Troy at New Mexico State - 2015 Matchup Preview

Saturday, October 24th 2015 (8:00 PM EDT)
Troy -3.5 (58.5) (0) Open: 0.0
Troy 52 - New Mexico State: 7 (Sun Belt)

Trojans (4 - 8) (7 - 5 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 24 - 24 (23 - 26 on Road)
'15 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

NMSU is playing their 4th straight game
TROY is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: -2.5 (SP+ -0)
Projected Score: TROY: 23 - NMSU: 24 (47)
TROY Win prob: 62% | Cover: 49%
TROY Travel: 1216 miles, 2 hrs ahead

Aggies (3 - 9) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 22 - 28 (23 - 18 @ Home)
'15 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
TROY Players
NMSU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Troy's 2015 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/5	Troy at NC State	+23.0	62.0	L 21 - 49	O	N
Sat 9/12	Troy vs Charleston Southern	-3.5
Sat 9/19	Troy at Wisconsin	+35.0	59.0	L 3 - 28	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/3	Troy vs South Alabama	-3.0	61.5	L 18 - 24	U	N
Sat 10/10	Troy at Mississippi State	+31.5	59.0	L 17 - 45	O	Y
Sat 10/17	Troy vs Idaho	-12.5	62.5	L 16 - 19	U	N
Sat 10/24	Troy at New Mexico State	-3.5	58.5	W 52 - 7	O	Y
Sat 10/31	Troy at App State	+24.0	55.0	L 41 - 44	O	Y
Sat 11/7	Troy vs UL Monroe	-5.0	52.0	W 51 - 14	O	Y
Sat 11/14	Troy vs Georgia Southern	+10.0	58.5	L 10 - 45	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Fri 11/27	Troy at Georgia State	+1.0	56.0	L 21 - 31	U	N
Sat 12/5	Troy at Louisiana	+2.0	57.0	W 41 - 17	O	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Troy's Schedule

New Mexico State's 2015 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/5	New Mexico State at Florida	+38.0	54.0	L 13 - 61	O	N
Sat 9/12	New Mexico State vs Georgia State	-4.0	64.5	L 32 - 34	O	N
Sat 9/19	New Mexico State vs UTEP	+4.0	59.5	L 47 - 50	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/3	New Mexico State at New Mexico	+14.0	65.5	L 29 - 38	O	Y
Sat 10/10	New Mexico State at Ole Miss	+43.0	70.0	L 3 - 52	U	N
Sat 10/17	New Mexico State at Georgia Southern	+26.0	62.0	L 26 - 56	O	N
Sat 10/24	New Mexico State vs Troy	+3.5	58.5	L 7 - 52	O	N
Sat 10/31	New Mexico State vs Idaho	+3.0	69.5	W 55 - 48	O	Y
Sat 11/7	New Mexico State at Texas State	+13.0	69.0	W 31 - 21	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/21	New Mexico State at Louisiana	+15.5	62.0	W 37 - 34	O	Y
Sat 11/28	New Mexico State vs Arkansas State	+17.0	71.0	L 28 - 52	O	N
Sat 12/5	New Mexico State at UL Monroe	+3.0	59.0	L 35 - 42	O	N

Important Stats (2014)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
TROY	.15	41%	23.5	42%	2.98	164	38%	198	3.23	.24	47%	23.9	50%	42%	3.82	59.4	1.2	1.5
NMSU	.13	40%	21.6	37%	2.6	179	42%	242	2.69	.27	53%	27.6	56%	44%	4.11	33.9	2.8	1.9

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
TROY		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
NMSU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2014

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
TROY Offense	12	23.5	23.4	40.9%	3.23	1.2	18	363	164	198	4.3	52%	46%	42%	38%	1%	.15
NMSU Defense	12	27.6	17.7	52.8%	4.11	1.9	-	-	-	-	-	65%	33%	56%	44%	2%	.27

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
TROY Defense	12	23.9	25.9	47.5%	3.82	1.5	-	-	-	-	-	56%	42%	50%	42%	3%	.24
NMSU Offense	12	21.6	23.2	40%	2.69	2.8	22	421	179	242	4.6	49%	50%	37%	42%	3%	.13

Additional Stats 2014

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Troy	12	29:17	18.3	38%	50%	6.2	59.4	1.2	1.5	0	0	3	28.3
New Mexico State	12	27:28	21.5	42%	56%	4.8	33.9	2.8	1.9	0	0	2	29.3

Run Game Stats (2015)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
TROY Offense	12	52%	42%	38.3	164.3	4.3	18	.12	2.98	72%	0%	1.04
NMSU Defense	12	65%	56%	-	-	-	-	.31	3.73	86%	0%	1

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
TROY Defense	12	56%	50%	-	-	-	-	.23	3.33	77%	0%	1.02
NMSU Offense	12	49%	37%	39.1	179.3	4.6	19	.06	2.6	73%	0%	1.05

Pass Game Stats (2015)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
TROY Offense	12	46%	38%	19.8	29.8	198.4	6.7	10	12	4	.19	1.6	35%	30%	.34	1%	1.9
NMSU Defense	12	33%	44%	-	-	-	-	-	-	13	.23	1.3	25%	35%	.44	2%	1.9

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
TROY Defense	12	42%	42%	-	-	-	-	-	-	11	.29	1.8	29%	39%	.43	3%	1.9
NMSU Offense	12	50%	42%	23.2	37.7	241.6	6.4	10.4	19	24	.21	1.5	34%	29%	.15	3%	1.9

Troy's Power Ratings
Troy's Power Rating: NR
Troy's Offense Rating: NR
Troy's Defense Rating: NR
2015 Talent Rating: #112
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Troy's 2015 Expected Record: -
Troy's 2015 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Troy's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Troy's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Troy: New Mexico State: 2.5

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Troy: New Mexico State:

New Mexico State's Power Ratings
New Mexico State's Power Rating: 2.5 NR
New Mexico State's Offense Rating: NR
New Mexico State's Defense Rating: NR
2015 Talent Rating: #126
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
New Mexico State's 2015 Expected Record: -
New Mexico State's 2015 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
New Mexico State's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
New Mexico State's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Troy Scoring
Offense: 23.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 23.4
Defense: 23.9 PPG
Defense on Road: 25.9

Troy's 2015 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record on Road: 2 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 5 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0

Projected Score
New Mexico State 24
Troy 23

Projected Total Points: 47

New Mexico State Scoring
Offense: 21.6 PPG
Offense at Home: 23.2
Defense: 27.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 17.7

New Mexico State's 2015 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 10 - 2
Record at home: 1 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 6 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2017	09/16	New Mexico State	24	Troy	27	Troy -9.5	New Mexico State	60.5	Under
2016	09/24	Troy	52	New Mexico State	6	Troy -17.5	Troy	66.0	Under
2015	10/24	New Mexico State	7	Troy	52	Troy -3.5	Troy	58.5	Over
2014	10/11	Troy	41	New Mexico State	24	Troy -7.5	Troy	0
2004	09/18	New Mexico State	22	Troy	18

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
New Mexico State	1	1	1 Overs
Troy	4	3	2 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	3 - 2	3 - 1	2 - 0	1 - 1
Road Teams	2 - 3	1 - 3	1 - 1	0 - 2

(#) TROY at (#) NMSU

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	TROY	NMSU
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	NR	NR
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#112	#126
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Troy Injury Report

New Mexico State Injury Report

Troy on Offense


CategoryCat	TROY Off	NMSU Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	NR	NR
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Troy Run Game


CategoryCat	TROY Off	NMSU Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Troy Pass Game


CategoryCat	TROY Off	NMSU Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

New Mexico State on Offense


CategoryCat	NMSU Off	TROY Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	NR	NR
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

New Mexico State Run Game


CategoryCat	NMSU Off	TROY Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

New Mexico State Pass Game


CategoryCat	NMSU Off	TROY Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
NMSU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'15 Profile: Remains Poor G5

TROY 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'15 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Aggie Memorial Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 8
Troy 3.5 (58.5)
Troy won at New Mexico State this year (52-7)

No Matchups Past 4 Years

TROY's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Troy's Full Roster

TROY's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

NMSU's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View New Mexico State's Full Roster

NMSU's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD