Ole Miss at Alabama - 2015 Matchup Preview
Ole Miss logo (#17)Ole Miss Rebels at Alabama Crimson Tide(#19)Alabama logo
Saturday, September 19th 2015 (9:15 PM EDT)
Alabama -8.5 (52.0) (0)  Open: 0.0
Ole Miss 43 - Alabama: 37  (SEC)

 
Rebels (10 - 3) (8 - 4 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 41 - 23 (28 - 32 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
ALA 3rd straight Home Game
Our Line: -2.5  (SP+ -0)
Projected Score: MISS: 23 - ALA: 27 (50)
ALA Win prob: 71% | Cover: 46%
MISS Travel: 139 miles
Crimson Tide (14 - 1) (8 - 7 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 35 - 15 (34 - 15 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Ole Miss's 2015 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/5 Ole Miss vs UT Martin-23.5
Sat 9/12 Ole Miss vs Fresno State-23.056.0W 73 - 21OY
Sat 9/19 Ole Miss at Alabama+8.552.0W 43 - 37OY
Sat 9/26 Ole Miss vs Vanderbilt-28.053.5W 27 - 16UN
Sat 10/3 Ole Miss at Florida-6.550.5L 10 - 38UN
Sat 10/10 Ole Miss vs New Mexico State-43.070.0W 52 - 3UY
Sat 10/17 Ole Miss at Memphis-10.572.0L 24 - 37UN
Sat 10/24 Ole Miss vs Texas A&M-6.065.5W 23 - 3UY
Sat 10/31 Ole Miss at Auburn-6.057.5W 27 - 19UY
Sat 11/7 Ole Miss vs Arkansas-11.055.0L 52 - 53ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/21 Ole Miss vs LSU-4.558.5W 38 - 17UY
Sat 11/28 Ole Miss at Mississippi State-2.065.5W 38 - 27UY
Fri 1/1 Ole Miss vs Oklahoma State-7.0

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Ole Miss's Schedule
Alabama's 2015 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/5 Alabama vs Wisconsin-10.044.0W 35 - 17OY
Sat 9/12 Alabama vs Middle Tennessee-34.056.5W 37 - 10UN
Sat 9/19 Alabama vs Ole Miss-8.552.0L 37 - 43ON
Sat 9/26 Alabama vs UL Monroe-39.053.0W 34 - 0UN
Sat 10/3 Alabama at Georgia+1.050.5W 38 - 10UY
Sat 10/10 Alabama vs Arkansas-16.048.0W 27 - 14UN
Sat 10/17 Alabama at Texas A&M-3.054.5W 41 - 23OY
Sat 10/24 Alabama vs Tennessee-14.548.5W 19 - 14UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/7 Alabama vs LSU-7.047.0W 30 - 16UY
Sat 11/14 Alabama at Mississippi State-7.051.5W 31 - 6UY
Sat 11/21 Alabama vs Charleston Southern-38.5
Sat 11/28 Alabama at Auburn-13.047.5W 29 - 13UY
Sat 12/5 Alabama vs Florida-17.038.0W 29 - 15ON
Thu 12/31 Alabama vs Michigan State-9.5
Mon 1/11 Alabama vs Clemson-5.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Alabama's Schedule
Important Stats (2015)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MISS.2750%40.847%2.8218351%3354.19.0739%22.637%38%2.8541.81.8
ALA.2146%35.146%3.1320042%2273.56-.0132%15.130%31%2.2255.71.11.8
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MISS#4 (.34)47% (19)44% (76)3.02 (72)16451% (3)3174 (58)#6 (.04)35% (3)35% (6)36% (13)2.98 (8)68.50.91.6
ALA#44 (.23)45% (34)45% (52)2.75 (112)16945% (31)2224.71 (8)#8 (.05)37% (12)38% (15)37% (19)2.85 (5)66.31.42.1



Overall Stats 2015
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MISS Offense1340.828.450.2%4.191.8265181833355.144%54%47%51%2%.27
ALA Defense1515.114.731.8%2.221.8 - - - - - 41%57%30%31%2%-.01
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MISS Defense1322.631.639.2%2.81.8 - - - - - 43%54%37%38%2%.07
ALA Offense1535.134.345.7%3.561.1224272002274.754%44%46%42%2%.21

Additional Stats 2015
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Ole Miss1326:3126.241%47%6.1541.81.800432
Alabama1533:3221.937%50%5.955.71.11.8001032.8
Run Game Stats (2015)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MISS Offense1344%47%35.6183.15.129.112.8251%0%0.92
ALA Defense1541%30% - - - - -.092.3364%0%0.93
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MISS Defense1343%37% - - - - -.052.6259%0%0.77
ALA Offense1554%46%42.8199.94.733.163.1379%0%0.94

Pass Game Stats (2015)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MISS Offense1354%51%24.537.6334.78.913.73514.431.527%42%.452%1.6
ALA Defense1557%31% - - - - - - 19.051.841%27%.162%1.9
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MISS Defense1354%38% - - - - - - 15.191.637%31%.172%1.6
ALA Offense1544%42%20.129.7227.17.611.32210.331.632%33%.312%1.8

Ole Miss's Power Ratings
Ole Miss's Power Rating: NR
Ole Miss's Offense Rating: NR
Ole Miss's Defense Rating: NR
2015 Talent Rating:  #19
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Ole Miss's 2015 Expected Record: -
Ole Miss's 2015 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Ole Miss's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Ole Miss's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Ole Miss:    Alabama: 2.5

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Ole Miss:    Alabama:




Alabama's Power Ratings
Alabama's Power Rating: 2.5 NR
Alabama's Offense Rating: NR
Alabama's Defense Rating: NR
2015 Talent Rating:  #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Alabama's 2015 Expected Record: -
Alabama's 2015 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Alabama's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Alabama's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


Ole Miss Scoring
Offense: 40.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 28.4
Defense: 22.6 PPG
Defense on Road: 31.6

Ole Miss's 2015 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 8 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 3 - 10
Record on Road: 3 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Alabama 27
Ole Miss 23

Total Points: 50

Based on Last 4 Games
Alabama 23
Ole Miss 21

Total Points: 44

Based on Entire Season
Alabama 31
Ole Miss 25

Total Points: 56
Alabama Scoring
Offense: 35.1 PPG
Offense at Home: 34.3
Defense: 15.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 14.7

Alabama's 2015 Record
Record: 14 - 1
Record vs Spread: 8 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 11
Record at home: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 5 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 5 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202309/23Alabama24Ole Miss10Alabama -7Alabama56.0Under
202211/12Ole Miss24Alabama30Alabama -11Ole Miss65.5Under
202110/02Alabama42Ole Miss21Alabama -15Alabama79.5Under
202010/10Ole Miss48Alabama63Alabama -24Ole Miss74.0Over
201909/28Alabama59Ole Miss31Alabama -37.5Ole Miss62.5Over
201809/15Ole Miss7Alabama62Alabama -22.5Alabama71.5Under
201709/30Alabama66Ole Miss3Alabama -30Alabama56.0Over
201609/17Ole Miss43Alabama48Alabama -9.5Ole Miss53.0Over
201509/19Alabama37Ole Miss43Alabama -8.5Ole Miss52.0Over
201410/04Ole Miss23Alabama17Alabama -4.5Ole Miss0
201309/28Alabama25Ole Miss0Alabama -16Alabama0
201209/29Alabama33Ole Miss14
201110/15Ole Miss7Alabama52
201010/16Alabama23Ole Miss10
200910/10Ole Miss3Alabama22
200810/18Alabama24Ole Miss20
200710/13Ole Miss24Alabama27
200610/14Alabama26Ole Miss23
200510/15Ole Miss10Alabama13
200409/11Alabama28Ole Miss7
200310/18Ole Miss43Alabama28
200210/19Alabama42Ole Miss7
200110/13Ole Miss27Alabama24
200010/13Alabama45Ole Miss7
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Alabama2055 Overs
Ole Miss464 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams15 - 98 - 34 - 24 - 1
Road Teams9 - 153 - 81 - 42 - 4

(#) MISS at (#) ALA
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatMISSALA
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #19 #1
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Ole Miss on Offense
CategoryCat
MISS OffALA Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Ole Miss Run Game
CategoryCat
MISS OffALA Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Ole Miss Pass Game
CategoryCat
MISS OffALA Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Alabama on Offense
CategoryCatALA OffMISS Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Alabama Run Game
CategoryCat
ALA OffMISS Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Alabama Pass Game
CategoryCatALA OffMISS Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
ALA 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'15 Profile: Remains Poor G5

MISS 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'15 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Bryant Denny Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 76°
Rematch from Week 3
Alabama -8.5 (52.0)
Ole Miss won at Alabama this year (43-37)

Previous Matchups
Alabama beat Ole Miss in 2023 (24-10)
Alabama beat Ole Miss in 2022 (30-24)

  
MISS's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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MISS's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

ALA's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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ALA's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD