New Mexico State at Ole Miss - 2015 Matchup Preview
New Mexico State logo New Mexico State Aggies at Ole Miss Rebels(#4)Ole Miss logo
Saturday, October 10th 2015 (12:00 PM EDT)
Ole Miss -43 (70.0) (0)  Open: 0.0
Ole Miss 52 - New Mexico State: 3

 
Aggies (3 - 9) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 29 - 45 (25 - 43 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
NMSU 2nd straight Road Game
MISS is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: -2.5  (SP+ -0)
Projected Score: NMSU: 24 - MISS: 45 (69)
MISS Win prob: 100% | Cover: 30%
NMSU Travel: 1003 miles, 1 hrs behind
Rebels (10 - 3) (8 - 4 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 41 - 23 (49 - 17 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
New Mexico State's 2015 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/5 New Mexico State at Florida+38.054.0L 13 - 61ON
Sat 9/12 New Mexico State vs Georgia State-4.064.5L 32 - 34ON
Sat 9/19 New Mexico State vs UTEP+4.059.5L 47 - 50OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/3 New Mexico State at New Mexico+14.065.5L 29 - 38OY
Sat 10/10 New Mexico State at Ole Miss+43.070.0L 3 - 52UN
Sat 10/17 New Mexico State at Georgia Southern+26.062.0L 26 - 56ON
Sat 10/24 New Mexico State vs Troy+3.558.5L 7 - 52ON
Sat 10/31 New Mexico State vs Idaho+3.069.5W 55 - 48OY
Sat 11/7 New Mexico State at Texas State+13.069.0W 31 - 21UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/21 New Mexico State at Louisiana+15.562.0W 37 - 34OY
Sat 11/28 New Mexico State vs Arkansas State+17.071.0L 28 - 52ON
Sat 12/5 New Mexico State at UL Monroe+3.059.0L 35 - 42ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for New Mexico State's Schedule
Ole Miss's 2015 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/5 Ole Miss vs UT Martin-23.5
Sat 9/12 Ole Miss vs Fresno State-23.056.0W 73 - 21OY
Sat 9/19 Ole Miss at Alabama+8.552.0W 43 - 37OY
Sat 9/26 Ole Miss vs Vanderbilt-28.053.5W 27 - 16UN
Sat 10/3 Ole Miss at Florida-6.550.5L 10 - 38UN
Sat 10/10 Ole Miss vs New Mexico State-43.070.0W 52 - 3UY
Sat 10/17 Ole Miss at Memphis-10.572.0L 24 - 37UN
Sat 10/24 Ole Miss vs Texas A&M-6.065.5W 23 - 3UY
Sat 10/31 Ole Miss at Auburn-6.057.5W 27 - 19UY
Sat 11/7 Ole Miss vs Arkansas-11.055.0L 52 - 53ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/21 Ole Miss vs LSU-4.558.5W 38 - 17UY
Sat 11/28 Ole Miss at Mississippi State-2.065.5W 38 - 27UY
Fri 1/1 Ole Miss vs Oklahoma State-7.0

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Ole Miss's Schedule
Important Stats (2015)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
NMSU.1737%28.642%2.9318132%2533.04.3148%4545%50%4.0655.51.81.8
MISS.2750%40.847%2.8218351%3354.19.0739%22.637%38%2.8541.81.8
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
NMSU#119 (.08)39% (106)46% (41)3.33 (21)17930% (132)1433.8 (82)#115 (.26)41% (64)43% (69)40% (68)3.7 (60)48.11.90.8
MISS#4 (.34)47% (19)44% (76)3.02 (72)16451% (3)3174 (58)#6 (.04)35% (3)35% (6)36% (13)2.98 (8)68.50.91.6



Overall Stats 2015
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
NMSU Offense1228.624.937.3%3.041.8204331812534.945%53%42%32%2%.17
MISS Defense1322.616.639.2%2.81.8 - - - - - 43%54%37%38%2%.07
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
NMSU Defense124543.448.5%4.061.8 - - - - - 52%47%45%50%2%.31
MISS Offense1340.848.750.2%4.191.8265181833355.144%54%47%51%2%.27

Additional Stats 2015
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
New Mexico State1228:0320.136%40%6.455.51.81.800128.2
Ole Miss1326:3126.241%47%6.1541.81.800432
Run Game Stats (2015)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
NMSU Offense1245%42%36.9180.54.916.262.9364%0%1.24
MISS Defense1343%37% - - - - -.052.6259%0%0.77
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
NMSU Defense1252%45% - - - - .253.0871%0%1.22
MISS Offense1344%47%35.6183.15.129.112.8251%0%0.92

Pass Game Stats (2015)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
NMSU Offense1253%32%20.137.8252.86.712.62614.111.936%27%.312%2.3
MISS Defense1354%38% - - - - - - 15.191.637%31%.172%1.6
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
NMSU Defense1247%50% - - - - - - 12.41.529%40%.492%1.9
MISS Offense1354%51%24.537.6334.78.913.73514.431.527%42%.452%1.6

New Mexico State's Power Ratings
New Mexico State's Power Rating: NR
New Mexico State's Offense Rating: NR
New Mexico State's Defense Rating: NR
2015 Talent Rating:  #126
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
New Mexico State's 2015 Expected Record: -
New Mexico State's 2015 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
New Mexico State's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
New Mexico State's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
New Mexico State:    Ole Miss: 2.5

SP+ Ratings Matchup
New Mexico State:    Ole Miss:




Ole Miss's Power Ratings
Ole Miss's Power Rating: 2.5 NR
Ole Miss's Offense Rating: NR
Ole Miss's Defense Rating: NR
2015 Talent Rating:  #19
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Ole Miss's 2015 Expected Record: -
Ole Miss's 2015 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Ole Miss's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Ole Miss's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


New Mexico State Scoring
Offense: 28.6 PPG
Offense on Road: 24.9
Defense: 45 PPG
Defense on Road: 43.4

New Mexico State's 2015 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 10 - 2
Record on Road: 2 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 6 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 4 - 0
Projected Score
Ole Miss 45
New Mexico State 24

Total Points: 69

Based on Last 4 Games
Ole Miss 46
New Mexico State 24

Total Points: 70

Based on Entire Season
Ole Miss 45
New Mexico State 23

Total Points: 68
Ole Miss Scoring
Offense: 40.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 48.7
Defense: 22.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 16.6

Ole Miss's 2015 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 8 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 3 - 10
Record at home: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 7 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
201911/09Ole Miss41New Mexico State3Ole Miss -28.5Ole Miss64.5Under
201510/10Ole Miss52New Mexico State3Ole Miss -43Ole Miss70.0Under
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Ole Miss220 Overs
New Mexico State002 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams2 - 02 - 02 - 00 - 0
Road Teams0 - 20 - 20 - 00 - 2

(#) NMSU at (#) MISS
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatNMSUMISS
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #126 #19
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
New Mexico State on Offense
CategoryCat
NMSU OffMISS Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
New Mexico State Run Game
CategoryCat
NMSU OffMISS Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
New Mexico State Pass Game
CategoryCat
NMSU OffMISS Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Ole Miss on Offense
CategoryCatMISS OffNMSU Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Ole Miss Run Game
CategoryCat
MISS OffNMSU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Ole Miss Pass Game
CategoryCatMISS OffNMSU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
MISS 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'15 Profile: Remains Poor G5

NMSU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'15 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Vaught-Hemingway Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 61°
Rematch from Week 6
Ole Miss -43.0 (70.0)
Ole Miss won vs New Mexico State this year (52-3)

No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
NMSU's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View New Mexico State's Full Roster

NMSU's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

MISS's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Ole Miss's Full Roster

MISS's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD