Troy at NC State - 2015 Matchup Preview
Troy logo Troy Trojans at NC State WolfpackNC State logo
Saturday, September 5th 2015 (6:00 PM EDT)
NC State -23 (62.0) (0)  Open: 0.0
NC State 49 - Troy: 21

 
Trojans (4 - 8) (7 - 5 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 28 - 28 (28 - 32 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Our Line: -2.5  (SP+ -0)
Projected Score: TROY: 27 - NCST: 31 (58)
NCST Win prob: 95% | Cover: 56%
TROY Travel: 499 miles, 1 hrs behind
Wolfpack (7 - 6) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 33 - 26 (36 - 29 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Troy's 2015 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/5 Troy at NC State+23.062.0L 21 - 49ON
Sat 9/12 Troy vs Charleston Southern-3.5
Sat 9/19 Troy at Wisconsin+35.059.0L 3 - 28UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/3 Troy vs South Alabama-3.061.5L 18 - 24UN
Sat 10/10 Troy at Mississippi State+31.559.0L 17 - 45OY
Sat 10/17 Troy vs Idaho-12.562.5L 16 - 19UN
Sat 10/24 Troy at New Mexico State-3.558.5W 52 - 7OY
Sat 10/31 Troy at App State+24.055.0L 41 - 44OY
Sat 11/7 Troy vs UL Monroe-5.052.0W 51 - 14OY
Sat 11/14 Troy vs Georgia Southern+10.058.5L 10 - 45UN
BYE WEEK
Fri 11/27 Troy at Georgia State+1.056.0L 21 - 31UN
Sat 12/5 Troy at Louisiana+2.057.0W 41 - 17OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Troy's Schedule
NC State's 2015 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/5 NC State vs Troy-23.062.0W 49 - 21OY
Sat 9/12 NC State vs Eastern Kentucky-31.0
Sat 9/19 NC State at Old Dominion-15.057.0W 38 - 14UY
Sat 9/26 NC State at South Alabama-16.555.5W 63 - 13OY
Sat 10/3 NC State vs Louisville-5.047.5L 13 - 20UN
Fri 10/9 NC State at Virginia Tech+2.044.0L 13 - 28UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/24 NC State at Wake Forest-8.543.5W 35 - 17OY
Sat 10/31 NC State vs Clemson+9.550.5L 41 - 56ON
Sat 11/7 NC State at Boston College-1.037.0W 24 - 8UY
Sat 11/14 NC State at Florida State+10.555.0L 17 - 34UN
Sat 11/21 NC State vs Syracuse-17.055.0W 42 - 29ON
Sat 11/28 NC State vs North Carolina+6.065.0L 34 - 45ON
Wed 12/30 NC State vs Mississippi State+7.0

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for NC State's Schedule
Important Stats (2015)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TROY.1643%27.940%2.4311943%2412.93.1946%28.346%43%3.3557.61.61.6
NCST.1943%33.245%3.120239%2114.06.1340%25.838%40%3.7252.811.7
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TROY#50 (.22)44% (49)42% (94)2.88 (95)15748% (15)2134.43 (22)#77 (.18)43% (87)45% (87)42% (76)3.77 (65)58.81.30.7
NCST#26 (.25)45% (36)44% (68)3.24 (36)13047% (20)2153.97 (61)#86 (.19)41% (59)39% (31)43% (87)3.78 (67)451.71.4



Overall Stats 2015
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TROY Offense1227.92843.1%2.931.6193601192413.841%56%40%43%3%.16
NCST Defense1325.828.539.7%3.721.7 - - - - - 49%49%38%40%2%.13
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TROY Defense1228.331.645.5%3.351.6 - - - - - 59%39%46%43%1%.19
NCST Offense1333.235.742.6%4.061224132022114.951%48%45%39%2%.19

Additional Stats 2015
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Troy1226:1718.835%37%6.757.61.61.600230.3
NC State1333:0321.541%61%5.552.811.700331.8
Run Game Stats (2015)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TROY Offense1241%40%31.8119.13.814.022.4362%0%0.9
NCST Defense1349%38% - - - - .062.4457%0%1.12
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TROY Defense1259%46% - - - - .133.0272%0%0.85
NCST Offense1351%45%41.5202.14.936.223.175%0%1.14

Pass Game Stats (2015)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TROY Offense1256%43%20.834.8240.86.911.62111.291.532%30%.33%1.8
NCST Defense1349%40% - - - - - - 13.221.633%29%.172%1.7
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TROY Defense1239%43% - - - - - - 6.311.731%29%.241%1.8
NCST Offense1348%39%18.931.8210.86.611.1206.171.633%31%.232%1.9

Troy's Power Ratings
Troy's Power Rating: NR
Troy's Offense Rating: NR
Troy's Defense Rating: NR
2015 Talent Rating:  #112
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Troy's 2015 Expected Record: -
Troy's 2015 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Troy's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Troy's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Troy:    NC State: 2.5

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Troy:    NC State:




NC State's Power Ratings
NC State's Power Rating: 2.5 NR
NC State's Offense Rating: NR
NC State's Defense Rating: NR
2015 Talent Rating:  #43
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
NC State's 2015 Expected Record: -
NC State's 2015 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
NC State's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
NC State's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


Troy Scoring
Offense: 27.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 28
Defense: 28.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 31.6

Troy's 2015 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record on Road: 2 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 5 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
NC State 31
Troy 27

Total Points: 58

Based on Last 4 Games
NC State 31
Troy 27

Total Points: 58

Based on Entire Season
NC State 32
Troy 28

Total Points: 60
NC State Scoring
Offense: 33.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 35.7
Defense: 25.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 28.5

NC State's 2015 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record at home: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
201509/05NC State49Troy21NC State -23NC State62.0Over
TeamWinsCoversO/U
NC State111 Overs
Troy000 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams1 - 01 - 01 - 00 - 0
Road Teams0 - 10 - 10 - 00 - 1

(#) TROY at (#) NCST
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatTROYNCST
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #112 #43
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Troy on Offense
CategoryCat
TROY OffNCST Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Troy Run Game
CategoryCat
TROY OffNCST Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Troy Pass Game
CategoryCat
TROY OffNCST Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
NC State on Offense
CategoryCatNCST OffTROY Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
NC State Run Game
CategoryCat
NCST OffTROY Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
NC State Pass Game
CategoryCatNCST OffTROY Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
NCST 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'15 Profile: Remains Poor G5

TROY 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'15 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Carter-Finley Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 80° - Wind: 7 mph
Rematch from Week 1
NC State -23.0 (62.0)
NC State won vs Troy this year (49-21)

No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
TROY's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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TROY's DC ()
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SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

NCST's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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NCST's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD