North Carolina at Duke - 2012 Matchup Preview
North Carolina logo North Carolina Tar Heels at Duke Blue DevilsDuke logo
Saturday, October 20th 2012 (7:00 PM EDT)
Duke 33 - North Carolina: 30  (ACC)

 
Tar Heels (8 - 4) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 41 - 26 (29 - 25 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
UNC 2nd straight Road Game
DUKE is playing their 8th straight game
UNC is playing their 8th straight game
Our Line: -2.5  (SP+ -0)
Projected Score: UNC: 29 - DUKE: 28 (57)
UNC Win prob: 55% | Cover: 49%
UNC Travel: 9 miles
Blue Devils (6 - 7) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 32 - 36 (40 - 30 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
North Carolina's 2012 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/1 North Carolina vs Elon-23.5
Sat 9/8 North Carolina at Wake Forest+2.5
Sat 9/15 North Carolina at Louisville+2.5
Sat 9/22 North Carolina vs East Carolina-23.5
Sat 9/29 North Carolina vs Idaho-23.5
Sat 10/6 North Carolina vs Virginia Tech-23.5
Sat 10/13 North Carolina at Miami+2.5
Sat 10/20 North Carolina at Duke+2.5
Sat 10/27 North Carolina vs NC State-23.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/10 North Carolina vs Georgia Tech-23.5
Thu 11/15 North Carolina at Virginia+2.5
Sat 11/24 North Carolina vs Maryland-23.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for North Carolina's Schedule
Duke's 2012 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/1 Duke vs Florida International-23.5
Sat 9/8 Duke at Stanford+2.5
Sat 9/15 Duke vs North Carolina Central-23.5
Sat 9/22 Duke vs Memphis-23.5
Sat 9/29 Duke at Wake Forest+2.5
Sat 10/6 Duke vs Virginia-23.5
Sat 10/13 Duke at Virginia Tech+2.5
Sat 10/20 Duke vs North Carolina-23.5
Sat 10/27 Duke at Florida State+2.5
Sat 11/3 Duke vs Clemson-23.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/17 Duke at Georgia Tech+2.5
Sat 11/24 Duke vs Miami-23.5
Thu 12/27 Duke vs Cincinnati-23.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Duke's Schedule
Important Stats (2012)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UNC.1547%40.647%319445%292-0.14.0538%25.738%37%-0.0964.31.52.1
DUKE.0641%31.540%3.0412539%284-0.39.1145%3649%37%-0.21491.61.8
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UNC#65 (.2)42% (80)47% (34)3.32 (22)17537% (114)2164.08 (52)#70 (.17)41% (53)44% (82)37% (26)4.01 (90)59.81.21.2
DUKE#109 (.12)39% (116)35% (129)2.47 (131)8942% (69)2263.7 (90)#10 (.06)38% (16)41% (51)34% (5)3.19 (17)48.91.42



Overall Stats 2012
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UNC Offense1240.629.247%-0.141.5244861942925.146%52%47%45%1%.15
DUKE Defense133630.344.9%-0.211.8 - - - - - 53%44%49%37%2%.11
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UNC Defense1225.725.438.4%-0.092.1 - - - - - 49%50%38%37%3%.05
DUKE Offense1331.539.740.5%-0.391.6224091252843.740%57%40%39%3%.06

Additional Stats 2012
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
North Carolina1227:5024.342%67%7.564.31.52.100532
Duke1331:1622.235%56%5.8491.61.800430.8
Run Game Stats (2012)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UNC Offense1246%47%38.1193.85.128.09369%0%0.73
DUKE Defense1353%49% - - - - .133.3265%0%0.79
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UNC Defense1249%38% - - - - -.012.7268%0%0.77
DUKE Offense1340%40%33.8125.23.718-.013.0468%0%0.68

Pass Game Stats (2012)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UNC Offense1252%45%23.936.8291.87.912.2297.211.231%38%.331%1.5
DUKE Defense1344%37% - - - - - - 11.111.328%33%.252%1.4
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UNC Defense1250%37% - - - - - - 16.121.436%34%.343%1.6
DUKE Offense1357%39%27.142.4283.96.710.52712.111.132%30%.223%1.5

North Carolina's Power Ratings
North Carolina's Power Rating: NR
North Carolina's Offense Rating: NR
North Carolina's Defense Rating: NR
2012 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
North Carolina's 2012 Expected Record: -
North Carolina's 2012 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
North Carolina's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
North Carolina's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
North Carolina:    Duke: 2.5

SP+ Ratings Matchup
North Carolina:    Duke:




Duke's Power Ratings
Duke's Power Rating: 2.5 NR
Duke's Offense Rating: NR
Duke's Defense Rating: NR
2012 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Duke's 2012 Expected Record: -
Duke's 2012 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Duke's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Duke's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


North Carolina Scoring
Offense: 40.6 PPG
Offense on Road: 29.2
Defense: 25.7 PPG
Defense on Road: 25.4

North Carolina's 2012 Record
Record: 8 - 4
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 12
Record on Road: 2 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
North Carolina 29
Duke 28

Total Points: 57

Based on Last 4 Games
Duke 25
North Carolina 25

Total Points: 50

Based on Entire Season
North Carolina 34
Duke 31

Total Points: 65
Duke Scoring
Offense: 31.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 39.7
Defense: 36 PPG
Defense at Home: 30.3

Duke's 2012 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 13
Record at home: 5 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202511/22North Carolina25Duke32Duke -6.5Duke50.5Over
202409/28Duke21North Carolina20North Carolina -1Duke55.5Under
202311/11North Carolina47Duke45North Carolina -9.5Duke52.5Over
202210/15Duke35North Carolina38North Carolina -7Duke70.0Over
202110/02North Carolina38Duke7North Carolina -19.5North Carolina74.0Under
202011/07Duke24North Carolina56North Carolina -11.5North Carolina63.0Over
201910/26North Carolina20Duke17North Carolina -2.5North Carolina52.5Under
201811/10Duke42North Carolina35Duke -7.5North Carolina58.5Over
201709/23North Carolina17Duke27North Carolina -1.5Duke61.0Under
201611/10Duke28North Carolina27North Carolina -10.5Duke66.5Under
201511/07North Carolina66Duke31North Carolina -8North Carolina59.5Over
201411/20Duke20North Carolina45Duke -6North Carolina0
201311/30North Carolina25Duke27North Carolina -5.5Duke0
201210/20Duke33North Carolina30
201111/26North Carolina37Duke21
201011/27Duke19North Carolina24
200911/07North Carolina19Duke6
200811/29Duke20North Carolina28
200711/24North Carolina20Duke14
200611/25Duke44North Carolina45
200511/19North Carolina24Duke21
200411/20Duke17North Carolina40
200311/22North Carolina22Duke30
200111/17North Carolina52Duke17
200011/17Duke21North Carolina59
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Duke876 Overs
North Carolina1765 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams13 - 126 - 73 - 53 - 2
Road Teams12 - 137 - 62 - 35 - 3

(#) UNC at (#) DUKE
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatUNCDUKE
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTalNRNR
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
North Carolina on Offense
CategoryCat
UNC OffDUKE Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
North Carolina Run Game
CategoryCat
UNC OffDUKE Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
North Carolina Pass Game
CategoryCat
UNC OffDUKE Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Duke on Offense
CategoryCatDUKE OffUNC Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Duke Run Game
CategoryCat
DUKE OffUNC Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Duke Pass Game
CategoryCatDUKE OffUNC Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
DUKE 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'12 Profile: Remains Poor G5

UNC 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'12 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Wallace Wade Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 60°
Rematch from Week 8
()
Duke won vs North Carolina this year (33-30)

Previous Matchups
Duke beat North Carolina last year (21-20)
North Carolina beat Duke in 2023 (47-45)
North Carolina beat Duke in 2022 (38-35)

  
UNC's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View North Carolina's Full Roster

UNC's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

DUKE's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Duke's Full Roster

DUKE's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD