Ole Miss at Florida - 2015 Matchup Preview
Ole Miss logo (#13)Ole Miss Rebels at Florida GatorsFlorida logo
Saturday, October 3rd 2015 (7:00 PM EDT)
Ole Miss -6.5 (50.5) (0)  Open: 0.0
Florida 38 - Ole Miss: 10  (SEC)

 
Rebels (10 - 3) (8 - 4 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 41 - 23 (28 - 32 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
FLA 2nd straight Home Game
FLA is playing their 5th straight game
MISS is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: -2.5  (SP+ -0)
Projected Score: MISS: 31 - FLA: 27 (58)
MISS Win prob: 68% | Cover: 48%
MISS Travel: 532 miles, 1 hrs behind
Gators (10 - 4) (7 - 7 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 23 - 18 (27 - 17 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Ole Miss's 2015 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/5 Ole Miss vs UT Martin-23.5
Sat 9/12 Ole Miss vs Fresno State-23.056.0W 73 - 21OY
Sat 9/19 Ole Miss at Alabama+8.552.0W 43 - 37OY
Sat 9/26 Ole Miss vs Vanderbilt-28.053.5W 27 - 16UN
Sat 10/3 Ole Miss at Florida-6.550.5L 10 - 38UN
Sat 10/10 Ole Miss vs New Mexico State-43.070.0W 52 - 3UY
Sat 10/17 Ole Miss at Memphis-10.572.0L 24 - 37UN
Sat 10/24 Ole Miss vs Texas A&M-6.065.5W 23 - 3UY
Sat 10/31 Ole Miss at Auburn-6.057.5W 27 - 19UY
Sat 11/7 Ole Miss vs Arkansas-11.055.0L 52 - 53ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/21 Ole Miss vs LSU-4.558.5W 38 - 17UY
Sat 11/28 Ole Miss at Mississippi State-2.065.5W 38 - 27UY
Fri 1/1 Ole Miss vs Oklahoma State-7.0

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Ole Miss's Schedule
Florida's 2015 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/5 Florida vs New Mexico State-38.054.0W 61 - 13OY
Sat 9/12 Florida vs East Carolina-13.053.5W 31 - 24ON
Sat 9/19 Florida at Kentucky-4.552.5W 14 - 9UY
Sat 9/26 Florida vs Tennessee-3.050.5W 28 - 27ON
Sat 10/3 Florida vs Ole Miss+6.550.5W 38 - 10UY
Sat 10/10 Florida at Missouri-3.538.5W 21 - 3UY
Sat 10/17 Florida at LSU+6.543.5L 28 - 35ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/31 Florida vs Georgia-2.549.0W 27 - 3UY
Sat 11/7 Florida vs Vanderbilt-19.038.5W 9 - 7UN
Sat 11/14 Florida at South Carolina-8.547.0W 24 - 14UY
Sat 11/21 Florida vs Florida Atlantic-31.045.0W 20 - 14UN
Sat 11/28 Florida vs Florida State-3.044.0L 2 - 27UN
Sat 12/5 Florida vs Alabama+17.038.0L 15 - 29OY
Fri 1/1 Florida vs Michigan+4.0

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Florida's Schedule
Important Stats (2015)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MISS.2750%40.847%2.8218351%3354.19.0739%22.637%38%2.8541.81.8
FLA.1239%23.239%2.7612738%2073.07.0237%18.337%34%2.9252.61.21.8
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MISS#4 (.34)47% (19)44% (76)3.02 (72)16451% (3)3174 (58)#6 (.04)35% (3)35% (6)36% (13)2.98 (8)68.50.91.6
FLA#72 (.18)43% (64)45% (54)3.04 (66)16441% (82)2264.17 (46)#53 (.14)44% (95)49% (118)39% (44)3.12 (14)541.41.9



Overall Stats 2015
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MISS Offense1340.828.450.2%4.191.8265181833355.144%54%47%51%2%.27
FLA Defense1418.317.436.7%2.921.8 - - - - - 50%48%37%34%2%.02
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MISS Defense1322.631.639.2%2.81.8 - - - - - 43%54%37%38%2%.07
FLA Offense1423.22739.3%3.071.2173341272073.550%49%39%38%2%.12

Additional Stats 2015
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Ole Miss1326:3126.241%47%6.1541.81.800432
Florida1430:5816.736%52%6.552.61.21.800432.9
Run Game Stats (2015)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MISS Offense1344%47%35.6183.15.129.112.8251%0%0.92
FLA Defense1450%37% - - - - .022.6267%0%0.89
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MISS Defense1343%37% - - - - -.052.6259%0%0.77
FLA Offense1450%39%36.4126.93.519.072.7676%0%0.96

Pass Game Stats (2015)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MISS Offense1354%51%24.537.6334.78.913.73514.431.527%42%.452%1.6
FLA Defense1448%34% - - - - - - 14.081.537%26%.12%1.7
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MISS Defense1354%38% - - - - - - 15.191.637%31%.172%1.6
FLA Offense1449%38%16.428.9207.17.212.72010.171.634%25%.152%1.9

Ole Miss's Power Ratings
Ole Miss's Power Rating: NR
Ole Miss's Offense Rating: NR
Ole Miss's Defense Rating: NR
2015 Talent Rating:  #19
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Ole Miss's 2015 Expected Record: -
Ole Miss's 2015 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Ole Miss's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Ole Miss's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Ole Miss:    Florida: 2.5

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Ole Miss:    Florida:




Florida's Power Ratings
Florida's Power Rating: 2.5 NR
Florida's Offense Rating: NR
Florida's Defense Rating: NR
2015 Talent Rating:  #15
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Florida's 2015 Expected Record: -
Florida's 2015 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Florida's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Florida's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


Ole Miss Scoring
Offense: 40.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 28.4
Defense: 22.6 PPG
Defense on Road: 31.6

Ole Miss's 2015 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 8 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 3 - 10
Record on Road: 3 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 7 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Ole Miss 31
Florida 27

Total Points: 58

Based on Last 4 Games
Ole Miss 35
Florida 28

Total Points: 63

Based on Entire Season
Ole Miss 26
Florida 26

Total Points: 52
Florida Scoring
Offense: 23.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 27
Defense: 18.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 17.4

Florida's 2015 Record
Record: 10 - 4
Record vs Spread: 7 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 9
Record at home: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 5 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202511/15Ole Miss34Florida24Ole Miss -10.5Florida53.5Over
202411/23Florida24Ole Miss17Ole Miss -13Florida57.5Under
202009/26Ole Miss35Florida51Florida -13.5Florida59.5Over
201510/03Florida38Ole Miss10Ole Miss -6.5Florida50.5Under
200809/27Florida30Ole Miss31
200709/22Ole Miss24Florida30
200310/04Florida17Ole Miss20
200210/05Ole Miss17Florida14
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Florida442 Overs
Ole Miss402 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams4 - 42 - 20 - 12 - 1
Road Teams4 - 42 - 21 - 21 - 0

(#) MISS at (#) FLA
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatMISSFLA
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #19 #15
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Ole Miss on Offense
CategoryCat
MISS OffFLA Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Ole Miss Run Game
CategoryCat
MISS OffFLA Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Ole Miss Pass Game
CategoryCat
MISS OffFLA Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Florida on Offense
CategoryCatFLA OffMISS Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Florida Run Game
CategoryCat
FLA OffMISS Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Florida Pass Game
CategoryCatFLA OffMISS Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
FLA 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'15 Profile: Remains Poor G5

MISS 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'15 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Ben Hill Griffin Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 70°
Rematch from Week 5
Ole Miss 6.5 (50.5)
Florida won vs Ole Miss this year (38-10)

Previous Matchups
Florida beat Ole Miss last year (24-17)

  
MISS's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Ole Miss's Full Roster

MISS's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

FLA's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Florida's Full Roster

FLA's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD