South Alabama at Troy - 2015 Matchup Preview

Saturday, October 3rd 2015 (7:00 PM EDT)
Troy -3 (61.5) (0) Open: 0.0
South Alabama 24 - Troy: 18 (Sun Belt)

Jaguars (5 - 7) (5 - 6 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 25 - 37 (19 - 35 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Wind: 13.9 MPH
TROY coming off BYE
USA is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: -2.5 (SP+ -0)
Projected Score: USA: 25 - TROY: 33 (58)
TROY Win prob: 56% | Cover: 47%
USA Travel: 145 miles

Trojans (4 - 8) (7 - 5 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 28 - 28 (28 - 24 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
USA Players
TROY Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

South Alabama's 2015 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/5	South Alabama vs Gardner-Webb	-23.5
Sat 9/12	South Alabama at Nebraska	+27.0	54.0	L 9 - 48	O	N
Sat 9/19	South Alabama at San Diego State	+15.5	47.5	W 34 - 27	O	Y
Sat 9/26	South Alabama vs NC State	+16.5	55.5	L 13 - 63	O	N
Sat 10/3	South Alabama at Troy	+3.0	61.5	W 24 - 18	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Tue 10/13	South Alabama vs Arkansas State	+6.0	58.0	L 31 - 49	O	N
Sat 10/24	South Alabama at Texas State	+5.0	63.0	L 18 - 36	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/7	South Alabama vs Idaho	-5.5	61.0	W 52 - 45	O	Y
Thu 11/12	South Alabama vs Louisiana	+1.5	57.0	W 32 - 25	U	Y
Sat 11/21	South Alabama at Georgia State	+1.0	60.5	L 10 - 24	U	N
Sat 11/28	South Alabama at Georgia Southern	+21.0	56.0	L 17 - 55	O	N
Sat 12/5	South Alabama vs App State	+16.5	59.0	L 27 - 34	O	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for South Alabama's Schedule

Troy's 2015 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/5	Troy at NC State	+23.0	62.0	L 21 - 49	O	N
Sat 9/12	Troy vs Charleston Southern	-3.5
Sat 9/19	Troy at Wisconsin	+35.0	59.0	L 3 - 28	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/3	Troy vs South Alabama	-3.0	61.5	L 18 - 24	U	N
Sat 10/10	Troy at Mississippi State	+31.5	59.0	L 17 - 45	O	Y
Sat 10/17	Troy vs Idaho	-12.5	62.5	L 16 - 19	U	N
Sat 10/24	Troy at New Mexico State	-3.5	58.5	W 52 - 7	O	Y
Sat 10/31	Troy at App State	+24.0	55.0	L 41 - 44	O	Y
Sat 11/7	Troy vs UL Monroe	-5.0	52.0	W 51 - 14	O	Y
Sat 11/14	Troy vs Georgia Southern	+10.0	58.5	L 10 - 45	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Fri 11/27	Troy at Georgia State	+1.0	56.0	L 21 - 31	U	N
Sat 12/5	Troy at Louisiana	+2.0	57.0	W 41 - 17	O	Y

Important Stats (2015)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
USA	.07	40%	25	42%	2.78	161	36%	200	2.89	.19	44%	37.3	43%	42%	4.23	57.8	2.1	1.7
TROY	.16	43%	27.9	40%	2.43	119	43%	241	2.93	.19	46%	28.3	46%	43%	3.35	57.6	1.6	1.6

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
USA	#5 (.34)	50% (9)		53% (4)	3.57 (6)	199	47% (18)	243	4.66 (13)	#58 (.15)	41% (58)		39% (28)	43% (96)	3.66 (56)	70.8	0.9	1.5
TROY	#50 (.22)	44% (49)		42% (94)	2.88 (95)	157	48% (15)	213	4.43 (22)	#77 (.18)	43% (87)		45% (87)	42% (76)	3.77 (65)	58.8	1.3	0.7

Overall Stats 2015

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
USA Offense	12	25	18.7	40.2%	2.89	2.1	18	360	161	200	4	54%	45%	42%	36%	2%	.07
TROY Defense	12	28.3	23.6	45.5%	3.35	1.6	-	-	-	-	-	59%	39%	46%	43%	1%	.19

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
USA Defense	12	37.3	34.7	43.5%	4.23	1.7	-	-	-	-	-	57%	42%	43%	42%	2%	.19
TROY Offense	12	27.9	27.8	43.1%	2.93	1.6	19	360	119	241	3.8	41%	56%	40%	43%	3%	.16

Additional Stats 2015

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
South Alabama	12	28:25	18.1	35%	44%	6.8	57.8	2.1	1.7	0	0	1	28.4
Troy	12	26:17	18.8	35%	37%	6.7	57.6	1.6	1.6	0	0	2	30.3

Run Game Stats (2015)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
USA Offense	12	54%	42%	40.1	160.7	4	18	.06	2.78	75%	0%	0.87
TROY Defense	12	59%	46%	-	-	-	-	.13	3.02	72%	0%	0.85

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
USA Defense	12	57%	43%	-	-	-	-	.12	2.84	67%	0%	1.05
TROY Offense	12	41%	40%	31.8	119.1	3.8	14	.02	2.43	62%	0%	0.9

Pass Game Stats (2015)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
USA Offense	12	45%	36%	15.3	29.3	199.5	6.8	13	15	16	.11	1.7	34%	32%	.19	2%	1.7
TROY Defense	12	39%	43%	-	-	-	-	-	-	6	.31	1.7	31%	29%	.24	1%	1.8

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
USA Defense	12	42%	42%	-	-	-	-	-	-	10	.29	1.6	33%	32%	.38	2%	2.1
TROY Offense	12	56%	43%	20.8	34.8	240.8	6.9	11.6	21	11	.29	1.5	32%	30%	.3	3%	1.8

South Alabama's Power Ratings
South Alabama's Power Rating: NR
South Alabama's Offense Rating: NR
South Alabama's Defense Rating: NR
2015 Talent Rating: #102
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
South Alabama's 2015 Expected Record: -
South Alabama's 2015 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
South Alabama's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
South Alabama's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
South Alabama: Troy: 2.5

SP+ Ratings Matchup
South Alabama: Troy:

Troy's Power Ratings
Troy's Power Rating: 2.5 NR
Troy's Offense Rating: NR
Troy's Defense Rating: NR
2015 Talent Rating: #112
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Troy's 2015 Expected Record: -
Troy's 2015 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Troy's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Troy's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

South Alabama Scoring
Offense: 25 PPG
Offense on Road: 18.7
Defense: 37.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 34.7

South Alabama's 2015 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 5 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 5
Record on Road: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 6 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 0

Projected Score
Troy 33
South Alabama 25

Total Points: 58

Based on Last 4 Games
Troy 34
South Alabama 27

Total Points: 60

Based on Entire Season
Troy 32
South Alabama 24

Total Points: 56

Troy Scoring
Offense: 27.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 27.8
Defense: 28.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 23.6

Troy's 2015 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record at home: 2 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	10/04	Troy	31	South Alabama	24	South Alabama -2.5	Troy	46.5	Over
2024	10/15	South Alabama	25	Troy	9	South Alabama -10	South Alabama	53.0	Under
2023	11/02	Troy	28	South Alabama	10	Troy -5.5	Troy	44.5	Under
2022	10/20	South Alabama	6	Troy	10	South Alabama -3	Troy	47.0	Under
2021	11/06	Troy	31	South Alabama	24	Troy -3.5	Troy	47.5	Over
2020	12/05	South Alabama	0	Troy	29	Troy -4.5	Troy	53.5	Under
2019	10/16	Troy	37	South Alabama	13	Troy -17.5	Troy	55.5	Under
2018	10/23	South Alabama	17	Troy	38	Troy -11	Troy	52.5	Over
2017	10/11	Troy	8	South Alabama	19	Troy -18	South Alabama	51.5	Under
2016	10/20	South Alabama	21	Troy	28	Troy -9	South Alabama	49.0	Push
2015	10/03	Troy	18	South Alabama	24	Troy -3	South Alabama	61.5	Under
2014	10/24	South Alabama	27	Troy	13	South Alabama -12	South Alabama	0
2013	10/05	Troy	34	South Alabama	33	Troy -2.5	South Alabama	0
2012	09/29	South Alabama	10	Troy	31

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Troy	10	7	3 Overs
South Alabama	4	6	7 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	7 - 7	7 - 6	5 - 4	2 - 2
Road Teams	7 - 7	6 - 7	2 - 2	4 - 5

(#) USA at (#) TROY

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	USA	TROY
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	NR	NR
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#102	#112
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

South Alabama Injury Report

Troy Injury Report

South Alabama on Offense


CategoryCat	USA Off	TROY Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	NR	NR
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

South Alabama Run Game


CategoryCat	USA Off	TROY Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

South Alabama Pass Game


CategoryCat	USA Off	TROY Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Troy on Offense


CategoryCat	TROY Off	USA Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	NR	NR
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Troy Run Game


CategoryCat	TROY Off	USA Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Troy Pass Game


CategoryCat	TROY Off	USA Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
TROY 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'15 Profile: Remains Poor G5

USA 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'15 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Veterans Memorial Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 63° - Wind: 14 mph

Rematch from Week 5
Troy -3.0 (61.5)
South Alabama won at Troy this year (24-18)

Previous Matchups
South Alabama beat Troy last year (25-9)
Troy beat South Alabama in 2023 (28-10)
Troy beat South Alabama in 2022 (10-6)

USA's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View South Alabama's Full Roster

USA's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

TROY's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Troy's Full Roster

TROY's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD