Troy at Mississippi State - 2015 Matchup Preview
Troy logo Troy Trojans at Mississippi State BulldogsMississippi State logo
Saturday, October 10th 2015 (4:00 PM EDT)
Mississippi State -31.5 (59.0) (0)  Open: 0.0
Mississippi State 45 - Troy: 17

 
Trojans (4 - 8) (7 - 5 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 28 - 28 (28 - 32 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
MSST is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: -2.5  (SP+ -0)
Projected Score: TROY: 22 - MSST: 33 (55)
MSST Win prob: 97% | Cover: 39%
TROY Travel: 201 miles
Bulldogs (9 - 4) (9 - 4 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 34 - 23 (35 - 22 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Troy's 2015 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/5 Troy at NC State+23.062.0L 21 - 49ON
Sat 9/12 Troy vs Charleston Southern-3.5
Sat 9/19 Troy at Wisconsin+35.059.0L 3 - 28UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/3 Troy vs South Alabama-3.061.5L 18 - 24UN
Sat 10/10 Troy at Mississippi State+31.559.0L 17 - 45OY
Sat 10/17 Troy vs Idaho-12.562.5L 16 - 19UN
Sat 10/24 Troy at New Mexico State-3.558.5W 52 - 7OY
Sat 10/31 Troy at App State+24.055.0L 41 - 44OY
Sat 11/7 Troy vs UL Monroe-5.052.0W 51 - 14OY
Sat 11/14 Troy vs Georgia Southern+10.058.5L 10 - 45UN
BYE WEEK
Fri 11/27 Troy at Georgia State+1.056.0L 21 - 31UN
Sat 12/5 Troy at Louisiana+2.057.0W 41 - 17OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Troy's Schedule
Mississippi State's 2015 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/5 Mississippi State at Southern Miss-13.062.0W 34 - 16UY
Sat 9/12 Mississippi State vs LSU+3.052.5L 19 - 21UY
Sat 9/19 Mississippi State vs Northwestern State-42.0
Sat 9/26 Mississippi State at Auburn+3.558.5W 17 - 9UY
Sat 10/3 Mississippi State at Texas A&M+6.062.5L 17 - 30UN
Sat 10/10 Mississippi State vs Troy-31.559.0W 45 - 17ON
Sat 10/17 Mississippi State vs Louisiana Tech-15.560.0W 45 - 20OY
Sat 10/24 Mississippi State vs Kentucky-11.559.0W 42 - 16UY
BYE WEEK
Thu 11/5 Mississippi State at Missouri-7.541.0W 31 - 13OY
Sat 11/14 Mississippi State vs Alabama+7.051.5L 6 - 31UN
Sat 11/21 Mississippi State at Arkansas+3.059.0W 51 - 50OY
Sat 11/28 Mississippi State vs Ole Miss+2.065.5L 27 - 38UN
Wed 12/30 Mississippi State vs NC State-7.0

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Mississippi State's Schedule
Important Stats (2015)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TROY.1643%27.940%2.4311943%2412.93.1946%28.346%43%3.3557.61.61.6
MSST.2448%34.447%3.0814447%3164.11.1244%23.244%42%2.9238.91.41.1
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TROY#50 (.22)44% (49)42% (94)2.88 (95)15748% (15)2134.43 (22)#77 (.18)43% (87)45% (87)42% (76)3.77 (65)58.81.30.7
MSST#78 (.17)39% (109)40% (105)2.9 (93)13938% (104)2393.75 (86)#130 (.32)50% (133)47% (108)55% (134)4.32 (113)60.31.50.9



Overall Stats 2015
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TROY Offense1227.92843.1%2.931.6193601192413.841%56%40%43%3%.16
MSST Defense1323.222.344.3%2.921.1 - - - - - 51%47%44%42%3%.12
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TROY Defense1228.331.645.5%3.351.6 - - - - - 59%39%46%43%1%.19
MSST Offense1334.435.147.8%4.111.4234601443164.441%58%47%47%1%.24

Additional Stats 2015
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Troy1226:1718.835%37%6.757.61.61.600230.3
Mississippi State1326:1623.243%50%4.138.91.41.100329.3
Run Game Stats (2015)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TROY Offense1241%40%31.8119.13.814.022.4362%0%0.9
MSST Defense1351%44% - - - - .082.7270%0%0.92
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TROY Defense1259%46% - - - - .133.0272%0%0.85
MSST Offense1341%47%32.8144.14.421.133.0883%0%0.94

Pass Game Stats (2015)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TROY Offense1256%43%20.834.8240.86.911.62111.291.532%30%.33%1.8
MSST Defense1347%42% - - - - - - 13.181.533%32%.253%1.7
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TROY Defense1239%43% - - - - - - 6.311.731%29%.241%1.8
MSST Offense1358%47%25.538.5316.48.212.4335.341.531%36%.371%1.9

Troy's Power Ratings
Troy's Power Rating: NR
Troy's Offense Rating: NR
Troy's Defense Rating: NR
2015 Talent Rating:  #112
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Troy's 2015 Expected Record: -
Troy's 2015 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Troy's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Troy's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Troy:    Mississippi State: 2.5

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Troy:    Mississippi State:




Mississippi State's Power Ratings
Mississippi State's Power Rating: 2.5 NR
Mississippi State's Offense Rating: NR
Mississippi State's Defense Rating: NR
2015 Talent Rating:  #28
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Mississippi State's 2015 Expected Record: -
Mississippi State's 2015 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Mississippi State's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Mississippi State's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


Troy Scoring
Offense: 27.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 28
Defense: 28.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 31.6

Troy's 2015 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record on Road: 2 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 5 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Mississippi State 33
Troy 22

Total Points: 55

Based on Last 4 Games
Mississippi State 34
Troy 17

Total Points: 51

Based on Entire Season
Mississippi State 32
Troy 26

Total Points: 58
Mississippi State Scoring
Offense: 34.4 PPG
Offense at Home: 35.1
Defense: 23.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 22.3

Mississippi State's 2015 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 9 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 9
Record at home: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 1 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
201510/10Mississippi State45Troy17Mississippi State -31.5Troy59.0Over
201309/21Mississippi State62Troy7Mississippi State -13Mississippi State0
201209/15Troy24Mississippi State30
200210/12Mississippi State11Troy8
200110/13Mississippi State9Troy21
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Mississippi State411 Overs
Troy110 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams3 - 21 - 11 - 10 - 0
Road Teams2 - 31 - 10 - 01 - 1

(#) TROY at (#) MSST
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatTROYMSST
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #112 #28
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Troy on Offense
CategoryCat
TROY OffMSST Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Troy Run Game
CategoryCat
TROY OffMSST Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Troy Pass Game
CategoryCat
TROY OffMSST Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Mississippi State on Offense
CategoryCatMSST OffTROY Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Mississippi State Run Game
CategoryCat
MSST OffTROY Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Mississippi State Pass Game
CategoryCatMSST OffTROY Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
MSST 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'15 Profile: Remains Poor G5

TROY 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'15 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Davis Wade Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 64°
Rematch from Week 6
Mississippi State -31.5 (59.0)
Mississippi State won vs Troy this year (45-17)

No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
TROY's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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TROY's DC ()
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SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

MSST's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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MSST's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD