Mississippi State at Southern Miss - 2015 Matchup Preview

Mississippi State Bulldogs at Southern Miss Golden Eagles

Saturday, September 5th 2015 (10:00 PM EDT)
Mississippi State -13 (62.0) (0) Open: 0.0
Mississippi State 34 - Southern Miss: 16

Bulldogs (9 - 4) (9 - 4 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 30 - 30 (26 - 31 on Road)
'15 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Our Line: -2.5 (SP+ -0)
Projected Score: MSST: 28 - USM: 31 (59)
MSST Win prob: 80% | Cover: 46%
MSST Travel: 150 miles

Golden Eagles (9 - 5) (10 - 4 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 29 - 27 (31 - 27 @ Home)
'15 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
MSST Players
USM Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Mississippi State's 2015 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/5	Mississippi State at Southern Miss	-13.0	62.0	W 34 - 16	U	Y
Sat 9/12	Mississippi State vs LSU	+3.0	52.5	L 19 - 21	U	Y
Sat 9/19	Mississippi State vs Northwestern State	-42.0
Sat 9/26	Mississippi State at Auburn	+3.5	58.5	W 17 - 9	U	Y
Sat 10/3	Mississippi State at Texas A&M	+6.0	62.5	L 17 - 30	U	N
Sat 10/10	Mississippi State vs Troy	-31.5	59.0	W 45 - 17	O	N
Sat 10/17	Mississippi State vs Louisiana Tech	-15.5	60.0	W 45 - 20	O	Y
Sat 10/24	Mississippi State vs Kentucky	-11.5	59.0	W 42 - 16	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Thu 11/5	Mississippi State at Missouri	-7.5	41.0	W 31 - 13	O	Y
Sat 11/14	Mississippi State vs Alabama	+7.0	51.5	L 6 - 31	U	N
Sat 11/21	Mississippi State at Arkansas	+3.0	59.0	W 51 - 50	O	Y
Sat 11/28	Mississippi State vs Ole Miss	+2.0	65.5	L 27 - 38	U	N
Wed 12/30	Mississippi State vs NC State	-7.0

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Mississippi State's Schedule

Southern Miss's 2015 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/5	Southern Miss vs Mississippi State	+13.0	62.0	L 16 - 34	U	N
Sat 9/12	Southern Miss vs Austin Peay	-39.0
Sat 9/19	Southern Miss at Texas State	+2.0	67.0	W 56 - 50	O	Y
Sat 9/26	Southern Miss at Nebraska	+24.5	64.5	L 28 - 36	U	Y
Sat 10/3	Southern Miss vs North Texas	-13.5	66.5	W 49 - 14	U	Y
Fri 10/9	Southern Miss at Marshall	+6.5	58.0	L 10 - 31	U	N
Sat 10/17	Southern Miss vs UTSA	-7.5	56.5	W 32 - 10	U	Y
Sat 10/24	Southern Miss at Charlotte	-16.5	64.0	W 44 - 10	U	Y
Sat 10/31	Southern Miss vs UTEP	-18.5	59.0	W 34 - 13	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/14	Southern Miss at Rice	-7.5	60.5	W 65 - 10	O	Y
Sat 11/21	Southern Miss vs Old Dominion	-19.5	60.0	W 56 - 31	O	Y
Sat 11/28	Southern Miss at Louisiana Tech	+6.5	62.0	W 58 - 24	O	Y
Sat 12/5	Southern Miss at Western Kentucky	+7.5	76.0	L 28 - 45	U	N
Sat 12/26	Southern Miss vs Washington	+8.5

Important Stats (2014)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
MSST	.25	51%	30.4	52%	3.2	233	49%	281	3.94	.09	40%	30.2	41%	37%	2.36	39.5	1.8	1.8
USM	.09	39%	28.8	37%	2.1	96	38%	269	2.83	.19	44%	27.4	43%	43%	3.73	60.9	2.2	1.3

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
MSST		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
USM		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2014

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
MSST Offense	13	30.4	25.8	51.1%	3.94	1.8	26	514	233	281	5.2	53%	46%	52%	49%	2%	.25
USM Defense	12	27.4	27.3	44.1%	3.73	1.3	-	-	-	-	-	53%	45%	43%	43%	2%	.19

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
MSST Defense	13	30.2	31	39.9%	2.36	1.8	-	-	-	-	-	47%	52%	41%	37%	2%	.09
USM Offense	12	28.8	30.9	38.9%	2.83	2.2	21	365	96	269	3.1	39%	59%	37%	38%	3%	.09

Additional Stats 2014

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Mississippi State	13	30:12	25.7	46%	43%	5.2	39.5	1.8	1.8	0	0	2	30.2
Southern Miss	12	29:34	20.8	34%	23%	6.4	60.9	2.2	1.3	0	0	1	28.5

Run Game Stats (2015)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
MSST Offense	13	53%	52%	44.5	233.1	5.2	29	.2	3.2	81%	0%	0.92
USM Defense	12	53%	43%	-	-	-	-	.09	2.87	68%	0%	0.94

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
MSST Defense	13	47%	41%	-	-	-	-	.07	2.75	64%	0%	0.98
USM Offense	12	39%	37%	31.3	95.8	3.1	9	-.07	2.1	60%	0%	0.93

Pass Game Stats (2015)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
MSST Offense	13	46%	49%	20.1	32.5	280.7	8.6	14	31	12	.32	1.5	28%	39%	.32	2%	1.7
USM Defense	12	45%	43%	-	-	-	-	-	-	7	.35	1.6	33%	37%	.35	2%	1.7

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
MSST Defense	13	52%	37%	-	-	-	-	-	-	16	.12	1.6	35%	29%	.24	2%	1.9
USM Offense	12	59%	38%	23.1	40.2	269.3	6.7	11.7	14	15	.19	1.6	40%	36%	.31	3%	1.6

Mississippi State's Power Ratings
Mississippi State's Power Rating: NR
Mississippi State's Offense Rating: NR
Mississippi State's Defense Rating: NR
2015 Talent Rating: #28
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Mississippi State's 2015 Expected Record: -
Mississippi State's 2015 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Mississippi State's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Mississippi State's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Mississippi State: Southern Miss: 2.5

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Mississippi State: Southern Miss:

Southern Miss's Power Ratings
Southern Miss's Power Rating: 2.5 NR
Southern Miss's Offense Rating: NR
Southern Miss's Defense Rating: NR
2015 Talent Rating: #74
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Southern Miss's 2015 Expected Record: -
Southern Miss's 2015 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Southern Miss's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Southern Miss's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Mississippi State Scoring
Offense: 30.4 PPG
Offense on Road: 25.8
Defense: 30.2 PPG
Defense on Road: 31

Mississippi State's 2015 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 9 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 9
Record on Road: 4 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0

Projected Score
Southern Miss 31
Mississippi State 28

Projected Total Points: 59

Southern Miss Scoring
Offense: 28.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 30.9
Defense: 27.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 27.3

Southern Miss's 2015 Record
Record: 9 - 5
Record vs Spread: 10 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 10
Record at home: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	08/30	Southern Miss	17	Mississippi State	34	Mississippi State -11.5	Mississippi State	59.5	Under
2023	11/18	Mississippi State	41	Southern Miss	20	Mississippi State -18.5	Mississippi State	47.5	Over
2019	09/07	Mississippi State	38	Southern Miss	15	Mississippi State -16.5	Mississippi State	51.0	Over
2015	09/05	Southern Miss	16	Mississippi State	34	Mississippi State -13	Mississippi State	62.0	Under
2014	08/30	Mississippi State	49	Southern Miss	0	Mississippi State -26	Mississippi State	0

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Southern Miss	0	0	2 Overs
Mississippi State	5	5	2 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	3 - 2	3 - 2	3 - 0	0 - 2
Road Teams	2 - 3	2 - 3	2 - 0	0 - 3

(#) MSST at (#) USM

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	MSST	USM
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	NR	NR
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#28	#74
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Mississippi State Injury Report

Southern Miss Injury Report

Mississippi State on Offense


CategoryCat	MSST Off	USM Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	NR	NR
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Mississippi State Run Game


CategoryCat	MSST Off	USM Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Mississippi State Pass Game


CategoryCat	MSST Off	USM Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Southern Miss on Offense


CategoryCat	USM Off	MSST Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	NR	NR
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Southern Miss Run Game


CategoryCat	USM Off	MSST Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Southern Miss Pass Game


CategoryCat	USM Off	MSST Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
USM 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'15 Profile: Remains Poor G5

MSST 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'15 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in M. M. Roberts Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 1
Mississippi State 13.0 (62.0)
Mississippi State won at Southern Miss this year (34-16)

Previous Matchups
Mississippi State beat Southern Miss last year (34-17)
Mississippi State beat Southern Miss in 2023 (41-20)

MSST's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Mississippi State's Full Roster

MSST's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

USM's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Southern Miss's Full Roster

USM's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD