Troy at Georgia State - 2015 Matchup Preview
Troy logo Troy Trojans at Georgia State PanthersGeorgia State logo
Friday, November 27th 2015 (2:00 PM EST)
Georgia State -1 (56.0) (0)  Open: 0.0
Georgia State 31 - Troy: 21  (Sun Belt)

 
Trojans (4 - 8) (7 - 5 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 28 - 28 (28 - 32 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
GAST 2nd straight Home Game
TROY coming off BYE
GAST is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: -2.5  (SP+ -0)
Projected Score: TROY: 29 - GAST: 27 (56)
GAST Win prob: 48% | Cover: 46%
TROY Travel: 163 miles, 1 hrs behind
Panthers (6 - 7) (9 - 4 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 27 - 28 (20 - 23 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Troy's 2015 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/5 Troy at NC State+23.062.0L 21 - 49ON
Sat 9/12 Troy vs Charleston Southern-3.5
Sat 9/19 Troy at Wisconsin+35.059.0L 3 - 28UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/3 Troy vs South Alabama-3.061.5L 18 - 24UN
Sat 10/10 Troy at Mississippi State+31.559.0L 17 - 45OY
Sat 10/17 Troy vs Idaho-12.562.5L 16 - 19UN
Sat 10/24 Troy at New Mexico State-3.558.5W 52 - 7OY
Sat 10/31 Troy at App State+24.055.0L 41 - 44OY
Sat 11/7 Troy vs UL Monroe-5.052.0W 51 - 14OY
Sat 11/14 Troy vs Georgia Southern+10.058.5L 10 - 45UN
BYE WEEK
Fri 11/27 Troy at Georgia State+1.056.0L 21 - 31UN
Sat 12/5 Troy at Louisiana+2.057.0W 41 - 17OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Troy's Schedule
Georgia State's 2015 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 9/4 Georgia State vs Charlotte-4.068.0L 20 - 23UN
Sat 9/12 Georgia State at New Mexico State+4.064.5W 34 - 32OY
Sat 9/19 Georgia State at Oregon+48.571.5L 28 - 61OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/3 Georgia State vs Liberty-2.0
Sat 10/10 Georgia State vs App State+18.061.0L 3 - 37UN
Sat 10/17 Georgia State at Ball State+16.563.0W 31 - 19UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/31 Georgia State at Arkansas State+18.557.5L 34 - 48OY
Sat 11/7 Georgia State vs Louisiana+6.559.5L 21 - 23UY
Sat 11/14 Georgia State at Texas State+5.064.0W 41 - 19UY
Sat 11/21 Georgia State vs South Alabama-1.060.5W 24 - 10UY
Fri 11/27 Georgia State vs Troy-1.056.0W 31 - 21UY
Sat 12/5 Georgia State at Georgia Southern+22.057.0W 34 - 7UY
Sat 12/19 Georgia State vs San José State+4.0

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Georgia State's Schedule
Important Stats (2015)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TROY.1643%27.940%2.4311943%2412.93.1946%28.346%43%3.3557.61.61.6
GAST.242%26.937%2.339745%3363.78.1345%28.343%44%3.1165.51.81.7
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TROY#50 (.22)44% (49)42% (94)2.88 (95)15748% (15)2134.43 (22)#77 (.18)43% (87)45% (87)42% (76)3.77 (65)58.81.30.7
GAST#92 (.15)41% (90)42% (92)2.94 (86)13441% (79)2563.85 (76)#121 (.28)48% (123)49% (119)46% (118)4.42 (120)49.11.61.4



Overall Stats 2015
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TROY Offense1227.92843.1%2.931.6193601192413.841%56%40%43%3%.16
GAST Defense1328.322.844.8%3.111.7 - - - - - 53%45%43%44%2%.13
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TROY Defense1228.331.645.5%3.351.6 - - - - - 59%39%46%43%1%.19
GAST Offense1326.919.842.4%3.781.820433973363.140%58%37%45%2%.2

Additional Stats 2015
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Troy1226:1718.835%37%6.757.61.61.600230.3
Georgia State1329:0120.144%11%7.165.51.81.700225.8
Run Game Stats (2015)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TROY Offense1241%40%31.8119.13.814.022.4362%0%0.9
GAST Defense1353%43% - - - - .12.9371%0%0.88
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TROY Defense1259%46% - - - - .133.0272%0%0.85
GAST Offense1340%37%31.396.93.115-.122.3360%0%0.75

Pass Game Stats (2015)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TROY Offense1256%43%20.834.8240.86.911.62111.291.532%30%.33%1.8
GAST Defense1345%44% - - - - - - 15.181.429%30%.122%1.6
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TROY Defense1239%43% - - - - - - 6.311.731%29%.241%1.8
GAST Offense1358%45%23.738.2335.98.814.22812.421.832%41%.442%1.8

Troy's Power Ratings
Troy's Power Rating: NR
Troy's Offense Rating: NR
Troy's Defense Rating: NR
2015 Talent Rating:  #112
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Troy's 2015 Expected Record: -
Troy's 2015 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Troy's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Troy's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Troy:    Georgia State: 2.5

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Troy:    Georgia State:




Georgia State's Power Ratings
Georgia State's Power Rating: 2.5 NR
Georgia State's Offense Rating: NR
Georgia State's Defense Rating: NR
2015 Talent Rating:  #111
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Georgia State's 2015 Expected Record: -
Georgia State's 2015 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Georgia State's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Georgia State's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


Troy Scoring
Offense: 27.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 28
Defense: 28.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 31.6

Troy's 2015 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record on Road: 2 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 5 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Troy 29
Georgia State 27

Total Points: 56

Based on Last 4 Games
Troy 32
Georgia State 26

Total Points: 58

Based on Entire Season
Troy 27
Georgia State 27

Total Points: 54
Georgia State Scoring
Offense: 26.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 19.8
Defense: 28.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 22.8

Georgia State's 2015 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 9 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 3 - 10
Record at home: 2 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202511/22Troy31Georgia State19Troy -9.5Troy51.0Under
202309/30Georgia State7Troy28Georgia State -1Troy50.5Under
202111/27Georgia State37Troy10Georgia State -6.5Georgia State49.5Under
202010/24Troy34Georgia State36Troy -1.5Georgia State68.5Over
201910/26Georgia State52Troy33Troy -1Georgia State67.0Over
201810/04Troy37Georgia State20Troy -17Push55.5Over
201710/21Georgia State10Troy34Troy -7Troy51.5Under
201610/15Troy31Georgia State21Troy -16.5Georgia State54.0Under
201511/27Georgia State31Troy21Georgia State -1Georgia State56.0Under
201411/08Troy45Georgia State21Troy -8.5Troy0
201310/12Georgia State28Troy35Troy -16Georgia State0
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Georgia State463 Overs
Troy746 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams7 - 46 - 44 - 32 - 1
Road Teams4 - 74 - 61 - 23 - 4

(#) TROY at (#) GAST
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatTROYGAST
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #112 #111
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Troy on Offense
CategoryCat
TROY OffGAST Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Troy Run Game
CategoryCat
TROY OffGAST Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Troy Pass Game
CategoryCat
TROY OffGAST Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Georgia State on Offense
CategoryCatGAST OffTROY Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Georgia State Run Game
CategoryCat
GAST OffTROY Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Georgia State Pass Game
CategoryCatGAST OffTROY Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
GAST 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'15 Profile: Remains Poor G5

TROY 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'15 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Georgia Dome
Conditions:
Temp: 70° - Wind: 10 mph
Rematch from Week 13
Georgia State -1.0 (56.0)
Georgia State won vs Troy this year (31-21)

Previous Matchups
Troy beat Georgia State in 2023 (28-7)

  
TROY's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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TROY's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

GAST's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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GAST's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD