Kentucky at Mississippi State - 2015 Matchup Preview
Kentucky logo Kentucky Wildcats at Mississippi State BulldogsMississippi State logo
Saturday, October 24th 2015 (7:30 PM EDT)
Mississippi State -11.5 (59.0) (0)  Open: 0.0
Mississippi State 42 - Kentucky: 16  (SEC)

 
Wildcats (5 - 7) (3 - 9 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 25 - 27 (16 - 28 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
MSST 3rd straight Home Game
MSST is playing their 8th straight game
Our Line: -2.5  (SP+ -0)
Projected Score: UK: 18 - MSST: 28 (46)
MSST Win prob: 77% | Cover: 45%
UK Travel: 397 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Bulldogs (9 - 4) (9 - 4 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 34 - 23 (35 - 22 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Kentucky's 2015 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/5 Kentucky vs Louisiana-16.558.0W 40 - 33ON
Sat 9/12 Kentucky at South Carolina+7.556.0W 26 - 22UY
Sat 9/19 Kentucky vs Florida+4.552.5L 9 - 14UN
Sat 9/26 Kentucky vs Missouri-2.544.0W 21 - 13UY
Sat 10/3 Kentucky vs Eastern Kentucky-31.5
BYE WEEK
Thu 10/15 Kentucky vs Auburn+1.057.0L 27 - 30UN
Sat 10/24 Kentucky at Mississippi State+11.559.0L 16 - 42UN
Sat 10/31 Kentucky vs Tennessee+7.560.5L 21 - 52ON
Sat 11/7 Kentucky at Georgia+17.058.0L 3 - 27UN
Sat 11/14 Kentucky at Vanderbilt+2.541.5L 17 - 21UN
Sat 11/21 Kentucky vs Charlotte-24.556.0W 58 - 10OY
Sat 11/28 Kentucky vs Louisville+4.051.5L 24 - 38ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Kentucky's Schedule
Mississippi State's 2015 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/5 Mississippi State at Southern Miss-13.062.0W 34 - 16UY
Sat 9/12 Mississippi State vs LSU+3.052.5L 19 - 21UY
Sat 9/19 Mississippi State vs Northwestern State-42.0
Sat 9/26 Mississippi State at Auburn+3.558.5W 17 - 9UY
Sat 10/3 Mississippi State at Texas A&M+6.062.5L 17 - 30UN
Sat 10/10 Mississippi State vs Troy-31.559.0W 45 - 17ON
Sat 10/17 Mississippi State vs Louisiana Tech-15.560.0W 45 - 20OY
Sat 10/24 Mississippi State vs Kentucky-11.559.0W 42 - 16UY
BYE WEEK
Thu 11/5 Mississippi State at Missouri-7.541.0W 31 - 13OY
Sat 11/14 Mississippi State vs Alabama+7.051.5L 6 - 31UN
Sat 11/21 Mississippi State at Arkansas+3.059.0W 51 - 50OY
Sat 11/28 Mississippi State vs Ole Miss+2.065.5L 27 - 38UN
Wed 12/30 Mississippi State vs NC State-7.0

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Mississippi State's Schedule
Important Stats (2015)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UK.1439%24.741%2.6516335%2093.26.1345%27.445%43%3.1556.31.81.7
MSST.2448%34.447%3.0814447%3164.11.1244%23.244%42%2.9238.91.41.1
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UK#118 (.09)41% (89)47% (31)3.02 (71)14635% (123)1853.49 (104)#62 (.16)46% (111)49% (122)42% (75)3.44 (31)52.11.91.3
MSST#78 (.17)39% (109)40% (105)2.9 (93)13938% (104)2393.75 (86)#130 (.32)50% (133)47% (108)55% (134)4.32 (113)60.31.50.9



Overall Stats 2015
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UK Offense1224.715.539.4%3.261.8193721632094.747%51%41%35%2%.14
MSST Defense1323.222.344.3%2.921.1 - - - - - 51%47%44%42%3%.12
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UK Defense1227.42845.1%3.151.7 - - - - - 56%43%45%43%2%.13
MSST Offense1334.435.147.8%4.111.4234601443164.441%58%47%47%1%.24

Additional Stats 2015
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Kentucky1229:1618.537%68%5.856.31.81.700226.7
Mississippi State1326:1623.243%50%4.138.91.41.100329.3
Run Game Stats (2015)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UK Offense1247%41%34.9162.74.722.192.6565%0%1.24
MSST Defense1351%44% - - - - .082.7270%0%0.92
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UK Defense1256%45% - - - - .12.8981%0%0.89
MSST Offense1341%47%32.8144.14.421.133.0883%0%0.94

Pass Game Stats (2015)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UK Offense1251%35%18.233.1209.36.311.51016.121.637%33%.352%1.9
MSST Defense1347%42% - - - - - - 13.181.533%32%.253%1.7
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UK Defense1243%43% - - - - - - 11.21.530%37%.172%1.5
MSST Offense1358%47%25.538.5316.48.212.4335.341.531%36%.371%1.9

Kentucky's Power Ratings
Kentucky's Power Rating: NR
Kentucky's Offense Rating: NR
Kentucky's Defense Rating: NR
2015 Talent Rating:  #38
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Kentucky's 2015 Expected Record: -
Kentucky's 2015 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Kentucky's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Kentucky's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Kentucky:    Mississippi State: 2.5

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Kentucky:    Mississippi State:




Mississippi State's Power Ratings
Mississippi State's Power Rating: 2.5 NR
Mississippi State's Offense Rating: NR
Mississippi State's Defense Rating: NR
2015 Talent Rating:  #28
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Mississippi State's 2015 Expected Record: -
Mississippi State's 2015 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Mississippi State's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Mississippi State's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


Kentucky Scoring
Offense: 24.7 PPG
Offense on Road: 15.5
Defense: 27.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 28

Kentucky's 2015 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 3 - 9 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 8
Record on Road: 1 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 7 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0
Projected Score
Mississippi State 28
Kentucky 18

Total Points: 46

Based on Last 4 Games
Mississippi State 24
Kentucky 15

Total Points: 39

Based on Entire Season
Mississippi State 31
Kentucky 21

Total Points: 52
Mississippi State Scoring
Offense: 34.4 PPG
Offense at Home: 35.1
Defense: 23.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 22.3

Mississippi State's 2015 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 9 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 9
Record at home: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 1 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202311/04Mississippi State3Kentucky24Kentucky -5.5Kentucky44.5Under
202210/15Kentucky27Mississippi State17Mississippi State -3.5Kentucky50.5Under
202110/30Mississippi State31Kentucky17Mississippi State -1Mississippi State47.0Over
202010/10Kentucky24Mississippi State2Kentucky -3.5Kentucky57.5Under
201909/21Mississippi State28Kentucky13Mississippi State -5.5Mississippi State48.0Under
201809/22Kentucky28Mississippi State7Mississippi State -9.5Kentucky56.0Under
201710/21Mississippi State45Kentucky7Mississippi State -14Mississippi State54.5Under
201610/22Kentucky40Mississippi State38Mississippi State -1.5Kentucky54.5Over
201510/24Mississippi State42Kentucky16Mississippi State -11.5Mississippi State59.0Under
201410/25Kentucky31Mississippi State45Mississippi State -13Mississippi State0
201310/24Mississippi State28Kentucky22Mississippi State -11Kentucky0
201210/06Kentucky14Mississippi State27
201110/29Kentucky16Mississippi State28
201010/30Mississippi State24Kentucky17
200910/31Kentucky24Mississippi State31
200811/01Mississippi State13Kentucky14
200710/27Kentucky14Mississippi State31
200610/28Mississippi State31Kentucky34
200510/29Kentucky13Mississippi State7
200410/30Mississippi State22Kentucky7
200310/25Kentucky42Mississippi State17
200211/02Mississippi State24Kentucky45
200111/03Mississippi State17Kentucky14
200011/03Kentucky17Mississippi State35
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Mississippi State1452 Overs
Kentucky1067 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams14 - 108 - 35 - 13 - 2
Road Teams10 - 143 - 82 - 31 - 5

(#) UK at (#) MSST
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatUKMSST
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #38 #28
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Kentucky on Offense
CategoryCat
UK OffMSST Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Kentucky Run Game
CategoryCat
UK OffMSST Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Kentucky Pass Game
CategoryCat
UK OffMSST Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Mississippi State on Offense
CategoryCatMSST OffUK Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Mississippi State Run Game
CategoryCat
MSST OffUK Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Mississippi State Pass Game
CategoryCatMSST OffUK Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
MSST 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'15 Profile: Remains Poor G5

UK 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'15 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Davis Wade Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 77° - Wind: 6 mph
Rematch from Week 8
Mississippi State -11.5 (59.0)
Mississippi State won vs Kentucky this year (42-16)

Previous Matchups
Kentucky beat Mississippi State in 2023 (24-3)
Kentucky beat Mississippi State in 2022 (27-17)

  
UK's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Kentucky's Full Roster

UK's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

MSST's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Mississippi State's Full Roster

MSST's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD