Northwestern State at Mississippi State - 2015 Matchup Preview
Northwestern State logo Northwestern State Demons at Mississippi State BulldogsMississippi State logo
Saturday, September 19th 2015 (4:00 PM EDT)
Mississippi State -42 (0)  Open: 0.0
Mississippi State 62 - Northwestern State: 13

 
Demons (0 - 2) (0 - 1 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 15 - 53 (15 - 53 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Temp: 91.4° (36% Hum)
NWST 2nd straight Road Game
MSST 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: -2.5  (SP+ -0)
MSST Win prob: 100% | Cover: 45%
Bulldogs (9 - 4) (9 - 4 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 34 - 23 (35 - 22 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Northwestern State's 2015 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/12 Northwestern State at Louisiana+2.5
Sat 9/19 Northwestern State at Mississippi State+42.0

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Northwestern State's Schedule
Mississippi State's 2015 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/5 Mississippi State at Southern Miss-13.062.0W 34 - 16UY
Sat 9/12 Mississippi State vs LSU+3.052.5L 19 - 21UY
Sat 9/19 Mississippi State vs Northwestern State-42.0
Sat 9/26 Mississippi State at Auburn+3.558.5W 17 - 9UY
Sat 10/3 Mississippi State at Texas A&M+6.062.5L 17 - 30UN
Sat 10/10 Mississippi State vs Troy-31.559.0W 45 - 17ON
Sat 10/17 Mississippi State vs Louisiana Tech-15.560.0W 45 - 20OY
Sat 10/24 Mississippi State vs Kentucky-11.559.0W 42 - 16UY
BYE WEEK
Thu 11/5 Mississippi State at Missouri-7.541.0W 31 - 13OY
Sat 11/14 Mississippi State vs Alabama+7.051.5L 6 - 31UN
Sat 11/21 Mississippi State at Arkansas+3.059.0W 51 - 50OY
Sat 11/28 Mississippi State vs Ole Miss+2.065.5L 27 - 38UN
Wed 12/30 Mississippi State vs NC State-7.0

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Mississippi State's Schedule
Important Stats (2015)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
NWST0%150%000%000%530%0%0000
MSST.2448%34.447%3.0814447%3164.11.1244%23.244%42%2.9238.91.41.1
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
NWST0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
MSST#78 (.17)39% (109)40% (105)2.9 (93)13938% (104)2393.75 (86)#130 (.32)50% (133)47% (108)55% (134)4.32 (113)60.31.50.9



Overall Stats 2015
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
NWST Offense215150%00000000%0%0%0%0%
MSST Defense1323.222.344.3%2.921.1 - - - - - 51%47%44%42%3%.12
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
NWST Defense253530%00 - - - - - 0%0%0%0%0%
MSST Offense1334.435.147.8%4.111.4234601443164.441%58%47%47%1%.24

Additional Stats 2015
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Northwestern State20:000NAN%0%0000000100
Mississippi State1326:1623.243%50%4.138.91.41.100329.3
Run Game Stats (2015)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
NWST Offense20%0%000000%0%0
MSST Defense1351%44% - - - - .082.7270%0%0.92
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
NWST Defense20%0% - - - - 00%0%0
MSST Offense1341%47%32.8144.14.421.133.0883%0%0.94

Pass Game Stats (2015)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
NWST Offense20%0%000000000%0%0%0
MSST Defense1347%42% - - - - - - 13.181.533%32%.253%1.7
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
NWST Defense20%0% - - - - - - 000%0%0%0
MSST Offense1358%47%25.538.5316.48.212.4335.341.531%36%.371%1.9

Northwestern State's Power Ratings
Northwestern State's Power Rating: NR
Northwestern State's Offense Rating: NR
Northwestern State's Defense Rating: NR
2015 Talent Rating:  #189
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Northwestern State's 2015 Expected Record: -
Northwestern State's 2015 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Northwestern State's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Northwestern State's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Southland Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Northwestern State:    Mississippi State: 2.5

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Northwestern State:    Mississippi State:




Mississippi State's Power Ratings
Mississippi State's Power Rating: 2.5 NR
Mississippi State's Offense Rating: NR
Mississippi State's Defense Rating: NR
2015 Talent Rating:  #28
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Mississippi State's 2015 Expected Record: -
Mississippi State's 2015 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Mississippi State's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Mississippi State's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


Northwestern State Scoring
Offense: 15 PPG
Offense on Road: 15
Defense: 53 PPG
Defense on Road: 53

Northwestern State's 2015 Record
Record: 0 - 2
Record vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 2
Record on Road: 0 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Mississippi State 40
Northwestern State 20

Total Points: 60

Based on Last 4 Games
Mississippi State 36
Northwestern State 21

Total Points: 57

Based on Entire Season
Mississippi State 44
Northwestern State 19

Total Points: 63
Mississippi State Scoring
Offense: 34.4 PPG
Offense at Home: 35.1
Defense: 23.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 22.3

Mississippi State's 2015 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 9 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 9
Record at home: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 1 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
201509/19Mississippi State62Northwestern State13Mississippi State -42Mississippi State0
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Mississippi State110 Overs
Northwestern State000 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams1 - 01 - 01 - 00 - 0
Road Teams0 - 10 - 10 - 00 - 1

(#) NWST at (#) MSST
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatNWSTMSST
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #189 #28
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Northwestern State on Offense
CategoryCat
NWST OffMSST Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Northwestern State Run Game
CategoryCat
NWST OffMSST Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Northwestern State Pass Game
CategoryCat
NWST OffMSST Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Mississippi State on Offense
CategoryCatMSST OffNWST Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Mississippi State Run Game
CategoryCat
MSST OffNWST Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Mississippi State Pass Game
CategoryCatMSST OffNWST Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
MSST 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'15 Profile: Remains Poor G5

NWST 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'15 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Davis Wade Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 91°
Rematch from Week 3
Mississippi State -42.0 (0)
Mississippi State won vs Northwestern State this year (62-13)

No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
NWST's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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NWST's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

MSST's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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MSST's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD