Fresno State at Ole Miss - 2015 Matchup Preview

Fresno State Bulldogs at Ole Miss Rebels

Saturday, September 12th 2015 (3:30 PM EDT)
Ole Miss -23 (56.0) (0) Open: 0.0
Ole Miss 73 - Fresno State: 21

Bulldogs (3 - 9) (3 - 8 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 26 - 19 (26 - 25 on Road)
'15 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

MISS 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: -2.5 (SP+ -0)
Projected Score: FRES: 23 - MISS: 30 (53)
MISS Win prob: 95% | Cover: 56%
FRES Travel: 1700 miles, 2 hrs behind

Rebels (10 - 3) (8 - 4 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 37 - 21 (39 - 16 @ Home)
'15 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
FRES Players
MISS Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Fresno State's 2015 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 9/3	Fresno State vs Abilene Christian	-23.5
Sat 9/12	Fresno State at Ole Miss	+23.0	56.0	L 21 - 73	O	N
Sat 9/19	Fresno State vs Utah	+15.5	53.0	L 24 - 45	O	N
Sat 9/26	Fresno State at San José State	+4.0	52.0	L 23 - 49	O	N
Sat 10/3	Fresno State at San Diego State	+9.5	51.5	L 7 - 21	U	N
Sat 10/10	Fresno State vs Utah State	+10.0	50.0	L 14 - 56	O	N
Fri 10/16	Fresno State vs UNLV	+5.5	49.0	W 31 - 28	O	Y
Sat 10/24	Fresno State at Air Force	+17.0	54.0	L 14 - 42	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Thu 11/5	Fresno State vs Nevada	+3.5	54.0	L 16 - 30	U	N
Sat 11/14	Fresno State at Hawai'i	+4.0	53.0	W 42 - 14	O	Y
Sat 11/21	Fresno State at BYU	+24.5	57.0	L 10 - 52	O	N
Sat 11/28	Fresno State vs Colorado State	+8.5	60.5	L 31 - 34	O	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Fresno State's Schedule

Ole Miss's 2015 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/5	Ole Miss vs UT Martin	-23.5
Sat 9/12	Ole Miss vs Fresno State	-23.0	56.0	W 73 - 21	O	Y
Sat 9/19	Ole Miss at Alabama	+8.5	52.0	W 43 - 37	O	Y
Sat 9/26	Ole Miss vs Vanderbilt	-28.0	53.5	W 27 - 16	U	N
Sat 10/3	Ole Miss at Florida	-6.5	50.5	L 10 - 38	U	N
Sat 10/10	Ole Miss vs New Mexico State	-43.0	70.0	W 52 - 3	U	Y
Sat 10/17	Ole Miss at Memphis	-10.5	72.0	L 24 - 37	U	N
Sat 10/24	Ole Miss vs Texas A&M	-6.0	65.5	W 23 - 3	U	Y
Sat 10/31	Ole Miss at Auburn	-6.0	57.5	W 27 - 19	U	Y
Sat 11/7	Ole Miss vs Arkansas	-11.0	55.0	L 52 - 53	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/21	Ole Miss vs LSU	-4.5	58.5	W 38 - 17	U	Y
Sat 11/28	Ole Miss at Mississippi State	-2.0	65.5	W 38 - 27	U	Y
Fri 1/1	Ole Miss vs Oklahoma State	-7.0

Important Stats (2014)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
FRES	.09	38%	25.8	41%	2.82	182	34%	224	3.28	.23	41%	18.8	39%	42%	3.84	39	1.9	1.5
MISS	.12	41%	36.9	37%	2.45	155	43%	264	2.92	-	40%	21.1	41%	37%	2.11	42.2	1.9	2.5

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
FRES		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
MISS		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2014

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
FRES Offense	14	25.8	26.3	38%	3.28	1.9	21	406	182	224	4.5	49%	50%	41%	34%	2%	.09
MISS Defense	13	21.1	15.6	39.7%	2.11	2.5	-	-	-	-	-	52%	47%	41%	37%	3%	-

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
FRES Defense	14	18.8	24.8	41.4%	3.84	1.5	-	-	-	-	-	55%	43%	39%	42%	2%	.23
MISS Offense	13	36.9	39	41%	2.92	1.9	20	419	155	264	4.3	46%	53%	37%	43%	2%	.12

Additional Stats 2014

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Fresno State	14	28:31	21.1	37%	47%	4.2	39	1.9	1.5	0	0	2	28.8
Ole Miss	13	29:46	20.4	39%	45%	5.3	42.2	1.9	2.5	0	0	3	29.3

Run Game Stats (2015)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
FRES Offense	14	49%	41%	40.4	182.4	4.5	22	.13	2.82	76%	0%	1.09
MISS Defense	13	52%	41%	-	-	-	-	-.06	2.63	64%	0%	0.64

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
FRES Defense	14	55%	39%	-	-	-	-	.09	2.91	71%	0%	0.95
MISS Offense	13	46%	37%	36.6	155.5	4.3	21	.01	2.45	60%	0%	1.09

Pass Game Stats (2015)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
FRES Offense	14	50%	34%	21.4	37.9	223.7	5.9	10.5	25	21	.05	1.6	36%	30%	.19	2%	1.8
MISS Defense	13	47%	37%	-	-	-	-	-	-	22	.07	1.5	32%	29%	.15	3%	1.7

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
FRES Defense	14	43%	42%	-	-	-	-	-	-	10	.44	2	31%	35%	.42	2%	1.8
MISS Offense	13	53%	43%	19.8	32.9	263.6	8	13.3	24	15	.23	1.6	34%	34%	.24	2%	1.9

Fresno State's Power Ratings
Fresno State's Power Rating: NR
Fresno State's Offense Rating: NR
Fresno State's Defense Rating: NR
2015 Talent Rating: #88
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Fresno State's 2015 Expected Record: -
Fresno State's 2015 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Fresno State's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Fresno State's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Pac-12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Fresno State: Ole Miss: 2.5

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Fresno State: Ole Miss:

Ole Miss's Power Ratings
Ole Miss's Power Rating: 2.5 NR
Ole Miss's Offense Rating: NR
Ole Miss's Defense Rating: NR
2015 Talent Rating: #19
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Ole Miss's 2015 Expected Record: -
Ole Miss's 2015 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Ole Miss's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Ole Miss's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Fresno State Scoring
Offense: 25.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 26.3
Defense: 18.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 24.8

Fresno State's 2015 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 3 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 9 - 3
Record on Road: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 5 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 8 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 5 - 0

Projected Score
Ole Miss 30
Fresno State 23

Projected Total Points: 53

Ole Miss Scoring
Offense: 36.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 39
Defense: 21.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 15.6

Ole Miss's 2015 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 8 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 3 - 10
Record at home: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 7 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2015	09/12	Ole Miss	73	Fresno State	21	Ole Miss -23	Ole Miss	56.0	Over
2011	10/01	Fresno State	28	Ole Miss	38
2010	09/25	Ole Miss	55	Fresno State	38

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Ole Miss	3	1	1 Overs
Fresno State	0	0	0 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	2 - 1	1 - 0	1 - 0	0 - 0
Road Teams	1 - 2	0 - 1	0 - 0	0 - 1

(#) FRES at (#) MISS

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	FRES	MISS
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	NR	NR
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#88	#19
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Fresno State Injury Report

Ole Miss Injury Report

Fresno State on Offense


CategoryCat	FRES Off	MISS Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	NR	NR
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Fresno State Run Game


CategoryCat	FRES Off	MISS Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Fresno State Pass Game


CategoryCat	FRES Off	MISS Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Ole Miss on Offense


CategoryCat	MISS Off	FRES Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	NR	NR
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Ole Miss Run Game


CategoryCat	MISS Off	FRES Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Ole Miss Pass Game


CategoryCat	MISS Off	FRES Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
MISS 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'15 Profile: Remains Poor G5

FRES 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'15 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Vaught-Hemingway Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 2
Ole Miss -23.0 (56.0)
Ole Miss won vs Fresno State this year (73-21)

No Matchups Past 4 Years

FRES's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Fresno State's Full Roster

FRES's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

MISS's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Ole Miss's Full Roster

MISS's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD