Mississippi State at Arkansas - 2015 Matchup Preview
Mississippi State logo Mississippi State Bulldogs at Arkansas RazorbacksArkansas logo
Saturday, November 21st 2015 (7:00 PM EST)
Arkansas -3 (59.0) (0)  Open: 0.0
Mississippi State 51 - Arkansas: 50  (SEC)

 
Bulldogs (9 - 4) (9 - 4 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 34 - 23 (30 - 24 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
ARK is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: -2.5  (SP+ -0)
Projected Score: MSST: 32 - ARK: 33 (65)
ARK Win prob: 56% | Cover: 47%
MSST Travel: 355 miles
Razorbacks (8 - 5) (7 - 5 - 1)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 36 - 27 (40 - 27 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Mississippi State's 2015 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/5 Mississippi State at Southern Miss-13.062.0W 34 - 16UY
Sat 9/12 Mississippi State vs LSU+3.052.5L 19 - 21UY
Sat 9/19 Mississippi State vs Northwestern State-42.0
Sat 9/26 Mississippi State at Auburn+3.558.5W 17 - 9UY
Sat 10/3 Mississippi State at Texas A&M+6.062.5L 17 - 30UN
Sat 10/10 Mississippi State vs Troy-31.559.0W 45 - 17ON
Sat 10/17 Mississippi State vs Louisiana Tech-15.560.0W 45 - 20OY
Sat 10/24 Mississippi State vs Kentucky-11.559.0W 42 - 16UY
BYE WEEK
Thu 11/5 Mississippi State at Missouri-7.541.0W 31 - 13OY
Sat 11/14 Mississippi State vs Alabama+7.051.5L 6 - 31UN
Sat 11/21 Mississippi State at Arkansas+3.059.0W 51 - 50OY
Sat 11/28 Mississippi State vs Ole Miss+2.065.5L 27 - 38UN
Wed 12/30 Mississippi State vs NC State-7.0

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Mississippi State's Schedule
Arkansas's 2015 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/5 Arkansas vs UTEP-35.049.5W 48 - 13ON
Sat 9/12 Arkansas vs Toledo-21.056.0L 12 - 16UN
Sat 9/19 Arkansas vs Texas Tech-10.569.0L 24 - 35UN
Sat 9/26 Arkansas vs Texas A&M+3.561.5L 21 - 28UN
Sat 10/3 Arkansas at Tennessee+7.553.5W 24 - 20UY
Sat 10/10 Arkansas at Alabama+16.048.0L 14 - 27UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/24 Arkansas vs Auburn-4.055.0W 54 - 46OY
Sat 10/31 Arkansas vs UT Martin-38.0
Sat 11/7 Arkansas at Ole Miss+11.055.0W 53 - 52OY
Sat 11/14 Arkansas at LSU+9.054.0W 31 - 14UY
Sat 11/21 Arkansas vs Mississippi State-3.059.0L 50 - 51ON
Fri 11/27 Arkansas vs Missouri-14.044.0W 28 - 3UY
Sat 1/2 Arkansas vs Kansas State-13.0

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Arkansas's Schedule
Important Stats (2015)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MSST.2448%34.447%3.0814447%3164.11.1244%23.244%42%2.9238.91.41.1
ARK.3452%35.952%3.2319750%2684.44.2648%27.446%49%4.0336.70.81.4
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MSST#78 (.17)39% (109)40% (105)2.9 (93)13938% (104)2393.75 (86)#130 (.32)50% (133)47% (108)55% (134)4.32 (113)60.31.50.9
ARK#27 (.25)48% (13)52% (5)3.23 (38)16844% (41)2483.95 (64)#45 (.13)42% (66)39% (32)44% (100)3.31 (22)56.31.71



Overall Stats 2015
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MSST Offense1334.43047.8%4.111.4234601443164.441%58%47%47%1%.24
ARK Defense1327.427.448.5%4.031.4 - - - - - 45%53%46%49%2%.26
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MSST Defense1323.223.644.3%2.921.1 - - - - - 51%47%44%42%3%.12
ARK Offense1335.939.951.7%4.440.823465197268555%44%52%50%2%.34

Additional Stats 2015
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Mississippi State1326:1623.243%50%4.138.91.41.100329.3
Arkansas1334:2323.447%57%4.236.70.81.400031.1
Run Game Stats (2015)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MSST Offense1341%47%32.8144.14.421.133.0883%0%0.94
ARK Defense1345%46% - - - - .132.6979%0%0.9
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MSST Defense1351%44% - - - - .082.7270%0%0.92
ARK Offense1355%52%39.4197.3531.23.2376%0%0.91

Pass Game Stats (2015)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MSST Offense1358%47%25.538.5316.48.212.4335.341.531%36%.371%1.9
ARK Defense1353%49% - - - - - - 11.41.531%40%.392%1.6
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MSST Defense1347%42% - - - - - - 13.181.533%32%.253%1.7
ARK Offense1344%50%18.928.8268.29.314.2318.551.727%42%.592%2.2

Mississippi State's Power Ratings
Mississippi State's Power Rating: NR
Mississippi State's Offense Rating: NR
Mississippi State's Defense Rating: NR
2015 Talent Rating:  #28
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Mississippi State's 2015 Expected Record: -
Mississippi State's 2015 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Mississippi State's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Mississippi State's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Mississippi State:    Arkansas: 2.5

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Mississippi State:    Arkansas:




Arkansas's Power Ratings
Arkansas's Power Rating: 2.5 NR
Arkansas's Offense Rating: NR
Arkansas's Defense Rating: NR
2015 Talent Rating:  #25
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Arkansas's 2015 Expected Record: -
Arkansas's 2015 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Arkansas's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Arkansas's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


Mississippi State Scoring
Offense: 34.4 PPG
Offense on Road: 30
Defense: 23.2 PPG
Defense on Road: 23.6

Mississippi State's 2015 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 9 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 9
Record on Road: 4 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Arkansas 33
Mississippi State 32

Total Points: 65

Based on Last 4 Games
Arkansas 35
Mississippi State 34

Total Points: 69

Based on Entire Season
Arkansas 31
Mississippi State 30

Total Points: 61
Arkansas Scoring
Offense: 35.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 39.9
Defense: 27.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 27.4

Arkansas's 2015 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 1
Over/Under Record: 4 - 9
Record at home: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 4 - 1
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 1


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202511/01Arkansas35Mississippi State38Arkansas -5.5Mississippi State66.5Over
202410/26Mississippi State25Arkansas58Arkansas -7.5Arkansas55.0Over
202310/21Arkansas3Mississippi State7Arkansas -6.5Mississippi State46.5Under
202210/08Mississippi State40Arkansas17Mississippi State -8Mississippi State55.5Over
202111/06Arkansas31Mississippi State28Arkansas -4Mississippi State54.0Over
202010/03Mississippi State14Arkansas21Mississippi State -16.5Arkansas68.0Under
201911/02Arkansas24Mississippi State54Mississippi State -7Mississippi State59.0Over
201811/17Mississippi State52Arkansas6Mississippi State -22.5Mississippi State49.0Over
201711/18Arkansas21Mississippi State28Mississippi State -14Arkansas56.0Under
201611/19Mississippi State42Arkansas58Mississippi State -1Arkansas57.5Over
201511/21Arkansas50Mississippi State51Arkansas -3Mississippi State59.0Over
201411/01Mississippi State17Arkansas10Mississippi State -14Arkansas0
201311/23Arkansas17Mississippi State24Mississippi State -3Mississippi State0
201211/17Mississippi State45Arkansas14
201111/19Arkansas44Mississippi State17
201011/20Mississippi State31Arkansas38
200911/21Arkansas42Mississippi State21
200811/22Mississippi State31Arkansas28
200711/17Arkansas45Mississippi State31
200611/18Mississippi State14Arkansas28
200511/19Arkansas44Mississippi State10
200411/20Mississippi State21Arkansas24
200311/22Arkansas52Mississippi State6
200111/17Arkansas24Mississippi State21
200011/17Mississippi State10Arkansas17
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Arkansas1458 Overs
Mississippi State1183 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams12 - 133 - 102 - 71 - 3
Road Teams13 - 1210 - 33 - 17 - 2

(#) MSST at (#) ARK
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatMSSTARK
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #28 #25
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Mississippi State on Offense
CategoryCat
MSST OffARK Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Mississippi State Run Game
CategoryCat
MSST OffARK Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Mississippi State Pass Game
CategoryCat
MSST OffARK Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Arkansas on Offense
CategoryCatARK OffMSST Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Arkansas Run Game
CategoryCat
ARK OffMSST Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Arkansas Pass Game
CategoryCatARK OffMSST Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
ARK 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'15 Profile: Remains Poor G5

MSST 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'15 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Razorback Stadium Frank Broyles Field
Conditions:
Temp: 36°
Rematch from Week 12
Arkansas -3.0 (59.0)
Mississippi State won at Arkansas this year (51-50)

Previous Matchups
Arkansas beat Mississippi State last year (58-25)
Mississippi State beat Arkansas in 2023 (7-3)
Mississippi State beat Arkansas in 2022 (40-17)

  
MSST's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Mississippi State's Full Roster

MSST's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

ARK's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Arkansas's Full Roster

ARK's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD