Mississippi State at Missouri - 2015 Matchup Preview

Mississippi State Bulldogs at Missouri Tigers(#19)

Thursday, November 5th 2015 (9:00 PM EST)
Mississippi State -7.5 (41.0) (0) Open: 0.0
Mississippi State 31 - Missouri: 13 (SEC)

Bulldogs (9 - 4) (9 - 4 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 34 - 23 (30 - 24 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

MSST coming off BYE
MIZ coming off BYE
Our Line: -2.5 (SP+ -0)
Projected Score: MSST: 22 - MIZ: 19 (41)
MSST Win prob: 73% | Cover: 49%
MSST Travel: 427 miles

Tigers (5 - 7) (3 - 8 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 14 - 16 (15 - 15 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
MSST Players
MIZ Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Mississippi State's 2015 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/5	Mississippi State at Southern Miss	-13.0	62.0	W 34 - 16	U	Y
Sat 9/12	Mississippi State vs LSU	+3.0	52.5	L 19 - 21	U	Y
Sat 9/19	Mississippi State vs Northwestern State	-42.0
Sat 9/26	Mississippi State at Auburn	+3.5	58.5	W 17 - 9	U	Y
Sat 10/3	Mississippi State at Texas A&M	+6.0	62.5	L 17 - 30	U	N
Sat 10/10	Mississippi State vs Troy	-31.5	59.0	W 45 - 17	O	N
Sat 10/17	Mississippi State vs Louisiana Tech	-15.5	60.0	W 45 - 20	O	Y
Sat 10/24	Mississippi State vs Kentucky	-11.5	59.0	W 42 - 16	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Thu 11/5	Mississippi State at Missouri	-7.5	41.0	W 31 - 13	O	Y
Sat 11/14	Mississippi State vs Alabama	+7.0	51.5	L 6 - 31	U	N
Sat 11/21	Mississippi State at Arkansas	+3.0	59.0	W 51 - 50	O	Y
Sat 11/28	Mississippi State vs Ole Miss	+2.0	65.5	L 27 - 38	U	N
Wed 12/30	Mississippi State vs NC State	-7.0

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Mississippi State's Schedule

Missouri's 2015 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/5	Missouri vs Southeast Missouri State	-23.5
Sat 9/12	Missouri at Arkansas State	-13.0	55.0	W 27 - 20	U	N
Sat 9/19	Missouri vs UConn	-24.0	41.0	W 9 - 6	U	N
Sat 9/26	Missouri at Kentucky	+2.5	44.0	L 13 - 21	U	N
Sat 10/3	Missouri vs South Carolina	-3.5	42.5	W 24 - 10	U	Y
Sat 10/10	Missouri vs Florida	+3.5	38.5	L 3 - 21	U	N
Sat 10/17	Missouri at Georgia	+17.0	48.5	L 6 - 9	U	Y
Sat 10/24	Missouri at Vanderbilt	-2.0	34.0	L 3 - 10	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Thu 11/5	Missouri vs Mississippi State	+7.5	41.0	L 13 - 31	O	N
Sat 11/14	Missouri vs BYU	+3.0	41.0	W 20 - 16	U	Y
Sat 11/21	Missouri vs Tennessee	+9.0	43.0	L 8 - 19	U	N
Fri 11/27	Missouri at Arkansas	+14.0	44.0	L 3 - 28	U	N

Important Stats (2015)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
MSST	.24	48%	34.4	47%	3.08	144	47%	316	4.11	.12	44%	23.2	44%	42%	2.92	38.9	1.4	1.1
MIZ	-.03	33%	13.6	33%	2.51	115	31%	166	2.61	.03	39%	16.2	38%	38%	2.52	42.3	1.4	1.3

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
MSST	#78 (.17)	39% (109)		40% (105)	2.9 (93)	139	38% (104)	239	3.75 (86)	#130 (.32)	50% (133)		47% (108)	55% (134)	4.32 (113)	60.3	1.5	0.9
MIZ	#70 (.19)	44% (54)		47% (28)	3.04 (67)	159	41% (80)	202	3.91 (68)	#32 (.11)	41% (54)		42% (57)	39% (56)	3.38 (28)	46	0.7	1.2

Overall Stats 2015

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
MSST Offense	13	34.4	30	47.8%	4.11	1.4	23	460	144	316	4.4	41%	58%	47%	47%	1%	.24
MIZ Defense	12	16.2	15	39.1%	2.52	1.3	-	-	-	-	-	53%	45%	38%	38%	2%	.03

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
MSST Defense	13	23.2	23.6	44.3%	2.92	1.1	-	-	-	-	-	51%	47%	44%	42%	3%	.12
MIZ Offense	12	13.6	15.2	33.3%	2.61	1.4	15	280	115	166	3.5	47%	51%	33%	31%	3%	-.03

Additional Stats 2015

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Mississippi State	13	26:16	23.2	43%	50%	4.1	38.9	1.4	1.1	0	0	3	29.3
Missouri	12	27:02	15.1	30%	41%	5.3	42.3	1.4	1.3	0	0	1	27.4

Run Game Stats (2015)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
MSST Offense	13	41%	47%	32.8	144.1	4.4	21	.13	3.08	83%	0%	0.94
MIZ Defense	12	53%	38%	-	-	-	-	-.03	2.57	64%	0%	0.89

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
MSST Defense	13	51%	44%	-	-	-	-	.08	2.72	70%	0%	0.92
MIZ Offense	12	47%	33%	33.1	114.6	3.5	5	-.03	2.51	55%	0%	0.98

Pass Game Stats (2015)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
MSST Offense	13	58%	47%	25.5	38.5	316.4	8.2	12.4	33	5	.34	1.5	31%	36%	.37	1%	1.9
MIZ Defense	12	45%	38%	-	-	-	-	-	-	9	.1	1.4	36%	31%	.15	2%	1.7

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
MSST Defense	13	47%	42%	-	-	-	-	-	-	13	.18	1.5	33%	32%	.25	3%	1.7
MIZ Offense	12	51%	31%	15.5	31.1	165.5	5.3	10.7	10	12	-.01	1.4	39%	28%	.12	3%	1.5

Mississippi State's Power Ratings
Mississippi State's Power Rating: NR
Mississippi State's Offense Rating: NR
Mississippi State's Defense Rating: NR
2015 Talent Rating: #28
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Mississippi State's 2015 Expected Record: -
Mississippi State's 2015 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Mississippi State's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Mississippi State's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Mississippi State: Missouri: 2.5

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Mississippi State: Missouri:

Missouri's Power Ratings
Missouri's Power Rating: 2.5 NR
Missouri's Offense Rating: NR
Missouri's Defense Rating: NR
2015 Talent Rating: #34
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Missouri's 2015 Expected Record: -
Missouri's 2015 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Missouri's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Missouri's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Mississippi State Scoring
Offense: 34.4 PPG
Offense on Road: 30
Defense: 23.2 PPG
Defense on Road: 23.6

Mississippi State's 2015 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 9 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 9
Record on Road: 4 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0

Projected Score
Mississippi State 22
Missouri 19

Total Points: 41

Based on Last 4 Games
Mississippi State 21
Missouri 18

Total Points: 39

Based on Entire Season
Mississippi State 24
Missouri 19

Total Points: 43

Missouri Scoring
Offense: 13.6 PPG
Offense at Home: 15.2
Defense: 16.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 15

Missouri's 2015 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 3 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 1 - 11
Record at home: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 0 - 3 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	11/15	Missouri	49	Mississippi State	27	Missouri -7.5	Missouri	50.5	Over
2024	11/23	Mississippi State	20	Missouri	39	Missouri -9.5	Missouri	58.0	Over
2020	12/19	Mississippi State	51	Missouri	32	Missouri -1.5	Mississippi State	49.0	Over
2015	11/05	Missouri	13	Mississippi State	31	Mississippi State -7.5	Mississippi State	41.0	Over

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Missouri	2	2	4 Overs
Mississippi State	2	2	0 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	2 - 2	2 - 2	1 - 0	1 - 2
Road Teams	2 - 2	2 - 2	2 - 1	0 - 1

(#) MSST at (#) MIZ

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	MSST	MIZ
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	NR	NR
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#28	#34
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Mississippi State Injury Report

Missouri Injury Report

Mississippi State on Offense


CategoryCat	MSST Off	MIZ Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	NR	NR
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Mississippi State Run Game


CategoryCat	MSST Off	MIZ Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Mississippi State Pass Game


CategoryCat	MSST Off	MIZ Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Missouri on Offense


CategoryCat	MIZ Off	MSST Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	NR	NR
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Missouri Run Game


CategoryCat	MIZ Off	MSST Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Missouri Pass Game


CategoryCat	MIZ Off	MSST Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
MIZ 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'15 Profile: Remains Poor G5

MSST 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'15 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Faurot Field
Conditions:
Temp: 64° - Wind: 11 mph

Rematch from Week 10
Mississippi State 7.5 (41.0)
Mississippi State won at Missouri this year (31-13)

Previous Matchups
Missouri beat Mississippi State last year (39-20)

MSST's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Mississippi State's Full Roster

MSST's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

MIZ's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Missouri's Full Roster

MIZ's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD