatMSST OffALA Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Mississippi State Run Game
CategoryCat
MSST OffALA Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Mississippi State Pass Game
CategoryCatMSST OffALA Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
MSST 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'15 Profile: Remains Poor G5

ALA 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'15 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Davis Wade Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 11
Alabama 7.0 (51.5)
Alabama won at Mississippi State this year (31-6)

Previous Matchups
Alabama beat Mississippi State in 2023 (40-17)

  
ALA's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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ALA's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

MSST's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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MSST's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD